Tuesday 7/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #4

#4 Carcone	Honest finishing type has already run well in a couple local starts, and he comes out of a race that might have been a bit better than this one.
#6 Shadow Factor	He should be in line for a great trip while up close throughout, and something like his last would keep him in the frame right back.
#2 Tarsus Warrior	He's right there on talent with this crew, but I worry that he could get a slightly tricky trip from here with a bit of other potential pace lined up outside of him. In the mix.
Race Summary	Carcone might get a good run if a couple of the forward players keep things honest, and a repeat of that most recent run would probably do the job.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#1 J R Jone Z	Always love a claim to rise move like this, and the first spin over the local footing went pretty well last time out. Can win back.
#5 Strider's Slider	Pace ran well here last season and brings some compelling form from last year, but he needs a big move forward in the second start back after an uncharacteristically dull comeback run.
#4 Face Down	He's a good fit with these and has a little bit of versatility in his running style that should give his rider some options out of the gate. Spying shot.
Race Summary	J R Jone Z came up big in the first local try and now moves into this allowance spot for the new team. Think he's a decent fit here at what might be a just playable enough price.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#8 Golden Heart	Not a whole lot of early pace lined up in this one, and she flashed some speed with similar last time out while staying on well for a share. Think this field is open for the taking on the front end.
#6 Traumarama	She's tactical enough to avoid getting totally outrun in the early going today, and and maybe the cutback will wake her up a bit.
#1 Dominant Stranger	She's got really reliable form and might trip out again from the inside today while just in behind the top choice. Wouldn't argue too hard with you.
Race Summary	Golden Heart has route pace that translated to the front end last out, and she might be able to control the pace against this group that doesn't have any seriously reliable frontrunners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Parx - Race #1

#1 MAKABIM (9-2)	Earned almost half of $172k bankroll at this distance, changes riders again.
#8 SAL N LOUIE (7-2)	Threw in clinker in the mud, drops to winning level off Pino claim.
#3 UNION LIGHTS (6-1)	Seeks duplicate of runner-up finish on short rest behind the 3-to-5 fave.
Race Summary	MAKABIM romped at this distance two back but left too much work to do against a runaway favorite under these conditions last out. He’s a steady low-60 Beyer type and draws the rail, so make a win and place bet and 1-3-8 exacta box.

Parx - Race #4

#7 PIT BOSS (2-1)	Can dictate the pace with Paco aboard as he tries to upgrade 4-30 mark at distance.
#5 MR HUSTLE (5-2)	Beaten favorite in three straight, re-claimed by Ness, gets in light-weighted.
#1 CHIP’S FRIEND (15-1)	Dueled in front of Pit Boss on the inside until the stretch, sheds 5 pounds.
Race Summary	PIT BOSS prompted the pace 3-wide from post 12 and lacked stretch kick to finish third at 7F. He finished 5-1/2 lengths behind Brindisi, who sprung a mild upset yesterday at Parx. He can control the pace with Paco riding on the stretch-out in distance. Bet to win and place and play 7-1 and 7-5 exactas.

Parx - Race #5

#8 CHINESEIAM (5-1)	In top form, proven at 6F, value remains off easy victory for these connections.
#7 OKIE DEN DEN (9-2)	Finished first or second in 7 of 9 starts this year, all but one at this level.
#3 AUGUSTINE RED (5-2)	Ness class dropper has loyal following despite 1-14 record since 2024.
Race Summary	CHINESEIAM appears rounding to a possible repeat victory in his fourth in the last six months. He was no match for speedy BANJO, who makes his first start since that May 17 sprint today, and ‘continued well’ from a 3-wide stalking spot to finish second in a long sprint two back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE

Finger Lakes - Race 5	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * LATE PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum: Races 5-6-7-8-9)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $13,700 • Post: 2:56P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. RANGER BLUE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STILL A SOLDIER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ha s the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RANGER BLUE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface.
3	STILL A SOLDIER	2/1	3/1
5	RANGER BLUE	4/1	9/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	RANGER BLUE	5	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	69	67	72.0	49.0	43.5
3	STILL A SOLDIER	3	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	77	67.1	72.3	68.8
8	DANCINWITHJAKE	8	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	58	52.2	61.0	53.0
9	DR. DARBY	9	8/1	Trailer	72	69	31.6	56.2	46.2
6	IN THE BLUE	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	60	76.8	37.0	24.5
1	NEPTUNE BEACH	1	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	53	56	50.0	44.2	33.2
2	MAKAR	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	83	46.8	46.8	35.8
4	EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	48	37.9	12.3	0.0
7	UNITY DREAMS	7	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	61	48	36.5	35.6	25.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs
PURCHASE

