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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359617

    Saturday 6/14/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359617

    #2
    Meet the Contenders: Saturday’s Monomoy Girl Stakes at Chur


    June 9, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    The $175,000 Monomoy Girl Stakes honors the two-time Breeders’ Cup Distaff winner of 2018 and 2020. The remarkable filly won 14 of 17 with a trio of second-place finishes while garnering a pair of Eclipse Awards for trainer Brad Cox. That barn is back Saturday in this namesake race with another Eclipse Award winner, last year’s Champion 2-Year-Old Filly Immersive. She missed the first five months of the 2025 season, but returns Saturday with an eye at perhaps another run to a Breeders’ Cup title.

    Let’s meet the contenders for the 1-1/16 miles Monomoy Girl Stakes (Race 5):

    #1-PRINCESS ALIYAH: Two-time winner at Oaklawn this year tallied the Valley of Vapors Stakes for D. Wayne Lukas. Overmatched in the Fantasy, Eight Belles and Black-Eyed Susan in Grade 2 company, she should appreciate the drop in class. $1.2 million daughter of Into Mischief is granddaughter of 1988 Kentucky Derby-winning filly Winning Colors and looks to make her own mark under the spires. Half-sister to Grade 1 Alabama winner Eskimo Kisses, fourth in the 2018 Kentucky Oaks. She owns a bullet workout June 4 and lures Nik Juarez.

    #2-IMMERSIVE: Four wins in four starts last year included the Grade 1 trio in the Spinaway at Saratoga, Alcibiades at Keeneland and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Del Mar. She makes her first start of 2025 and first go-around at Churchill Downs for trainer Brad Cox, who last month won the Kentucky Oaks even in her absence with Godolphin stablemate Good Cheer. Manny Franco has been aboard in each start and returns to pilot the daughter of Nyquist, winner of the 2016 Kentucky Derby.

    #3-ANNA’S PROMISE: Kentucky Oaks fifth-place finisher remained in Kentucky since for Gulfstream Park-based trainer Carlos David. The $50,000 claim in February was runner-up in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks and has rapidly improved since changing barns. Winless in 4 local attempts, but has a pair of second-place finishes at Churchill. Daughter of Grade 1-winning sprinter Promises Fulfilled, 15th in the 2018 Kentucky Derby after setting the pace. Luis Saez, aboard for a win and second at Gulfstream, reunites in the saddle.

    #4-MINNESOTA MUNNY: Well-traveled Munnings filly exits a Delaware Park allowance win and will be stepping up in class to face the toughest field of her career. She has won 2 of 3 this year, including a Turfway maiden mile in February and will be trying Churchill for the first time. Kelsey Danner trains and regular pilot Adam Beschizza reunites with her return to Kentucky.

    #5-RUNNING AWAY: This 2-time stakes winner of Aqueduct’s Busanda as well as the May 14 Horseshoe Indianapolis Handicap is a rare Wesley Ward route specialist. Gun Runner filly has won 3 of her last 4 since exiting turf bids to open her career. John Velazquez rode her to her maiden win at Churchill in November and returns to the saddle. Each of her wins has come wire-to-wire, so expect speed.

    #6-TAKE CHARGE MILADY: Winner of Oaklawn’s Honeybee and runner-up in Keeneland’s Grade 1 Ashland Stakes, she’ll try to rebound off a disappointing 12th of 13 in the Kentucky Oaks. Daughter of Take Charge Indy has bagged $400,000-plus off a $60,000 yearling purchase price at Keeneland September 2023. Brian Hernandez Jr. and Kenny McPeek provide a popular teaming at Churchill having swept the 2024 Kentucky Derby and Oaks.

