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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Saturday 8/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #2
    Jeremy Plonk: Travers Stakes Post Draw Reaction


    August 17, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes winner Sovereignty reigns over the Travers Stakes this Saturday at Saratoga, so much so that his strength has scared away numbers. Only four challengers joined the superstar 3-year-old in the entry box today for the $1.25 million Midsummer Derby. Preakness winner Journalism and Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes-placed Baeza were notable absentees, both foregoing a potential third clash with the division’s clear leader.

    Horseplayers betting Saturday’s Saratoga card with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take advantage of the $5,000 Exacta-Thon promotion. Also be sure to check out the 1/ST BET Travers Day Tailgate contest with VSIN, where your knowledge of horses and the opening week of the college football season could pay off. Registration begins Wednesday.

    The Travers’ most dangerous early speed and chief rival to Sovereignty figures to be Magnitude, who drew the rail and will be the target under Ben Curtis. Magnitude burst onto the scene in February with a romping win in the Risen Star at Fair Grounds before being sidelined by injury. His return blowout in the Iowa Derby indicates he could be a second half of the season force. Bracket Buster (post 2) set the pace in the Haskell and Pegasus at Monmouth earlier this summer and should be in the mix with Magnitude. That he drew post 2 means there’s a chance the two speeds hook up in the run through the stretch the first time.

    Both McAfee (post 5), the half-brother to 2024 Horse of the Year and Travers runner-up Thorpedo Anna, and lightly raced Strategic Focus (post 3) project to get mid-pack trips. Sovereignty has been effective from off the pace in key races but showed more tactical speed in the Jim Dandy prep. Jockey Junior Alvarado should be able to pick any spot given the race shape, small field size and long run into the clubhouse turn. If Bracket Buster does the dirty work keeping Magnitude honest, Sovereignty should be poised to deliver the knockout as he has since the first Saturday in May.

    Saturday’s Travers Stakes Day program gets underway at 11:10 am ET and includes undercard stakes like the Grade 1 Personal Ensign, Ballerina, H. Allen Jerkens Memorial and Forego, as well as the Grade 2 Lake Placid.

    Travers Stakes 156 | Saratoga | Saturday, August 23, 2025 | Race 13

    1-Magnitude (Steve Asmussen / Ben Curtis) 2-1
    2-Bracket Buster (Victoria Oliver / Luis Saez) 20-1
    3-Strategic Focus (Chad Brown / Flavien Prat) 6-1
    4-Sovereignty (Bill Mott / Junior Alvardo) 2-5
    5-McAfee (Rick Dutrow / John Velazquez) 20-1

    For more handicapping insights, access the free 1/ST and VSIN Travers Stakes Wager Guide, launching Monday and updated throughout the week. https://news.1st.com/wager-guides/travers-stakes
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #3
      Meet the Contenders: Saturday’s Personal Ensign at Saratoga


      August 20, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

      A Breeders’ Cup Distaff Win & You’re In berth will be a tough ticket to earn in this Travers Day undercard showcase. The Grade 1 $500,000 Personal Ensign features the reigning Horse of the Year, the race’s defending champion and five other highly credentialed stakes stars across the division. For more on this race and the entire Saturday program at the Spa, access the free 1/ST BET and VSIN Travers Wager Guide at 1st.com/guide.

      Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet be sure to take part in Saturday’s $5,000 Exacta-Thon for Saratoga.

      Let’s meet the contenders for the Personal Ensign (Race 9):

      #1-RANDOMIZE: Grade 1 Alabama and Grade 1 Ogden Phipps winner over this track in 2023 and 2024, she got her first win of 2025 last out at Monmouth in the Grade 3 Molly Pitcher. All 6 career wins have come wire-to-wire and is expected to show early speed once again. Trainer Chad Brown won his first Personal Ensign last summer with Raging Sea, who returns and lures jockey Flavien Prat. Manny Franco picks up the mount on Saturday.

      #2-DAZZLING MOVE: Shuvee, Phipps and Allaire duPont pacesetter has held on to win just 1 of her last 8 starts. The Saffie Joseph Jr. trainee gets regular rider Jose Ortiz back in the saddle and should contest the early tempo with inside-drawn Randomize. Back-to-back bullet workouts pre-date her bid to win for the first time at the Spa and first time at the 9-furlong trip.

      #3-RAGING SEA: Defending Personal Ensign champ will try to become the fourth 2-time winner of this race and first since Beautiful Pleasure in 1999-2000. Raging Sea rallied to win the Grade 1 La Troienne at Churchill Downs on Kentucky Derby weekend in her first start in more than 6 months, but failed to fire in her pair of subsequent races. Regular rider Flavien Prat opts here over Chad Brown stablemate Randomize – who has been her workout partner in the morning all summer. Late runner should get a hot pace to help her cause.

      #4-DORTH VADER: Upset winner of the Grade 1 Phipps over this track in distance during the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival returns to the scene. Dueled and faded most recently at Monmouth in a matchup vs. Personal Ensign return rival Randomize. Jockey John Velazquez is a 4-time winner of the Personal Ensign, most recently Malathaat in 2022. George Weaver trains the mare who has gone off nearly 15-1 odds on average in her Grade 1 starts and often outruns expectations.

      #5-BERNIETAKESCHARGE: Cross-entered Friday in the Yaddo Stakes on turf for fellow New York-breds, but is a multiple stakes winner on dirt in those ranks. She’s won 3 of her last 4 starts for regular pilot Rajiv Maragh and trainer Dominic Schettino. There’s some all-or-nothing about her performances and she’s done nearly all her damage when able to set the pace. Could be part of a busy front end Saturday if she goes here.

      #6-LESLIE’S ROSE: Grade 2 Shuvee winner last out for Todd Pletcher snapped a 5-race losing streak in the process, a skid that included 3 losses in which she defeated a grand total of 1 horse. Leading jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. returns to ride as she looks for back-to-back wins for the first time since her debut maiden and allowance scores. Ortiz won the Personal Ensign in 2021 aboard Letruska, while Pletcher’s trio of wins came with Fleet Indian (2006), Love and Pride (2012) and Malathaat (2022).

      #7-THORPEDO ANNA: The 2024 Horse of the Year returns to Saratoga for the first time this campaign, having won last season’s Acorn and Coaching Club American Oaks before a valiant second in the Travers against the boys. Her longtime connections of Brian Hernandez Jr. and Kenny McPeek both seek their first Personal Ensign victories, while Thorpedo Anna looks to advance to 4-for-5 on the 2025 season. She won Churchill’s Fleur de Lis most recently in late June. Thorpedo Anna is 5-for-5 lifetime at the 1-1/8 miles distance. Her younger half-brother, McAfee, competes in the featured Travers Stakes on Saturday.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #4
        Fun in the Sun Tourney: Kahlden Earns Second Final Table Seat


        August 20, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

        The Xpressbet ‘Fun in the Sun’ handicapping tournament turns for home as week 6 of 7 coincides Saturday with Travers Day at Saratoga. The contest’s progressive jackpot now stands at $13,690 with 25 of 35 available seats for the Final Table now set for Labor Day.

        Lawrence Kahlden outplayed all contestants last week with a 2025 season-best $377 mutuel total on his 10 total contest plays at Saratoga and Del Mar. He earned the $945 weekly top prize. Kahlden is now a dual qualifier, having made the final table in Week 3 as well. Mayur Patel was second ($337, earned $393.75 in prizes) and Mark Winland was third ($317.50 earned, $236.25 in prizes). Among the top-5, which all earned Final Table berths, were Arthur Estilore and Greg Knepper (tied at $279.50 each).

        Fun in the Sun challenges bettors to make $10 Win bets on 5 specified contest races each at Saratoga (last 5 races on the card) and Del Mar (first 5 races on the card). Players compete each week for cash prizes, plus a coveted seat at the $10,000-added Final Table on Labor Day.

