Saturday 8/16/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park
    PURCHASE
    Canterbury Park - Race 2 Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
    Optional Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 85 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 5:40P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * O'BABE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. MIA BABY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAINT SARENA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RAVEN'S QUEST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    5 O'BABE 5/2 9/2
    1 MIA BABY 2/1 5/1
    2 SAINT SARENA 8/1 7/1
    4 RAVEN'S QUEST 3/1 7/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    2 SAINT SARENA 2 8/1 Front-runner 93 87 85.0 72.0 63.5
    4 RAVEN'S QUEST 4 3/1 Front-runner 87 76 61.6 75.8 70.8
    5 O'BABE 5 5/2 Alternator/Front-runner 87 78 70.2 76.8 72.3
    3 PETIT JEAN 3 9/2 Stalker 72 70 58.4 68.4 59.4
    1 MIA BABY 1 2/1 Alternator/Stalker 87 86 68.0 77.0 71.5
    6 CONNECTABLE 6 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 86 63 64.2 63.4 54.4
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
      PURCHASE
      Camarero - Race 3 pick 5 (3-7) / exacta / trifecta / daily double 3-4
      Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 90 • Purse: $8,100 • Post: 3:35P
      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 5# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
      Contenders Race Analysis
      P# Horse Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds
      Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LASTCHANCEATGLORY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TAKE THE CHARGE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating . ST ANDREWS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DESERT SAND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Hors e has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
      3 LASTCHANCEATGLORY 2/1 4/1
      6 TAKE THE CHARGE 9/2 5/1
      1 ST ANDREWS 3/1 5/1
      2 DESERT SAND 7/2 9/1

      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
      Line
      Running Style Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
      Figure
      6 TAKE THE CHARGE 6 9/2 Front-runner 91 90 83.7 77.5 70.5
      3 LASTCHANCEATGLORY 3 2/1 Front-runner 91 90 83.1 88.9 83.9
      2 DESERT SAND 2 7/2 Stalker 84 79 80.4 78.2 71.7
      4 MAXIMUM BLAST 4 5/2 Stalker 51 45 44.6 41.0 30.5
      1 ST ANDREWS 1 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 93 88 86.4 86.7 84.2
      5 EL CATOLICO 5 4/1 Alternator/Non-contender 65 62 76.4 74.5 64.5
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.



        Race 2 - Stakes - 10.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $1000000 Class Rating: 96

        KING'S PLATE S. WO - R9 - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS, FOALED IN CANADA.
        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 11 TOM'S MAGIC 5/1
        # 2 WILLIAM T 20/1
        # 12 SEDBURYS GHOST 6/1
        TOM'S MAGIC looks strong to best this field. A solid 91 avg class figure may give this colt a distinct class edge against this group of horses. Overall the speed figures of this horse look very good in this outing. WILLIAM T - This colt has been consistently racing well in his latest outings. SEDBURYS GHOST - The tandem of Munger/Minshall has one of the most favorable ROI percentages in this group. Should finish in the money without a doubt.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #19

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          PURCHASE





          Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 69

          Rating:

          #9 SIX FORTYFIVE (ML=7/2)
          #6 BATTLE ANTHEM (ML=6/1)


          SIX FORTYFIVE - That 74 fig this gelding registered in his last contest tells me he's a key player this time. Last two speed figs (70, 74) were dominant. Anything close to that in this event and this one may win easily. Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This gelding should do better hitting the main track right here. Earnings per start is something that I feel can be a crucial handicapping aspect. This horse is ranked number 1 in this bunch. A repeat performance from any of last three races, and this one should be in the winner's circle picture. BATTLE ANTHEM - Ran last out against a tougher field at Gulfstream Park. The move down in the class scale should suit him well. Lower weight carried of -7. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this gelding falls into this category.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MIGRATORY (ML=9/5), #2 DONTSPLASHTHEPOT (ML=5/1), #4 TOM S (ML=6/1),

          MIGRATORY - If you keep choosing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be frustrated most every time. Tough to put your cash on this oft beaten chalk. Not much value. DONTSPLASHTHEPOT - Don't figure that this pony has what it takes to be victorious this time. TOM S - He showed not much at all in the last race. 6/1 is not worth it for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair recently. Registered a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last time out in a Maiden Special race on August 18th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig.
          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #9 SIX FORTYFIVE to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,9]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #20

            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE





            Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 1:17pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $49,200 Class Rating: 69

            Rating:

            #8 TOP OF D MOUNTAIN (ML=3/1)
            #6 MISS BOUJEE (ML=15/1)
            #7 ARCTIC BLONDE (ML=5/1)


            TOP OF D MOUNTAIN - This filly has impressed last two times out posting strong speed figs. With a repeat performance, she'll probably be the victor. The 71 most recent race speed fig looks sound on paper. MISS BOUJEE - Likes to go to the front of the pack and the fact that today is a shorter trip should help. ARCTIC BLONDE - Moran rode this horse for the initial time last time out and comes right back in today's race. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from this contest's shorter distance. This thoroughbred has recorded the best recent turf speed fig at the dist-surf.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CLOUD RIDER (ML=7/2), #4 ROCK HARD ROSE (ML=6/1), #5 AINT NO GIRLY GIRL (ML=8/1),

            CLOUD RIDER - You always think this horse has a shot to win, but she falls short most of the time. ROCK HARD ROSE - Hard to put your money on this speedy one. Too much early zip in the affair. AINT NO GIRLY GIRL - Tough to put your money on this speedball. Too much zip in the event. This filly recorded a speed figure in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.
            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #8 TOP OF D MOUNTAIN on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
            EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [6,7]
            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [6,7,8] Total Cost: $6
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [6,7,8] with [6,7,8] with [6,7,8,11,13] with [6,7,8,11,13] Total Cost: $36
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #21

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 4 - Stakes - 10.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $1000000 Class Rating: 96

              KING'S PLATE S. WO - R9 - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS, FOALED IN CANADA.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 11 TOM'S MAGIC 5/1
              # 2 WILLIAM T 20/1
              # 12 SEDBURYS GHOST 6/1
              TOM'S MAGIC is the top wager in this race. His 87 average has this colt with among the most competitive speed figures for this event. Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this colt. WILLIAM T - This colt has posted some nice finishing positions in his last several starts. SEDBURYS GHOST - Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact today. Munger has recent return on investment figs which make this one a good bet.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #22
                Brian W. Spencer: Del Mar Spot Plays | Saturday, August 16, 2025


                August 16, 2025 | By Brian Spencer

                A $79,373 pick 6 carryover greets players this Saturday at Del Mar, where the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks will be the featured Race 8 on the card. The pick 6 begins and Race 5 and a pair of my key plays come during the sequence.

                Del Mar - Race 4

                #1 Kizazi: Wanted to see just a touch better from her last time out, but she chased a toughie and a repeater in that decent debut try, and I'm expecting there is still something a bit better in the tank here.

                #2 Yours Sincerely: Not sure what to do with her, but I'm not sure this is going to be a group you write home about in the end, so she may be enough to be competitive here. Check her out.

                #6 Tiz Grace: We'll see how she fits here on the turf, but I typically don't mind seeing a Kantharos on the grass, and I feel like she may wind up being a forward threat in this spot. In the mix.

                Race Summary: Kizazi has a right to be tough, as she classed up OK with a couple nice runners so far. Think she can come forward today in the second run around two bends on the turf.


                Del Mar - Race 8

                #5 Lush Lips: She has really done nothing wrong for Walsh other than run into Nitrogen a couple times, and I love that this might be a chance to get her at a mildly playable price if the next one commands a big enough share.

                #10 Thought Process: No arguments from me here -- I'm a big fan, and I think she's the one to beat. Just think the top choice might offer a more appealing number with another heavy hitter from the division having left a mark on her company lines.

                #6 Edge of Mali: Riser has a lot of work to do to even stay in the frame with the top two, but I really don't think we've seen the best of her yet, and I love an aggressive rise like this after an impressive score.

                Race Summary: Lush Lips and Thought Process look like the right two in here -- no surprises there, but I like the way Lush Lips landed that last one after finally getting away from Nitrogen.


                Del Mar - Race 10

                #9 Boujee Beach: As mentioned above, I thought pretty highly of the race she exits, and I bet she can show a bit better tactical pace today than we saw from her last time out. Tempted to take an aggressive stand here.

                #8 Gathered: She'll go with Lasix for the first time off the bench out of this new barn, and she seems like a reasonable place to land if you assume she has come forward at all since the last time we saw her.

                #4 For Arrogate: Blinkers come off today, and I liked the winner of her last a little bit. Think she's the right one out of that spot, and a late run to land it isn't out of the question.

                Race Summary: Check out #3 The Mizen Queen ahead of this one, too. Her last might not be far off this bunch. Boujee Beach seemed to turn in an OK try when routing here last month, and I'd love to see her find a good spy in a spot without a ton of pace.
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