Assiniboia Downs - Race 7	ROLLING DOUBLE / $1 CLASSIC HI 5 / .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 10:05
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ACKNOWLEDGE: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. AIR FORCE RESERVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOTTLE CAPS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HEYSWEETDARLIN: Horse's win percenta ge at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
8	ACKNOWLEDGE	8/5	4/1
6	AIR FORCE RESERVE	20/1	7/1
4	BOTTLE CAPS	5/2	8/1
5	BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME	6/1	9/1
7	HEYSWEETDARLIN	9/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME	5	6/1	Front-runner	71	69	74.8	62.2	54.7
7	HEYSWEETDARLIN	7	9/2	Front-runner	58	73	74.0	66.3	55.8
6	AIR FORCE RESERVE	6	20/1	Front-runner	77	75	67.0	66.2	59.2
8	ACKNOWLEDGE	8	8/5	Alternator/Front-runner	96	86	66.2	62.3	59.3
4	BOTTLE CAPS	4	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	73	72	61.6	65.8	57.3
2	ATABOYCOOKIE	2	25/1	Trailer	78	66	12.5	58.1	49.6
1	PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	65	65.4	59.6	45.6
3	MR. SPLASH	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	65	57.0	59.0	47.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26400 Class Rating: 73

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DAYTONA GOLD 3/1
# 5 BOLT'S TREASURE 2/1
# 2 BOUND TO SUCCEED 5/2

I've got to go with DAYTONA GOLD. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Rivera running at this distance are the top in this field. Ought to compete solidly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group of animals. His earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at him. BOLT'S TREASURE - Has solid speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Puhl have shown strong results recently. BOUND TO SUCCEED - The extreme drop in competition can only aid this one this time around. Is hard not to examine given the company run in lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:07pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#6 MALIBU WARRIOR (ML=5/1)
#3 RAMIEL (ML=5/2)
#4 COACH KNIGHT (ML=5/1)


MALIBU WARRIOR - This gelding's last speed rating is high enough to win here, I'll wager on him right back this time around. RAMIEL - Ran a less than stellar race at Delaware Park last time around the track. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. This equine collects a lot of money per race. At the top in this race. COACH KNIGHT - This gelding is in nice condition. Ended up first on July 2nd.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SCUDETTO (ML=9/2), #1 MODICA (ML=5/1), #7 CAPTAIN CRUSH (ML=6/1),

SCUDETTO - This gelding is always hitting the board, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to play him on the win end. MODICA - Tough to put any cash on this gelding on the front end. Likes to end up on the board though. Hasn't been close to winning at all of late. CAPTAIN CRUSH - Will probably be instructed to pay some respect to his elders today. In this circumstance, this entrant's inability to make up ground in the last event is definitely troubling.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 MALIBU WARRIOR to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 *PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 EXCEED 9/5
# 5 CORE 2/1
# 4 M C JACKHAMMER 12/1

EXCEED looks respectable to best this field. Adamo has a strong win percent with horses travelling in dirt sprint races. Ran a strong last race. With a strong 70 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. CORE - Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. Must be given a chance - I like the figures from the last outing. M C JACKHAMMER - Opposing a much less demanding lot than last time out. In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Louisiana Downs - Race #6 - Post: 6:25pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 99

Rating:

#5 BRITERDAYZAHEAD (ML=2/1)
#6 COUNTRY HIT (ML=15/1)


BRITERDAYZAHEAD - Not much pace in this race other than this horse. This gelding recorded a good speed rating of 95 in his last event. That figure should be strong enough to win this time. Cravens moves this horse here to Louisiana Downs from Lone Star Park. Looking at the horse's PPs, he has shown the ability to win on different tracks. COUNTRY HIT - This mount could be tough today, especially since Munoz rode last time around the track and now should be better acquainted with this one. This jockey and trainer's horses have been generating a lucrative ROI. This gelding is in good condition. Ran third on Jun 24th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 OUR FAVORITE SON (ML=5/2), #2 AUTIE (ML=7/2), #3 SCOOTERIA (ML=9/2),

OUR FAVORITE SON - Will probably be given a lesson to pay some respect to his elders today. This gelding hasn't had any recent success in sprint events. No picnic to play him in this event. AUTIE - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests lately. Don't feel this pony will make an impact in today's event. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. SCOOTERIA - When checking today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a much better speed rating than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BRITERDAYZAHEAD - This is an automatic bet for me. This gelding is the top TM Power-rated racer and his rating towers over the rest.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 BRITERDAYZAHEAD to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	5 with 6 with [1,3,4] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip