Thursday 6/19/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2025, 06:21 AM

Royal Ascot Betting Primer | Thursday, June 19, 2025

June 18, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

Today’s Skinny:
The 5-day Royal Ascot meeting hits the midway mark as Day 3 puts the stayers in the spotlight. The 2-3/4 miles Ascot Gold Cup goes as the feature, led by Aidan O’Brien’s Illinois – who deputizes for the retired, 2-time defending champ Kyprios. American interest will be keen early as Royal Palm Juvenile winner Sandal’s Song punched his ticket at Gulfstream Park for the Group 2 Norfolk and helps kickstart the Thursday card.

Free Wagering Guide:
Download the free Sky Sports Racing Royal Ascot Wager Guide for today’s full card.

Extra Incentives:
Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can enjoy a 15% boost on successful win bets – up to $25 total per day per player – during each race of the Royal Ascot meeting.

Today’s Lineup:
9:30 am ET | Group 2 Norfolk | 5 furlongs
10:05 am ET | King George V Stakes | 1-1/2 miles
10:40 am ET | Group 2 Ribblesdale | 1-1/2 miles
11:20 am ET | Group 1 Ascot Gold Cup | 2-1/2 miles
12:00 pm ET | Britannia Stakes | 1 mile
12:35 pm ET | Group 2 Hampton Court | 1-1/4 miles
1:10 pm ET | Buckingham Palace Stakes | 7 furlongs

Wagering Particulars | commingled World Pool
17.5% takeout Win & Place
17.5% takeout Quinella
17.5% takeout Omni (2 of 3 must finish top 3)
19.5% takeout Exacta
25% takeout Trifecta
25% takeout Pick 3
26% takeout Place Pick 4
27% takeout Place Pick 6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 06:46 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 19, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

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Hoosier Park has a 15-race card, and the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 12. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12 (10:33 PM EDT)

4-Master Swan (9/2)-The field is camera shy but this 3-year-all may have found a group to beat. Has cashed small checks in stake events and Trace Tetrick should be aggressive when the wings fold.
8-Trump The Warrior (8-1)-Slow starter was able to catch the leader down the lane and now steps up. Should be a nice price and could be the best down the lane again if in striking range at the head of the stretch.
10-Ponda Bugatti (5-1)-Team Wrenn entry was bet down to 1/9, didn't disappoint and now steps up. The rail horse has some gate speed and could get sucked around and make one big move to roll by.

Race 13 (10:56 PM EDT)

6-General Grant (9/5)-The General has hit the board in 3 of 5 races at HoP but is winless, and is still 9/5 against this crew. This is the fastest horse, and it probably isn't close but is risky. Has broken stride in 1 race this year, but if not, should have his way with this bunch.

Race 14 (11:19 PM EDT)

1-Odds On Brahmastra (3-1)-Drops to a more comfortable level and drawing the rail could make a winning difference. Peter Wrenn should work an efficient trip and could take its 1st picture in 2025.
2-This JK Rocks (5/2)-This will be the 3rd start off the bench and did race better last week. The Erv Miller pupil also gets class relief and should be in the hunt in what could be a chalky race.

Race 15 (11:42 PM EDT)

1-Gullfaxi (6-1)-The Essig trainee has had issues this year, continues to drop and could be at the right level for success. Raced wide last week and tried but didn't have enough juice down the lane. Could get a smoother trip and keep coming to the wire.
5-Native's Filou (2-1)-East coast invader ships in from Ocean Downs and lands in the Tyler George barn. Not loving the small price but has good speed. Trace Tetrick can work a smooth trip and hopefully the veteran will like the long stretch.
10-Goodness Graycious (5-1)-Started from this post last time and was used off the gate to get a decent seat but faded later in the mile. Drops and John DeLong could follow the rail horse off the gate. Needs a cozy trip to post an overdue win and that could happen at a solid price.

$1 Late Pick 4

4,8,10/6/1,2/1,5,10
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 06:46 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #1

#1 Game Santa	Not much by way of finishing form on paper here, so I'm hoping this guy gets outrun a touch early and finds a way to plug along late past some of these.
#2 Humor's Image	Forward player doesn't always quit too hard, and that's at least a mild endorsement in a spot like this. Could see it.
#5 Double Burn	He draws well to be the attacking pace while dropping in class, but I just worry that he's going to be a short price with some late vulnerability again.
Race Summary	Game Santa goes first out in a soft spot, so take a look at him ahead of this. A fresh face could do the trick in the opener.

Hawthorne - Race #4

#6 Plunder	He's capable of something better here than he showed last time around, and I think the race shape may be fair enough to give him a chance to kick home from off the pace.
#5 Fast Jack	Speed is never a sure thing late -- he can stop pretty hard at times -- but he's got some lines on his page that would make him a handful. He's not going to surprise anyone second off the bench, but I'm not all that trusting.
#7 Indyville	He could be pressing the speed the whole way from the outside, and a first-over kind of run could make him the one to reel in through the lane.
Race Summary	Plunder has shown some pretty reliable finishing form, and I expect that he'll rebound from a no-show effort behind a high-ceiling winner last out.

Hawthorne - Race #6

#7 Misty Sunday	Not totally sure how she's going to stack up here off the romping Mountaineer special weight score late last year, but she's got some committed pace in a spot where she can force the issue while drawn outside of the other speed.
#4 Rumbrandt	She's got a chance to drill these on the drop, but I assume she's going to be a short kind of price while bringing some form that has gone a touch flat in her last few starts. I don't know...
#1 Ice N Lemon	Think one of those even types of efforts on her page may be enough to land a share if a couple of the forward players start to come back late.
Race Summary	Misty Sunday looks interesting enough after turning in a big effort by her standards to score in December in West Virginia. Willing to give her a look as the prompting pace today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 06:47 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Delaware Park - Race #1

#8 IMMORTAL J (6-1)	Blew past the odds-on choice at 6F in local audition, taken to repeat.
#7 KAZ CREED (7-2)	Three-time beaten fave can maximize his speed on drop below claim level.
#5 SIR MENDEL (4-1)	Plagued by troubled starts, class relief could be the answer.
Race Summary	IMMORTAL J has done the least wrong in a field that is a combined 8-for-99. He just kicked away from the 2-to-5 favorite to break his maiden at this level in his first Delaware go-round and hails from a 28-percent ‘repeat’ barn. Bet to win and place and play a 5-7-8 exacta box.

Delaware Park - Race #2

#4 HANDSOME LINC (7-2)	Has all the ingredients for a winning debut run, money likely to show.
#6 NAYMAR (5-2)	Trainer Gary Capuano is on 18-52 run with 2yos and 9-23 with first-time starters.
#3 RAGING CAJUN (9-5)	Gate works must have been good to be tabbed as morning-line choice.
Race Summary	HANDSOME LINC will try to follow in the footsteps of his dam, Mainstay, who romped first-out at Saratoga by 7-1/2 lengths and ran second in the Grade 3 Schuylerville next out. He has a solid workout slate over the track for a top-notch barn with 2-year-olds. Bet to win and place and play 7-3, 7-5 and 7-6 exactas.

Delaware Park - Race #5

#1 LADY DE BERRY (6-1)	Well-prepped for her return to the allowance ranks in a new barn.
#8 DISTANT WINNER (8-1)	G-3 winner in South Africa looks to recapture top form off 16-month layoff.
#11 GOLDEN ROCKET (3-1)	Just missed a from similar post on the stretch-out in distance.
Race Summary	LADY DE BERRY goes from one top barn to another to resume her lightly-raced career. She was Grade 3-placed as a 2-year-old but 0-for-3 last year. She was last seen in August on the Aqueduct lawn, earning her top speed figure despite early trouble. She finished 4 lengths behind third-place finisher Dynamic Pricing, who sprung a 10-1 upset in the Grade 1 Just A Game stakes earlier this month. Bet to win and place and play a 1-8-11 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:06 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis
PURCHASE

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 8	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $25,840 • Post: 5:47P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19, 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 INDIANA BRED MAIDENS AND INDIANA BRED CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FOUR THE GIRLS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FOUR THE GIRLS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
7	FOUR THE GIRLS	8/1	5/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	FOUR THE GIRLS	7	8/1	Front-runner	82	75	91.8	73.2	70.2
3	STUPENDOUS	3	6/1	Front-runner	72	64	67.6	61.6	51.6
6	NO MORE FAKE NEWS	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	87	75	60.6	70.2	63.7
1	WHAT'S TO DO	1	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	77	68	56.0	61.6	53.1
5	IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME	5	2/1	Trailer	85	70	64.4	69.0	64.5
4	CINDERELLA STORY	4	12/1	Trailer	77	65	43.7	58.7	46.7
2	TIMELESS GLORY	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	68	74.2	64.4	53.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Royal Ascot
PURCHASE

