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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Sunday 6/8/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/8/25


    June 8, 2025

    Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
    Sunday, June 8 2024
    Santa Anita Park


    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
    Main Ticket: 4-A Friend of Mine

    Backups: 3-Time to Shine.

    Forecast: A Friend of Mined outrun her odds (14-1) when nosed out in a decent debut dirt sprint here last month and today stretches out to a mile in a below standard maiden special weight main track affair for fillies and mares. We’d prefer she had another sprint prior to running long, but the daughter of Mineshaft may be an okay sort at least and could produce a significant forward move in her second career outing. In a race lacking in speed, she should be forwardly placed throughout.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 2-Check’s On the Way
    ; 4-Letmein.
    Backups: none.

    Forecast: Check’s On the Way is a consistent gelding and appears to be most comfortable as a late running sprinter. Conditions are ideal for the S, Callaghan-trained sophomore to settle early and tag the speed close home. He’s listed as the 2-1 second choice behind Letmein (6/5), who finished behind our top pick in a similar state-bred dash last month.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B+
    Main Ticket: 1-Nevada Beach

    Backups: none.

    Forecast: Nevada Beach: won at first asking in clever fashion like a pretty nice prospect sprinting for B. Baffert, and although moving right into stakes company and stretching out to a middle distance the son of Omaha Beach should be able to handle the class hike and added distance in stride. In a four runner affair with stable mate Gaming the 6/5 morning line favorite, we’ll prefer the longer price of the two with the colt that may have more upside.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: C+
    Main Ticket: 7-Full Moon Grazen
    ; 4-Mo Town Gal.
    Backups: none.

    Forecast: Full Moon Grazen plummets to the $5,000 level and appears to have found her friends. Drawn comfortably outside, the S. Martin-trained filly lacks early speed but against this modest group and may be able to tag the leaders close home. Mo Town Gal is another big class dropper seeking her winning level. She’s a fit on numbers and seems likely to step forward in her second start off a layoff.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 3-Baldoro

    Backups: 5-Rastaman Vibe; 6-Promissio.

    Forecast: Baldoro was moved too soon by D. Herrera and paid the price late when winding up second after striking the front at the furlong pole but losing his steam in the final stages in a restricted $30,000 claimer last week. The short rest notwithstanding, the L. Powell-trained gelding can beat this field with waiting tactics. Both of his career wins were accomplished over the local lawn, and this shortened trip to a mile should be in his favor.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 4-Go Go Prancer

    Backups: 2-Proud Racer.

    Forecast: Go Go Prancer was beaten as the favorite in his last two starts but his speed figures are rising and this drop into the maiden $50,000 level should prove to be the winning maneuver. However, at 6/5 on the morning line he won’t offer any real value other than as a short priced rolling exotic single.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 2-Dicey Mo Chara (GB)
    ; 7-Genius Jimmy.
    Backups: 5-Spycatcher.

    Forecast: Dicey Mo Chara (GB) gets some class relief with this drop into the two-other-than allowance condition and should take full advantage of the opportunity. The veteran gelding has been in nothing but graded stakes events for more than two years, and while his form is solid and his numbers strong the L. Powell-trained import really is overdue for a win. This placement offers that chance. Genius Jimmy does his best on the front end and if he can establish the running without pressure he’s likely to get very brave.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 4-Naida

    Backups: 1-Misty Muppet.

    Forecast: Naida missed by a half-length and was 10 lengths clear of the rest in a similar restricted $16,000 claiming miler for fillies and mares last month. Anything close to that effort today should make her hard to beat at what probably be close to even money. However, with Del Mar on the horizon, the chances of her being claimed are quite high, leading us to believe that maybe her connections wouldn’t mind losing her, and that’s a bit of a worry.


    __________________________________________________ ________
    Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 2-Vinalia (GB)
    ; 4-Unbinding
    Backups: 5-Thea; 6-Eiffel.

    Forecast: Vinalia (GB) just missed in a photo in a similar turf sprint for maiden fillies and mares in a performance that produced a career top number. She’ll be rolling late again. Unbinding finished a close third in her debut at Lingfield in England in April and makes her first start off the plane for M. Glatt, who does well with the limited number of European imports that he’s had. She looks like a live item in an open fray.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      June 8, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
      Northfield Park begins the week with a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

      Comments and selections are based on a fast track.