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359617

      #3
      Race of the Week: Monmouth's Salvator Mile | Saturday, June 14


      June 12, 2025

      The Lead:
      Monmouth Park gears up for its July 19 signature day of summer with this Saturday's Haskell Preview Day card. Not only will the $150,000 Pegasus Stakes prepare the 3-year-olds for the Haskell Invitational, but 5 divisional stakes are stuffed into the Haskell Preview program. The Grade 3 $150,000 Salvator Mile goes as Race 10 of 12 and is part of those 5 consecutive stakes to wrap up the day's action. It serves as a prep for the Iselin next month.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 2 winner TRADEMARK and Grade 3 winner BISHOPS BAY have the field's signature victories. Stakes winners TUSCAN SKY and NELSON AVENUE also own Grade 3 placings. OFFALY COOL and VITALITY are additional stakes winners. TRADEMARK, TUSCAN SKY and BISHOPS BAY have the strength of schedule edge.
      ​​
      Pace:
      The speed figures to come from posts 7-8-9 as NELSON AVENUE is most likely to show first with AWESOME RUTA and BISHOPS BAY certainly preferring to be in the mix; the latter the faster of the pair. OFFALY COOL has the ability to be in the hunt if that's the rider intent. The pace looks average for a mile stakes.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      #1-ANTIGRAVITY: Monmouth specialist has 5 local wins and is 0-27 out of town. Last year's third-place finisher in the Iselin has lost 6 in a row despite a previous drop in class and would be a surprise wakeup at age 7.

      #2-TRADEMARK: $1.1 million earner ran third in this race 2 years ago before a narrow runner-up in the 2023 Iselin and later won the Grade 2 Clark at Churchill to close that big season. But nothing went right in 2024 for the Vickie Oliver trainee, going 0-6 and last seen sixth in the Fayette at Keeneland in October. Not the easiest spot for the comeback, traveling from Keeneland base off a series of works.

      #3-TUSCAN SKY: Last year's Pegasus Stakes winner on this same card at age 3, the gelded son of Vino Rosso takes his game to the elder ranks in his return bid. Seeks his first win of 2025, but did run third in Gulfstream's Grade 3 Ghostzapper to top-class White Abarrio in March. Turf experiment in the Fort Marcy last out didn't produce, so Todd Pletcher brings this one back to a familiar track and surface. John Velazquez pilots this legit contender.

      #4-OFFALY COOL: Parx-based stakes winner exits a comfortable allowance win May 27 at his home track. Jacinto Solis trainee has traveled with some success, a runner-up in Laurel's John B. Campbell Handicap and a couple of Monmouth second-place finishes, including the 2023 Long Branch Stakes. Respect a horse 13-for-18 in the exacta lifetime. He has pace versatility to be in the mix.

      #5-SURFACE TO AIR: First start of 2025 for well-traveled horse claimed for $30,000 off a Keeneland maiden win 14 months ago. Trainer Panagiotis Synnefias got massive improvement out of this one at the end of 2024. No threat seventh in the Monmouth Cup on this card a year ago over 9 furlongs.

      #6-VITALITY: Canada's Prince of Wales winner to close his nation's Triple Crown in 2024, new trainer Joe Orseno wintered him at Gulfstream and returned May 11 with a 1-turn mile allowance victory. Street Boss gelding makes his first trip to Monmouth, but notably won the second start of his form cycle last season while also moving from 1-turn to 2-turn racing. Two local works for this.

      #7-NELSON AVENUE: Jorge Abreu brings the expected early speed from New York and exits a deep resume primarily of 1-turn races. Outstanding wet-track form if rain is a factor and does own a 2-turn allowance win at Horseshoe Indianapolis 13 months ago. Abreu takes over for Wayne Potts for the first time.

      #8-AWESOME RUTA: Third off the layoff in a sprint-sprint-route form cycle, this Dan Ward trainee could be sitting on a breakout race. Won a 2-turn mile allowance at Monmouth last summer and has been top-3 in all 5 starts since coming to this barn. Isaac Castillo has combined for a 22% win rate with Ward locally.

      #9-BISHOPS BAY: Clear-cut favorite has won 3 straight and is 9: 6-3-0 for high-powered connections of Brad Cox and Flavien Prat. Has won around 1-turn and 2 during his current streak and over multiple racetracks. Speedster could get hung wide with a short run into the first turn, but may be superior and able to give away the ground loss.

      Most Likely Exotics Contender:
      BISHOP'S BAY is 9-9 in the exacta and brings class and top form to the party.

      Best Longshot Contender:
      AWESOME RUTA is going to be a solid price and this form cycle hints at a huge effort.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $45 exacta part-wheel BISHOP's BAY with AWESOME RUTA and VITALITY ($90). $10 win AWESOME RUTA.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359617

        #4
        Scott Shapiro: Saturday's DelPark Late Pick 4 Hit & Split


        June 12, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

        The Triple Crown may be in the rearview mirror, but that does not mean the action stops at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet where it is a busy Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic. Between a 10X 1/ST Rewards Points bonus at Monmouth Park and a Late Pick 4 Hit & Split at Delaware Park there is plenty to sink your teeth into. I will offer up some plays for the Jersey Shore tomorrow, but first let’s take a look at the inaugural Delaware Derby Late Pick 4 since there is $5000 extra up for grabs!


        Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

        Race 7: Cape Henlopen
        Grade: B-
        Main Ticket: 1 Vote No; 3 Kay Army
        Backups: 5 Desvio

        Forecast: The sequence kicks off with this 12-furlong contest over the sod where #3 Kay Army is the deserving 5-2-ML favorite. The Chilean-bred came to the States a perfect 10 for 10 and made his first start off the 13+month layoff in early May in the Fort Marcy (G2). The 5YO stalked the early pace of Manhattan (G1) winner Deterministic, but was turned away. He lost little defeat in New York though off the extended break. A move forward on the class drop and stretch out is expected.

        Kay Army is the one to beat, but #1 Vote No is the one to bet. The son of Divisidero was claimed by trainer Kelsey Danner for $40k at Turfway Park this winter. Danner moved him right to the grass where he put in a very strong late run without much of a setup at Horseshoe Indianapolis last month. He gets Paco Lopez. If he takes to the distance, he should be right in the mix at a juicy 15-1-ML offering.


        Race 8: Delaware Derby
        Grade: B
        Main Ticket: 6 Kentucky Outlaw
        Backups: 9 Pascaline

        Forecast: 3-1-favorite #3 Admiral Dennis exits the best races and comes from big-time connections, but is worth taking a shot against in the inaugural $200k Delaware Derby. He was completely outrun in the Blue Grass (G1) and had little energy late despite having chaotic early fractions to run into in the Rebel (G2). The class drop definitely will benefit, but others are likely to present better value.

        #6 Kentucky Outlaw is still figuring things out mentally, but has a lot of physical talent. The bargain basement $12k son of Outwork overcame his own trouble to win impressively in the Long Branch last month at Monmouth Park. Paco Lopez returning to ride is a major positive. #9 Pascaline is unlikely to beat Kentucky Outlaw on the square, but if my top choice creates his own issues, the Upstart could be the one to take advantage. Trainer Arnaud Delacour adds the blinkers for the first time.


        Race 9: Delaware Oaks (G3)
        Grade: B-
        Main Ticket: 6 Cassiar
        Backups: 7 Fondly; 5 Paris Lily

        Forecast: Perhaps it is wishful thinking expecting to beat a pair of Brad Cox conditioned favorites in the day’s two biggest races, but here we are. #4 Margie’s Intention ran well to win the Black-Eyed Susan (G2) last month over the off going, but also got a great ride from Flavien Prat. The Louisiana-bred is capable, but so are a few others that will be higher on the tote. Plus, Prat is not in Delaware.

        #6 Cassiar is the one I like most. The City of Light filly is 2 for 3 to start her career for Shug McGaughey, but was beaten handily in her lone start around two-turns. Some horseplayers may not be, but I am willing to forgive the well-beaten third in the Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2). She was defeated by a serious filly in Five G and the race shape was not to her liking. She should get a much more favorable setup in her return to stakes action.

        #7 Fondly and #5 Paris Lily are more logical. Paris Lily was beaten last out by Margie’s Intention, but ran very well in defeat. She is capable of turning the tables. Fondly is a tough read, but merits respect. She was outrun in the Kentucky Oaks (G1), but her first two starts were solid. I am willing to give her another shot to an extent, but am a bit concerned she gets over bet.


        Race 10:
        Grade: B-
        Main Ticket: 4 Richard Feynman; 1 Hope’s Alive
        Backups: 11 Mr. Funtastico

        Forecast: The Late Pick 4 concludes with this 1 1/16-mile MSW event over the sod where #4 Richard Feynman appears the one to beat. The son of Into Mischief has failed three times since arriving in the States thus far, but only one of those came over the grass. Trainer Graham Motion adds the blinkers for the first time, which bodes well for his chances. Motion is 7 for 26 over the last 2 years when adding shades for the initial time in a turf route. Irad Ortiz Jr jumping onboard helps as well. #1 Hope’s Alive will also be on all my tickets. The Gift Box colt draws favorably to the inside, which should allow jockey Jaime Rodriguez to make the lead. If he is left alone, he is very much a gate-to-wire candidate at 5-1.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359617

          #5
          Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/14/25


          June 14, 2025

          Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
          Saturday, June 14 2024
          Santa Anita Park


          Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

          For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

          Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
          Main Ticket: 6-Gazon (GB)
          ; 2-Fleet Feet.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast:. Following a fairly decet maiden $50,000 win two races back over this course and distance, Gazon (GB) was protected in starters allowance company in his next start but flopped as the favorite, finishing off the board. The performance must have really disappointed his connections, who wheel him back in a restricted (nw-2) $25,000 seller, a realistic spot for this four year old gelding. Regular pilot H. Berrios stays aboard for the red hot J. Sadler barn. Fleet Feet is fast on numbers but just 1-for-15 in his career and isn’t one to trust. The good news is that his only win was accomplished at this trip over the local lawn, though that victory came more than a year ago. That said, as a first time gelding, he does have a right to produce a significant forward move.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
          Main Ticket: 1-Dorie Miller
          ; 6-Goodnight Nellie.
          Backups: 5-Happy Sue.

          Forecast: Trainer L. Powell doesn’t claim many, but he appears to have made a timely purchase with Dorie Miller, a strong runner-up at 11-1 in a nw-3 $30,000 seller on grass last month and protected today in a first level allowance state-bred dirt sprint for fillies and mares. She’s a fit on numbers, attracts J. Hernandez, and should draft into a second flight, ground-saving position from her rail post and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. Goodnight Nellie needs to step it up a bit in the speed figure department but is lightly raced (just two starts) with plenty of room for improvement. Though beaten at odds-on in a similar main track sprint here last month, the daughter of Lord Nelson was used on the pace before weakening and might be better served today if held up early and allowed to run late.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
          Main Ticket: 2-Nokie

          Backups: 1-Vegas Love.

          Forecast: Nokie returns to the claiming ranks for the first time since she broke her maiden at first asking for $20,000 in Florida more than two years ago. The class drop seems warranted, and at this level the V. Cerin-trained mare appears to have found a field she can handle. Three times second in four starts over the local main track, the daughter of Quality Road lacks tactical speed but at this extended sprint distance she should have every opportunity to produce a winning late kick.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: X
          Main Ticket: 2-Thought Process

          Backups: none.

          Forecast: If she’s ready – and the work tab suggests she is – the multi-stakes winning Thought Process should outclass this five runner open allowance field in her first start since finishing unplaced in the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf last fall. Entered but scratched out of the recent main track Summertime Oaks-G2, the daughter of Collected launches her comeback on familiar footing as a first time Lasix user under new rider U. Rispoli and seems likely to verify her 3/5 morning line listing,


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 5-Mining District
          ; 2-The GM.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast: Mining District earned a career top number when a strong runner-up in a similar first level allowance main track sprint, and from his cozy outside draw and with an extra half furlong to work with the D. O’Neill-trained gelding should be hard to beat. He’s 9/5 on the morning line and seems likely to go a bit lower. The GM is a bit slower on numbers than our top pick but after graduating in just his second career start last December before stopped on the M. Puype-trained gelding returns with a series of strong workouts and could easily be a better type this time around. We’ll be surprised if the winner isn’t one of these two.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 2-Mrs. Astor
          ,
          Backups: 3-Kentucky Gal (Ire).

          Forecast: Mrs. Astor might be a tad more effective over 12 furlongs but despite shortening up to a mile and one-quarter in this year’s edition of the Possibly Perfect Stakes the veteran mare seems fairly solid at or near her morning line of 6/5. She’s a two-time winner over the local lawn in a race that probably will be reduced to a quarter of a mile sprint from the top of the lane to the wire. And she has the most effective turn of foot.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 3-My Love Caroline
          ; 10-That Ain’t Right.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast: My Love Caroline had a rugged start in her debut when backed down to 6/5 and it no doubt cost her when third in a quick heat last month. She’ll add blinkers today for a barn that has strong stats with the second time starter angle, so we’re expecting the daughter of Stay Thirsty to step forward significantly and make amends in this state bred affair for juvenile fillies. That Ain’t Right had similar issues at the gate in her only start and did as well as she could thereafter to wind up a distant fourth. She seems sure to improve, her far outside draw notwithstanding, and is a “must use” on the top line,


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 1-Noble Reflection
          ; 2-Whatmakessammyrun.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast: Noble Reflection is dropping from $40,000 to $32,000 in his first start since changing barns, not normally a healthy sign, but the L. Barocio outfit can be aggressive with its claiming stock, so we won’t look at this maneuver in a negative light. The son of Liam’s Map is a four time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, and from the rail he is sure to bust out and try to wire the field. Whatmakessammyrun, a prototype late-running turf sprinter, is another course specialist (seven career wins), is always tough at this level, and with good racing luck is sure to be heard from in the final furlong.


