Sunday 6/1/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:06 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/1/25

June 1, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Sunday, June 1 2024
Santa Anita Park

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

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Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 5-Beer Buzz
Backups: 7-Ya’ll Come.

Forecast: Beer Buzz shows two good races from two starts on his resume and looks ready to graduate in his third. Clearly capable on turf or dirt, the son of Stay Thirsty missed as the favorite in his last start but a similar effort today should be good enough to handle this moderate state-bred field at what projects to be a fairly short price.

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Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 6-Not a Sinner (GB) ; 3-Miss Mandalay (GB)
Backups: none.

Forecast: Not a Sinner (GB) always has preferred to run second or third (10 times) rather than win (once) but from her cozy outside draw the English-bred filly should draft into an ideal stalking position and have every chance from there. Her best race can win it. Miss Mandalay (GB) switches to J. Hernandez and looks likely to inherit a good pace prompting trip. Against this group she should remain a strong factor to the wire.

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Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 4-Kid Dynasty; 3-Thirty Two Chuck.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Kid Dynasty improved his Beyer speed figure by 18 points from his first to his second start and with another forward move today the T. Yakteen-trained sophomore should be ready to earn his diploma. The projected pace flow is soft. Thirty Two Chunk didn’t appear cranked up in his debut and wound up a non-threatening sixth, but we suspect he’ll be much tighter today for a barn that has excellent stats with second time starters.

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Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Carribean King ; 5-Western Avenue.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Caribbean King is a prototype late-running turf sprinter and gets ideal conditions for a major effort in this extended dash for restricted (nw-3) $30,000 older claimers. The recent J. Mullins claim (two races back) earned a career top number when a close fourth in a similar affair last month and even better can be anticipated today. Western Avenue has a prior win over the local lawn and returns to grass for his new connections. The son of American Pharoah should be prominent throughout.

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Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 8-Whats the Buzz ; 3-Bazooka Charlie.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Whats the Buzz finished a solid runner-up in a similar low level maiden $12,500 sprint here last month and nothing more should be needed to earn his diploma. However, the barn is hard to have confidence in, so tread lightly. Bazooka Charlie plummets in class, removes blinkers, and switches to dirt for the first time. He’s gotten some action on the tote in both starts so perhaps he’s better than the form indicates.

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Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6-Brigante.
Backups: 7-Mo Holland Drive; 5-Hey Nay Nay (Ire).

Forecast: Brigante has done some decent work in the morning on dirt according to the videos we’ve watched, so in a completely unclassified group of juveniles sprinting on turf we’ll give him the nod on top. As a son of More Than Ready, he’s bred to move on the lawn, and if he’s indeed better on this surface than the main track the D. O’Neill-trained colt should be tough to outrun.

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Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 2-Sweet Azteca
Backups: none.

Forecast: Sweet Azteca returns for new trainer R. Baltas and has trained like she’s retained all of her old speed. In a four runner field, she is sure to be odds-on and therefore offer no wagering value other than as a free bingo square in the various rolling exotics.

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Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 3-It’s a Cinch.
Backups: none.

Forecast: It’s a Cinch was quite impressive breaking his maiden over this course and distance last fall and if he returns as well as he left the son of Om will be difficult to contain. The recent workouts should have him fit and ready and on pure numbers he’s simply much faster than the competition.

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Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Chasin Munny.
Backups: 5-Halo Rando; 2-Haywood.

Forecast: Chasin Munny gets off the rail today after finishing fourth in a similar affair and is better than that race makes him look. He’s back with “win rider” A, Fresu and with a bit of help up front might tag the speed close home.

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Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 5-Bit’s Tiger Magic; 3-Big Celebration.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Bit’s Tiger Magic graduated by seven lengths a year ago April but then disappeared. She returns with a series of steady but not flashy workouts at San Luis Rey Downs, and who knows how she’ll handle the Hillside course, but if fit and ready the P. Miller-trained filly can win. Big Celebration seeks her third straight win with numbers that are okay, nothing great. She may not have to improve much to handle this tougher assignment and while its possible she prefers dirt, in her present form the S. Knapp-trained mare must be considered a player. Best advice is to spread as deeply as your budget allows.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:08 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 1, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

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Northfield Park has a 15-race card to begin the week. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. the sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)

6-Lake Charles (7/2)-Won 2 and 3 back then had a bumpy trip leaving from post 8. Does have the gate speed to be forwardly placed but there is inside speed. Should be a player, has a post edge on the chalk but needs a sharp steer.
8-Night Shadow (5/2)-Ronnie Wrenn has the gate speed to land in a close-up seat off the gate. Doesn't have to get on the engine soon after the wings fold. What makes the Burke trainee a tough customer is also his ability to grind it out and roll by late in the mile.

Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)

1-Starlitblackdragon (3-1)-Not much form to read and all of these need the right trip to win. Has been hitting the board against this kind but is 0-15 on the year. But from the rail deserves to be respected against a suspect bunch.
7-Lovin On The Beach (15-1)-Drops and still should be a giant price. Logan Ebersole needs to avoid being far back early. Could be the best down the lane if finds a live cover flow.

Race 13 (10:24 PM EDT)

7-Sliver Bentley (12-1)-This is scattered bunch, Bentley will be a price and may have met a beatable field. Ships in from ScD and had been facing better. Kurt Sugg has gate speed to use for a good early seat. Then come off cover and roll by down the lane.
9-Music Is Art (3-1)-Willing to use Aaron Merriman on this veteran who could get a suck-around trip. There is some gate speed on the inside. Has a pilot that can work an efficient trip and be in striking range down the lane.

Race 14 (10:46 PM EDT)

4-Shvaiko (5-1)-Has had excuses the last 2 starts, was hung the mile 2 back, then missed a start and drew post 7. Should get off the gate and race near the top of the stack. Could pop at a solid price if in reach of the leaders around the last turn.
7-Rockin Daddy O (3-1)-Beat this kind last time in the slop and had broken equipment. Draws outside but comes right back with Merriman between the pipes. Won on Wednesday and should be a main player with a smooth trip.

$1 Late Pick 4

6,8/1,7/7,9/4,7
Total Bet=$16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:09 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #8

#1 Mr. Machupicchu	Not a whole lot of finishing punch lined up in here, so I'm hoping he can tuck in just behind the pace on the fence and punch through in the lane. Mildly tactical effort could do.
#2 Pokerknightatvees	Not much wrong through two starts, but I'm a bit worried that he's going to take some heat as one of the forward players inside. Could work for a similar trip to the top choice.
#3 Its a Cinch	Something like his last would keep him in the frame again, but I think you're going to find better prices elsewhere in what feels like an evenly matched spot.
Race Summary	Mr. Machupicchu might offer an OK price, and he might default into a really good trip from the inside.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#3 Jaguar Jon	He couldn't quite hang late with similar last out, but he has some hope for a bit easier go of things near the top today, and there might still be a bit more here with just the two starts under his belt.
#1 Haywood	He can be really tough on his best day -- which is typically when he gets the lead. Worried that he'll have some company today that could make things tough for him. In the mix, but maybe an underlay with a potentially negative race flow.
#5 Halo Rando	He was no match for the rail runner last time out, but I think he's capable of something better than he showed that day. Hope for a bounce back.
Race Summary	Jaguar Jon ran OK when stepping up off a cheap debut score, and he could find a really good spot to land the first jump into the lane today.

Santa Anita - Race #10

#5 Bit's Tiger Magic	Lots to like here as she rises to try winners -- she has some sharp pace in a race without a ton of serious early burn, and she thrived on the turf last time out in that romping graduation run. The one if she fires fresh.
#9 Blue Wildcat	The turf form is reliable enough to think she can rally on for another piece, but she hasn't been a serious threat while landing those recent shares.
#3 Big Celebration	She has some mild finishing ability, but I think it's more impactful on the dirt than on the turf, so I'm looking for her to find a share as her ceiling today.
Race Summary	Bit's Tiger Magic was sharp when getting on the turf for the first time to graduate last year, and there may still be more here with just the two lifetime starts under her belt.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 7	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Four
Claiming $5,000 • 2 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:36P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2025. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * VERMEER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a spri nt and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. WINHAPPY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. INDIAN ARROW: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GATOR SHINING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the dis tance/surface.
4	VERMEER	2/1	5/1
2	WINHAPPY	5/1	6/1
5	INDIAN ARROW	5/2	7/1
6	GATOR SHINING	6/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	WINHAPPY	2	5/1	Front-runner	86	79	84.6	70.2	64.7
6	GATOR SHINING	6	6/1	Front-runner	85	81	82.0	69.4	59.9
3	BEYOND COMPARE	3	6/1	Front-runner	82	78	77.8	68.6	58.1
4	VERMEER	4	2/1	Front-runner	89	86	0.0	84.8	81.8
1	SOUTHERN SLANG	1	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	77	70	80.8	71.6	64.6
5	INDIAN ARROW	5	5/2	Trailer	89	86	54.3	70.6	65.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
PURCHASE

Laurel Park - Race 9	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA
Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3-6 • CR: 68 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 4:14P
(RAIL AT 87 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 4 LBS. MARYLAND BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. JAM'S PAPER MOON is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JAM'S PAPER MOON: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Clas s Rating at the distance/surface. POSITIVE CARRY (IRE): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. VALERIE STREET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	JAM'S PAPER MOON	6/1	3/1
1	POSITIVE CARRY (IRE)	10/1	5/1
4	VALERIE STREET	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	SKITTLIEDAT	9	20/1	Front-runner	0	0	49.3	59.7	44.7
10	BRAND NEW DANCE	10	15/1	Front-runner	0	0	48.1	51.4	36.9
8	CLARE COURT	8	10/1	Front-runner	0	0	33.1	33.1	16.6
6	HOLY FIT	6	5/2	Stalker	63	52	64.9	50.5	37.5
1	POSITIVE CARRY (IRE)	1	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	69	66.6	63.8	59.3
7	EMPIRE'S TREAT	7	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	54	60.2	59.6	51.6
2	SOMME RIVER	2	9/2	Trailer	0	0	44.7	57.2	48.2
4	VALERIE STREET	4	8/1	Trailer	61	49	29.4	60.7	52.7
3	JAM'S PAPER MOON	3	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	77.4	74.5	65.5
5	MAP TO THE MOON	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	46	40	66.4	23.7	3.7
11	SWEET MARIE	11	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	43.7	34.6	20.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:13 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $114600 Class Rating: 91

INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $9,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR TWO YEAR OLD AND THREE YEAR OLD RESTRICTED STATE BRED/STATE SIRED OR SALES SWEEPSTAKES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $32,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BLITZ 10/1
# 7 ZISISIT (IRE) 5/2
# 2 SHADE OF PALE 4/1

BLITZ has a very strong shot to take this contest and is a decent value-based bet given the 10/1 line. The average class rating of 79 makes this one tough to beat. ZISISIT (IRE) - Has to be given a chance against this group of horses displaying formidable figures as of late and an average speed rating of 91 under similar conditions. Drexler has her trained admirably to break quickly out of the starting gate. SHADE OF PALE - She has to be given consideration given the decent speed numbers. Has performed strongly lately in route races, posting a nifty 83 avg Equibase Speed Figure.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 6:53pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#5 CAMEO DANCER (ML=7/2)
#8 JAMAICAN ME (ML=8/1)

CAMEO DANCER - Gomez has this gelding entered in the right event. JAMAICAN ME - This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 NERVY (ML=5/2), #7 PRICED RIGHT (ML=9/2), #4 HALF A BUCK (ML=5/1),

NERVY - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signs. This horse ran a mediocre speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't run much better and will likely get beat in today's event running that rating. PRICED RIGHT - Generally I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint events in order to wager on him. HALF A BUCK - This horse doesn't have a winning nature. Very often finishes in the place and show hole.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 CAMEO DANCER to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Energy Downs 307 Racing

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Trial - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR QUARTER HORSES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE ENERGY DOWNS FUTURITY. LATE PAYMENT OF $3,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR TRIALS. THE TEN FASTEST QUALIFIERS WILL BE ELIGIBLE FOR THE FINAL TO BE RUN ON SUNDAY, JUNE 22ND, 2025. FINAL PURSE $100,000 ADDED. WEIGHT: 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 FIRE IN THE WHOLE 2/1
# 2 BV DARLING MARFA 5/1
# 3 JESSA ROYAL TEE 5/2

FIRE IN THE WHOLE has a quite good shot to take this race. Should be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Posted a respectable speed figure last time out. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in lately. BV DARLING MARFA - Solid average speed figs in short races make this horse a key contender. Bettors should note that this racer runs with second time Lasix today. JESSA ROYAL TEE - Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the front end recently. She has been running admirably recently while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-01-2025, 08:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $57,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#9 AMERICAN LITIGATOR (ML=5/1)
#6 SPURGEON (ML=7/2)

AMERICAN LITIGATOR - Utilizing this jockey/conditioner combination is a good move. Entered a $50,000 Maiden Claiming race at Oaklawn Park last time around the track and raced on a track listed as good finishing sixth. Expect better in this field. SPURGEON - The April 23rd affair at Keeneland was at a class level of (92). Dropping down the class ladder considerably, so he should be in a good place. I like this colt. Has the highest EPS (earnings per start) in here today. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DR. NIKO (ML=4/1), #4 BATTER UP (ML=9/2), #7 LEVITATING (ML=6/1),

DR. NIKO - The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this racer as a vulnerable competitor. BATTER UP - Don't believe this pony has what it takes to win today. LEVITATING - This horse hasn't been near the victor at the finish recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#9 AMERICAN LITIGATOR is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	Pass