UFC 142

[SPX]

I think that it all comes down to whether or not Etim can get the TD . . . I kind of doubt that he can, but I'm not so sure that -250 on Barboza looks appetizing.

[mike]

I think that it all comes down to whether or not Etim can get the TD . . . I kind of doubt that he can, but I'm not so sure that -250 on Barboza looks appetizing.

yeah that's how i feel too; even though Barboza could have lost his last 2 fights but still, i think Etim is a favorable match up for Barboza.

[poopoo333]

Thiago Tavares/Sam Stout

..talk to me

[edman5555]

My first reaction is Tavares but I haven't seen a ton of tape on Stout versus a solid wrestler/grappler. I read the play by plays for Stout/Wiman and Wiman was able to get Stout down a few times, he was reversed though. It was a close fight though. I guess I see Tavares getting in Stouts face and outworking him up against the cage. That is what he did to Spencer Fischer.

[Vandelay]

<iframe src="http://player.vimeo.com/video/34626967?title=0&amp;byline=0&amp;portrait=0" width="400" height="225" frameborder="0" webkitAllowFullScreen mozallowfullscreen allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="http://vimeo.com/34626967">The Rise of Toquinho</a> from <a href="http://vimeo.com/stuartcooper">stuart cooper Films</a> on <a href="http://vimeo.com">Vimeo</a>.</p>

[Vandelay]

Figured out how to embed it. Cool vid on tree stump.

[poopoo333]

Magic prop parlay ideas?

[MMA_scientist]

Magic prop parlay ideas?

It doesn't look good to me... maybe "not Aldo/Mendes, AJ, Funch, Stout, Barboza" I really only like the Not AJ and Not Stout though out of the group. Funch is a brown belt in BJJ and they are both going to want to go to the floor, I expect a pretzel match where anything can happen. Mendes is going to want to go to the floor with Aldo, we could see either man get the submission. Etim has been subbed before, and I think he will want to bring it down. I would have to get at least -200 to do that one.

I may do Not Stout by sub to kick off the 2012 parlay, Tavares has never been subbed and Stout will want to stay standing. Even if it goes to floor, Stout has only 1 win by submission. May also add not AJ in the 2012 parlay. Vitor has been subbed once and AJ has never won by submission.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, as for one parlay for the card there is not enough that are "locks" imo, maybe something for a smaller play. Not Mendes, AJ, Stout, Barboza, Funch, Massenzio by sub looks good to me, but not for a 5u bet or anything.

[Thewisemann]

Were do you guys think the line will go on Mendes?

[MMA_scientist]

I would bet it for 5u if the odds were decent. It will probably hit. I didn't realize Massenzio Palhares was on this card. Massenzio is not going to submit Palhares.

[poopoo333]

Were do you guys think the line will go on Mendes?

It will probably stay around the same, maybe some money might come in on him. I don't see him getting better than +225 if he even gets up there

[MMA_scientist]

Were do you guys think the line will go on Mendes?

I think it will stay put, maybe go a little lower. It isn't going back to +240.

[poopoo333]

My only bet for this card so far is 0.5u on Mendes @+200. Well I have 0u to win 2.5u on Vitor Belfort (I got a free play on Bookmaker) so that works out. I had a dream AJ beat Belfort in the 2nd though last night.

I plan on a small bet on Massenzio if he gets +400 or more, and a small bet on Etim if he gets better than +250.

Yuri Alcanatra may be a decent dog bet if Omigawa opens over valued (again).

I like Pyle but he will be -325 or worse imo, I might parlay him with Erick Silva.

[Thewisemann]

Palhares is not gonna lose