regarding 1, and 5) I lost on both of those bets. I think I should try to shy away from betting hard favorites in fights that are likely to be chaotic brawls.
Two guys who clearly didn't have the takedown defense that I thought they did: Lentz and Makdessi. I wonder how much the size difference made in each case.
Two guys who should take some lessons from Vitor on how to finish a fight: Nog and Nog. Big Nog made an obvious mistake, and even Little Nog actually kind of looked sloppy in how he handled Tito after he hurt him.
In terms of finding someone to beat Jones, I think the "technical striker who can evade the clinch takedown" route has to be considered almost closed. No one is going to be a better Machida than Machida. I watched the fight again to confirm something I thought I noticed the first time: if you watch from about two minutes into the second round onwards, it's clear that Machida is really slowing down. He then lets Jones clinch with him easily and barely resists the final TD. Even Jones said he was surprised at how little Machida offered once down.
It seems strange that Machida would fade after only 1.5 rounds of a style of fight he's fairly used to. Which brings me to the final part of my excuse-conspiracy-theory: Remember the rumors that Machida had the flu or something in the days before the fight?
Two guys who clearly didn't have the takedown defense that I thought they did: Lentz and Makdessi. I wonder how much the size difference made in each case.
Two guys who should take some lessons from Vitor on how to finish a fight: Nog and Nog. Big Nog made an obvious mistake, and even Little Nog actually kind of looked sloppy in how he handled Tito after he hurt him.
In terms of finding someone to beat Jones, I think the "technical striker who can evade the clinch takedown" route has to be considered almost closed. No one is going to be a better Machida than Machida. I watched the fight again to confirm something I thought I noticed the first time: if you watch from about two minutes into the second round onwards, it's clear that Machida is really slowing down. He then lets Jones clinch with him easily and barely resists the final TD. Even Jones said he was surprised at how little Machida offered once down.
It seems strange that Machida would fade after only 1.5 rounds of a style of fight he's fairly used to. Which brings me to the final part of my excuse-conspiracy-theory: Remember the rumors that Machida had the flu or something in the days before the fight?
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