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 1-Cheever
          ; 4-Sierra Silver.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast: Cheever and Sierra Silver finished third and second, respectively, when they met in a similar older maiden sprint here last month behind the highly promising Southern Gentleman. That race was Cheever’s career debut while ‘Silver had had a prior outing, so based on the “more room for improvement” factor we’ll give the Into Mischief colt the nod on top while including both on the top line. The M. Glatt barn has strong stats with this angle and today’s seven furlong trip should reduce the concern of the rail post. Conversely, ‘Silver had every chance when missing at odds-on in that race and may not be totally trustworthy.

          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 7-Motorious
          ; 2-Bran.
          Backups: none.

          Forecast Motorious has trained like he’s fit and ready for his first start since December, and with a history of firing fresh the very high class grass sprinter deserves top billing over a Hillside course that we know he can handle in this year’s renewal of the Daytona S.-G3. Bran is the one to fear most and after narrowly missing in the listed Siren Lure S. over the flat course last month in his first outing since July. He’s another Hillside specialist and always has been thoroughly genuine and consistent,


          __________________________________________________ ________
          Santa Anita Race 11: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: C+
          Main Ticket: J. B. Books
          ; 3-Brother o’ Brien,
          Backups: 6-Big Bet.

          Forecast: Here’s a somewhat treacherous main track $5,000 claimer that requires some coverage. J. B. Brooks may be as good as any. This is the cheapest he’s ever run for, and he has numbers that exceed what should be required, though in races at this level you can never be sure about a horse’s current condition. Brother o’ Brien, claimed in two of his last three races, is a five time winner coming off a nice score at this level, but the switch from J. Hernandez to S, Carmona is nobody’s ideal of a positive jockey change. We suggest you include at least these two on your top line, along with anything else that catches your eye.


          __________________________________________________ ____________________________
          Santa Anita Race 12: Post: 6:08 PT Grade: B+
          Main Ticket: 11-Severe Clear
          ; 12-Ride Elbow Ranch.
          Backups: 8-Ridegold.

          Forecast: Severe Clear was given an educational run sprinting in her debut (finished sixth but galloped out far in front) and today will get serious on the stretch out. The daughter of Vronsky should handle the two turns just fine and offers excellent price value at or near her 10-1 morning line. She trained like she has ability prior to her debut and today would be a good spot to show it. Ride Elbow Ranch is stuck way outside but has rising numbers and the classic two-sprints-and-stretch-out pattern for M. Glatt (very strong stats with this angle). The switch to A. Fresu is another positive angle for the daughter of Clubhouse Ride.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359617

            #6
            Al Cimaglia: Mohawk Park NA Cup Pick 4/Jackpot Hi 5 Analysis


            June 14, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

            The Pepsi North America Cup is the headliner of the 13-race card at Woodbine Mohawk Park. Besides over $2.3 million in purses on the line Saturday night, the 0.20 Jackpot Hi-5 will have a mandatory payout. The carryover is $421,607.93 and there is no telling how much new money will be bet.

            The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10, the Hi-5 goes in Race 13 and there are tickets posted below for each. Comments and selections are based on a fast track.

            Race 10-Fan Hanover-$390,000 Purse (10:18 PM EDT)

            5-Miki And Minnie (6/5)-This gal banked over $1.5 million as a two-year-old and it would have been a great battle between the Chris Ryder pupil and Chantilly who was the morning line even money chalk. With the sick scratch of Chantilly, the selection for this race became crystal clear. Dexter Dunn will have his options starting from post 5 and last week went the back half in .53 to win its Elim. Should be the best again, as was the case in both races this year. It looks like it will take a very bump trip to beat her.

