Saturday 6/28/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    Woodbine Tip Sheet - June 28


    Jun. 27, 2025









    Race #1
    Inner turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:05 PM ET
    $65,700.00

    Race 1 Maiden Optional Claiming
    Win 7-5 1 Study Buddy P Moran
    Place 3-1 5 Wild Red J L Campos
    Show 8-1 7 Citori D Fukumoto
    Wild card 4-1 3 Jinx Me K Nicholls
    Alternate 1 12-1 2 Blues Mommy S Vives
    Alternate 2 20-1 4 Tallawah F Aebly
    Exacta 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
    Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
    Race #2
    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:43 PM ET
    Best Bet #5 WOZNIACKI
    $63,800.00

    Race 2 Optional Claiming
    Win 4-1 5 Wozniacki P Moran
    Place 8-1 4 Whiskey N Ice S Civaci
    Show 6-1 8 Tandhoneywithane E Flores
    Wild card 9-2 2 Miramichi A Vandermeersch
    Alternate 1 3-1 9 Catch the Drift R M Hernandez
    Alternate 2 10-1 1 You Be the Judge R Munger
    Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
    Trifecta 4/5/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
    Race #3
    All Weather Track 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:18 PM ET
    $65,700.00

    Race 3 Maiden Optional Claiming
    Win 9-5 4 Seeking Magic L Salles
    Place 6-1 6 Cayenne Kiss E Wilson
    Show 3-1 7 Perfect Sparkle K Nicholls
    Wild card 8-1 3 Japonka D Moran
    Alternate 1 4-1 2 Nakedintheforest J L Campos
    Alternate 2 12-1 1 Sans Dancer D Z Gaskin
    Exacta 4-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
    Trifecta 4/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
    Race #4
    Inner turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:51 PM ET
    Best Bet #1 FEDOROVA
    $65,700.00

    Race 4 Maiden Optional Claiming
    Win 5-2 1 Fedorova L Salles
    Place 4-1 4 Cheat the Devil K Nicholls
    Show 2-1 5 Tequilasoupernova S Vives
    Wild card 6-1 6 Florida Vacation E Flores
    Alternate 1 20-1 3 Adorable Angel J Anderson
    Alternate 2 8-1 2 Suigu Belle F Aebly
    Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
    Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
    Race #5
    All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:24 PM ET
    $150,000.00

    Race 5 Stakes
    Win 2-1 3 Scorching D Davis
    Place 3-1 6 Megalodon R M Hernandez
    Show 5-2 2 Church and State E Wilson
    Wild card 12-1 4 Sedburys Ghost R Munger
    Alternate 1 6-1 5 Mansetti P Moran
    Alternate 2 10-1 1 War Signal S Vives
    Exacta 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
    Trifecta 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
    Race #6
    Inner turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:58 PM ET
    Best Bet #2 MISS VYVYANNE
    $114,600.00

    Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
    Win 2-1 2 Miss Vyvyanne S Civaci
    Place 8-1 4 Sinclairity P Moran
    Show 15-1 1 Ya Mar X Forde
    Wild card 10-1 6 Ol Blondie E Flores
    Alternate 1 20-1 7 Shootin Amy D Moran
    Alternate 2 4-1 3 Clay Soldier R M Hernandez
    Exacta 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
    Trifecta 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
    Race #7
    All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:32 PM ET
    $150,000.00

    Race 7 Stakes
    Win 2-1 1 Somethinabouther P Moran
    Place 8-1 2 Tiz Her Money P Husbands
    Show 4-1 3 No Time S Civaci
    Wild card 6-1 4 Madame Obey F Aebly
    Alternate 1 5-2 5 Serendipity R M Hernandez
    Alternate 2 10-1 8 Nata Trouble D Moran
    Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
    Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
    Race #8
    Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:06 PM ET
    $200,000.00

