Saturday 5/10/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2025, 12:32 PM

Scott Shapiro: Saturday's Hit & Split Pick 5 from Belmont at

May 8, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

There may not be a Triple Crown race this Saturday, but the quality of action in New York is strong nonetheless. The 11-race card at the Big A is headlined by the Ruffian (G2) and the Peter Pan (G3) and offers several strong wagering opportunities to horseplayers throughout the afternoon. In addition to the normal options, Xpressbet and 1/ST BET customers who opt in to the promotion, will split their share of 1 million 1/ST Rewards Points up for grabs if they can correctly connect on the late Pick 5. The sequence kicks off in Race 7 with the John A. Nerud (G3) and has four total stakes races. Let’s get to it.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 7: John A. Nerud (G3)
Grade: C
Main Ticket: 2 Silver Slugger; 1 Full Moon Madness
Backups: 3 Whatchatalkinabout

Forecast: I struggled coming up with a strong opinion in this 6-furlong affair for 4YOs and up over the main track. 3 of the 6 entrants appear extremely up against it on the Win end though, so at least it narrows things down horizontally.

#2 Silver Slugger gets a major class test after rattling off 3 wins this summer at Tampa Bay Downs. He is 6 for 8 over his career, but has earned less than $85k heading into his New York City debut. Despite the lack of quality competition kept of late, the Cairo Prince gelding comes into his first graded stakes try in great form and has clearly shown a desire to win thus far. #1 Full Moon Madness is obvious, but I wonder if he is ready to bounce back yet off of the monster effort two-back in the Tom Fool (G3). He got caught up in a battle late out in the Carter (G2), so I can forgive that off the board run, but he will have to likely work throughout once again from his inside draw.

Race 8:
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 1 Activist Investing
Backups: None

Forecast: #1 Activist Investing has only raced once since last September, but it was a strong runner-up effort at Gulfstream Park when he was caught wide throughout and still missed by less than a length. The son of Kingman has proven form over this course, draws favorably to the inside, and should out finish this field under Irad Ortiz Jr.

Race 9: Take the A Train
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4 Love Cervere; 9 Serving Time
Backups: 6 Annascaul

Forecast: Christophe Clement holds a strong hand in this sprint for 3YO fillies over the outer turf. #6 Annascual ran well in both of her one-turn races as a 2YO and attracts Irad Ortiz for the first time, so she is certainly capable of running this group down in the lane, but I prefer #4 Love Cervere. The daughter of Into Mischief was impressive over this course and distance on debut before trying a pair of two-turn races at Gulfstream Park. She performed quite well losing to the extremely talented Nitrogen in the Ginger Brew, but was forced to miss some time before returning in the Sanibel Island in late March. She was never comfortable that day and got caught in a blind switch, but should be ready for her best on Saturday.

#9 Serving Time has also been really good in her sprints for Cherie DeVaux. The daughter of Without Parole broke her maiden early in the Fair Grounds meet and then ran much better than looks in her win in late December. She was blocked through much of the stretch drive, but somehow found room and finished well from there. She is in with a big shot to make it 3 wins in a row.

Race 10: Ruffian (G2)
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 10 My Mane Squeeze
Backups: None

Forecast: #10 My Mane Squeeze opted to run in this Grade 2 at one-mile instead of taking on Grade 1 competition last Saturday in the Derby City Distaff (G2). I thought the NY-bred had a shot in Louisville, so it stands to reason I like her chances quite a bit on Saturday. The Mike Maker trainee made her first start since October last month in the Madison (G1) at Keeneland where she finished a third despite being caught wide over a surface that favored the rail. She gets some class relief here and looks tough to deny in her second try off the bench.

Race 11: Peter Pan (G3)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 1 Vassimo; 6 Uncaged
Backups: None

Forecast: The sequence concludes with this 9-furlong affair that functions as the local prep for next month’s Belmont Stakes (G1). Obviously, this year they will not be held at the same venue, but historically there has been some success with horses winning the Peter Pan and Belmont in succession. Todd Pletcher is hopeful that is the case this year because he has a strong 1-2-punch with #1 Vassimo and #6 Uncaged. In a vaccum, these horses may not stand out over their competition, but they should have a pace advantage on Saturday given the likely race shape.