            Race 11-North America Cup-$1,000,000,000 Purse (10:49 PM EDT)

            6-Captain Optimistic (9/2)-The Nancy Takter trainee raced huge to win its Elimination after being parked 1st over. Dexter Dunn will be at the controls once again and this colt wouldn't be denied finishing off the mile with a 26.3 last panel. My only reservation is the taxing trip last week. Dunn was parked into the first turn, settled in and then pulled to come first over on the backside. But will single with a 9/2 morning line and seeing that the mile went in 150.2. That time was much slower than the other Elimination races and this will only be its 3rd start in 2025. Draws a very good post, shouldn't be far from the leader at any time and a smoother trip is likely.

            Race 12 (11:15 PM EDT)

            6-Write Me A Rose (5/2)-The five-year-old has been facing Preferred company and cashed checks in 3 of the last 4 races. Now qualifies for a significant drop to face NW9500L5. Gets a ++ driver change in Doug McNair and has won 17 of 64 at Mohawk. On 4-12 McNair steered the Fellows trainee and went gate to wire against better. This is a prime picture taking opportunity after landing the choice post draw.

            Race 13-Jackpot Hi-5-$421,607.93 Carryover (11:48 PM EDT)

            3-Larry Karr (4-1)-This will be the 3rd start off a layoff going back to 2-9 and faces $50k claimers again. In the 1st start Larry raced from the back and came a neck short. Last week got the top into a blistering 25.4 opening quarter leaving from post 6. The trip took its toll and finished a beaten 3rd. Tonight, starts inside and that could be the winning difference. Tyler Borth should be able to get on the engine without draining much gas. Best to respect in the 3rd start on Lasix.
            6-Dragononthebeach (3-1)-The Dave Menary trainee comes off a win after rolling the back half in .54. Faces similar, drops in for a tag and should be dialed on high. James MacDonald will have in striking range and looks like a main player at a small price.

            $10 Late Pick 4

            5/6/6/3,6
            Total Bet=$20

            In the Hi-5 my keys are #3-Larry Karr and #6-Dragononthebeach. They will be used like an exacta box at the top of my $96 ticket.

            Race 13-0.20 Super Hi-5

            3,6/3,6/1,2,7,8,9,10/1,2,7,8,9,10/1,2,4,5,7,8,9,10,11,12
            Total Bet=$96
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359617

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Santa Anita - Race #6
              #1 Kentucky Gal Love the way she's going right now, and I think her last would be competitive here if she can bring something similar. Some appeal as maybe the second choice?
              #2 Mrs. Astor She's probably supposed to be tough here at a modest price, as she's got a class edge on most of these and has handled graded company.
              #6 Starry Heavens She was just handily beaten by 'Astor, but the form is there for her to be competitive for a piece with these today. Not impossible.
              Race Summary Kentucky Gal gets a class test today after a couple of really nice efforts here, and she should be tactical enough to find a good spot while keeping tabs on Mrs. Astor.
              Santa Anita - Race #10
              #6 Lovesick Blues Think there are a couple others in here who can hit hard, but the price might be OK here despite the good run last out, and he can get the jump on the next guy.
              #7 Motorious Classy guy has a big claim on this one, but the price figures to get short in what feels like a competitive enough race. Your call, but not for me today at this kind of number.
              #3 Goliad He has been showing route pace and fading with Grade I company in those last couple starts, and that gives him some room to show up against this cheaper crew while turning back.
              Race Summary Lovesick Blues should get another perfect first-over kind of run, and he should offer a playable number while meeting a runner like Motorious.
              Santa Anita - Race #12
              #9 Wild Cat Danzing Something like the two-back run might be enough to get the job done, and she should be a bit better price this time around after the dud last out.
              #10 California Rocks She showed a bit of late interest in the debut run, and that can set her up for something better at second asking. Sharp work since.
              #8 Ridgegold Speed has just failed to stay late, but he should find himself in another competitive spot as they turn for home. One of the ones.
              Race Summary Wild Cat Danzing hasn't quite been at the level of a horse like Ridgegold yet, but the two-back run suggests he may be able to bounce back with a better run today.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359617

