Wednesday 5/21/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359147

    Wednesday 5/21/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359147

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Presque Isle Downs - Race #5
    #7 Foxxy Cleopatra She's obviously got some issues -- she's got a couple long layoff lines and is making just her fourth lifetime start in a career that opened with a score here in June 2023. That said, she should trip out from this draw while forcing the issue and seems a good fit with her best.
    #1 Mitole Magic Bit worried that she'll get a tricky trip from the inside here, but she ran well in a couple starts for this team here late last season and can play with these if she's ready to fire fresh.
    #2 Heart Her form is pretty honest, and she has enough positional pace to sit close early. Mild worry about the price, but she seems like one of the ones.
    Race Summary Foxxy Cleopatra returns from an April 2024 layoff while dropping out of stakes company, and she should get a great run of things while getting back to a surface over which she graduated at first asking.
    Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
    #5 Kotylos He was pretty good here last year and gets a little bit of class relief out of a tough turf spot at Tampa last out. Second off the break while returning to his favorite spot -- lots to like.
    #4 Impacto Think he's the one to beat with some really honest spying form, but he's at least a little question mark over the local footing. Wouldn't argue with you here.
    #6 Goodie Goomer He won the Mile here a couple seasons back and has done a lot of good work going long -- but he scored going short off the bench here last season and isn't out of the question.
    Race Summary Kotylos brings some dull recent form, but he can wake up today while getting back to the scene of all his best efforts. Toss the turf tune up.
    Presque Isle Downs - Race #8
    #5 Nun Gimel Hey Po Nothing much from her through two starts, but she gets into an easier spot today while bringing some potential pace in a race without much speed.
    #7 Dorotea Dream Dropper looks solid after a good run with better last time out, but I could see her getting past most of them and still settling underneath again. In the mix.
    #8 Haut Les Coeurs Turfway form seems competitive here, and I like that her form woke up a bit once she got into a similar kind of spot on synthetic footing. Dangerous.
    Race Summary Nun Gimel Hey Po has a little bit of pace that could set her on the front end, and a soft lead up the backstretch could make her tough to reel in.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359147

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Delaware Park - Race #1
      #2 LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE (6-1) Record uninspiring, but pace controlling role at a decent price is.
      #1 INDULGE (9-5) Returns from Tampa, break in conditions clearly makes him the one to beat.
      #8 BIRD KING (5-1) Just missed in slow-paced route at Charles Town in seasonal debut.
      Race Summary LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE lands in an ideal spot for his seasonal debut. He’s 3-43 overall and 1-25 at today’s distance, but he can control the pace off a recent 1:00-2/5 workout at Delaware. He was last seen in the fall chasing hard-hitting Flat Lucky (15-68, $433k) and he finished second in a five-horse field. Bet to win and place and play 2-7 and 1-7 daily doubles.
      Delaware Park - Race #2
      #7 RITABOOK (9-2) Can maximize her speed in repeat bid going a route of ground.
      #2 VODKATINI (6-1) Finished second in her last three starter allowance routes.
      #5 RAW POWER (8-5) New York invader is proven miler at $10k level but will be underlay.
      Race Summary RITABOOK could return a quick claim dividend as she seeks her third win since March 12. She set the pace in a longer route race at Tampa last out while in-hand, came under a drive on the turn and kept the pursuing favorite in the rearview mirror. Bet to win and place and play a 7-ALL exacta.
      Delaware Park - Race #8
      #5 SWAY’SINMYDNA (9-5) Troubled starts an issue, looms forward threat with clean break in return.
      #1 TYCOON MOGUL (3-2) Take the plunge for Ness, sheds 3 pounds, offers little value.
      #3 SINCERITO (10-1) Finished in photo finishes three times with apprentice riders at Tampa.
      Race Summary SWAY’SINMYDNA gets class relief for his first start as a 5-year-old. He finished a close-up second in three consecutive 6F sprints for higher claiming prices to begin the summer last year. His 1-for-22 record is offset by his opponents’ 1-for-41 mark at this distance. Bet to win and place and play 5-1 and 5-3 exactas.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359147

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park
        PURCHASE
        Delaware Park - Race 5 $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $1 Double / .50 Pick 3 .50 LATE Pick 4
        Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 110 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 2:31P
        (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 21, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 21, 2025 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR STATE BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SPIKEZONE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SPIKEZONE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster P ower Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SUNNY BREEZE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last s even days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
        7 SPIKEZONE 6/5 5/2
        2 SUNNY BREEZE 4/1 7/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        7 SPIKEZONE 7 6/5 Front-runner 112 111 99.8 103.6 101.6
        3 ALTOBELLI 3 15/1 Front-runner 87 89 99.4 83.0 73.5
        2 SUNNY BREEZE 2 4/1 Front-runner 102 98 90.0 98.6 89.6
        1 SHAFT'S BULLET 1 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 111 104 60.5 90.3 83.3
        5 RUNAWAY JACK 5 15/1 Trailer 105 106 35.8 86.2 79.2
        6 COPPER TAX 6 2/1 Trailer 103 99 0.0 0.0 0.0
        4 SHAKE EM LOOSE 4 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 104 103 0.0 0.0 0.0
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359147

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
          PURCHASE
          Special Wager - Race 2 Leg 2 of the Horseshoe Turf Pick 3
          Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 72 • Purse: $23,800 • Post: 5:16P
          IND - R7 - (RAIL AT 36 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (INDIANA BRED MAIDEN AND LIFETIME CONDITIONAL RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TIDAL TACTICS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CASTAGNA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SILENT REVENGE: Horse's average winning distance is wi thin half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). CAN'T STOP STARING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          11 TIDAL TACTICS 15/1 5/1
          2 CASTAGNA 5/1 6/1
          3 SILENT REVENGE 3/1 7/1
          8 CAN'T STOP STARING 6/1 7/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          4 SWEET DAYDREAM 4 30/1 Front-runner 68 74 91.3 63.9 40.4
          15 EASTERN SUNRISE 15 10/1 Front-runner 70 69 77.7 67.3 47.3
          9 MO ICE FORTHE LADY 9 15/1 Front-runner 74 61 76.8 44.6 27.6
          13 TEXAS HOTTIE 13 30/1 Front-runner 59 57 73.0 73.0 49.5
          2 CASTAGNA 2 5/1 Front-runner 87 90 69.2 71.1 66.6
          1 PRETTYONTHEPRARIE 1 30/1 Front-runner 60 57 68.4 44.0 19.0
          14 BEADED 14 15/1 Alternator/Front-runner 71 68 68.5 46.8 32.8
          6 STUPENDOUS 6 15/1 Stalker 75 76 80.2 72.4 59.9
          12 BINGO BABY 12 12/1 Stalker 58 56 70.2 52.9 36.9
          11 TIDAL TACTICS 11 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 79 75 82.8 78.2 68.7
          7 BONITA SONG 7 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 62 59 62.6 60.1 44.1
          5 SWEET ENCHANTMENT 5 4/1 Trailer 74 75 67.3 72.1 56.6
          8 CAN'T STOP STARING 8 6/1 Trailer 79 72 63.5 73.0 65.5
          3 SILENT REVENGE 3 3/1 Trailer 82 81 54.2 70.2 59.7
          10 LA ORGULLOSA 10 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 58 50 31.3 31.3 10.3
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359147

            #6

            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE





            Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 6:39pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 72

            Rating:

            #7 DOROTEA DREAM (ML=7/2)
            #8 HAUT LES COEURS (ML=5/2)


            DOROTEA DREAM - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This filly's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. If the speed horses get weary, this filly will kick into high gear. This filly is probably the best stretch runner in the field. This filly is in top form right now. Ended up third last time around the track and comes back soon. Have to forget about that last grass race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt right here in this race. PP lines show this racer with three improving speed figures. Rodriguez should be on a live one in this field. HAUT LES COEURS - Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the form to make her presence felt. This filly is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 58, 62, 73 last 3 out.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NUN GIMEL HAY PO (ML=5/1), #6 DRINK DEEPLY (ML=5/1), #2 BAYTOWN STORM (ML=6/1),

            NUN GIMEL HAY PO - Recorded a run-of-the-mill speed figure last time around the track in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on May 3rd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. DRINK DEEPLY - Just can't invest in this racer. Didn't show me anything positive last time out or on Mar 2nd. BAYTOWN STORM - This animal doesn't have a conquering spirit. Repeatedly finishes close, but no cigar. Finished third in her most recent effort with a common speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.

            GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HAUT LES COEURS - I start with the top class horse in the field then work my way down. This one's got the top earnings per start. No need to look further.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #7 DOROTEA DREAM on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,8]
            TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359147

              #7

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 83

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 1 DOC HIGGINS 8/5
              # 6 CONFUCIUS 3/1
              # 2 LIL SWEET THANG 5/1
              DOC HIGGINS looks to be a very strong contender. This gelding with Thornton in the saddle makes him a solid contender. Posted a quite good speed fig last time out. Should best this group of horses here, showing quite good numbers of late. CONFUCIUS - Could best this field here, showing respectable figures of late. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. LIL SWEET THANG - Should best this field here, showing quite good numbers of late. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this group of animals.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359147

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 10 - SO - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 87

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. OR THREE YEARS OLD CLAIMING $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 HORSES IN FOR THE CLAIMING PRICE ALLOWED 5 LBS.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 FREAKAZOID 6/1
                # 5 NEVER SAY NEVER 6/1
                # 8 GAMETIME GLADIATOR 3/1
                FREAKAZOID is the most respectable wager in this race. Hernandez has a winning percentage of 27 over the last 30 days. Is a contender - given the 75 speed rating from his most recent race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this horse look very good in this affair. NEVER SAY NEVER - Must be carefully examined here if only for the respectable Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last competition. Has to be considered against this field displaying decent figs recently and an average speed rating of 74 under similar conditions. GAMETIME GLADIATOR - Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong speed figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most favorable class numbers of this field.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359147

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 71

                  Rating:

                  #7 SHORTLY (ML=6/1)
                  #5 CONVERT (ML=5/2)


                  SHORTLY - Shows a classic conditioning move. Routing today after two short distance races. CONVERT - Was in a $7,500 Claiming race at Thistledown in the last race. That race had an Equibase class figure of 81 and he is moving down right here. A certain win candidate. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a good contest within the last month or so.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AVAILABILITY (ML=2/1), #2 SWEET TRAVELS (ML=7/2), #1 LT'S JACKNTHEBOX (ML=5/1),

                  AVAILABILITY - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last two to three weeks. SWEET TRAVELS - The finish position of sixth in the last event shows me that this equine may be going off form. When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a better speed fig than last time around the track to vie in this dirt route. LT'S JACKNTHEBOX - Would have to perk up off that third place finish last time out to make an impact here.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 SHORTLY to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,7]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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