#6 Uncaged was not out of the gate well last out, but assuming a clean break it seems likely jockey Kendrick Carmouche tries to take advantage of the lack of early speed. He has had things favorably in both career wins, but may once again in his first graded stakes start. #1 Vassimo is more battle tested, but failed to hit the board in his two starts against serious competition in Louisiana. He clearly is still learning the game, but has ability and should be much closer to the early pace in this one given the lack of speed and his rail draw. In Todd We Trust to close this out!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2025, 12:33 PM

Race of the Week: Ruffian from Belmont at the Big A | Saturday

May 8, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Since moving to a 1-turn mile trip in 2013, the Ruffian has enjoyed quite a run of winners. Names like Monomoy Girl, Search Results and Cavorting dot the landscape, not to mention Wedding Toast - who last week became a Kentucky Oaks-winning dam when her unbeaten Good Cheer secured the lilies. The Grade 2 $200,000 event returns Saturday as Race 10 on a multi-stakes card at the Big A that includes the Peter Pan for Belmont Stakes prospects.

Field Depth:
GUN SONG and MY MANE SQUEEZE are Grade 2 winners and both Grade 1-placed. DAZZLING MOVE is a Grade 3 winner. JODY'S PRIDE and MORNING MATCHA own Grade 1 placings. STERLING SILVER is multiple Grade 2-placed. MY MANE SQUEEZE, GUN SONG and JODY'S PRIDE have held the strongest company lines over time.

Pace:
Rail-drawn TAKETHEMONEYHONEY will be hustling, along with HERE'S THE KICKER and DAZZLING MOVE. Don't expect GUN SONG to be far off any pace at any distance. This should be an above-average tempo.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-TAKETHEMONEYHONEY: Just a nose shy of being 4-for-4, this Maryland-bred based out of Parx makes her stakes debut. Lone defeat came in her only Aqueduct venture so far, outdueled by Ruffian return rival Catherine Wheel in a March 15 allowance over this same distance.

#2-MORNING MATCHA: Parx-based veteran makes her 9th trip to the Big A, winning just once in the 2023 New York Stallion Series. The $1 million earner, now age 6, makes her second start off a 6-month layoff. Paco Lopez rides for trainer Butch Reid.

#3-CATHERINE WHEEL: $725,000 Into Mischief filly gets her first graded stakes test following a third-place listed stakes try in Laurel's Heavenly Cause. Two-time Ruffian-winning trainer Chad Brown turns the reins to Flavien Prat for the first time. Filly is 2-for-2 at the Ruffian distance at Aqueduct, including a nose allowance win March 15 over re-matched rival Takethemoneyhoney.

#4-STERLING SILVER: Trainer Bill Mott looks to add to his Kentucky Derby success last week with Sovereignty when sending this 6-year-old millionaire into open company. She's been strong against New York-breds, including a win April 6 in her 2025 return race in the Biogio's Rose over this same track/distance. Mott won this race in 1984 with Heatherten.

#5-HERE'S THE KICKER: Wire-to-wire Gulfstream allowance winner when last seen March 8 for Saffie Joseph Jr., who trained last year's Ruffian winner Soul of an Angel. Liam's Map filly has yet to try a stakes and will be making her first start outside Florida. Ricardo Santana has the mount for the first time.

#6-DAZZLING MOVE: Trainer Saffie Joseph's more experienced of entrants in the Ruffian compared to Here's the Kicker as the trainer looks for back-to-back wins in this race. Well-traveled daughter of Not This Time won the Grade 3 Royal Delta at Gulfstream in February in her first start since transferring from Mike Trombetta's barn. Faded late in the Grade 1 Madison last out when 24-1 odds but fits better here under Irad Ortiz Jr.