Royal Ascot - Race 2	WIN, PLACE, EXACTA, TRIFECTA SUPERFECTA, SWINGER
Stakes • 1 1/2 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 102 • Purse: $137,500 • Post: 10:05
KING GEORGE V S. - FOR THREE YRS OLD ONLY, RATED 0-105 (ALSO OPEN TO SUCH HORSES RATED 106 AND 107 - SEE STANDARD CONDITIONS). LOWEST WEIGHT, 114 LBS; HIGHEST WEIGHT NOT LESS THAN 135 LBS. PENALTIES, AFTER JUNE 7TH, 2025, FOR EACH RACE WON 6 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * AMMES (IRE): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MAFTING (GB): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designat ion or an "L" designation. BOATSWAIN (GB): Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHESS DAD (GB): Horse has run well at a major foreign track. MASAI MOON (GB): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt o r turf) is at least 50.
15	AMMES (IRE)	20/1	9/2
17	MAFTING (GB)	20/1	6/1
3	BOATSWAIN (GB)	15/1	8/1
7	CHESS DAD (GB)	20/1	9/1
1	MASAI MOON (GB)	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure

Unknown Running Style: BOATSWAIN (GB) (15/1) [Jockey: Barzalona Mickael - Trainer: Crisford Simon], NAUTICAL FORCE (GB) (20/1) [Jockey: Coen Ben - Trainer: Murtagh John P], PANTILE WARRIOR (GB) (20/1) [Jockey: Havlin Robert - Trainer: Gosden John H M

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CORONA123 5/2
# 5 HOTTY FIVE BAR 6/1
# 1 HAPPY OUR SPECIAL 9/2

CORONA123 is the best wager in this race. Is worth careful consideration and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figures (69 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Should come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the front end recently. Could beat this group given the 75 speed rating earned in his last outing. HOTTY FIVE BAR - Could provide positive profits based on very good recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 68. Posted a strong Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. HAPPY OUR SPECIAL - This filly has posted some nice finishes in her last couple of efforts. Has raced soundly in short races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:07 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#6 SPEIGHTFULELECTION (ML=7/2)
#3 KILKENNY BELLA (ML=15/1)
#4 DERBY EFFORT (ML=15/1)

SPEIGHTFULELECTION - Was in a $25,000 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last out. That event had a class rating of 82 and she is moving down in this race. A certain win candidate. This filly is utmost in earnings per race. Check out this animal before the race. KILKENNY BELLA - Dropping in class rating points from her April 10th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that valuable data, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. Getting a weight break of 7 pounds from last race at Gulfstream Park on Apr 10th. Should make the difference right here. Lizardi is hoping to get a little more out of this mare by adding blinkers today. DERBY EFFORT - This filly should give a good showing of herself in today's affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DIALITHIC (ML=1/1), #1 HOLDER CLOSE (ML=4/1), #7 EVANORA (ML=5/1),

DIALITHIC - May 17th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. Don't think this entrant will make an impact in today's race. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. HOLDER CLOSE - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's affair. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine. EVANORA - Awfully hard to wager on this mount when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 SPEIGHTFULELECTION on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont at the Big A

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $92000 Class Rating: 109

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $45,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE SINCE DECEMBER 19, 2024 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $100,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 BIG EVEREST (GB) 5/1
# 4 STRONG QUALITY 6/1
# 8 MASTER PIECE (CHI) 10/1

BIG EVEREST (GB) supports the bet in here. His 103 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures for this event. Decent gamble today with second time Lasix. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. STRONG QUALITY - Casse has this gelding running well and is a formidable choice based on the very strong speed figures posted in route races recently. Could go off at a nice number and has some positive angles going for him. MASTER PIECE (CHI) - Solid average speed figures in turf route races make this racer a key contender. Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the recipe to a major improvement.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-19-2025, 07:08 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 4:27pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $52,400 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#8 PURRFECT GIRL (ML=6/1)
#3 MISS SAUGERTIES (ML=4/1)

PURRFECT GIRL - When Flores and Drexler join forces on horses the return on investment has been fabulous at +39. Flores is up for another contest today after riding aboard this horse for the 1st ride on May 22nd and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Have to give this filly a fair chance. Ran a solid effort last race out within the last 30 days. On May 22nd this filly shipped in to take the top prize and looks good right back. MISS SAUGERTIES - Vives rode this racer for the first time last race out and comes right back today. Vassilieva drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to figure that this horse should have a chance to win at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LOGISTICS (ML=3/1), #1 POETIC AMY (ML=7/2), #2 SERENADING AMAYA (ML=8/1),

LOGISTICS - Didn't finish in the money on Feb 28th at Oaklawn Park. Followed it up with another lackluster performance. POETIC AMY - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine. SERENADING AMAYA - Really had to show me lots more last out. Never made much of an impact. No value in investing on this racer. Probably won't improve off that June 1st contest.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 PURRFECT GIRL is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip