11-26-11

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Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
80 Dime One-and-Only College Dog Game of the Year is the Minnesota Golden Gophers as the home unardog againast the Illinois Fighting Illini. At the time I am releahing this play to you, the Golden Gophers are a 10 1/2-point underdog both here in Vegas and offshore.

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Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 30 Dime play is on Stanford as a home favorate to cover against Notare Dame. Checkhng the sports books in Las Vegas at 7 a.m., the Cardinal is a 7-point favorite.

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SPORTS INSIGHTS MARKET WATCH

Northwestern + 6.5 (betting against heavy public fav.) 8-3-1- ytd

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Falcon

Wake Forest (+1.10) ML
USC -16 (-1.10)
Edmonton (+1.10)
Middle Tenn State (+1.10) ML

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Kelso

25 michigan
25 Alabama
25 penn st
25 Stanford

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Doc Sports

Thursday & Friday 0 - 3

4* Take Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 over Indiana Hoosiers (Sunday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten)

4* Take Northwestern Wildcats +7 over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 12 p.m.)

4* Take Wisconsin Badgers -14.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 p.m.)

5* Take Michigan Wolverines -7 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 p.m. ABC)
Top College Football Game of the Weekend.

4* Take Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 over Illinois Fighting Illini (Saturday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten Network)

4* Take Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 over Indiana Hoosiers (Sunday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten)

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Robert ********

6-Unit Take #185 New Mexico State (+20.5) over Louisiana Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)
This is our College Football Game of the Month.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #176 Virginia (+4.5) over Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #175 Ohio State (+7.5) over Michigan (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #178 Wisconsin (-14.5) over Penn State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #184 Marshall (+1) over East Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take #182 Florida (+2.5) over Florida State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #196 Stanford (-7) over Notre Dame (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take #153 Georgia (-6) over Georgia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take #140 Northwestern (+6.5) over Michigan State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 57.0 Purdue at Indiana (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 26)

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Brian Mac

Alabama Crimson Tide

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Dom Chambers

30 Dime* CFB* LINEMAKER MISTAKE* Stanford

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Craig Davis

100 Dime * CFB* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR* Michigan
40 Dime * CFB* MWC EASY MONEY* Wyoming
20 Dime * CFB* TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Memphis-Southern Miss OVER

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Jeff Benton

80 Dime* CFB* COLLEGE DOG GAME OF THE YEAR* Minnesota

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David Banks

Best Bet Clemson +4


NCAAF

12:00 Michigan -7.5

3:30 Virginia +5.5

3:30 Alabama -21

8:00 Stanford -7

10:00 USC -16

NCAAB

3:30 Penn St +6.5

4:00 Gonzaga -16

7:00 Duquesne -11

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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

Nevada +1.5 over UTAH STATE: Last week Nevada had a good lead on La Tech, but couldn't hold it and the loss snapped a 5 game winning streak, in which the Wolfpack averaged 44.2 ppg and outscored their opponents by an average of 22.8 ppg. Nevada has also owne this series, winning by an average of 15.8 ppg. Granted the last 3 played here have been won by 6 points or less, but all 3 were by Nevada and they are the dog in this one. The Wolfpack can score some points and they will be facing a Utah State defense that has str***led recently, allowing 35.3 ppg and 417 ypg in their last 3 games, while on the year they have allowed 30.1 ppg, which is 85th. Nevada has had defensive problems this year as well, but they do pretty well vs the run, allowing just 148 ypg and that's all that Utah State has as they are 6th in the nation in rushing at 276 ypg. The Aggie offense is really one dimensional, but the Wolfpack offense isn't as they are 36th in passing (257.6 ypg) and 9th in rushing (261 ypg), so the Aggies will not be able to gear up on just 1 thing. The Wolfpack has the better offense and they are slightly better on defense and they should get back on the winning track here. KEY TRENDS-- The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a dog, while the Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win.

4 UNIT PLAY

NC STATE -11.5 over Maryland: Starting the year with a win over the Canes, Marlyand has gone 1-9 overall and 0-8 vs FBS foes. OUCH!!! And not only have they lost their last 9 by FBS teams, but they have been outscored by 16.1 ppg in the process. The defense for this team has been a major problem as they are 109th overall (458.8 ypg), 115th vs the run (227.6 ypg) and 97th in points allowed (32.3 ppg). The NC State offense hasn't looked great of late, but in the last 4 weeks they faced FSU, Virginia and BC, which all have good or excellent defenses, but when facing a bad defense lijke they did vs Clemson last week they were able to put up 398 yards and 37 points vs them. Marylands has put up just 21.5 ppg on the year (101st) and just 15.8 ppg on the road. Maryland has been outscored by 21 ppg in theoir last 3 games, by 11 ppg in ACC play and by 18.7 ppg on the road, while NC State has outscored their opponents by 14.2 ppg at home. Maryland is on an 0-6 ATS run and they are 3-12 ATS aftrer allowing 280+ yards passing, while the Wolfpack are 19-9-2 in their last 30 games following an ATS win. Look for State to win this one by 17+.

3 UNIT PLAYS

NORTHWESTERN +6 Over Michigan State: The Spartan's are clearly oin a letdown spot after clinching a spot in the Big 10 Title game last week. Even if they weren't on letdown mode we note that this is a team that has str***led on the road this year, with bad losses at ND and Nebraska and just a 3 point win at Ohio State and on the road this year they have put up just 15.8 ppg and 327 ppg. Northwestern was without QB dan Persa for the early part of the year, but this team has figured out things of late as they have won 4 in a row, including a stunning win in Nebraska a few weeks ago. The Northwestern offense has been doing what they were expected to do all year and that's putting up points, as they have averaged 32.6 ppg since Dan's return, compared to the 19 ppg they put in their 2 games vs Div 1 foes before his return. Michigan State really has nothing to play for in this one and they would like to get out of this one healthy, while Northwestern would like to improve what bowl they may go to with a big win vs Sparty here. I'll call for the outright upset.


Wyoming +33 over BOISE STATE: Wyoming is 7-3 on the year and that's better than SDSU and Boise only beat them by 18. Wyoming has road wins vs SDSU and Air force and an 11 point home loss to TCU, which Boise lost to at home. Plus we also note that Boise has not won by more than 33 in the last 4 weeks and that includes the 11 point HOME win vs Air Force and just a 17 point road win at a BAD UNLV team. Now I ask you... Why in the hell is Wyomoning a 33 point dog here. The Cowboy offense has been pretty good this year as they have averaged 28.8 ppg and 417 ypg on the year and they should have some good success today vs a Boise State team that has had some defensive woes of late as they have allowed 29.5 ppg and 425 ypg in their last 4 games, and those numbers are 9 ppg and 80 ypg worse than their season to date average. This defense has been bad of late and Wyoming can capitalize. The Wyoming defense has not been great, but they are a solid 32nd vs the pass and they limit some of the big easy plays by Boise here. This game is for 2nd place in the WAC and while i don't feel that Wyoming has a shot in hell at winning this one outright, they have shown this year that they are more than capable of keeping it close.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Alabam -21 over AUBURN: Style points. Les Miles said they weren't trying for any yesterday vs Arkansas, but you could clearly see they were and that's what Alabama will do in this one. I still stand by my statement in in yesterday's thread about how ****ty the Alabam and LSU QB's are, but as LSU showed they don't need great QB, as their defense and special teams continues to set up or bale out the offense by proving them short fields. The Bama Offense has been pretty good this year as they are 32nd overall, 14th in rushing and 19th in scoring. That ground game will get toi face the 93rd ranked rushing defense (193.1 ypg) and that will certainly open up a few throwing lanes for McCarron, but it will wear down this thin Auburn defense in the second half and that will set up for some easy late style point scores by Bama. The Tide's defense has allowed more than 14 points just once this year and that was last week vs FCS foe Georgia Southern. They are a bit embarrassed after that performance and you can almost sence a shutout here. The last 2 years this game has been close, but not this year. Alabama needs to win big and they will do it with ease.


Texas Tech +13 over BAYLOR: Last year the Red Raiders were just 1 points favs after being DD faves the previous 10 years and now the pendulum has really swung the other way as Baylor is a DD fave. Texas tech is 12-3 ATS the last 15 in the series and they have outgained the Bears in all 15. The Rad Raiders have not played well in the last 4 weeks, but Baylor is on letdown alert after their big win over Oklahoma last week and they have Texas on deck, while this is the Red Raiders season finale. I say they can keep it close here.

1 UNIT PLAY

OKLAHOMA -28.5 over Iowa State: This is a double whammy as the sooners are angry after being beaten by Baylor last week, while ISU is off a HUGE, I say a HUGE win over Oklahoma State and they may still be partying when this on kicks off. I look for Oklahoma to roll in fron of the home crowd

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Eddie Roman
10,000 Dime ACC Move
Virginia Tech Hokies -5.5 over Virginia

5000 Dime Two Pack

Under 57 Points Missouri / Kansas
Penn State Nittany Lions +14.5 over Wisconsin

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The Boss

1000% godfather overoklahoma
500% untouchable michigan
300% bookie buster parlay overoklahoma Michigan alabama
200% dog pound Newmexicostate
100% silent assassins Floridastate pennstate Northwestern