    Race 8 Stakes
    Win 6-5 5 Patches OHoulihan S Vives
    Place 5-2 1 My Boy Prince S Civaci
    Show 9-2 2 Playmea Tune R M Hernandez
    Wild card 15-1 7 Old Chestnut E Flores
    Alternate 1 20-1 6 Ms. Tart H Villa-Gomez
    Alternate 2 6-1 8 Dresden Row R Munger
    Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
    Trifecta 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
    Race #9
    All Weather Track 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 05:39 PM ET
    $150,000.00

    Race 9 Stakes
    Win 5-2 7 Essex Serpent P Husbands
    Place 6-1 2 Fashionably Fab P Moran
    Show 4-1 8 Classic Mo Town E Flores
    Wild card 8-1 1 Bail Us Out P Moran
    Alternate 1 2-1 5 Funtastic Again V Espinoza
    Alternate 2 15-1 4 Fly the W S Civaci
    Exacta 7-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
    Trifecta 2/7/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
    Race #10
    Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:11 PM ET
    $175,000.00

    Race 10 Stakes
    Win 2-1 4 Caitlinhergrtness R M Hernandez
    Place 20-1 5 Ready to Jam S Civaci
    Show 3-1 10 Sweet Rebecca D Davis
    Wild card 15-1 7 Ms. Tart H Villa-Gomez
    Alternate 1 15-1 2 Crevalle dOro P Husbands
    Alternate 2 6-1 12 Austere D Cannon
    Exacta 4-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
    Trifecta 4/5/10 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX



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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - June 28


      Jun. 27, 2025









      Race #1
      Dirt 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:45 PM ET
      $120,000.00

      Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
      Win 9-2 2 The Standard E Asmussen
      Place 4-1 8 Papa Ken J L Ortiz
      Show 8-1 9 Spirit of Royal L Saez
      Wild card 3-1 6 Track Legend N Juarez
      Alternate 1 6-1 1 Prince of Light B Curtis
      Alternate 2 15-1 5 Bagg O Time C J Lanerie
      Exacta 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
      Trifecta 2/8/9 BOX, 6/8/9 BOX
      Race #2
      Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:15 PM ET
      $120,000.00

      Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
      Win 3-1 3 Sardis L Saez
      Place 7-2 9 Bourbon Society C Landeros
      Show 4-1 4 Kavanaugh B J Hernandez Jr.
      Wild card 5-1 6 Ambition E Asmussen
      Alternate 1 6-1 8 Astar B Curtis
      Alternate 2 8-1 1 Rule Seventy Six F Prat
      Exacta 3-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
      Trifecta 3/4/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX
      Race #3
      Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:45 PM ET
      $127,000.00

      Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming
      Win 2-1 8 Excite I Ortiz Jr.
      Place 3-1 6 Fountain Lake J R Leparoux
      Show 8-1 7 Racing Driver R Bejarano
      Wild card 5-2 4 Shangrala Road F Prat
      Alternate 1 10-1 3 So Sandy J L Ortiz
      Alternate 2 12-1 1 Show of Force R Gutierrez
      Exacta 8-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
      Trifecta 6/7/8 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
      Race #4
      Dirt 7 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET
      Best Bet #4 EL MAGNIFICO
      $89,000.00

      Race 4 Claiming
      Win 3-1 4 El Magnifico J L Ortiz
      Place 5-1 3 Gunner Bay J Alvarado
      Show 10-1 2 Princetown I Moncada
      Wild card 4-1 10 Classic Car Wash I Ortiz Jr.
      Alternate 1 10-1 7 Zambezi J A Torres
      Alternate 2 8-1 6 Chiringo F Geroux
      Exacta 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX
      Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/10 BOX
      Race #5
      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET
      Best Bet #3 LAMBO
      $83,000.00

      Race 5 Starter Allowance
      Win 3-1 3 Lambo J L Ortiz
      Place 5-1 2 Protege M J Husbands
      Show 9-2 6 Summonyourcourage L Saez
      Wild card 4-1 4 Thirty Two Chunk A Fresu
      Alternate 1 12-1 1 Incursion F Prat
      Alternate 2 5-1 8 Honest Al B J Hernandez Jr.
      Exacta 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
      Trifecta 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
      Race #6
      Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:19 PM ET
      Best Bet #17 MARGARITA GIRL
      $120,000.00

      Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
      Win 5-2 17 Margarita Girl A Fresu
      Place 6-1 3 Violet Irene C Landeros
      Show 7-2 2 Speighter Woman J A Torres
      Wild card 9-2 6 Spun Candy B J Hernandez Jr.
      Alternate 1 4-1 16 Chaching Chaching B Curtis
      Alternate 2 4-1 14 Temperate J L Ortiz
      Exacta 17-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
      Trifecta 2/3/17 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
      Race #7
      Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 03:52 PM ET
      $500,000.00

      Race 7 Stakes
      Win 3-5 3 Thorpedo Anna B J Hernandez Jr.
      Place 4-1 1 Royal Spa F Prat
      Show 7-2 4 Gin Gin J L Ortiz
      Wild card 20-1 2 Save Time I Ortiz Jr.
      Alternate 1 9-2 5 Taxed R Bejarano
      Exacta 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
      Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
      Race #8
      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:25 PM ET
      $250,000.00

      Race 8 Stakes
      Win 2-1 6 Vixen I Ortiz Jr.
      Place 10-1 2 Something Stronger J Graham
      Show 5-1 3 Love You Anyway L Saez
      Wild card 9-5 5 Lush Lips F Prat
      Alternate 1 10-1 8 Favor to You A Fresu
      Alternate 2 10-1 4 Princess Attitude J Alvarado
      Exacta 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
      Trifecta 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
      Race #9
      Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:58 PM ET
      $250,000.00

      Race 9 Stakes
      Win 2-1 3 Booth E Asmussen
      Place 3-1 4 Roll On Big Joe J R Leparoux
      Show 5-2 1 Dr. Venkman A Fresu
      Wild card 8-1 8 Durante J L Ortiz
      Alternate 1 10-1 6 Happy Is a Choice R Gutierrez
      Alternate 2 15-1 5 Otto the Conqueror F Prat
      Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
      Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
      Race #10
      Turf1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:31 PM ET
      $500,000.00

      Race 10 Stakes
      Win 5-2 4 Mercante J D Ramos
      Place 3-1 7 Brilliant Berti B J Hernandez Jr.
      Show 8-1 6 Taking Candy J L Ortiz
      Wild card 6-1 8 Fort Washington J Alvarado
      Alternate 1 8-1 5 Event Detail I Ortiz Jr.
      Alternate 2 9-2 3 Mi Hermano Ramon A Fresu
      Exacta 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
      Trifecta 4/6/7 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
      Race #11
      Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 06:03 PM ET
      $1,000,000.00

      Race 11 Stakes
      Win 7-2 2 Mindframe I Ortiz Jr.
      Place 4-1 1 First Mission L Saez
      Show 5-2 4 Sierra Leone F Prat
      Wild card 9-2 6 Hit Show F Geroux
      Alternate 1 3-1 5 Mystik Dan B J Hernandez Jr.
      Alternate 2 6-1 3 Skippylongstocking J L Ortiz
      Exacta 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
      Trifecta 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
      Race #12
      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:32 PM ET
      $250,000.00

      Race 12 Stakes
      Win 10-1 6 Native Runner B J Hernandez Jr.
      Place 3-1 1 Reagans Wit J L Ortiz
      Show 7-2 8 Freedoms Not Free A Fresu
      Wild card 5-2 3 Tiztastic J Rosario
      Alternate 1 15-1 5 Minaret Station C A Torres
      Alternate 2 12-1 10 Anegada L Saez
      Exacta 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
      Trifecta 1/6/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX



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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18
        Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | June 28, 2025


        Jun. 27, 2025









        Race 10 at Churchill Downs | Saturday, June 28 | Post Time 5:31 PM Eastern
        Wise Dan Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $500,000 | One Mile and One-Sixteenth on Turf | Four Year Olds and Upward
        Top Contenders: Event Detail (5), Fort Washington (6), Mi Hermano Ramon (3), Mercante (4)
        Brilliant Bertie (7) and Taking Candy (6) are contenders to complete the exacta.
        Event Detail (5) is very intriguing in this race, and likely to go to post at about the same odds as his morning line odds of 8 to 1, so could offer excellent profit potential as well. He has run 11 times, finishing first or second on more than half of those races, six times to be exact. His turf record is underwhelming at 3-0-1-1 but that’s even more reason to pay attention at his more than decent starting odds. As a three-year-old in 2023 he was highly regarded enough to run in the Rebel Stakes on dirt on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, but he finished 10th and then he was away from the races for 17 months. Returning in August of last year in the hands of a new trainer, William Walden, Event Detail won at a mile rather impressively when rallying from last of eight. After two poor efforts including his first try on grass, fairly irrelevant as it was a mile and one-half, Event Detail finished fast from last of 12 to miss by a neck, but then he was sidelined for three months.
        Returning in March, Event Detail earned a career best 105 Equibase Speed Figure winning at a mile on all-weather then ran even better when moved to grass for only the second time in his career, finishing second at 11 to 1 and earning a 115 figure. In his only start since then, the horse finished fourth in the Grade 3 Arlington Stakes at Churchill Downs, beaten just a length or so for the win. The KEY here is the fact Irad Ortiz, Jr., the leading jockey in North America the past few years and currently second, rides the horse although he has never previously. Per a Race Lens stat, Ortiz, Jr. has ridden for Walden 14 times previously, with an EXCEPTIONAL record of 6-4-2 in 14 races including winning three of six turf races. It's not hard to imagine when Walden calls Ortiz, Jr.’s agent, it’s for a horse which has a big shot to win. Such is the case with Event Detail, who is bred to adore the grass and who can win by repeating his 4/29 effort in this race.
        Fort Washington (8) also opens at odds of 6 to 1 which are higher than they should be considering he’s won two stakes races in a row in turf, including the Dinner Party Stakes on Preakness day with a 116 figure which is good enough to win. That was no fluke as the horse earned a 114 figure when missing by a neck in the Fort Lauderdale Stakes three races before that. Alvarado rides and is two-for-two when in the saddle on this excellent turf runner approaching three quarters of a million dollars in earnings on grass and who has a nice shot to win his third stakes race in a row.
        Mi Hermano Ramon (3) nearly won the higher-level Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile in his most recent start on May 26, at 3 to 1, yet opens at 9 to 2 here. He won the Seasbiscuit Stakes last November with a career-best 122 figure and can improve off the 111 in the Shoemaker, which was his first race after nearly three months off. California based jockey Antonio Fresu accompanies the horse and has a very strong record when riding for trainer Glatt, 13-7-8 in 46 races over the past five years. With seven first or second place finishes in 13 career turf races, Mi Hermano Ramon is yet another horse who would be no surprise if winning.
        Mercante (4) won the Arlington Stakes last month by a neck over Brilliant Bertie (7), with Lagynos (2) another half-length back in third and Event Detail another half-length back in fourth. Mercante finished second in the higher-level Grade 1 Turf Classic on Derby Day prior to that, and won two in a row before that, so has now run four “A” races in a row and can be expected to do so again. However, opening at 5 to 2, he doesn’t offer the value for win bets as do others, and although he’s a contender to win, he’s just as probably as the three above, no more, no less.
        Win Bets: We must start with Event Detail (5) and Fort Washington (8), who both should be considered for win bets at odds of 3 to 1. Personally, I would not hesitate betting both to win.
        Mi Hermano Ramon (3) and Mercante (4) have fair odds of 7 to 2
        Exactas:
        Event Detail (5) and Fort Washington (8) over Event Detail (5), Fort Washington (8), Mi Hermano Ramon (3), Mercante (4), Taking Candy (6) and Brilliant Berti (7).
        Event Detail (5), Fort Washington (8), Mi Hermano Ramon (3), Mercante (4), Taking Candy (6) and Brilliant Berti (7) over Event Detail (5) and Fort Washington (8).



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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #19
          Belmont Park at Aqueduct Hotlist - June 28


          Jun. 27, 2025









          By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
          Hot List Key:
          A:
          A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
          4th race [Md 100000, 1 mi] – (2) Interceptor was second in his second start in a maiden special weight and drops in for a tag for the first time with blinkers on. (3) Barb was claimed for $75,000 after a third-place finish and gets blinkers for the new connections. (1) Vow of Secrecy will also drop into a maiden claimer for the first with a second-place finish in March. (6) Nantz was claimed for $50,000 by Linda Rice from his second start where he was third.
          5th race [Clm 32000, 7F] – (8) He’smyhoneybadger was claimed from his last two starts for $25,000 after a victory and then for $32,000 following a third. (1) Legal Deal and (1A) Street Swagg make a Rob Atras entry where both are win contenders. (4) Solo Ridge drops back to the claiming ranks after three starts in an allowance and starter allowances where he had a win and a second. (7) Tageguache missed a win by a head two races back in a $32,000 claimer.
          6th race [NY, Alw 81000 N1X, 6 ? F] – (5) Sir Kartrite returns from a December layoff when he was second in his first allowance try after a maiden victory. (1) Uncle George was second in his first try at this level in May. (7) Fireballin was a debut winner last year and was then third in an allowance. He came back from a four-month layoff just three weeks ago. (6) Trust Fund was a first out winner at Saratoga last year and then was second in a pair of state-bred stakes race. Last month he won a $35,000 N2L claimer against open company.
          7th race [Clm 35000 N2L, 1 mi TURF] – (9) Feral’s Joy shows very consistent speed figures moving from his maiden victory to allowances and drops in for a tag for the first time as a new gelding. (10) Gene and Jude broke his maiden in his second try at Gulfstream Park in December and then tried an allowance in January. He makes his first start for a new trainer after a five month layoff. (7) Mo Kreesa moved back to the grass and ran his best race to finish third in a NY-bred allowance. (1) Doomed broke his maiden for $50,000 at Aqueduct in April and was claimed by Brad Cox who of course has gaudy numbers with his new runners.
          Best bets: Interceptor (4th); Sir Kartrite (6th). Best Value: He’smyhoneybadger (5th); Feral’s Joy (7th).
          Saturday Pick 3 Special --
          Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 4-6 ? 1, 2, 3 with 1/1A, 4, 8 with 1, 5, 7 = $27.



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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #20
            Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 28


            Jun. 27, 2025









            By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
            Hot List Key:
            A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
            2nd race – (1) Rule Seventy Six might benefit from his debut and respond with a big effort here. (3) Sardis likes to finish in the money but is 0-for-11 in the win spot. (4) Kavanaugh may improve on turf. (6) Ambition was hurt by a wide trip last time. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.
            5th race – (5) Backtrtack (D) dropped from 7-2 to 5-2 and faded badly at a mile. Should like this shorter distance. (3) Lambo looks like the one to catch. (8) Honest Al should be in the picture in this group. (4) Thirty Two Chunk comes off a big win at Santa Anita and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-8.
            7th race – (3) Thorpedo Anna is training sharply after a stunning defeat and should resume her winning ways. (4) Gin Gin figures to be the main rival. (1) Royal Spa is in great form at the moment. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4.
            11th race – (2) Mindframe comes off a sharp Grade 1 win and gets the call in the Stephen Foster. (4) Sierra Leone looks like the main competition with a BC Classic win on his resume. (5) Mystik Dan is rounding back into top form and cannot be ignored. (6) Hit Show merits major consideration off a Dubai World Cup win. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-6. Doubles: 2-4-5-6 with 1-3-5-8.
            12th race – (1) Reagan’s Wit exits a stakes win at Pimlico and looks best here. (3) Tiztastic may wake up back on turf. (8) Freedom’s Not Free is a threat to lead throughout. (5) Minaret Station will be in the mix despite not racing since October. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-8.
            No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
            (5) Backtrack D, 5/26 5 CD Should like this distance


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