Wednesday 8/13/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:16 AM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 13

Aug. 13, 2025

Race #1
Hurdle 2 3/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:10 PM ET
$75,000.00

Race 1 Stakes

Win	8-1	9	Quick Master	G Watters
Place	6-1	1	Travesuras	G Galligan
Show	8-1	8	Clifton Down	D Nevin
Wild card	9-2	2	Walk The Warrior	J Bargary
Alternate 1	8-1	5	Little Trilby	C Tierney
Alternate 2	6-1	4	Evies Prince	E Poretz

Exacta 9-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
Trifecta 1/8/9 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
Race #2
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:48 PM ET
$47,000.00

Race 2 Starter Optional Claiming

Win	8-5	5	Unlimitedpotential	S Civaci
Place	9-5	6	My Noble Knight	J L Ortiz
Show	3-1	4	Margin of Air	M Franco
Wild card	6-1	3	Pineapple Man	K Carmouche
Alternate 1	12-1	2	Quiet Wisdom	E Cancel
Alternate 2	15-1	1	Philharmonic	C Elliott

Exacta 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
Trifecta 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
Race #3
Inner turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:20 PM ET
Best Bet #7 RIZZ
$90,000.00

Race 3 Maiden Special Weight

Win	5-1	7	Rizz	J L Ortiz
Place	5-2	4	Shes Country	I Ortiz Jr.
Show	9-2	5	My Devine One	J Alvarado
Wild card	7-2	6	Princess Celine	M Franco
Alternate 1	8-1	9	Rocket Robin	K Carmouche
Alternate 2	15-1	1	Stylish Gem	E Cancel

Exacta 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
Trifecta 4/5/7 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
Race #4
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:52 PM ET
Best Bet #1 DRAKES PASSAGE
$115,000.00

Race 4 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	3-1	1	Drakes Passage	M Franco
Place	4-5	5	Gun Party	J L Ortiz
Show	5-1	3	Eliminate	R Santana Jr.
Wild card	8-1	2	Sheriff Bianco	K Carmouche
Alternate 1	20-1	4	Olympic Dreams	J Lezcano
Alternate 2	6-1	6	Stowaway	I Ortiz Jr.

Exacta 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
Race #5
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:26 PM ET
$63,000.00

Race 5 Claiming

Win	7-5	2	Stolen Base	J L Ortiz
Place	7-2	1A	Gun It	M Franco
Show	9-2	3	Fromanothamutha	I Ortiz Jr.
Wild card	4-1	7	Sagamore Mischief	K Carmouche
Alternate 1	7-5	2B	Breslau	R Santana Jr.
Alternate 2	6-1	6	Swaggish	J Alvarado

Exacta 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
Race #6
Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET
Best Bet #7 ORIE
$50,000.00

Race 6 Maiden Claiming

Win	2-1	7	Orie	L Saez
Place	8-5	3	Pazz the Soy Sauce	R Santana Jr.
Show	9-2	5	Pandemic Hero	J L Ortiz
Wild card	9-2	1	Out of the Fog	J Castellano
Alternate 1	5-2	9	Vibrant Express	M Franco
Alternate 2	4-1	10	Liberty Rising	Rider TBA

Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
Trifecta 3/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
Race #7
Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:34 PM ET
$36,000.00

Race 7 Claiming

Win	7-2	8	Spirit of Esther	L Saez
Place	6-5	7	Melle Mel	R Santana Jr.
Show	8-1	3	Ragtime Sizzle	M Franco
Wild card	6-1	6	Shes Complicated	J L Ortiz
Alternate 1	9-2	2	Our Lady Peace	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 2	12-1	4	Timia	R R Maragh

Exacta 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
Trifecta 3/7/8 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
Race #8
Inner turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:07 PM ET
$150,000.00

Race 8 Stakes

Win	7-2	6	Hangover Heaven	J L Ortiz
Place	4-1	8	Nonna Lynne	M Franco
Show	5-2	1	Disco Star	D Davis
Wild card	5-1	5	Bostons Phinest	R Santana Jr.
Alternate 1	6-5	9	Stone Smuggler	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 2	4-1	3	Trail of Gold	I Ortiz Jr.

Exacta 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
Trifecta 1/6/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
Race #9
Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:44 PM ET
$100,000.00

Race 9 Maiden Special Weight

Win	3-1	6	Delightful Darling	J L Ortiz
Place	2-1	12	Keto Drink	J Alvarado
Show	7-2	10	Lit Ship	I Ortiz Jr.
Wild card	4-1	4	Bint Mischief	J R Velazquez
Alternate 1	3-1	16	Santina	V Espinoza
Alternate 2	8-1	5	Quiet Street	J Alvarado

Exacta 6-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
Trifecta 6/10/12 BOX, 4/10/12 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:17 AM

Scott Shapiro: Saratoga Wednesday $159K Pick 6 Carryover Analysis

August 13, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

No one was able to connect the dots over the final six races at Saratoga on Sunday afternoon, so horseplayers are once again treated to a six-figure carryover to take a swing at to start the racing week. The old money in the Pick 6 pool is close to $159K for the sequence that kicks off in Race 4 at 2:52 eastern.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 4:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 5 Gun Party
Backups: 6 Stowaway

Forecast: North America’s all-time leading trainer Steve Asmussen has come to Saratoga this summer meaning business evidenced by his 7 for 24-record thus far. The veteran conditioner has found a perfect spot for the return of this $1.7M Keeneland September 2022 purchase that has been competitive, but disappointing thus far. That said, no one is better than Asmussen at giving horses time when they need it and allowing them to mature, even if that means being better later on their career. This colt has the tactical to speed to find a prominent spot in a race void of serious early zip and could be set for a strong half of his 4YO campaign. A repeat of his last at Churchill Downs in late June and they are running for second place.

If you want to take on the likely single, #6 Stowaway likely presents the best value and upside combination. The Gun Runner gelding has not raced since late May of ’24 when he won by a neck. Trainer Whit Beckman sports strong numbers off layoffs and legs up leading rider Irad Ortiz Jr.

Race 5:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2B Breslau; 3 Fromanothamutha; 2 Stolen Base
Backups: None

Forecast: The Flying P Stable coupled entry looks very tough in this open $32k claimer at 7-furlongs over the main track. #2 Stolen Base has been freshened up after a win at Aqueduct in late June, while #2B Breslau drops in class for Norm Casse after a less-than-ideal voyage against second-level allowance foes in Louisville. One of them has a big chance to win this at a short price, but #3 Fromanothamutha is worth including as well. The 6YO gelding adds the blinkers in his first start off the reclaim for trainer Ray Handal. Handal cuts him back to one-turn and attracts Irad Ortiz.

Race 6:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4 Klimt Master; 7 Orie
Backups: 3 Pass the Soy Sauce; 1 Out of the Fog

Forecast: This state-bred $50k maiden claimer over the lawn lacks a runner I trust, which makes taking a short price on #3 Pass the Soy Sauce or #7 Orie tough to do. Pass the Soy Sauce tried the grass for the initial time in his first start off the layoff on July 17 and ran fine showing solid early speed, but lacked energy late. 8-5 seems short. Orie at 2-1 is not any easier to swallow. The Mike Maker trainee certainly brings the strongest resume in having finished second beaten less than a length in back-to-back races at this level. That said, he has already lost 4 times in his career at 3-1 or less. He is the one I trust most to run his race, but not necessarily win.

I say all this because I like #4 Klimt Master most. The Eduardo Jones trainee has never hit the board in 12 starts, but his last few on the grass have come versus better. His last couple fit pretty well and he could get a very fast pace to run at. Hopefully, his second start over this course leads to his first career victory!

Race 7:
Grade: C
Main Ticket: 7; Melle Mel; 2 Our Lady Peace
Backups: 6 She’s Complicated

Forecast: I lack a strong opinion in this non-winners of two over the main track where it is certainly #7 Melle Mel’s race to lose. The Liam’s Map filly puts the blinkers back on for the first time since winter and takes a big drop for trainer Melanie Giddings. Her best wins this going away, but #2 Our Lady Peace intrigues as well. Saffie Joseph ships this Good Magic filly into New York and legs up the leading rider despite a disappointing runner-up effort as the favorite over the mud at Gulfstream Park last month. With a clean break she should get a favorable forward trip.

Race 8: NY Stallion Stakes
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 5 Boston’s Phinest; 3 Trail of Gold
Backups: 2 Queen Atlas; 7 Blossoming Erudite

Forecast: I will hope for separation from the public in the Wednesday feature where three of the four morning line favorites appear vulnerable in this one-mile excursion over the inner turf. The one I like most is 4-1-third choice #3 Trail of Gold. The Solomini filly got out of the gate very poorly last out in the Suzie O’Cain and competed over the wrong part of the turf course. With a better start, she should find a perfect mid-pack ground saving position on the slight cutback in distance. #5 Boston’s Phinest also exits the Suzie O’Cain where she too was caught wide and just off an honest pace, yet still hung around to finish third beaten just two lengths. The Bruce Brown trainee has been camera shy, but seems to be sitting on that second lifetime victory against a solid, but beatable bunch.

Race 9:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 9 Two Bits; 7 Lexico, 5 Quiet Street; 8 Nelson’s Penny
Backups: 10 Lit Ship

Forecast: The card and sequence conclude with a challenging MSW for 2YO fillies sprinting over the sod. I will use several and am willing to fade 3-1-ML favorite #6 Delightful Darling. The Flameaway filly has lost two photos to start her career, but should have won on debut when she popped the gate, made a clear lead at 3-2, but could not seal the deal. She is going to be a very common use to close this thing out and is far from a cinch.

My top choice is #9 Two Bits. The American Pharoah filly made a three-wide middle move in her first start on a day where the inside was the place and the race was washed off the grass last month. She moves to the turf and attracts Luis Saez. #7 Lexico is also worth noting since the Whit Beckman trainee worked last week with impressive debut winner Carmel Coast. She is unlikely to be as fast as her stablemate, but she will not have to be to win this.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:19 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#1 Stanz Coming	He finished up well after getting left behind at the start, and I like how he sustained that long middle move into the lane after being wide on the turn. Think he might dunk on these today.
#3 Leftnateawalkin	He finished first in that common no contest that several of these exit, including the top choice, but he ran a pretty solid race that day. That said, he got the perfect trip that day and might have a couple tougher challenges waiting for him today.
#8 So Simple	Not super excited about how he has been a bit flat late in the first two races, but he draws well to prompt/spy the whole way and wouldn't be a surprise. New face to that other group with the shared race.
Race Summary	Stanz Coming ran a pretty big race in what was eventually declared a no contest -- he gave himself a lot of work to do and made up a lot of consistent ground behind a perfect press winner. Scary if he sustains that run better today.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #4

#6 Biagoddess	Love that this one can sit just a touch off the splits if needed, but she's also fast enough to stay right up on the quicker players early. Lots to like for a team that excels with the early ones.
#7 Thank You Amy	Think she's in a good spot to force the issue in a race that doesn't have quite as much super-serious early burn as you might expect for this kind of race at this time of the season. Lots to like on the drop.
#2 Smooch Up	She couldn't hang after setting the tempo in a small stakes group last out at Colonial, but she looked sharp winning on the engine over the local footing in the career debut and wouldn't surprise here while returning to the scene.
Race Summary	Biagoddess should be in a really good spot while letting the more committed forward players sort things out early, and there might be enough other form on paper here to keep the price interesting enough.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#1 Exclusive Entry	Rail pace is one of the only one-way speed horses in here, and he is sure to try to go from the fence with this group. There are a couple others who could make his day tough early if they hustle with him, but there's also a chance it just ends up being the one drawn widest trying to bother him early. Could be dangerous if he gets his own way.
#10 Bigonzetti	Dropper should be in a good spot to either have the front end or inherit it if the top choice comes back, but he tends to fold up pretty easily once he's not in front, and I'm not sure the price is going to be interesting enough to make a play worth it. Your call.
#9 Steeler Mischief	Tactical type isn't flashy, but he tends to stay on at an OK pace that keeps him in the frame underneath, and he might end up in a fun spot if the top two hook up early.
Race Summary	Exclusive Entry and Bigonzetti look most likely to sort things out early, but I think Exclusive Entry might be able to hold him off long enough to discourage him and then find something in the tank to stay on. Prefer leaning on the #1 and #9 on top, especially if the price goes short on #10.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:19 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Colonial Downs - Race #2

#6 BOYS GO TO JUPITER (5-1)	Useful comeback in longer race, value remains on drop from MSW ranks.
#7 BIG AIR (9-5)	Ran behind runaway fave and ahead of next-out winner two back, enters Ness barn.
#4 STARS ALIGN (4-1)	Stretches out, gets Paco, worked fast since last race, presumably with blinks on.
Race Summary	BOYS GO TO JUPITER raced close-up for 6F in a longer MSW route race after seven months away. But she earned her top speed figure while racing on Lasix for the first time and will offer good value with BIG AIR drawing most of the attention. Bet to win and place and play 6-4 and 6-7 exactas.

Colonial Downs - Race #3

#6 FINESTKIND (3-1)	Barn can get ‘em ready – and it looks like he is after recent :47 move from gate.
#10 NOTION IN MOTION (12-1)	Big rally in restricted allowance off 17-month layoff, use in gimmicks.
#1 CASH THE MONEY (5-2)	‘Finest’ stablemate tired after long duel at 1M, runner-up wired field next out.
Race Summary	Casse-trained firster FINESTKIND prepped well on the Colonial Downs main track for two months but debuts on the turf. His dam was unraced but his sire, Violence (3-4, 613k), was a Grade 1 and Grade 2-winning router, though not on turf. Bet to win and place and play a 6, 10 over 1, 6, 10 exacta.

Colonial Downs - Race #4

#2 PEDRO NUNES (15-1)	Longshot stab with plenty of pace up ahead in second start in U.S.
#3 FRACK BABY (5-2)	Powerhouse maiden score at Delaware for 19-percent ‘repeat’ barn.
#4 SHEPHERD (7-2)	Major player but can’t seem to get out of his own way at the start.
Race Summary	PEDRO NUNES took money but lacked kick in a well-bet U.S. debut and his first start on conventional dirt. But he hails from a high-percentage barn, adds blinkers and gets plenty of pace to rally into at an inflated price. Bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE

Finger Lakes - Race 4	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 4-5) * LATE PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum: Races 4-5-6-7-8)
Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $24,500 • Post: 2:42P
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PASCHAL MOON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PASCHAL MOON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DOROTHYS HAPPINESS: Horse had a bull et workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RETAIL MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HENRYTHETHIRD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
3	PASCHAL MOON	3/1	3/1
2	DOROTHYS HAPPINESS	8/5	6/1
6	RETAIL MAN	8/1	9/1
5	HENRYTHETHIRD	12/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PASCHAL MOON	3	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	85	75	69.2	74.9	71.9
2	DOROTHYS HAPPINESS	2	8/5	Stalker	91	82	13.3	72.0	66.0
6	RETAIL MAN	6	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	75	68.8	69.2	64.7
5	HENRYTHETHIRD	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	73	63.4	72.4	63.4
4	LOVE THAT BIRD	4	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	79	69.4	69.2	61.7
7	AVA'S UNCLE BILLY	7	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	80	66.9	69.9	58.4
1	RINGGOOD	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	63	63.6	44.0	30.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs
PURCHASE

Ajax Downs - Race 5	Win/ Place/ Show/ Daily Double/ Exactor/ Triactor/ Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Allowance • 110 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:33P
QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES AT 110 YARDS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SNOW MOOSE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. A SHADES OF COLD: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	SNOW MOOSE	8/5	5/2
3	A SHADES OF COLD	5/2	5/1
2	I THINK ICON	2/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	FIRST FOR YOU	1	3/1	Fast	72	67	2.1	0.0	0.0
3	A SHADES OF COLD	3	5/2	Fast	77	74	2.5	0.0	0.0
4	SNOW MOOSE	4	8/5	Average	87	84	5.7	0.0	0.0
5	PHIL JEFFERSON	5	9/2	Average	70	68	5.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: I THINK ICON (2/1) [Jockey: Desouza Lloyd - Trainer: Tavares Joe].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:20 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 74

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (OHIO

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CHESS NOT CHECKERS 2/1
# 1 DANCE STEP 4/1
# 6 DROPPING LEMONS 3/1

CHESS NOT CHECKERS is the best bet in this race. Could best this field here, showing very good numbers of late. Formidable choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Recorded a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. DANCE STEP - Like the finish positions in the last few races. Has a sharp shot in this race if you like back class. DROPPING LEMONS - Ought to go to the lead and could never look back. Should be given a chance based on the strong speed fig earned in the last competition.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:20 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Colonial Downs - Race #4 - Post: 1:57pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $72,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating:

#4 SHEPHERD (ML=7/2)
#6 SHIP SHIP HOORAY (ML=4/1)
#3 FRACK BABY (ML=5/2)

SHEPHERD - This colt registered a good speed rating of 88 in his last race. That speed rating should be high enough to win this time. SHIP SHIP HOORAY - After the affair aboard this equine on Jul 5th, the rider is going to be in tune with the colt much better. This jockey/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +36. FRACK BABY - Trainer Compton gave this colt a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 YARA'S QUEST (ML=9/2), #7 CHANGE MY WORLD (ML=6/1),

YARA'S QUEST - This racer just hasn't looked ready recently. CHANGE MY WORLD - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this participant does. Pedestrian speed rating in the last race at Colonial Downs at 7 furlongs. Don't think this mount will improve too much in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 SHEPHERD is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:21 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SO - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 UNCLE TRULY 5/1
# 1 FORTUNE SELLER 10/1
# 5 TIDAL FORCES 9/2

I think UNCLE TRULY is a respectable choice. Should be given consideration for this event if only for the competitive Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last contest. Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. TIDAL FORCES - Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races make this pony a solid contender. Appears to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-13-2025, 09:21 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Saratoga - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Stakes - 19.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 107 Michael G. Walsh Novice S.

Rating:

#8 CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) (ML=8/1)

CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) - True, this campaigner is coming off a layoff, but this gelding runs well fresh. This one likes to win on different ovals. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. We have lots of early speed with this mount. He could wire this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ROJA REDEMPTION (ML=7/2), #2 WALK THE WARRIOR (IRE) (ML=9/2), #7 CARLOUN (IRE) (ML=5/1),

ROJA REDEMPTION - Hasn't been on the Saratoga oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. WALK THE WARRIOR (IRE) - Would be taking an underlay on this entrant at the likely odds of 9/2. CARLOUN (IRE) - This horse just hasn't looked fit of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #8 CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None

Wednesday 8/13/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 8/13/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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