      Race 11 (10:46 PM EDT) (9:40 PM EDT)

      4-Spaaaanazo (2-1)-Can get a good early seat and figures to be in the hunt. Will be a short price and this level can be a challenge. But should be respected and Aaron Merriman can provide a winning steer.
      6-Spitfire Oversees (8-1)-Has raced well in the last 2 starts after shipping in from the Mea. Thestable.ca entry gets a new pilot in Tyler Angus and could be a threat at a price if kept within striking range.

      Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)

      2-Jbmagic (15-1)-Looking for a big price and with an inside post draw the Tyler Bates entry is an interesting option. Has learned its lessons on the Fair circuit but has hit the board in all 3 starts at Nfld and has taken 2 pictures. Can get a good early seat and could surprise off an efficient trip.
      4-My First Fire (7/2)-Left from post 7 versus this kind at ScD and raced well considering the trip. Raced wide and hard to finally land on the point only to fade down the lane. Should be a threat at a square price with a less taxing journey.
      9-House Of Brix (3-1)-If the Jeff Smith pupil started from the inside, he would be a heavy chalk rather than the tepid morning line favorite. Does good work on the point and probably won't get there when the wings fold. But is still the one to beat if lands in a close-up seat off the gate.

      Race 13 (10:24 PM EDT)

      4-Wicked Character (9/5)-The Burke trainee can string a couple of wins together and comes off a sharp effort for a picture. Steps-up and this level could be a challenge. The morning line seems too flattering but this post draw should help its cause.
      6-Makin Some Noise (9/2)-Didn't leave last time and raced huge from the backfield to come a close 2nd. This race could set up differently. My guess is aggressive steer is coming when the wings fold and that should make the veteran a major player.

      Race 14 (10:46 PM EDT)

      2-Crosswinds Sweetpe (7/5)-This filly doesn't have big gate speed, and the entire field doesn't have much early speed. Austin Hanners should get the top easily from the 2-hole, then take control and not look back.
      5-Gotstopaymeinpapa (3-1)-Merriman is between the pipes and gets some class relief. Has only 1 win in 18 starts but should get a smooth trip with this post draw and may have met a beatable field.

      $1 Late Pick 4

      4,6/2,4,9/4,6/2,5
      Total Bet=$24
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Hawthorne - Race #1
        #3 Prancipants She found some better form again in those recent starts, and she is capable of something better than she showed in her most recent start over the local footing. Capable at a midrange price.
        #8 Big Sally There isn't a ton of super-serious early speed signed on in here, and this one draws well while outside of the other forward players. Perfect press-and-pounce trip could be waiting for her.
        #2 Go Stormin Girl She has been pretty honest over this main track, but I worry that she has been in the habit of giving away ground late in her races.
        Race Summary Prancipants has some appeal here while likely finding a good spying spot in behind a few quicker players early. Would be happy to land here at something a bit shorter than the 12/1 ML offering.
        Hawthorne - Race #3
        #3 Hurts So Bad He has a bit of pace and still showed some resilience last out when rallying nicely after winding up at the tail. He didn't get a clean go that day, either. Tough today?
        #2 Racarino Presser should be in a good spot turning for home, but he has been a bit one-paced late in most of those starts on his page, making him potentially vulnerable to someone finishing just a bit better here.
        #1 One Putt Richie He benefits if all the potential forward players hook up, and he should be able to save some ground from the rail draw. Dropper fits.
        Race Summary Hurts So Bad can be tough here after a tricky go last time out, and his combination of pace and a mild pressing ability could serve him well here.
        Hawthorne - Race #4
        #1 Good Apple He's back off the bench, and I like that he returns in allowance company today after the flat first try for the new team. Think there are a couple races on the page that would make him tough.
        #7 Last Minute He woke up at second asking with an easy score, and something similar here would keep him in the mix. Think there are enough versatile forward players in here to keep him honest?
        #8 Dick Best Enough to like here after he just missed in the local debut, as something similar keeps him in the frame again today. Like the draw for him to pick his spot.
        Race Summary Good Apple could work out a trip from the inside while flashing a bit of pace, but he can probably tuck in just a bit behind the more committed forward players.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
          PURCHASE
          Camarero - Race 8 Exacta / Trifecta
          Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 51 • Purse: $8,100 • Post: 6:00P
          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 4# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Dominant Stalker. GOOD LOOKING GHOST is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GOOD LOOKING GHOST: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest Track Master Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MAXIMUM BLAST: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          2 GOOD LOOKING GHOST 8/5 3/1
          5 MAXIMUM BLAST 2/1 7/2

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          4 FREE WORLD 4 4/1 Front-runner 38 31 36.8 17.8 10.3
          2 GOOD LOOKING GHOST 2 8/5 Stalker 45 50 43.2 39.6 37.1
          5 MAXIMUM BLAST 5 2/1 Stalker 46 44 41.4 39.2 35.7
          1 LUCKY CONNECTION 1 3/1 Stalker 35 31 32.6 21.0 14.5
          3 ALEXANDER P R 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lethbridge
            PURCHASE
            Lethbridge - Race 3 Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta
            Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 65 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 2:05P
            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR AB BREDS THAT HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (WINNERS AND AB BRED WINNERS OF 2 PREFERRED.).
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BURNING UP: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Hor se has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. FLASHING JOKER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SALTY CAT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
            4 BURNING UP 8/1 7/2
            5 FLASHING JOKER 8/5 6/1
            1 SALTY CAT 7/1 8/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            4 BURNING UP 4 8/1 Front-runner 65 44 71.2 53.4 49.9
            1 SALTY CAT 1 7/1 Front-runner 56 50 57.0 38.6 29.1
            5 FLASHING JOKER 5 8/5 Front-runner 58 42 0.0 54.2 48.2
            3 CLASSY ROSE 3 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 55 47 54.7 47.0 40.0
            8 LASSIE CAT 8 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 59 51 49.5 38.6 29.6
            7 OKI 7 9/5 Alternator/Non-contender 62 51 69.5 34.6 26.6
            6 SIZZLIN ROSE 6 2/1 Alternator/Non-contender 48 40 40.4 36.2 26.2
            2 UBBADEETS 2 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 61 50 10.0 38.4 31.4
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:02pm - Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $57,000 Class Rating: 85

              Rating:

              #1 SOPHISTRY (ML=7/2)
              #2 SHE'S A GAMER (ML=5/2)
              #5 LUNA LOUSKA (ML=8/1)


              SOPHISTRY - This rider and conditioner's horses have been generating a positive return on investment. Rider hops right back on board after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding last race out. That's always a helpful angle. If you review the PP's for this horse, you'll see she has recorded the top Equibase speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat race in this event and this horse has a superb chance to win. SHE'S A GAMER - Horses out of the barn of Casse have been solid on the grass. Should perform well. LUNA LOUSKA - This is this filly's first try on the grass. Ran well finishing first on May 1st. The track was slow that day, so I think this animal will take to the turf. Lower weight of -8. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this filly falls into this category. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (20-51-82) make this horse a dominant contender.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #6 COCO ABARRIO (ML=7/5), #7 POPSTYLE (ML=8/1),

              COCO ABARRIO - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient spot in today's event. POPSTYLE - Hasn't been close at all recently.
              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #1 SOPHISTRY on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 1 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23500 Class Rating: 76

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 COMMUNITY SERVICE 5/1
                # 1 DUNKIN' RUN 4/1
                # 3 R N R AUDIBLE 5/2
                I think COMMUNITY SERVICE is a quite good choice. Very good venture today on Lasix. This field of horses is much easier than the last one he ran against. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 59 - of his last race. DUNKIN' RUN - With Lindsay aboard him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out quickly in this competition. Has to be carefully examined versus this group of horses displaying formidable figures recently and an average speed rating of 62 under similar conditions. R N R AUDIBLE - Win percentage one of the most competitive in this group of horses in this race. Should be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $18600 Class Rating: 82

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8, 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 8, 2025 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8, 2024 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 2 CHASING AFTER YOU 8/1
                  # 5 SENSIBLE CHOICE 9/5
                  # 3 LOANA 7/2
                  CHASING AFTER YOU has a strong shot to take this outing and could score at a price in here. Will probably go to the front end and might never look back. Ought to be considered based on the decent Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. Has longshot possibilities and could win at boxcar odds. SENSIBLE CHOICE - Earned a quite good speed figure last time out. Has been racing quite well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. LOANA - She has been running very well and the speed figures are among the most favorable in this group. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this group.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE





                    Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 82

                    Rating:

                    #8 LUTHER PASS (ML=4/1)


                    LUTHER PASS - This gelding has been trying different distances, but from the looks of things, he ran a nice speed figure last try at this trip. I look for this pony to sit chilly and make a strong move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 JEDI'S WAY (ML=7/5), #2 SEXY CHOCOLATTE (ML=9/2), #5 PUNCTUALITY (ML=8/1),

                    JEDI'S WAY - You always think this animal has a shot to win, but he just misses most of the time. I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the favorite and is likely to be favored today. SEXY CHOCOLATTE - Hard to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Improbable that the rating he notched on May 27th will be good enough in this event. PUNCTUALITY - Just can't play this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything positive last time out or on May 11th.

                    GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LUTHER PASS - Made up lots of ground on May 25th at 5 furlongs. Should relish the distance of 1 mile.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #8 LUTHER PASS on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [4,6]
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - June 8


                      Jun. 07, 2025









                      Race #1
                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET
                      Best Bet #4 A FRIEND OF MINE
                      $35,000.00

                      Race 1 Maiden Optional Claiming
                      Win 2-1 4 A Friend of Mine R Gonzalez
                      Place 5-2 6 Sunset Beauty J J Hernandez
                      Show 9-2 3 Time to Shine U Rispoli
                      Wild card 8-1 2 Joyful Mischief H Herrera
                      Alternate 1 20-1 1 Authentic Grace A Ayuso
                      Alternate 2 6-1 5 Dont Tempt Her K Kimura
                      Exacta 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                      Race #2
                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:32 PM ET
                      $61,000.00

                      Race 2 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      Win 3-1 5 Rumble King T J Pereira
                      Place 2-1 2 Checks On the Way U Rispoli
                      Show 6-5 4 Letmein K Kimura
                      Wild card 6-1 1 Hezaspanishdancer H R Lopez
                      Alternate 1 10-1 3 Willisau K Frey
                      Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
                      Race #3
                      Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:05 PM ET
                      Best Commentary $100,000 AFFIRMED STAKES
                      $100,000.00

                      Race 3 Stakes
                      Win 8-5 1 Nevada Beach J J Hernandez
                      Place 4-5 3 Gaming H I Berrios
                      Show 9-2 2 Westwood T J Pereira
                      Wild card 6-1 4 Rank A Fresu
                      Exacta 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                      COMMENTS: NEVADA BEACH any second race improvement could be enough. GAMING makes the third start off the sidelines and drops from a Grade II Stakes. WESTWOOD ran better in race numbers from start to finish in his last. RANK has not won yet but hit the board in four of five at Santa Anita.
                      Race #4
                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:36 PM ET
                      Best Bet #2 IM A RISQUE GIRL
                      $15,000.00

                      Race 4 Claiming
                      Win 3-1 2 Im a Risque Girl T J Pereira
                      Place 5-1 7 Full Moon Grazen D A Herrera
                      Show 10-1 1 Icy Mischief K Frey
                      Wild card 5-2 4 Mo Town Gal K Kimura
                      Alternate 1 9-2 8 Hollywood Mistress A Espinoza
                      Alternate 2 8-1 3 Woodbine Way E K Rojas Fernandez
                      Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
                      Race #5
                      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:08 PM ET
                      $36,000.00

                      Race 5 Starter Allowance
                      Win 5-2 5 Rastaman Vibe J J Hernandez
                      Place 7-2 3 Baldoro D A Herrera
                      Show 3-1 1 Sketchy J Valdivia Jr.
                      Wild card 4-1 6 Promissio K Frey
                      Alternate 1 8-1 4 Dealers Special K Kimura
                      Alternate 2 9-2 2 Carver T Baze
                      Exacta 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
                      Race #6
                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:38 PM ET
                      $33,000.00

                      Race 6 Maiden Claiming
                      Win 6-5 4 Go Go Prancer A Fresu
                      Place 7-2 2 Proud Racer R Gonzalez
                      Show 8-1 5 Seager Man K Kimura
                      Wild card 5-1 7 Uncle Evco T J Pereira
                      Alternate 1 10-1 1 Last Call Paul D Van Dyke
                      Alternate 2 10-1 6 Nightwing W R Orantes
                      Exacta 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
                      Race #7
                      Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 07:08 PM ET
                      Best Commentary $175,000 SOARING SOFTLY STAKES GRADE III
                      $63,000.00

                      Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      Win 5-1 1 Final Boss J J Hernandez
                      Place 4-1 7 Genius Jimmy K Kimura
                      Show 6-1 5 Spycatcher A Lezcano
                      Wild card 5-2 2 Dicey Mo Chara A Ayuso
                      Alternate 1 7-2 8 Mondego U Rispoli
                      Alternate 2 30-1 9 Gold Foot K Frey
                      Exacta 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
                      COMMENTS: ABIENTOTs last race was better than it looks as the final time was on par with the prior start. BRINDI should be coming at the end and will have enough speed to chase. HEY BERTIE is a neck away from being undefeated in three. SATURDAY FLIRT has the breeding and should be part of the early pace.
                      Race #8
                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:38 PM ET
                      Best Bet #1 MISTY MUPPET
                      $22,000.00

                      Race 8 Claiming
                      Win 5-2 1 Misty Muppet W Antongeorgi III
                      Place 7-2 2 Broadway Venus K Kimura
                      Show 15-1 3 Memosis A L Bautista
                      Wild card 9-5 4 Naida D A Herrera
                      Alternate 1 8-1 5 Princess Daddy W R Orantes
                      Alternate 2 9-2 7 Lita Way A Ayuso
                      Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                      Race #9
                      Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 08:08 PM ET
                      $60,000.00

                      Race 9 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 9-2 10 Shez the Law T J Pereira
                      Place 5-2 2 Vinalia U Rispoli
                      Show 12-1 1 Storm Lady H I Berrios
                      Wild card 6-1 4 Unbinding A Lezcano
                      Alternate 1 8-1 6 Eiffel A Fresu
                      Alternate 2 15-1 8 Aleramo K Kimura
                      Exacta 10-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/2/10 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX



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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - June 8


                        Jun. 07, 2025









                        Race #1
                        Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:45 PM ET
                        $36,000.00

                        Race 1 Claiming
                        Win 6-1 9 Becks Spirit C J Lanerie
                        Place 4-1 7 Hasten G Saez
                        Show 3-1 4 Zeca Diabo J A Torres
                        Wild card 5-1 10 Forge in Fire L Saez
                        Alternate 1 15-1 3 Rewire J Graham
                        Alternate 2 8-1 1 Enough Already E Morales
                        Exacta 9-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/7/9 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX
                        Race #2
                        Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:14 PM ET
                        $48,000.00

                        Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 6-5 1 Box Office F Geroux
                        Place 3-1 4 Tapakena I Moncada
                        Show 6-1 10 Big Salt Lick O Villarreal
                        Wild card 10-1 6 Come to Papa A Cedillo
                        Alternate 1 15-1 2 Winning Song G Saez
                        Alternate 2 15-1 9 Johnson J R Leparoux
                        Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/4/10 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX
                        Race #3
                        Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:43 PM ET
                        $120,000.00

                        Race 3 Maiden Special Weight
                        Win 7-2 6 Moon Channel F Geroux
                        Place 5-2 10 Vivaldi F Prat
                        Show 3-1 4 Some Performance L Saez
                        Wild card 15-1 3 Mighty Mike I Moncada
                        Alternate 1 12-1 1 Johnys Rendezvous J A Torres
                        Alternate 2 8-1 5 Its Bourbon Thirty L Machado
                        Exacta 6-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/6/10 BOX, 3/4/10 BOX
                        Race #4
                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:13 PM ET
                        $120,000.00

                        Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
                        Win 4-1 5 Chaching Chaching B Curtis
                        Place 5-1 3 Ivory and Ebony B J Hernandez Jr.
                        Show 7-2 7 Delightful Claire J L Ortiz
                        Wild card 5-1 6 Princess Proud L Saez
                        Alternate 1 3-1 9 Hitherto F Prat
                        Alternate 2 12-1 4 Texas Queen J A Torres
                        Exacta 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/5/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
                        Race #5
                        Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET
                        Best Commentary $175,000 LESLIES LADY OVERNIGHT STAKES
                        $175,000.00

                        Race 5 Stakes
                        Win 5-1 5 Vodka With a Twist F Prat
                        Place 9-2 6 Evanescence L Machado
                        Show 5-2 3 Impulse Buy F Geroux
                        Wild card 3-1 1 Eclatant L Saez
                        Alternate 1 6-1 7 Bourbon Memory B Curtis
                        Alternate 2 5-1 4 Kilwin E Morales
                        Exacta 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
                        COMMENTS: VODKA WITH A TWIST is a horse for the course with two wins in two races and none in six at any other. EVANESCENCE showed top level late speed last out and drops from a Grade III Stakes. IMPULSE BUY will look to rebound in the second start after a layoff. ECLATANT makes two starts in a row for the first time meaning she could be finally healthy.
                        Race #6
                        Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:18 PM ET
                        Best Bet #14 MAE TOWN
                        $127,000.00

                        Race 6 Allowance
                        Win 3-1 14 Mae Town F Geroux
                        Place 9-2 15 Perfect Figure F Prat
                        Show 9-2 12 Sweet Kaufy L Dettori
                        Wild card 6-1 6 Dala W A Rodriguez
                        Alternate 1 4-1 3 Mighty Eriu B Curtis
                        Alternate 2 8-1 1 Bourbon Serengeti L Saez
                        Exacta 14-15 BOX, 15-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX
                        Trifecta 12/14/15 BOX, 6/12/15 BOX
                        Race #7
                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:50 PM ET
                        Best Bet #11 HONEST AL
                        $82,000.00

                        Race 7 Claiming
                        Win 5-1 11 Honest Al B J Hernandez Jr.
                        Place 3-1 3 Chance E Morales
                        Show 12-1 7 Anthonian A Cedillo
                        Wild card 8-1 8 Silver Halo L Saez
                        Alternate 1 6-1 10 C K Wonder C J Lanerie
                        Alternate 2 8-1 1 Justifreak B Curtis
                        Exacta 11-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/7/11 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
                        Race #8
                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:22 PM ET
                        Best Commentary $400,000 MATT WINN STAKES GRADE III
                        $400,000.00

                        Race 8 Stakes
                        Win 5-2 2 Final Gambit F Prat
                        Place 7-2 5 Burnham Square B J Hernandez Jr.
                        Show 5-1 1 Gaming F Geroux
                        Wild card 9-2 6 Coal Battle C J Lanerie
                        Alternate 1 4-1 7 East Avenue L Saez
                        Alternate 2 6-1 3 Chunk of Gold J Loveberry
                        Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/2/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                        COMMENTS: FINAL GAMBIT tends to make one big move and it needs to timed right. BURNHAM SQUARE ran faster fractions despite going longer in the mud. GAMING ran better pace numbers through the first half mile and makes the third start off the bench. COAL BATTLE won both at the distance and won five of seven on dirt.
                        Race #9
                        Turf 1 3/8 Miles - Post Time: 04:55 PM ET
                        Best Bet #12 OSCAR SEASON
                        $134,000.00

                        Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        Win 7-2 12 Oscar Season L Dettori
                        Place 5-2 5 American Hope L Saez
                        Show 12-1 11 Lips Say Bliss C A Torres
                        Wild card 3-1 6 British Isles F Prat
                        Alternate 1 12-1 1 Clydes Got a Gun E Morales
                        Alternate 2 10-1 2 Tough Little Nut B J Hernandez Jr.
                        Exacta 12-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
                        Trifecta 5/11/12 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX



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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 8


                          Jun. 06, 2025









                          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
                          Hot List Key:
                          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
                          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                          2nd race – (1) Box Office has the rail and should lead throughout. (4) Tapakena could be a factor at this level. (10) Big Salt Lick steps up off the claim but may be a contender. (7) Bigwrigdude might wake up here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-10.
                          4th race – (9) Hitherto is a firster from Cox who gets top billing here. (7) Delightful Claire is an intriguing firster. (3) Ivory and Ebony was second last time and cannot be ignored. (5) Chaching Chaching will welcome a dry track. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-9.
                          6th race – (12) Sweet Kaufy has keen early speed and can control this race from the outside. (9) Grade A may relish a sprint. (1) Bourbon Serengetti is worth a look on turf. (3) Mighty Eriu will appreciate the class relief here. Betting strategy: 12 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-12.
                          8th race – (5) Burnham Square may bounce back to top form on a dry track. (7) East Avenue could be tough to catch here. (2) Final Gambit should be closing fast at the end. (1) Gaming may emerge as a main threat from the rail. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7. Doubles: 1-2-5-7 with 1-5-6-12.
                          9th race – (1) Clyde’s Got a Gun should benefit from a rail trip and have a nice closing kick at the end. (5) American Hope figures to enjoy the added distance. (12) Oscar Season fits well here but has a tough post. (6) British Isles merits attention in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6-12.



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