#7-CLARET BERET: Oaklawn allowance winner has changed locales from Greg Compton's outfit to Saffie Joseph Jr. since last racing in March. Cross-entered Sunday at Gulfstream in an overnight handicap. Daughter of Not This Time has yet to test the stakes waters while winning 4 of 11 starts.

#8-JODY'S PRIDE: The 2023 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies runner-up comes in with a 4-race losing streak soiling her flashy past form. Dull fifth to Thorpedo Anna et al in the Grade 2 Azeri at Oaklawn in March. But her 1-turn form is exceptional (4: 3-0-1), including a narrow third in the Grade 2 Inside Information at Gulfstream in January. Joel Rosario rides for Jorge Abreu.

#9-GUN SONG: Classy filly was among the top sophomores of her class in 2024, but has only 1 start this year against elders -- a disappointing third as the 4-5 favorite in a March 13 Gulfstream allowance mile. Regular rider John Velazquez returns aboard this daughter Gun Runner for trainer Mark Hennig. Her morning workout tab indicates a move forward could be imminent.

#10-MY MANE SQUEEZE: Mike Maker trainee opened her 4-year-old season with a promising third-place finish in Keeneland's Grade 1 Madison Stakes (her first test vs. elders). The New York-bred rattled off a trio of restricted stakes wins at Aqueduct early in her career but has more than accounted for herself in open company, winning the Grade 2 Eight Belles and Grade 3 Dogwood, both at Churchill Downs. The one to beat under Manny Franco.

#11-HEADLINE NUMBERS: Aqueduct's Top Flight winner over 1-1/8 miles cuts back the trip to the 1-turn mile in which she debuted a winner locally last July 24. Trainer Chad Brown has a pair of Ruffian trophies in his case and turns to Dylan Davis once again on this Gun Runner filly.

Most Likely Exotics Contender:
MY MANE SQUEEZE is 13-for-14 in the superfecta lifetime and should get a good pace set-up while owning a sharp record over the track and distance.

Best Longshot Contender:
JODY'S PRIDE is a much better filly around 1 turn than 2 based on her form and can rebound here.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$80 win MY MANE SQUEEZE. $10 exacta part-wheel MY MANE SQUEEZE over JODY'S PRIDE, DAZZLING MOVE ($20).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:20 AM

Scott Shapiro: Churchill Saturday Spot Plays | May 10, 2025

May 10, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

They are back at it this afternoon at Churchill Downs for an 11-race card that certainly pales in comparison to last week’s slate, but still offers plenty of quality wagering opportunities nonetheless. Hopefully, we can get a couple of these spot plays home over the back half of the card in Louisville and take advantage of the late Pick 5 Hit/Split at Aqueduct before the sun falls once again.

Race 7

Trainer Eddie Kenneally is off to a strong start to the spring meet having won with 3 of his 7 starters heading into Saturday afternoon. The veteran conditioner has a big chance to bag another victory with class dropper #7 Venik. The son of Maclean’s Music got off to a slow start in his debut in March at Colonial Downs and did not do much running from there, but that came against tougher company than he encounters today. The same is true of his race at Keeneland against high-level maiden claimers when he was down on the rail battling early over a racetrack that favored outside runners.

When Kenneally gets hot, he can keep it going for a couple of weeks without question. The move to the outside draw and decrease in competition hopefully lead him and Ben Curtis to the winner’s circle to kick off the late Pick 5.

Play: #7 Venik (8-1 ML)

Race 8:

Joe Sharp is not as hot as Eddie Kenneally over the first several days of the Churchill meet, but he has been on a roll since the calendar flipped to 2025. Sharp is clicking at 26% on the year with over 200 starters and two of those wins came in New Orleans from #5 St. Armands Key. The son of Lost Treasure was the recipient of two really good trips at Fair Grounds, but should get another one today in a race that is void of serious early zip. Jaime Torres is the one likely to take advantage. This 4YO gelding should be primed for a big effort regardless in his third start off the bench, but a pace advantage will make him that much tougher to get by.

