Saturday 5/24/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359043

    Saturday 5/24/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359043

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: Gold Rush Day SA Late Pick 5 | Saturday


    May 22, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

    Saturday is Gold Rush Day at Santa Anita Park and that means a celebration of the California-bred over the 10-race card. The slate that kicks off at 1PM local time features five state-bred stakes events and a late Pick 5 sequence that includes 4 of them. Let’s dive in.


    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


    Race 6: Fran’s Valentine
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 1 Sneaker; 2 Cornelia Fort
    Backups: None

    Forecast: The sequence gets rolling with this $100,000 one-mile event for the ladies over the lawn where #3 Prancingthruparis was made the 2-1-morning line favorite. The 4YO filly comes in off a pair of victories to start her 2025 campaign and makes plenty of sense, but it is tough to swallow a short price after seeing her cross the wire first at 38-1 and 11-1. She can win, but I prefer a pair of gals who should be a bit higher on the tote.

    #1 Sneaker makes her third start of the form cycle for trainer George Papaprodromou after two third-place efforts to get her season started. She should appreciate getting back into the Cal-bred ranks after posting a career best effort against Grade 3 foes in the Royal Heroine. The inside draw adds to her case. I will also use #2 Cornelia Fort. The Grazen mare gets a sign of confidence from new trainer Andy Mathis. Mathis claimed her for $20k three weeks ago and moves her immediately back into the stake ranks. Antonio Fresu should fit her well.


    Race 7: Melair
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 5 Sunset Grazen; 3 Om N Joy
    Backups: 2 In the Air Tonight

    Forecast: The first dirt race of the sequence is a bit tricky since it is at two-turns over the main track, but features mostly fillies that have been at their best sprinting or competing over the grass. Horses are capable of being fast on both surfaces, but it is more the exception than the rule. This makes it hard to get to 3-1-second choice #7 Miso Phansy. She brings the best resume in, but has no proven form over the dirt. The same is true of #1 Lady Mendelssohn, but she is a much bigger price. I still do not love her chances of moving up on the surface switch though.

    The filly I trust the most to finish with energy is #5 Sunset Grazen. The Blaine Wright trainee won two races over the dirt at Pleasanton this summer and has proven she fits class wise at Santa Anita Park. She is the understandable 5-2-choice. #3 Om N Joy is the filly coming in with the best dirt form. The question is can she translate it to a route of ground. If she can, she probably wins.


    Race 8: Crystal Water
    Grade: X
    Main Ticket: 4 Kings River Knight
    Backups: None

    Forecast: #4 Kings River Knight has won this race in back-to-back years for trainer John Sadler. He made his first start since last year’s victory in late March and got caught up in a three-horse duel going 6.5-furlongs. The Acclamation gelding failed to hit the board that afternoon, but shook off the rust setting himself up for a big effort second off the bench. The 10-time winner looks like a standout once again in this year’s Crystal Water.


    Race 9:
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 1 Sharp Ride
    Backups: None

    Forecast: The lone non-stake within the sequence is a 6-furlong dash for first-level allowance foes where 11-time winner #7 Lady Gregory is understandably listed as the significant 7-5-ML choice. The Jeff Mullins trainee struggled to find room along the inside last out over this course and missed by a nose when all was said and done. She merits serious respect, but I prefer #1 Sharp Ride. The Harris Farms’ homebred has been a better horse since trainer Dean Pederson added blinkers this winter. She got caught very wide on the turn in her return race at Los Alamitos before rattling off two impressive wins over this surface. She tried the grass last out, but moves back to her preferred surface and should be rolling late under Tiago Pereira.


    Race 10: Snow Chief
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 5 Bro Bro; 7 Got Soul
    Backups: None

    Forecast: I will try to separate from the public in the final leg after with a pair of runners who have proven to appreciate going a route of ground thus far and should offer decent value.

    #5 Bro Bro went to the lead last out and won for fun at odds-on, but he the son of Nyquist does not seem like a need the lead type. Umberto Rispoli will be back aboard and hopefully opts to sit just off the likely honest early pace. #7 Got Soul gets a class test, but ran better than looks in his win on April 4. The Sir Prancealot colt got stuck in a tough spot along the inside waiting for room and finally found it before it was too late. His margin of victory does not tell the entire story. Hopefully, he handles the increase in competition.