                #8
                Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                Gulfstream Park - Race #1
                #7 AMERICAN DIRECTION (4-1) &n Can turn tables on similar foes if he avoids another troubled start.
                #3 BEIJING BOSS (5-2) -- Just missed off a year layoff in first try on turf for new connections.
                #8 CANUTO (5-1) – Will be running late on the cutback in distance, gets in light-weighted.
                Race Summary The main contenders from a rapid-paced May 18 turf sprint reunite at 5F. AMERICAN DIRECTION lost his stirrup at the start and didn’t factor. He returns with blinkers on and a projected fast pace again to rally into. Bet to win and place and play 7-3 and 7-8 exactas.
                Gulfstream Park - Race #3
                #7 FOUNDER’S DAY (4-1) & Classy 7yo maintains consistent and competitive form in short sprints.
                #6 FIELDS OF GREEN (7-5) &ndas Rallied to win two back against runner-up who came back to win.
                #4 IN THE END (3-1) – Won 4 of 8 on the lawn as a 3-year-old, makes seasonal debut today.
                Race Summary FOUNDER’S DAY has a win and four seconds in her last six starts on the synthetic track, mostly at this level. She rallied 7-wide after a bumpy start to finish second off the re-claim. Bet to win and place and play 7-5 and 7-6 exactas.
                Gulfstream Park - Race #6
                #7 WIGGLE AN’ WINE (8-1) Troubled start foiled three-peat bid, likes outside post and synthetic surface.
                #6 GET THE WIN (7-2) – Worked 4F bullet in :47 flat after wire-to-wire debut victory at 5F, takes class hike.
                #5 BAL DE MAR (5-1) – Beaten favorite, lures Zayas off claim, can join $100,000 Club.
                Race Summary WIGGLE AN’ WINE had two wins and a second from outside posts before she broke inward from post 2 in her latest start and didn’t factor. She changes riders and figures in the mix again at a proven class level. Bet to win and place.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359617

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
                  PURCHASE
                  Fairmount Park - Race 3 $1.00 Daily Double (Races 3-4) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) .10 Cent Superfecta
                  Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 49 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:20P
                  FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Dominant Trailer. LUCKY SEVEN is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY SEVEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SPIRIT SMOKE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                  5 LUCKY SEVEN 3/1 3/1
                  3 SPIRIT SMOKE 4/1 7/2
                  2 LITTLE SASSER 2/1 7/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  1 STEVE 1 5/1 Front-runner 0 0 24.7 24.7 18.2
                  2 LITTLE SASSER 2 2/1 Alternator/Stalker 49 39 28.0 28.0 22.0
                  5 LUCKY SEVEN 5 3/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 50.3 43.4 40.4
                  3 SPIRIT SMOKE 3 4/1 Alternator/Trailer 47 27 29.9 38.3 31.8
                  6 HEARTBREAK GAME 6 10/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 13.6 13.6 5.1
                  4 FORT GRIMES 4 6/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 6.7 6.7 0.0
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359617

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Energy Downs 307 Racing
                    PURCHASE
                    Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race 7 $2 WPS / $2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta
                    Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 CR: 49 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:00P
                    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BROKE THE CODE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MARIELITA: T oday is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STORMY RYTHM: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
                    7 BROKE THE CODE 4/1 7/2
                    4 MARIELITA 7/2 7/2
                    8 STORMY RYTHM 12/1 9/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    7 BROKE THE CODE 7 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 44.2 21.6 19.1
                    8 STORMY RYTHM 8 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 48 28 41.2 19.8 6.8
                    4 MARIELITA 4 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 37.5 31.2 22.7
                    2 BANDERSNATCH 2 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 13.3 17.1 8.1
                    10 INVINCIBLE ANGEL 10 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 28 26 0.0 19.2 4.2
                    9 LAKERVILLE ROSE 9 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 55 48 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    6 WYOMING JEWEL 6 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 73 27 0.0 15.3 5.8
                    1 TWISTIN WITH LINDA 1 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 8.5 0.0
                    3 MISS HOTROD 3 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 6.7 0.0
                    5 SUNRISE MAGIC 5 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359617

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 2 - Stakes - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $21400 Class Rating: 77

                      QUARTER HORSE 110Y, CTM SPRINT S. - A STAKE FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD QUARTER HORSES. SEE AQHRA STAKES BOOK FOR FURTHER DETAILS. WEIGHT: THREE-YEAR-OLDS 124 LBS. OLDER: 126 LBS.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 3 FIRED 2/1
                      # 5 FLIGHT CLUB 3/1
                      # 1 DOUBLE CRUISE 9/2
                      FIRED could be the bet in here. He ought to be given consideration given the solid speed figures. Has to be considered - I like the numbers from the last affair. Has been moving well in races of this distance, going 5 out of 14 under similar conditions. FLIGHT CLUB - Ran a strong last race. Has a sharp shot in this event if you like back class. DOUBLE CRUISE - Has to be considered here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Kenway has him trained admirably to break sharply out of the starting gate.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359617