Play: #5 St. Armands Key (4-1 ML)

Race 10: Mamzelle (G3)

In a day full of turf sprint stakes across the country, this 5.5-furlong dash for 3YO fillies offers up one of the best wagering opportunities. At least, if you are hoping to beat the top two finishers from last month’s Limestone. In that race over the good going, it was 5-2-ML favorite #9 Shisospicy going gate-to-wire with #6 Dreamaway following her around the Keeneland lawn. I am hopeful the race plays out differently today given some other speeds drawn to the outside.

#4 Kilwin was bet hard in the aforementioned Limestone, but was caught wide throughout in her first start since the Breeders’ Cup. The Twirling Candy filly won her first two starts sprinting on the grass as a 2YO for a barn that rarely cranks their runners up at first or second asking proving there is clearly talent there. She moves inside this afternoon, has a start under her belt this year, and should offer far better value than she did last month.

Play: #4 Kilwin (8-1 ML)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:23 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/10/25

May 10, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Saturday, May 10, 2025
Santa Anita Park

Note: $67,674 carryover pick 6 begins Saturday in Race 4.

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 7-Corporal Violette (Ire); 2-Free and Humble; 6-Idessia.
Backups: 1-Monjica (Fr).

Forecast: Tough opener, so let’s spread and hope for a price. Corporal Violette (Ire) is probably better than her 10-1 morning line based on her recent speed figures facing tougher foes, and from her outside draw the Irish-bred-bred mare projects to enjoy a comfortable stalking trip and have every chance to at least outrun her odds. Free and Humble likes the local lawn and can fire a big shot if held up early and allowed to run late. Idessia tries an easier gang in her second off a layoff and should be heard from late.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1-Fast Service; 7-Hermelinda’s Fancy.
Backups: 3-Bronko Nagurski.

Forecast: Fast Service turns back to a sprint, and with clear sailing and some help up front could tag the speed close home. Hermelinda’s Fancy returns to his claim level and is guaranteed a soft stalking/pressing trip outside.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Jaguar Jon; 5-Lead Pipe Joe.
Backups: none.

Forecast: We loved the way Jaguar Jon won his debut and believe he’s better than his so-so speed figure gives him credit for. Guess we’ll find out today. Lead Pipe Joe is a clear leader on numbers and is the logical favorite and one to beat.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6-Full Moon Graze; 2-Sand to Sea
Backups: none.

Forecast: Full Moon Graze is realistically spotted and remains above her claim level, so there’s much to like about the daughter of Grazen. Her best race is good enough, assuming she can handle the stretch out in trip, which we believe she can. Sand to Sea shows up in a seller for the first time and clearly has found her friends. Look for her to be on or near the lead throughout.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Bran (Fr); 3-Air Force Red.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Bran can fire fresh and loves this turf course. The French-bred gelding should be able to produce a winning late kick. Air Force Red is a tough-as-nails turf sprinter and a six time winner over the Santa Anita turf course. If you make a mistake, he’ll beat you.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 3-Sierra Silver; 4-Cheever.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Sierra Silver has the benefit of a prior run in what was a fast highly-rated a productive race. He should be a short price, as many second-time Baffert entrants are. Cheever has done some good work in the morning for M. Glatt and looks like a live item. Toss him in somewhere for protection.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 9-Lovin On the Run; 5-Miss Meagher (Ire).
Backups: 4-Petite Treat.

Forecast: Lovin’ On the Run seems fairly solid in this restricted turf sprint for fillies and mares. The class drop is warranted and from where she’s drawn the C. Gaines-trained mare should fold over into an ideal second flight, stalking spot and have every chance from there. Miss Meagher (Ire) shows up in a claimer and could easily be a better type this time around at this level for P. D’Amato. We have a hunch she’ll be most comfortable under these conditions as a late running sprinter.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 7-Divine Rascal; 3-My Bucket List.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Divine Rascal is a two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track and should be capable of wearing down this modest group close home. My Bucket List got tagged late after striking the front in a tough beat facing similar here last month. If he can turn in two like, he’ll be tough, though reliability has never been his strong suite.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 9-Nikolina; 5-Donttellourwives
Backups: none.

Forecast: Nikolina just missed at 4/5 in a similar affair in a tough beat. Nothing much more should be needed today, though there won’t be much value available. Donttellourwives is competitive on figures and won’t have to improve much to be a serious challenger after finishing a close third in the same race the favorite exits.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:23 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 10, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)

3-Eveninstarzrapsody (8-1)-Drops to a competitive level, and has the gate speed to race near the top of the stack.
Will look for a dry track and should be a large price.
5-Magical Mistress (3-1)-The last 2 efforts have been good and was racing in the slop on 5-3. Kody Massey makes his 2nd straight appearance and could go off at a better price than the morning line.
6-Ashlee's Amanda (5-1)-Returns from Hoosier where the going was tough in the last 2 starts. Was facing Open company when last here. Drops to a soft spot and with a good trip could take picture but the morning line price seems high.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)

1-Race Day (4-1)-Comes off a dull start but that was in the slop and will toss. Has the gate speed to get a pocket ride and looks like a suck-around win candidate at a solid price.
3-Vehement (7/5)-This a player with a smooth trip but there are question marks. Hasn't shown big gate speed but tonight AMac could look to get on the engine. Should be in the hunt at the wire with a small price.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EDT)

3-So Stacked (6-1)-Has drawn the rail and post 7 two times each in the last 4 starts. But the track has been sloppy when getting the rail, and is 0-16 on an off-track. Will look for a big try from the inside and hope the track is fast.
5-Rockadella (3-1)-Raced wide in last on a sloppy track and this is another who hasn't won on a wet surface 0-15. The 0-11 record this year is cause for pause but had some excuses. Should be in line for a picture with a smooth trip.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EDT)

1-Native Currancy (5/2)-Came with a strong effort after winning and stepping up to face this kind. Has been camera shy but should be no worse than in 2-hole off the gate, and may have met a beatable field.
3-Crytel Shadow (9/2)If Mario Wilson can work an efficient trip this mare could be posing. Has been trying hard in the last 4 races. Might be overlooked and could reward backers with a solid mutuel.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

3,5,6/1,3/3,5/1,3
Total Bet=$24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:24 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3

#2 Jaguar Jon	He drilled a cheap group at first asking and should be in line for a great trip while tracking a couple quicker players early. Enough to like if he can move forward here.
#5 Lead Pipe Joe	His graduation run is almost a carbon copy of the top choice's -- it just came for four times the price. He'll go here off the claim as the one to beat after scoring at that level with style.
#1 Mr. Macchupichu	His overall form is reliable enough and fits well here, but I worry about him getting a tricky trip from the fence. One of the ones.
Race Summary	Jaguar Jon was sharp here a couple weeks back when shadowing the pace before drawing clear. Something similar keeps him in the picture again today.

Santa Anita - Race #4

#1 Memosis	Think she was supposed to bring something better last time out, but that race was better than the one she lands in today, and I don't think there's anything quite like the winner of his last lined up here.
#2 Sand to Sea	There are a handful of races on the page that would probably make short work of these, but her overall dirt form is a question mark right now. Will be relying on class right now.
#6 Full Moon Grazen	I expected something better from her last time out despite the 26/1 price, but maybe the class drop today gives her some chance to wake up and get back to the form that landed her a couple wins here earlier this year.
Race Summary	Memosis can be tough today with a bounceback effort after the dull try with better. The two-back run stacks up well here if she can get back to it.