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359043

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/24/25


      May 24, 2025

      Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
      Saturday, May 24 2024
      Santa Anita Park


      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

      For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
      Main Ticket: 1-Ridegold

      Backups: 2-We the Hobby.

      Forecast: Ridegold stretches out to a mile for the first time, lands the good rail, and seems likely to be the controlling speed. Her pedigree suggests the trip should be well within her range, so at 9/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower the daughter of Clubhouse Ride looks like a logical rolling exotic single.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: C+
      Main Ticket: 3-Final Table Lady
      ; 5-Shady Stripes; 6-Liberation.
      Backups: 1-That Ain’t Right.

      Forecast: An unclassified field of juvenile state-bred fillies makes today’s second race a bit of a guessing game, so we’ll spread the race and hope to get a decent price home. Final Table Lady has done some good work in the morning for a trainer that likes to crank ‘em up first time out, so this daughter of Stay Thirsty looks very much like a live item. Speed rider E. Maldonado won’t be waiting around for anyone. Shady Stripes displayed excellent zip in a recent gate work (she was asked for her best) and is bred to win early (Smiling Tiger). She failed to change leads in the drill but with her speed it may not matter. Liberation is a daughter of Omaha Beach and has done what has been asked of her in the morning. The barn has solid stats with first timers, so she’s a “must use” on your ticket.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: C+
      Main Ticket: 2-O K Rose
      ; 4-Odies Memory Lane.
      Backups: 6-Hello Kid O Kid O.

      Forecast: O K Rose has been knocking on the door (three straight seconds) and is overdue to regain her winning form. She may be a hard one to trust but figures to enjoy an ideal second flight trip and have every chance. Odies Memory Lane removes blinkers, stretches out again, and could get brave if not pressured on the front end. The final furlong always is testing for her but given the projected pace scenario we could see her sticking around for a long time.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: A-
      Main Ticket: 3-Book Smart

      Backups: 2-Private Gem.

      Forecast: Book Smart is fast on figures and projects to be the controlling speed. Without early pressure to worry about, the son of Stanford will be hard to catch as a logical win play and major push in the various rolling exotics.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: C
      Main Ticket: 6-Silver N Black
      ; 6-Jennys Tiz; 4-Naval Harbor.
      Backups: none.

      Forecast: There is nothing to trust – and no result would surprise us – in this maiden $12,500 sprint in which the morning line favorite (6/5) Silver N Black already has failed 18 times. He offers no value, yet he could win. Jennys Tiz has just three prior races on her resume – she’s not terrible – and clearly has room for some improvement. You have to use her. Naval Harbor has some early speed and should be in the fray most of the way. He’s probably better than his morning line of 12-1 indicates


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B
      Main Ticket: 3-Prancinghruparis
      ; 1-Streaker.
      Backups: 2-In the Air Tonight.

      Forecast: Prancingthruparis is a genuine, consistent, and versatile filly turf performer with three wins over the local lawn. She employs a very effective second flight stalking style and earned a career top speed figure when winning the Irish O’Brien down the Hillside Course in mid-March. She’s been kept on edge with a steady series of easy workouts in the interim. Streaker, third behind our top pick two races back in the Irish O’Brien, is guaranteed a ground saving trip from the rail and won’t have to improve much to make a serious run for it.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
      Main Ticket: 6-Fibonaccis Ride
      ; 3-Om N Joy.
      Backups: none.

      Forecast: We’re not sure Fibonaccis Ride wants to run this far but if she’s ever going to stay a middle distance it most likely will be in her first try. She’s clearly the controlling speed and if she switches off early the daughter of Clubhouse Ride may take this year’s Melair Stakes field a very long way. Om N Joy is proven around two turns and if our top pick fails to see out the trip she’ll be the one most likely to pick up the pieces.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: X
      Main Ticket: 4-Kings River Knight.

      Backups: none.

      Forecast: Kings River Knight always is dominant in these state-bred middle distance events for older horses and will be a short price to continue his winning ways in this year’s renewal of the Crystal Water Stakes. He’s won five of eight over the local lawn and likely will be the controlling speed, though he doesn’t need the lead to win. His morning line of 4/5 seems about right.


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
      Main Ticket: 7-Lady Gregory
      ; 1-Sharp Ride
      Backups:

      Forecast: Lady Gregory was nosed out at 4/5 in an overnight race here in late April but should be capable of making amends in this state-bred first level allowance dash for fillies and mares. A winner of 11 of 29 during her career, the J. Mullins-trained mare isn’t a particularly quick type leaving the gate, but she can turn it on when it counts, and regular pilot H. Berrios knows what to do. Sharp Ride, a winner of four of six over the local main track, isn’t quite as fast on numbers as our top pick but a repeat of her runaway five length score two runs back makes her a major player and a “must use.”


      __________________________________________________ ________
      Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B-
      Main Ticket: 6-Cali Cat
      ; 2-Style Cat.
      Backups: 5-Bro Bro.

      Forecast: Cali Cat is fairly solid in this year’s edition of the Snow Chief, though nine furlongs might be stretching his limit. Never worse than second in four prior outings over the local lawn, the son of American Pharoah can be hard to beat as the controlling speed or from a stalking position, so regular pilot J. Hernandez can play the break and choose his strategy. Style Cat looked quite good winning the recent Echo Eddie Stakes sprinting on dirt. He’s unproven at this distance but might be a better type now.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359043

        #4
        Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Early Pick 4 Analysis


        May 24, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

        XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
        Hoosier Park has a 13-race card. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

        Race 6 (8:15 PM EDT)

        4-Chapheart (7/2)-Left hard from post 7, got on the point but the trip took its toll and finished 2nd. John DeLonge sticks, faces a bit easier, and should be in the hunt at the wire.
        5-ER Kelly (4-1)-Took advantage of an inside trip and hot fractions to draw off by over 4 lengths. Has cashed smaller checks versus this kind and it will be a test to post a win. But is sharp and with a smooth steer could surprise at a square price.

        Race 7 (8:38 PM EDT)

        1-Maddie's Jet Lady (7-1)-This is the level a win could happen. At this price, is an interesting option from the rail. Kyle Wilfong knows how to save ground, get sucked around and pop at a nice price.
        3-Fancy Riggin (10-1)-Going to fade #2 the morning line chalk and use Trace Tetrick on this price shot. Camera shy veteran should get a cozy trip from this post. Could roll by with 1-move down the lane if in striking range.
        4-Momentstruth (6-1)-Was used early from post 7 and then didn't offer much the back half of the mile. Hasn't won this year in 5 starts after taking 7 pictures in 2024. Should be forwardly placed in a race with little form and should be within reach of the leader at the top of the lane.

        Race 8 (9:01 PM EDT)

        2-Bridge To Jesse's (7/2)-This will be the 1st race this year for the 12-year-old and has put in 2 good qualifiers. Trainer Roger Welch could have the veteran primed to fire hot of the bench. Could be in play from start to finish with this post draw.
        6-Latin Lover (7/2)-Was used a couple of times, raced gamely from post 10 and now faces better. May have met a beatable field and Wilfong should have in position to win.

        Race 9 (9:24 PM EDT)

        3-New Swan in Town (9/5)-Winner of 3 straight has made it look easy. This race will likely go through the 5-year-old. With a clean trip the streak should continue but did miss a start so will also use another.
        6-Kid Tyler (9/2)-Beat a couple from this crew last time going gate to wire. Should be out and rolling and Wilfong can land in the pocket when the wings fold. Could be there to pick up the pieces if the chalk doesn't have its fast ball.

        $1.00 Early Pick 4

        4,5/1,3,4/2,6/3,6
        Total Bet=$24

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359043

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita - Race #6
          #5 Blevys Tiger Versatile type didn't show much going long a few starts back, but her overall form has been pretty solid, and her last two have her in good form for the stretchout try.
          #3 Prancingthruparis She's really putting things together in recent starts, and I wouldn't argue too hard with anyone preferring her today, except for the fact that she's probably the chalk today after a couple scores at 38/1 and 11/1 -- nothing that thrilling today.
          #6 Shocking Grey She's honest enough, but I wonder if she's just a touch better going short right now. That said, she has been competitive in route races and seems in the mix here.
          Race Summary Blevys Tiger is worth another look going long after a couple of sharp sprint tries. Think she might be just playable as something like the second or third choice?
          Santa Anita - Race #8
          #4 Kings River Knight Nobody is getting rich better this guy today, but it looks like he'll be a handful. He should be able to control the tempo while going second off the layoff today.
          #1 Stamp My Passport Think he has a chance to outrun his odds today, as there are a few sneaky good tries on his page, and he should be in a great spot into the far turn in a race without a ton of serious pace. Price for the gimmicks?
          #2 Coalinga Road Finisher has pretty reliable closing form, but I worry that he's going to do that best running just a touch too late today to reel in the top two.
          Race Summary Kings River Knight looks tough here, as he should be tighter with the comeback race under his belt, and he should be able to manage the front end of this one. Stamp My Passpot overlooked for a piece?
          Santa Anita - Race #10
          #7 Got Soul He hasn't done much wrong in a couple of route starts so far, and he should be in a pretty decent spot while in the frame throughout. Price might be playable enough.
          #1 Western Freedom He's one of a couple in here with some interesting dirt form, and he could find a really cozy spot near the tempo from the inside draw. Stretchout and turf are obvious questions, but there is some talent here.
          #6 Cali Cat He and the guy just inside of him (#5 Bro Bro) both seem like logical players here, and they've already established a little bit of quality ahead of this stakes try.
          Race Summary Got Soul steps up in good form right now, and he might be a midrange number on the board with a couple of more logical players lined up.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359043

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Canterbury Park - Race #2
            #3 IN THE VAULT (4-1) Won three straight with similar rest between starts, projects ideal trip.
            #2 UNRIVALED QUEEN (5-2) Adapted well to change of tactics, ran 1-2 in Arizona-bred stakes.
            #7 SMOOCHING (6-1) Won her last four starts on dirt, three in photo-finishes with Lopez up.
            Race Summary IN THE VAULT ascended the claiming ranks to rally for three consecutive wins after a 15-month winless streak. She gets plenty of pace to rally into and retains enough value for a win and place bet.
            Canterbury Park - Race #3
            #7 SYNTACTIC (3-1) Good form in good company, won a pair of close ones, claimed from latest.
            #5 WEST ISLAND (6-1) Gained late on winner Papa Rizzo (64/8-8-8, $144k) when last seen on turf.
            #8 OH GREAT (12-1) Vied for lead until the stretch in improved try for new barn.
            Race Summary SYNTACTIC rallied to win a pair of one-mile grass races at Turf Paradise at today’s distance by a nose and a neck from posts 8 and 10. He was claimed out of his last start, where he finished third behind War Chest (13-74, $294k and next-out winner I’m Noble. Bet to win and place and play 7-5 and 7-8 exactas.
            Canterbury Park - Race #4
            #2 TWO STORMY OCEANS (5-1) Led for this far in pair of long-distance tests, good breeze since arrival.
            #1 TARPS STORM (6-1) Beat half the field in two $20k routes at Oaklawn, draws the rail.
            #3 DOUBLE ECHO (4-1) Took money, raced evenly in five-horse MSW sprint, lures Hernandez.
            Race Summary TWO STORMY OCEANS faltered in the stretch going a route of ground at Tampa Bay Downs recently, but he faced several next-out winners along the way and appears well-suited for the cutback to 7F. The barn won four of its last 26 on the route-to-sprint angle. Bet to win and place and play 2-1 and 2-3 exactas.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359043

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park
              PURCHASE
              Belterra Park - Race 5 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
              Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $27,200 • Post: 2:35P
              FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE APRIL 24, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LARRY'S ANGEL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LARRY'S ANGEL: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              1 LARRY'S ANGEL 7/5 7/5

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              1 LARRY'S ANGEL 1 7/5 Front-runner 75 75 64.8 70.8 65.8
              4 LIPSTICK N LASHES 4 7/2 Stalker 73 66 52.4 68.4 62.9
              5 DANCEHALL JUSTICE 5 3/1 Stalker 63 57 42.6 55.0 49.0
              2 DANZANITEAWAY 2 5/1 Alternator/Non-contender 74 69 48.6 53.8 46.3
              3 CHICA CHULA 3 9/2 Alternator/Non-contender 64 58 40.6 55.2 51.2
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359043

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick Four
                PURCHASE
                Cross Country Pick Four - Race 3 Leg C of the Cross Country Pick 5
                Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $68,750 • Post: 4:23P
                MTH - R8 - FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON ONE NEW JERSEY RESTRICTED RACE(S) OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * RED HEAD ITALIAN: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses c oming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. HOWLER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. ALLISON PARK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                7 RED HEAD ITALIAN 7/2 3/1
                8 HOWLER 2/1 5/1
                3 ALLISON PARK 5/1 9/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                7 RED HEAD ITALIAN 7 7/2 Front-runner 70 78 97.7 61.4 55.4
                6 LITTLE LIA 6 8/1 Front-runner 68 67 96.2 47.8 36.3
                3 ALLISON PARK 3 5/1 Front-runner 70 63 71.4 53.9 45.4
                8 HOWLER 8 2/1 Front-runner 71 73 68.3 69.2 63.7
                4 LET HER RUN 4 6/1 Front-runner 65 61 67.3 54.0 49.0
                5 COOL SPITE 5 9/2 Stalker 71 53 48.3 50.2 42.7
                2 SHE'S A BOMBSHELL 2 6/1 Stalker 56 62 40.4 40.8 26.8
                1 EMILY REWARD 1 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 58 55 50.4 54.2 46.2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359043

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Coast To Coast

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 1 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 101

                  BIG DRAMA H. GP - R10 - RACE 10 FROM GULFSTREAM PARK. THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, MAY 11. WEIGHTS FRIDAY, MAY 16. $750 TO ENTER. A $100 SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINEES WILL BE WEIGHTED ATTIME OF ENTRY. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 60% OF THE REMAINING
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 DILGER (IRE) 9/5
                  # 1 PURE CLASS 15/1
                  # 6 AIR COMBAT 5/2
                  I have to consider DILGER (IRE) here. Joseph has him trained soundly to break sharply out of the gate. Put up a sound speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has to be given consideration against this group displaying very good numbers as of late and an average speed rating of 100 under similar conditions. PURE CLASS - Appears to be the type to be helped now going off Lasix here. Should be given a shot for this race if only for the solid Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last contest. AIR COMBAT - Has to be considered here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. This selection will feel the med change - now going off Lasix today.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359043

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE





                    Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:26pm - SO - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,400 Class Rating: 88

                    Rating:

                    #7 BABE'S GOT APPEAL (ML=2/1)
                    #4 AMY D (ML=4/1)


                    BABE'S GOT APPEAL - I like this mare a lot here. She shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. When Crotts gives Valenzuela a leg up on any thoroughbred, you have to feel that with their winning percentage you have at worst a fighting chance. Valenzuela and his horse make quite a duet. Together they've been winning at a clip of 80 percent. AMY D - I think this mare is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp race in the last month is a solid contender in my opinion. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue today.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 EM N HOLL'S FIESTA (ML=5/2), #5 ROSE GIRL (ML=6/1), #1 SAHARA SUE (ML=8/1),

                    EM N HOLL'S FIESTA - The fourth place finish in the last event was not the greatest. ROSE GIRL - This mare won last time, but probably won't repeat today versus tougher competition. This entrant ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last time around the track. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's event running that fig. SAHARA SUE - Not likely that this horse will finish better than she did last time out when placing fourth. Not likely that the speed rating she recorded on May 3rd will hold up in this event.

                    GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BABE'S GOT APPEAL - In my humble opinion, has the speed to wire-to-wire this bunch. With a competent ride by Valenzuela, this one could win easily.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 BABE'S GOT APPEAL to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,7]
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359043

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 9 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 70

                      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 2 CHIP SHORTAGE 5/2
                      # 5 HOPESHECANRUN 7/2
                      # 3 THAT'S MY MAMA 8/5
                      My choice in this race is CHIP SHORTAGE. Boasts strong speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses in this race. A solid 79 avg class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group. Looks strong for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. HOPESHECANRUN - This jock and trainer team has produced some very strong ROI numbers at this track. She looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. THAT'S MY MAMA - The average Equibase class figure of 64 makes this horse tough to beat. The speed figure of 68 from her last affair looks respectable in here.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359043

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,500 Class Rating: 64

                        Rating:

                        #4 FREE CHARGING (ML=6/1)
                        #3 TAPIT'S SHADY LADY (ML=12/1)


                        FREE CHARGING - The improved speed figs over the last three races is solid. Lerman drops her in this race in shape and ready to win. TAPIT'S SHADY LADY - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Fuenmayor gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. Gets help from David with the addition of Lasix.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #9 NOT ONE LESS (ML=9/5), #5 THREEDOTS ANDADASH (ML=7/2), #1 MISS OCALA (ML=4/1),

                        NOT ONE LESS - This mount has not tallied a victory here today in 13 starts. Little chance she wins today. I'd like to see more conducive recent outings with morning line of 9/5. THREEDOTS ANDADASH - The long breather will probably mean trouble for this steed. The sixth place finish position in the last affair was not the greatest. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the questionable challengers list. MISS OCALA - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two races.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #4 FREE CHARGING to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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