UFC 143

[edman5555]

I was right about Werdum but I didn't go to big on it fast enough. I was scared after the Einemo/Maia debacles were I lost 6u. Regardless, Werdum impressed bigtime. I can't wait to see where he goes from here.

[Svino]

I was right about Werdum but I didn't go to big on it fast enough. I was scared after the Einemo/Maia debacles were I lost 6u. Regardless, Werdum impressed bigtime. I can't wait to see where he goes from here.

Everyone's gonna pile on him about how he should cut to LHW, I'm sure. I don't see the point; I think he's just hit his ceiling and it's probably higher relative to the division in HW than it would be in LHW. He ain't beating anyone in the top 10 of that division either.

[edman5555]

Yeah I thought the same thing myself. Light H is probably harder than heavyweight. At least at H he can beat a lot of guys. He should at least get in fucking shape though. It was cool when he was winning. Now I just sort of feel bad for him and think he is a moron. It would be so easy for him to get in shape. His cardio is at a high enough level that I can tell he is training a lot, he must eat absolutely horribly.

[SPX]

I really don't think we'd see much of a difference even if he had rippling abs. Like you say, his cardio isn't terrible. I think the real problem is that he just has a certain skillset that is at a certain level and that's that. It's kind of like how Rory Markham will never beat GSP, regardless of how hard he trains.

[Vandelay]

He would be horrible at LHW. If he looks slow now, wait till he gets to a faster division. It'd be embarrassing.

[Svino]

I think I'm going to try doing only Live betting next event.

I'm also seriously considering switching to live betting only for a while. You can almost always get the first minute or so for "free", so to speak, so why not watch that and use it to help make a decision? That fact that I'm in my worst prefight-bet slump ever doesn't help.

Unfortunately, I'm not sure if we'll be getting live betting for "UFC on Fuel". So far, BM's pattern has been to have live betting if the fights are on PPV, Spike, Fox, or FX, but not if they are on Fuel or FB.

[mike]

Svino, you mentioned how bm usually only allow max win of 1k per live bet. but can you make a 1k win bet, then immediately make another 1k win bet? just wondering.

[Svino]

Svino, you mentioned how bm usually only allow max win of 1k per live bet. but can you make a 1k win bet, then immediately make another 1k win bet? just wondering.

Generally, no. It keeps track of your total bets on a given line.

(As I said earlier, though. I seem to have exceeded 1k on two occasions, but I'm not sure how or why it was allowed.)

[mike]

i see.. maybe they would allow a max bet on COndit straight and a max bet on COndit by dec. I'm always too chicken to place huge bets on live betting though. No ballz lolz.
in your experience, do you have more success betting on + lines or - lines ?

[Svino]

i see.. maybe they would allow a max bet on COndit straight and a max bet on COndit by dec. I'm always too chicken to place huge bets on live betting though. No ballz lolz.
in your experience, do you have more success betting on + lines or - lines ?

They will indeed allow max bets on Condit straight and Condit by decision, and also on the fight going the distance. So I think 3k on a single fight is the max.

I have far more success betting on live underdog lines. Basically, there is usually money on live lines when they are too slow to adjust to the unfolding situation. If Jon Fitch is fighting a scrub and wins by decision, there will not much value on the lines at any point. But if something really unexpected is happening, you can often grab it before they catch on and shift the lines.

[edman5555]

Yeah good point Vandelay. SPX, I think your wrong. He always looks exhausted in his fights that go three rounds.

[SPX]

SPX, I think your wrong. He always looks exhausted in his fights that go three rounds.

BOL! Negro you do realize I was agreeing with YOU, right?

[Mr. IWS]

BOL! Negro you do realize I was agreeing with YOU, right?

Fuckin priceless haha.

[poopoo333]

http://bjpenn.com/mmanews/2012/02/08/quick-twitt-dana-white-confirms-condit-vs-diaz-ii-in-the-works-cesar-gracie-says-not-happening-13596.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=facebook&utm_campaign=Feed%3A%20bjpenndotcom%20%28BJPENN.COM%20MMA%20NEWS%20BLOGS%29

[SPX]

The funny thing is that you know if Diaz had won there'd be no talk of a rematch.