I'm thinking of Rivera here. I'm starting to think a bet for over 2.5 rounds is a good one too.
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Starting points:
Mike Easton: BJJ bb under Llyod Irvin, wins over John Dodson and Chase Beebe (both split).
Jared Papazian: Trains with Gokor and Manvel. Best win is over Abel Cullem.
Just on style and record, I would lean Easton. Need to look at it once the line comes out.
Khabib Nurma..whatever: Combat Sambo world champion. 16-0. 6 by KO, 6 by sub, 4 decisions. Might be worth a play against Shalorus as a good sized dog. Going to look for some video on him.
Tommy Hayden: late replacement, looks like a solid regional fighter type, fighting out of Jorge Gurgel's camp. he is probably in over his head with Camoes. Going to look into this one further too if Camoes doesn't open too steep.
Pineda: anotehr regional type guy. Purple belt in BJJ. Win over Frank Gomez and 1-1 with Johnny Bedford.
Pat Schilling: Looks like a mid level wrestler with some submission skills. Finished all 5 of his fights in the first round with a variety of subs. But his competition is so weak that it is impossible to draw any conclusions (his last win was over an 0-7 guy). Probably can't bet this, but I would bet Pineda if he is a dog, just based on competition.
Nick Denis: another well rounded type with no real dominant skill. He has been in there with some good guys including Marlon Sandro, but he got KO's in 19 seconds.
Sandoval fought in the UFC and lost to Walel Watson (that tall guy). Again, nothing really stands out about him... another toss up between midlevel guys that will be out of the UFC shortly.
Recap: look at the russian sambo guy, Mike Easton, and Tommy Hayden.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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^^ good to know. Easton's takedown defense is not that great and apparently, he likes giving up his back. But Beebe couldn't submit him.
Easton vs. Dodson:
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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he was able to stuff Dodson, and win with striking. Dodson did take him down off a kick in rd 2, and he immediately gave his back to stand. he seems to want to stand but can defend himself on the ground. Dodson got him down in rd 3 too, he went to guard and went for a leg lock. I don't know, his striking is definitely better than average. He knows it is better to standup in MMA than play guard, which is good. I need to check out his opponent's takedowns though. He throws a lot of kicks.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Looked at Papzian. Easton is going to win that. His takedowns are notthat good and he has a brawling style standing. He really doesn't even look that strongon the ground... looks like he wins by keeping a high pace with a lot of pressure.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Not really like much on this card besides Brenneman, who I will take to -400. Maybe a small play on Barry -150 or better, maybe a small play on Schafer. Most likey Brenneman will be my only play for a couple units.Comment
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