Santa Anita - Race #7

#1 Misty Muppet	She's not the most likely winner in here, but I like that she moves back to the grass off the claim -- that September turf try is tucked a few starts back, and something like that might play well enough here. Decent price against some dropping types.
#5 Miss Meagher	Nothing to write home about in the two starts in the States last year, but she's back against this cheaper crew and might be more reasonably spotted while racing fresh today. Would want her on the tickets -- expecting better.
#9 Lovin' On the Run	She has been trying better spots, and she might be in line for an OK kind of outside tracking trip, but I'm not that enthusiastic about her overall form right now.
Race Summary	Misty Muppet has some appeal while getting back over to the turf, and she might be able to flash some tactical pace from the fence to find a good spot near the pace throughout.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:25 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #2

#5 GET OUT THE VOTE (8-1)	Faded in return against 1-to-5 winner, fits well off prior numbers.
#7 HOULIHAN (5-2)	‘Kept finding more’ in near miss at 7F, can control pace throughout at 6F today.
#3 HYPER HOLIDAY (3-1)	Rallied past ‘Vote’ to finish second in her seasonal debut.
Race Summary	GET OUT THE VOTE tracked an early duel in third, ranged up a bit for the stretch drive but gave way as the 1-to-5 winner kicked away. She should move forward in his second start after five months away and can spring an upset if she does. Bet to win and place and play a 5-7 exacta box.

Woodbine - Race #3

#4 HOODLESS (7-5)	True colors showed in second start, wears hood, strictly one to beat.
#1 SERIOUS GREEN (3-1)	Bumped in last three starts at this level, begins 3yo campaign.
#2 THE FIERY ONE (7-2)	Starts fresh, gets in light-weighted, changes surfaces for hot barn.
Race Summary	HOODLESS emerged on the turn to duel for the lead and got caught by the favorite when last seen in December. She breezed 4F in :48 for her seasonal debut, now gets second-time Lasix and adds blinkers. Make a flat win bet and play 4-1 and 4-2 exactas.

Woodbine - Race #4

#7 READY TO COLLECT (6-1)	Can make good use of his speed from the outside if he averts troubled start.
#4 GLASWEIGIAN (2-1)	Rallied 4-wide, ran second in the same spot in race dominated by closers.
#3 WILDFIRE (3-1)	Vied 4-wide for the lead at quarter pole, settled for second behind late runner.
Race Summary	READY TO COLLECT drew clear to break his maiden with first-time Lasix, but he was plagued by troubled starts in a pair of fall sprints for a claiming tag. He advanced 4-wide on the turn when last seen in October, only to flatten out in the stretch. Bet to win and place and play 7-3 and 7-4 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:25 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
PURCHASE

Hastings - Race 3	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 4 (Races 3-4-5-6) / Daily Double
Claiming $6,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $11,500 • Post: 3:30P
(PLUS UP TO $2,875 THRIF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 10 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $4,000 2 LBS. NW 2 WILL HAVE A BASE WEIGHT OF 118LBS AND WILL BE WAIVER PROTECTED. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BAKBURNER is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BAKBURNER: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. FOOTHILLS BLVD.: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer 's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts af ter a long layoff.
4	BAKBURNER	8/5	5/2
1	FOOTHILLS BLVD.	3/1	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	BAKBURNER	4	8/5	Front-runner	72	61	94.2	64.6	62.1
1	FOOTHILLS BLVD.	1	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	69	61	78.8	60.8	57.8
2	PETERSON LANDING	2	4/1	Trailer	57	58	49.0	55.2	49.7
3	I'M ALL SHOOK UP	3	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	61	60	60.6	52.8	44.8
5	ISLAND LIVING	5	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	58	57.6	54.8	48.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:25 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
PURCHASE

