Sunday 6/15/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:05:16-05:00

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/15/25

June 15, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Sunday, June 15, 2024
Santa Anita Park

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 7-Mutaz; 4-Cuban Connection
Backups: 9-Broski.

Forecast: Mutaz is improving with racing and looks ready to step forward again and graduate in this moderate maiden special weight turf miler for older horses. The son of Nyquist shortens to a mile – he’s probably better suited for this trip – and seems the solid choice. Cuban Connection has rising numbers and figures in the fray once again, although having been beaten three straight times as the favorite at this level makes the English-bred gelding hard to trust.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Atomic Drop
Backups: 6-Druidic.

Forecast: Atomic Drop aired by 10 lengths two races back but was wheeled back in six days by his new connections off the claim and bounced to the moon when fourth at 3/5 at this starter optional claiming level last month. With about a month of rest this time, the veteran gelding should return to winning form in a main track miler that projects to have just a moderate early pace, but at 7/5 on the morning line there won’t be much wagering value available.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2-Step It Out (Ire)
Backups: none.

Forecast: Step It Out (Ire), first off a $25,000 claim by an outfit that does well with this angle, found nine furlongs out of her range and weakened to finish off the board as the odds-on favorite last month but back at the same level and shortening to a mile should allow this Irish-bred filly to regain her best form. She projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving, stalking trip and have every chance to seal the deal when the pressure is turned on.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 7-Eastwick; 3-Lady Rider.
Backups: 5-Double Cappuccino.

Forecast: Here’s an open fray that should be treated with some caution. Eastwick clearly is being culled by the stable. The daughter of Ghostzapper nosedives into a low level maiden claimer for the first time and may have found her proper level. Her numbers aren’t terrible and a little will go a long way against this group. Lady Rider showed some spark when second in this league last month and with only slight improvement should be the one to fear most.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6-Word Play
Backups: 7-Notime for Squalls.

Forecast: Word Play just fell short in a similar starter optional claimer over this course and distance last month despite striking the front and looking like the winner 70 yards from the wire. She’s 6/5 on the morning line to make amends today and might even go lower. She’s a logical top pick but not one that you can do much with on the tote.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Actung Baby; 6-Pavlovian.
Backups: 9-Jalisco; 8-Stanford Dropout.

Forecast: Actung Baby hasn’t been asked to show his best speed in his morning trials but moves like a good athlete and may be a sneaky type for a barn that can be clever with debut runners. In a grab bag for state-bred juveniles, the son of Pavel may be worth a gamble. Pavlovian has the benefit of a prior outing and displayed good ability when second in a similar affair last month. The D. O’Neill-trained colt shows a nice breeze since raced and is the likely choice and one to beat.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 6-Eternal Reign; 10-Ariri (GB),
Backups: 2-Valkyrian (Ire).

Forecast: Eternal Reign was overmatched in the Royal Heroine S.-G3 in her most recent outing in April but isn’t today. The Irish-bred filly gets a major jockey upgrade to J. Hernandez and will greatly appreciate the return to the first level allowance ranks for the red hot P. D’Amato barn. Ariri (GB) makes her U.S. debut after winning her only start stylishly over the all-weather surface at Wolverhampton in England last summer. She has top class connections, a work tab that should have her fit and ready and might be a very nice type.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:06 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2-No Joke Antares; 8-Arkadelphia.
Backups: 10-Hero Or Zero.

Forecast: No Joke Antares has trained like a colt with good ability and looks like a live item in this split of the sixth race, a state-bred dash for juveniles. He’s a nicely pedigreed home bred colt by win-early sire Practical Joke, so he has every right to be competitive first time out at a decent price. Arkadelphia was a respectable third a stakes turf sprint Florida in his debut last month. That bit of experience should do him well in a race in which the main players are first timers.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1-Nitti (Ire); 7-Divin Propos (Fr).
Backups: 4-Maltese Falcon (Ire).

Forecast: Nitti (Ire) is acclimating nicely and strikes us a true marathon type. Fresh from a career top win against middle distance allowance types over the local lawn, the Irish-bred gelding is tackling much tougher foes in this year’s renewal of the San Juan Capistrano S.-G3 but offers intriguing value at or near his morning line of 12-1. He’ll need to step forward but we’re expecting he will. Divin Propos (Fr) has been facing stronger competition than he’s seeing today and should love the trip. From a red hot stable and with winning form over the local lawn, the French import is strictly the one to beat.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 7-Indispensable; 6-Varney.
Backups: 2-Pony Express.

Forecast: Indispensable exits a series of stakes races and will appreciate this return to the first level allowance ranks in his first outing since November. The workouts indicate fitness for a barn that has strong stats with comebackers. On pure numbers from his sophomore season the son of Constitution should outclass this field. Varney is developing nicely for B. Baffert and looked quite good beating a much lesser maiden field at Pimlico last month. He should continue to improve with experience and remains well regarded.

__________________________________________________ ________
Santa Anita Race 11: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Beef Winslow
Backups: 2-Daniel’s Hope.

Forecast: Beef Winslow was a thoroughly convincing winning under these conditions last month and there’s no reason he can’t do it again. His second flight, stalking style makes him perfectly suited for the Hillside Course and this low profile jockey clearly gets good run out of him. There’s wagering value at or near his 5/2 morning line if you can get it.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 12: Post: 6:08 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 12-Young Love 7-Godavri; 6-Lavender Love.
Backups: 5-Penny Worth.

Forecast: Here’s messy maiden turf sprint to close out the meeting. Young Love returns with J. Hernandez, who rode her in her only outing exactly a year ago when the daughter of Grazen, despite being strongly backed on the tote, finished far back on dirt before being stopped on. Sprinting on turf, we are going to assume that she’ll show her true ability this time around. The work tab at San Luis Rey Downs is sneaky good, so at 10-1 on the morning line there may be a major gamble to be had. Godavri is improving with racing and based on her good runner-up effort under these conditions in her recent comeback the D. Blacker-trained daughter of Om is fairly solid. Lavender Love is a first timer from the R. Baltas barn with a series of workouts that are fairly impressive on paper. We have no video – she’s been at San Luis Rey Downs – but like our top pick is a daughter of Grazen and therefore eligible to be pretty quick.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:05:40-05:00

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 15, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 15-race card, and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:50 PM EDT)

2-Jules Hill (7/2)-Virgil Morgan mare has good speed and should relish the company. Has bounced around racing at Yonkers and on other ovals in Ohio. Chris Lems steers and the 4-year-old will be making its Nfld debut.
5-Foxy Hill (7/5)-This is the other entry from the Morgan barn, ships in from Scioto and was facing tough customers. Had post 10 in the 1st start off the bench and raced evenly from the 2nd tier. Will also be making its Nfld debut and should be a small price.

Race 12 (10:13 PM EDT)

6-Sage Ivy (5/2)-Won at this level 2 back, then stepped up and raced evenly. Gets a positive driver change in Aaron Merriman and he was the pilot who took a picture on 5-31. Looking for an aggressive drive and to land in the pocket behind the 9/5 program chalk who starts from the rail. Likes to beat this kind and should be the best down the lane.

Race 13 (10:36 PM EDT)

3-Beautiful Lather (6-1)-Will shop for some prices as the tepid program chalk #2 Silly But Serious (5/2) is not appealing to me. Tye Loy entry ships in from ScD where the waters were high and fits much better with this crew. Could be a square price and can be forwardly placed throughout.
5-Rockadella (25-1)-This mare is inconsistent but can be a player with the right trip. Chris Lems steers and if he finds a live cover flow it could be picture time at a big number.
6-Face The Shadows (7-1)-Gets a little post relief and needs to find a good early seat. This isn't a deep group, will look for an aggressive steer from Kurt Sugg, and to be in reach of the leader in time to post a win.
9-Lucky Miki (25-1)-Melanie Wrenn trainee ships in from HoP and should fit well. Aaron Merriman lands on a new face he could have in play early on. The 2 horse should show early speed and that will help. Has a win in 2 starts at Nfld and will respect chances despite the post draw.

Race 14 (10:59 PM EDT)

7-Vel Little Blister (4-1)-Showed improvement versus this kind in last missing by a nose. Draws outside so that helps the price and does have enough gate speed to get a good early seat. Comes right back, Chris Lems sticks, and he does good work with this mare that likes to take pictures at Nfld (7-3-1-0).

$2 Late Pick 4

2,5/6/3,5,6,9/7
Total Bet=$16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:06:16-05:00

Scott Shapiro: Sunday’s Gulfstream Mandatory Payout Pick 6

June 15, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

Sunday is a big one at 1/ST Racing where there are not only mandatory payouts in all wagers on closing day at Santa Anita Park, but also a force-out in Gulfstream Park’s Rainbow 6. After a Saturday that carryover stands at $129,340.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 4:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3 Kansai; 5 Brisa Veloz
Backups: None

Forecast: A challenging MSW event at 5-furlongs over the grass kicks things off where #5 Brisa Veloz is the one with experience that makes the most sense. The Saffie Joseph Jr. trainee did not run well after a slow start in her lone try sprinting over the lawn in February, but rebounded with a narrow miss over the all-weather against similar in late May. A repeat of that makes her tough to beat. I will use her as well as first-time starter #3 Kansai. The Michael Yates trainee has some precocity in the blood being the full younger sister to debut winner Bouncer, who ended up 6 for 21 overall. She will probably not have to be all that much to win at first asking.

Race 5:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 5 Rough Draft; 6 Mr Narcissistic; 1 Adios Now
Backups: None

Forecast: There is no doubt that 7-5- ML favorite #6 Mr Narcissitic is the clear one to beat in this optional claimer over the all-weather. The 7YO drew favorably to the outside after an easy win against similar on May 17. There is a lot of speed though to his inside, so perhaps he gets a little leg weary over the final half furlong. If so, #1 Adios Now is the likeliest to run by her, but do not discount the chances of #5 Rough Draft. The NY-bred was claimed out of his last race by trainer Carlos Narvaez. Narvaez has proven strong first off the claim through a limited sample size and there is no doubt this son of Editorial has some races to go back to. His 12-1-ML price is more than appealing.

Race 6:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2 Hot Cargo
Backups: None
Forecast: I am willing to live and die with 8-5-ML favorite #2 Hot Cargo in this first-level allowance at 5-furlongs over the grass. The Silent Name mare was claimed by Saffie Joseph Jr. in January and has rattled off two consecutive wins over this turf course. She draws inside and should get another favorable forward trip with Rajiv Maragh back in the saddle.

Race 7:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 1 Major King
Backups: 6 Zozan

Forecast: The pace is likely to be contentious in this $6250 open claimer over Gulfstream Park’s one-turn dirt mile configuration. This bodes well for #1 Major King. The California Chrome gelding makes his second start off the claim for trainer Amador Sanchez after an easy win against similar on May 24. The rail draw is not ideal in these mile races, but he relaxed kindly along the inside in his victory last month and should benefit if the field separates like they often do when races have quick early paces. If he has traffic issues, #6 Kozan is the one that makes the most sense to take advantage. He clearly has soundness issues, but his last couple of races against conditional claimers fit well against these. He also should benefit from the probable race shape.

Race 8:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4 Beach Gold
Backups: None

Forecast: I am not all that creative with my single in this second-level allowance at two-turns over the lawn, but #4 Beach Gold appears to be a bit of a standout. The Omaha Beach colt was competitive at Keeneland in April and then put forth a career best effort in his easy win over this course last month. Jockey Jonathan Ocasio should be able to work out another perfect stalking trip, which is likely to lead to this one’s third lifetime win.

Race 9:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 5 Artemus Wizard; 2 Milazzo
Backups: 11 Just Buu

Forecast: 7-2-ML favorite #6 Live to Ride is a runner I am willing to take a stand against in the final leg of the Rainbow 6. The Kingman gelding will seal the deal someday, but it has already been 10 starts without a win, including four losses at 2-1 odds or lower. He is by far the likeliest to hit the board, but I will bank on at least one being better than him again in the Sunday finale.

#5 Artemus Wizard gets major class relief and has the most upside still, but is not easy to fully trust. #2 Milazzo has had plenty of chances like the favorite, but his 12-1 price makes him worth including. Lightly-raced #11 Just Buu gets blinkers for the first time for trainer David Fawkes. He should appreciate the drop to the lowest level of his young career.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:07:17-05:00

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #1

#2 Big Bill	He kicked on well going short in the debut run, and that might set him up for something better -- and potentially a touch more tactical -- while stretching out at second asking.
#4 Cuban Confusion	Reliable guy has done just about everything but win, but he's sure to take some cash again today and wouldn't be a shock in another underneath spot on the board when this is all done.
#6 Unrivaled Hero	He's capable of something better than he showed last time out, and the price probably gets better this time around. For a piece.
Race Summary	#7 Mutaz has outside pace with a claim on this one in a fun race to start the day. Big Bill finished with some energy on debut and probably has enough to win this with a reasonable move forward.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#8 Balladeer	He's always vulnerable in the lane, but he looks like the clear controlling pace here and might not take any kind of serious heat in the early going here. Tighter today?
#6 Mrs. Astor	She's got serious marathon form -- something most of these can't say -- and that makes her tough here while trying to get past these late. The one to beat.
#5 Santa Barbarian	He was 43/1 when posting the stakes upset last time out, but he looked pretty good that day in an effort that suggests more distance might work in his favor.
Race Summary	Balladeer is not particularly reliable pace, but he is the only serious-looking forward player today and should have the front all to himself. Maybe they let him too loose.

Santa Anita - Race #12

#1 Clubhouse Cutie	She took a step forward at second asking when getting on the turf, and something similar would keep her in the frame today. One of the ones.
#8 Trickifult	Only brief pace from her in the debut at Del Mar last year, but she was 4/1 today and comes back fresh today with Lasix -- so I wonder if she might have something much more appealing to offer today.
#7 Godavri	She ran a good one when finishing in front of the top choice when they met last out, but the price is going to be a lot shorter here.
Race Summary	Clubhouse Cutie may offer an OK price even though she took a big step forward in a similar spot last time out, and I'm hoping another move in the right direction would get her home.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:09:00-05:00

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows
PURCHASE

Prairie Meadows - Race 12	Win / Place / Show / Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Minimum) / Jackpot Super Hi 5 (.20 Minimum)
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $21,360 • Post: 8:42P
FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28, 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 15, 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 15, 2024 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BAYLEYWICK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DREAMINONTHENILE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KANJENG: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Hors e has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ESPIRIDION: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Qu arter Horse race).
6	BAYLEYWICK	20/1	9/2
7	DREAMINONTHENILE	3/1	5/1
2	KANJENG	9/5	8/1
3	ESPIRIDION	5/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	ESPIRIDION	3	5/1	Front-runner	75	76	62.8	43.6	35.1
8	ANNIEWAY U WANT IT	8	15/1	Front-runner	71	55	55.6	46.4	33.4
2	KANJENG	2	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	73	74	59.8	51.4	42.9
1	ANCHORS AND SPURS	1	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	69	64	59.4	54.4	44.9
7	DREAMINONTHENILE	7	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	73	67	54.8	66.4	62.9
6	BAYLEYWICK	6	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	82	75	39.4	65.0	59.0
4	SING LUCY SING	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	50	39.8	50.3	36.3
5	LUCKYHOTSTUFF	5	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	65	38.4	51.2	44.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:09:24-05:00

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Claiming $20,000 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 5:57P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 15, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. COATTAILS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INCREDIBLE SHOT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GORILLA TREK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEN DREAMING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fi gure at the distance/surface. COATTAILS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3	INCREDIBLE SHOT	6/5	5/1
1	GORILLA TREK	2/1	6/1
2	BEN DREAMING	5/1	7/1
6	COATTAILS	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	COATTAILS	6	8/1	Front-runner	69	64	103.0	57.6	47.6
5	NONCHALANT	5	6/1	Stalker	74	75	64.0	65.6	57.1
2	BEN DREAMING	2	5/1	Stalker	90	90	39.8	62.6	54.6
4	SUMMER LOVER	4	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	80	49.0	73.0	66.5
1	GORILLA TREK	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	92	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	INCREDIBLE SHOT	3	6/5	Trailer	94	79	58.8	90.8	85.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:09:47-05:00

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race #7 - Post: 4:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#5 BEAUTY IN AUTISM (ML=6/1)
#1 CHIEF HARLAN (ML=8/1)

BEAUTY IN AUTISM - The ROI when Aguilar and McKinney get together is out of sight. Ran in the last race against much better horses at Energy Downs 307 Racing. The move down in the class scale should suit him well. CHIEF HARLAN - Based on drills, I look for this gelding to run a big race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SMILING MIKE (ML=5/2), #3 DRIVE FOR SHOW (ML=7/2), #10 PARADISE POKER (ML=9/2),

SMILING MIKE - Showed very little in the last contest. Really don't see any chance of any betterment today. DRIVE FOR SHOW - Tough to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this horse does. PARADISE POKER - Trying to beat this horse in today's event at the value of 9/2.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 BEAUTY IN AUTISM is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:10:06-05:00

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15750 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,750, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MO TWILIGHT 4/1
# 6 LEGALLY CHARITABLE 7/5
# 7 FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 10/1

MO TWILIGHT looks very good to best this field. Has posted sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Must be carefully examined in this event if only for the very good speed fig garnered in the last contest. LEGALLY CHARITABLE - She has been moving soundly as of late while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. Adamo has a reliable 31 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY - The Equibase Speed Figure of 66 from her latest affair looks competitive in here. Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 56 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the strongest in this group of horses.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:10:26-05:00

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 86

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 13 TIGER FIRE 4/1
# 7 GODAVRI 8/5
# 8 TRICKIFULT 30/1

I've got to go with TIGER FIRE. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the race. Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 81 speed rating which is one of the most favorable in this group. Ayuso and Koriner are a potent pair for returns. GODAVRI - Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 79 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. Earned a formidable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. TRICKIFULT - I think having Kimura ride this filly is a smart move.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:10:43-05:00

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #7 - Post: 5:13pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating:

#6 BETTERA (ML=6/1)
#14 DYNAMIS (ML=3/1)
#4 EVEN THE WIND (ML=7/2)
#8 NOT FALLING BACK (ML=8/1)

BETTERA - This gelding is in fine form, having run a strong race on May 25th, finishing second. Finished ahead of today's favorite last out at Hawthorne. Can do the same again in this event. DYNAMIS - Average class rating is tops in this group. I think that is a big advantage for a race on the turf. This colt is number one in earnings per race. Check out this animal in the saddling enclosure. EVEN THE WIND - This gelding is in first-rate form right now. Ended up second last time out and comes back soon. Block is solid in turf routes. This animal should have no allowances if he doesn't win. Came home in speedy time last time out. A positive sign. NOT FALLING BACK - Atop this horse on May 18th and Colon is back again in the irons today. This trainer brings horses to the turf conditioned properly and ready to go, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. Always watch out for the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. May be extremely hard to beat this thoroughbred on the grass today. Last time out scored a nice turf fig, the highest of any of these animals. Block seems to have this gelding primed for a big effort. His workout pattern is outstanding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 CHAOS REIGNS (ML=4/1), #3 LEAR (ML=9/2), #1 TIME MUSE (ML=5/1),

CHAOS REIGNS - This mount ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat today running that number. LEAR - I'd like to see more conducive recent outings with morning line odds of 9/2. TIME MUSE - This equine doesn't have a champion's state of mind. Very often finishes close, but no cigar. This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed fig last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's event running that number.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #6 BETTERA on top if we're getting at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:11:38-05:00

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 15

Jun. 14, 2025

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (5) Lebombo missed by a neck last time and is overdue for a maiden win. (6) Sole Lute was a nose behind the top pick and cannot be ignored. (1) Start Mo Up is a key threat from the rail. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-6.
3rd race – (1) Stormy Passage takes a big class drop and can lead throughout from the rail. (8) Straightaway should respond to the class drop. (4) Zohere was third in his debut and should get some attention. (6) Good News Rocket fits nicely here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-8-6.
5^th race – (1) Map to the Stars should appreciate the shorter distance here. (6) Master Controller exits a sharp win and will be a main threat. (7) Bourbon’s Fault will be dangerous if he duplicates his last try. (2) Optical can cause problems on his best try. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-7.
7th race – (4) Take Shape seems due for a better effort back on dirt. (7) Sweet Chablis should be the one to fear off a big win. (2) Broughty Ferry finds a level where he should be competitive. (5) Best Performer may pose a late threat. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-7.
9th race – (2) Obstreperous has a strong late kick and should have a lot to say about the outcome. (5) La Foret missed by a nose and could be right there at the finish again. (6) Perfect Figure should benefit from his 2025 debut. (1) Scattitude merits respect off the turnback. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-15T07:11:59-05:00

Belmont Park at Aqueduct - June 15

Jun. 14, 2025

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/8 mi] – (5) Stars and Stripes will make his second career start with first-time Lasix after running third last month for Bill Mott. (2) Last Man Standing has a pair of second-place finishes in three starts at three different tracks for Todd Pletcher. (4) Makes Sense was second in his debut at Gulfstream Park in March and gets blinkers on along with Johnny V.
3^rd race [NY, Md 30000, 6F] – (2) Nyikos (D) was bet down from 15-1 to 10-1 in his debut in October showing only a few works, made a strong middle move to get the lead, but faded in the stretch. (8) Magic Beach has four top three finishes in his last four starts at this maiden claiming level. (7) Free Dance was second the last time he ran in a NY-bred claimer which was at Aqueduct in February. (6) Army Proud moves from turf back to dirt where he has run well.
7^th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (4) Meursault was second last month and gets blinkers on for Chad Brown and Flavien Prat. (1) Danzit returns from her only start a year ago when the $1.1 million yearling purchase ran third at Gulfstream after running on the wrong lead in the stretch. (3) Reality Star was third in his debut at Tampa Bay Downs in March at 5-1 for Shug McGaughey. (2) Stone Cold Kelly finished in the top three in all four of her starts, blinkers come off.
9^th race [Md Sp Wt, 6F TURF] – (12) Gellhorn was a well-regarded 2-year-old that makes her debut now with some fast workouts on dirt and turf. (5) Fast Market ran well on dirt and turf and went in the Appalachian (G2) at Keeneland where she set the pace in a very strong field. (7) Sugar Run was on the lead in her first start at the Big A last month and lost by a neck. (2) Upon a Star changes from the Brad Cox barn to Wesley Ward who is red-hot shipping horses to New York.
Best bets: Stars and Stripes (1^st); Meursault (7^th). Best value: Nyikos (3^rd); Gellhorn (9^th).

No.	Name	Letter last race	Today's Race	Comments
(8)	Antonio of Venice	B on 3/16	2	Entered for Main Track Only.
(2)	Nyikos	D on 10/5	3	Strong middle move in his only race.
(11)	Smile Mon	A on 5/23	5	Entered for Main Track Only.