Bellator 58

[MMA_scientist]

yeah, it could happen, but Hendo would probably opt to pound on him rather than go for a choke. Aside from that, Hendo is not nearly as big as Forrest and he doesn't really push the pace either (because he also gasses out).

[SPX]

When was the last time Hendo subbed somebody?

[MMA_scientist]

When was the last time Hendo subbed somebody?

1997, he only has one submission win and it was his 2nd fight.

But still, if Shogun quits and offers it up like he did to Forrest, I am sure Dan would at least consider it (but like I said, I think Dan would just opt to wail on him in that case).

[Vandelay]

Yea, its unlikely. along with the other things i added. it brought the line down to -330. Ill probably make another parlay that includes marlo sandro once the full props come out.

[MMA_scientist]

I did a mini-wiseman that includes Sandro/Lombard/Torres/Weidman/McDonald/Tibau/not hendo by sub/not Le by sub. +363 Weidman or Tibau could definitely blow it.

[poopoo333]

I did a mini-wiseman that includes Sandro/Lombard/Torres/Weidman/McDonald/Tibau/not hendo by sub/not Le by sub. +363 Weidman or Tibau could definitely blow it.

How much? I think I am gonna throw $100 on a wiseman this weekend

[MMA_scientist]

How much? I think I am gonna throw $100 on a wiseman this weekend

.25u

I don't make big bets on those things.

Do a magic parlay on UFC 139 + Lombard + Sandro + ... I bet you can put together a pretty good string of bets this weekend. There are some lopsided fights.

[poopoo333]

Pays better than +200

1. 11/19/2011 8:30 PM UFC Fighting 1502 Ryan Bader* -335 vs Jason Brilz
2. 11/19/2011 8:00 PM UFC Fighting 1602 Michael McDonald* -390 vs Alex Soto
3. 11/19/2011 7:30 PM UFC Fighting 1702 Chris Weidman* -325 vs Tom Lawlor
4. 11/19/2011 6:30 PM UFC Fighting 1902 Miguel Angel Torres* -360 vs Nick Pace
5. 11/18/2011 11:59 PM Strikeforce Fighting 2004 Ronda Rousey* -625 vs Julia Budd
6. 11/19/2011 8:00 PM Bellator Fighting 3004 Hector Lombard* -860 vs Trevor Prangley
7. 11/19/2011 7:30 PM Bellator Fighting 3006 Marlon Sandro* -485 vs Raphael Dias
8. 11/19/2011 11:00 PM Props Fighting 1036 Any other result* -3555 vs D.Henderson wins by submission
9. 11/19/2011 10:30 PM Props Fighting 1132 Any other result* -6555 vs Le wins by submission

[poopoo333]

But still that is fucking 9 fights... I am probably going to just make a bunch of 2-3 fight parlays this weekend. I need to look at Tibau/Dos Anjos more, Tibau -175 seems too good

[MMA_scientist]

But still that is fucking 9 fights... I am probably going to just make a bunch of 2-3 fight parlays this weekend. I need to look at Tibau/Dos Anjos more, Tibau -175 seems too good

I decided not to bet that fight. If you add in the other submission props, I think you can get that to + 400

[Svino]

In glorious HD:

[Luke]

Wow. Thanks Svino

[MMA_scientist]

I did a mini-wiseman that includes Sandro/Lombard/Torres/Weidman/McDonald/Tibau/not hendo by sub/not Le by sub. +363 Weidman or Tibau could definitely blow it.

[poopoo333]

[#106976476] PARLAY (12 TEAMS) (Risking: 1.00 - To Win: 538.93)

11/19/2011 - 08:30 PM	MU	[24501] DAN HENDERSON PK+110 (DAN HENDERSON vrs MAURICIO RUA) Score: DAN HENDERSON(1) - MAURICIO RUA(0)	PEND
11/19/2011 - 07:30 PM	MU	[24506] WANDERLEI SILVA PK+135 (CUNG LE vrs WANDERLEI SILVA) Score: CUNG LE(0) - WANDERLEI SILVA(1)	PEND
11/19/2011 - 07:30 PM	MU	[24509] BRIAN BOWLES PK+182 (BRIAN BOWLES vrs URIJAH FABER) Score: BRIAN BOWLES(0) - URIJAH FABER(1)	PEND
11/19/2011 - 06:55 PM	MU	[24513] MARTIN KAMPMANN PK+105 (MARTIN KAMPMANN vrs RICK STORY) Score: MARTIN KAMPMANN(1) - RICK STORY(0)	PEND
11/19/2011 - 06:15 PM	MU	[24518] KYLE KINGSBURY PK-144 (STEPHAN BONNAR vrs KYLE KINGSBURY) Score: STEPHAN BONNAR(1) - KYLE KINGSBURY(0)	LOSE
11/19/2011 - 05:35 PM	MU	[24522] RYAN BADER PK-430 (JASON BRILZ vrs RYAN BADER) Score: JASON BRILZ(0) - RYAN BADER(1)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 04:40 PM	MU	[24526] CHRIS WEIDMAN PK-320 (TOM LAWLOR vrs CHRIS WEIDMAN) Score: TOM LAWLOR(0) - CHRIS WEIDMAN(1)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 04:30 PM	MU	[24530] MIGUEL TORRES PK-400 (NICK PACE vrs MIGUEL TORRES) Score: NICK PACE(0) - MIGUEL TORRES(1)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 04:30 PM	MU	[24534] GLEISON TIBAU PK-175 (RAFAEL DOS ANJOS vrs GLEISON TIBAU) Score: RAFAEL DOS ANJOS(0) - GLEISON TIBAU(1)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 05:15 PM	MU	[24538] MICHAEL MCDONALD PK-400 (ALEX SOTO vrs MICHAEL MCDONALD) Score: ALEX SOTO(0) - MICHAEL MCDONALD(1)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 03:25 PM	MU	[24541] SETH BACZYNSKI PK+118 (SETH BACZYNSKI vrs MATT BROWN) Score: SETH BACZYNSKI(1) - MATT BROWN(0)	WIN
11/19/2011 - 02:55 PM	MU	[24546] DANNY CASTILLO PK-345 (SHAMAR BAILEY vrs DANNY CASTILLO) Score: SHAMAR BAILEY(0) - DANNY CASTILLO(1)	WIN

[MMA_scientist]

^^ is that yours?

Those near misses are what keeps me going back to those lottery parlays. I like them though, since I started doing them, it definitely keeps me from betting stuff just to bet it. I look at them as just fun action, I haven't hit anything big yet. I hit several +300 to +500 like the one above... but I am yet to hit a big one like that one you posted.