Fairmount Park - Race 4	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 4-5) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) .10 Cent Superfecta
Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:36P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SEMINOLE BEACH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. S ANTINO'S FANTASY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RACE DRIVER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. STUD LOVIN: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. XPRESSIR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	SEMINOLE BEACH	10/1	5/1
4	SANTINO'S FANTASY	6/1	6/1
7	RACE DRIVER	7/2	8/1
8	STUD LOVIN	9/2	9/1
6	XPRESSIR	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	RACE DRIVER	7	7/2	Front-runner	87	70	87.6	69.0	64.5
6	XPRESSIR	6	5/2	Front-runner	77	80	86.6	65.8	54.8
9	SPANISH DOUBLOON	9	15/1	Front-runner	82	78	84.6	62.6	49.6
8	STUD LOVIN	8	9/2	Front-runner	75	80	78.0	72.1	61.6
1	KHOZAN'S VALENTINE	1	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	73	68.6	75.8	66.8
4	SANTINO'S FANTASY	4	6/1	Stalker	86	81	60.2	75.0	67.5
3	COMFORT ME NOW	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	83	76	45.7	71.9	62.9
2	SEMINOLE BEACH	2	10/1	Trailer	90	75	42.6	73.4	68.4
5	MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE	5	12/1	Trailer	80	74	12.7	62.6	47.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:26 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Stakes - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 88

LONG BRANCH S. MTH - R9 - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH, WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $1,000 TO START. THE OWNER OF THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $60,000, $20,000 TO SECOND, $10,000 TO THIRD, $5,000 TO FOURTH, $3,000 TO FIFTH AND $2,000 TO SIXTH THROUGH LAST. WEIGHT: 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES IN 2025

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BABY DUKES 6/1
# 7 KENTUCKY OUTLAW 3/1
# 3 LORDSHIP 4/1

BABY DUKES looks formidable to best this field. Ruiz ought to be able to get this gelding to break out early for this event. KENTUCKY OUTLAW - Has respectable speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Tough to pass on this colt with Lopez in the irons. LORDSHIP - This colt obviously likes the distance, going 1 for 1 in his races recently. Must be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:26 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Monmouth Park - Race #10 - Post: 5:21pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,500 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#4 MINE SEEKER (ML=6/1)
#1 LOCK BARREL (ML=8/1)

MINE SEEKER - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. LOCK BARREL - Many positive 'vibes' associated with this racer and his connections.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 EMIRATES HONOR (ML=2/1), #2 BLUE MARBLE (ML=3/1), #7 MANO E MANO (ML=9/2),

EMIRATES HONOR - Don't think that this gelding has value at 2/1 today. BLUE MARBLE - I find it hard to wager on any racer in a short distance race if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple months. MANO E MANO - Awfully tough to wager on this steed when he hasn't been showing any signs of life recently. Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 MINE SEEKER is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:29 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Coast To Coast

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 91

SA - R8 - RACE 8 FROM SANTA ANITA. FOR RESTRICTED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD BASED IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SINCE JANUARY 1, 2024 OR HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $6,250 OR LESS IN ONE OF THEIR LAST TWO STARTS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 MY BUCKET LIST 3/1
# 10 BOBBY'S ALIBI 8/1
# 5 GOLF DRAMA 9/2

MY BUCKET LIST looks to be a formidable contender. Could provide positive gains based on formidable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 82. Ought to be considered - I like the numbers from the last affair. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class numbers of this field. BOBBY'S ALIBI - Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. With a solid 76 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. GOLF DRAMA - Had one of the most respectable Speed Figures of this field in his last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-10-2025, 10:29 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 4:16pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $65,700 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#1 LEMONCELLA SPRITZ (ML=7/2)

LEMONCELLA SPRITZ - Great chance for this steed. Big late speed and should have good position. The 68 last race speed rating looks strong on paper. Lower weight carried of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this filly falls into this category.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BRIGHT SUNSHINE (ML=2/1), #7 BOLD RIPASSO (ML=5/2), #2 PAT'S HOLIDAY (ML=5/1),

BRIGHT SUNSHINE - 2/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when examining the most recent outings. Tough to invest in any horse in a sprint race at 2/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last 60 days. Not probable that the speed figure she notched on Dec 7th will be enough in this race. BOLD RIPASSO - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance events in order to support her. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a vulnerable competitor. PAT'S HOLIDAY - The Brain tells me to keep away from ponies in short distance races that haven't finished in the money in sprint contests recently. The speed fig last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this animal as a possibly overvalued contestant.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 LEMONCELLA SPRITZ is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 8
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None