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Delaware Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:07pm - SO - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $44,000 Class Rating: 91

                        Rating:

                        #4 WARNING SIGNS (ML=7/2)
                        #9 UNION BULLDOG (ML=6/1)
                        #5 DERZ SMART (ML=6/1)


                        WARNING SIGNS - Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this one has the highest Equibase speed figure for the distance and surface. The jockey/trainer tandem of Lopez and Danner has a strong return on investment together. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. May be extremely hard to beat this steed on the sod today. Last time out scored a nice turf number, the highest of any of these animals. This one has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. UNION BULLDOG - I expect this mount to stun some railbirds this time out. DERZ SMART - Entered an Allowance race at Laurel last race out and raced on the soft turf finishing seventh. I'd expect a better race in this field.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SILLY RABBIT (ML=9/2), #2 PATRICK'S PROMISE (ML=6/1), #3 HALL MONITOR (ML=6/1),

                        SILLY RABBIT - Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. PATRICK'S PROMISE - Last ran on May 9th at Gulfstream Park, finishing fifth. Not likely to improve off of that try today. Should probably pass on this young horse, he hasn't had enough experience to win this kind of contest. HALL MONITOR - Should probably pass on this young horse, he hasn't had enough experience to win this kind of affair. Somewhat easily forgotten rating last time around the track at Gulfstream Park at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - WARNING SIGNS - This colt has the top last speed figure at Churchill Downs. Must be considered in your gambling.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 WARNING SIGNS is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,9]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,9] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [4,5,9] with [4,5,9] with [4,5,7,9,12] with [4,5,7,9,12] Total Cost: $36
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359617

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                          PURCHASE





                          Woodbine - Race #3 - Post: 2:18pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $36,100 Class Rating: 58

                          Rating:

                          #15 UNDER AGREEMENT (FR) (ML=8/1)
                          #2 FROGINAPOND (ML=3/1)
                          #5 SIX FOR A NINE (ML=12/1)


                          UNDER AGREEMENT (FR) - I like to see fast morning drills. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is meeting an easier group than in the last race at Turfway Park. FROGINAPOND - Strong average class rating on this horse. Should have the ability to run well on the turf. You always have to be on the prowl for revenue generating jockey/conditioner combos; we have it right here. You have to like that recent race speed rating, 65, which is the best most recent race speed rating of this field. SIX FOR A NINE - Alderson is right back for another affair today after racing atop this animal for the first ride on May 16th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Filly got a healthy speed rating last time she tried this distance. That number would be good enough to win today. Ran last time around the track against a better group of horses at Woodbine. The move down in class ranks should suit her well.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #12 SUPER SERENADE (ML=5/2), #7 SUNNYVILLE (ML=7/2), #3 SCARY BOO (ML=4/1),

                          SUPER SERENADE - Seattle Serenade has a none too stellar winning percent of 2 with horse's on the grass. SUNNYVILLE - Don't think that this filly has value at 7/2 this time. SCARY BOO - Would have to get much more than the morning line odds of 4/1 to bet on this mount.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FROGINAPOND - Grant has found a softer field for this mare today. Last clash was nowhere near as tough as this one.


                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #15 UNDER AGREEMENT (FR) on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5,15]
                          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,5,15] Total Cost: $6
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359617

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

                            PURCHASE
                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.



                            Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11300 Class Rating: 62

                            FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 5 CALLISTO'S BRIGADE 5/2
                            # 4 WISHFUL THOUGHTS 3/1
                            # 3 IRISH WIZARD 9/5
                            I've got to go with CALLISTO'S BRIGADE. His 56 average has this gelding with among the most respectable Equibase speed figs for this event. Ought to be considered for this event if only for the very good speed figure recorded in the last contest. He has garnered quite good numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group of animals. WISHFUL THOUGHTS - Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 57 - of his last effort. Contreras has this gelding racing well and is a very good selection based on the formidable Equibase speed figs garnered in sprint races recently. IRISH WIZARD - Earning some nice money in dirt sprint events. Has a strong shot here if you like back class.
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