        Last season, Gordon Maruya was the runaway winner of the $15,782 final table in the FITS competition and bagged $8,680 in prize money. It was Maruya’s third final table appearance (also qualifying in 2021 and 2023).
        The Final Table format was created in 2020 and its winners have included Robert Rosen (2020), Wayne Tam (2021), Kevin Saunders (2022), Joe Tambasco (2023) and Gordon Maruya (2024).

        //

        2025 Tournament Dates
        Saturday, July 19, 26
        Saturday, August 2, 9, 16, 23, 30
        Monday, September 1 (Final Table)

        Buy-In
        $125 Buy-In per week, split between $100 Bankroll + $25 Entry Fee
        How to Play
        Tournament consists of the last five (5) races each Saturday at Saratoga and the first five (5) races each Saturday at Del Mar
        Players must make a $10 Win bet on one (1) horse in each race via the Contest Wagerpad

        Weekly Prize Pool
        70% of Entry Fees are paid out each week as the Weekly Prize Pool

        Weekly Prizes
        Top Five (5) finishers each week automatically qualify for the Final Table
        1st Place Finisher – 60% of Weekly Prize Pool + Final Table Seat
        2nd Place Finisher – 25% of Weekly Prize Pool + Final Table Seat
        3rd Place Finisher – 15% of Weekly Prize Pool + Final Table Seat
        4th Place Finisher – Final Table Seat
        5th Place Finisher – Final Table Seat

        Final Table Prizes
        30% of Entry Fees carried over to the Final Table
        $10,000-added prize pool courtesy of Xpressbet
        1st Place Finisher: 55% of Final Table Prize Pool
        2nd Place Finisher: 25% of Final Table Prize Pool
        3rd Place Finisher: 10% of Final Table Prize Pool
        4th Place Finisher: 5% of Final Table Prize Pool
        5th Place Finisher: 5% of Final Table Prize Pool

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #5
          Scott Shapiro: All-Stakes Travers Day Pick 5 | Saturday


          August 21, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

          The massive Travers Day card literally has a new Pick 4, Pick 5, or Pick 6 starting in every possible race, which gives horseplayers plenty of ways to leverage their top opinions over the 14-race extravaganza. All pools on the biggest day of the summer at Saratoga will be bigger than normal, but naturally the All Grade 1 Pick 5 that concludes with the Midsummer Derby is a sequence that will attract a ton of interest.

          Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

          Race 9: Personal Ensign (G1)
          Grade: B-
          Main Ticket: 6 Leslie’s Rose
          Backups: 4 Dorth Vader

          Forecast: 2024 Horse of the Year #7 Thorpedo Anna bounced back last out with an easy victory in the Fleur De Lis (G2) after disappointing against the strongest field she has encountered in 2025. She meets a similar challenge in the first leg of the All-Stakes Pick 5, but very well could go off as the odds-on favorite for the seventh consecutive time. She has run well over this surface in all 3 starts and is the likeliest winner, but is all but certain to be an underlay on Saturday afternoon.

          I like the chances quite a bit of #6 Leslie’s Rose. The Into Mischief filly has lacked consistency, but comes in off a career best performance in the Shuvee (G2) last month. She draws outside the main speeds, which should allow Irad Ortiz Jr. to relax off the pace. A move forward off of her last and she will be tough to deny. Hopefully we get close to the 9-2-ML offering.


          Race 10: H. Allen Jerkens (G1)
          Grade: B-
          Main Ticket: 7 Captain Cook; 1 Patch Adams
          Backups: 5 Verifire; 6 Smoken Wicked; 8 Madaket Road

          Forecast: One of the most intriguing races on the card is also one of the more difficult to handicap. A case of some sort can be made for all 8 3YOs set to enter the starting gate for the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial (G1).

          #1 Patch Adams is the one to beat off of his win in the Woody Stephens (G1), but draws down on the inside for the first time. The probable difference in trip from his previous starts makes him tough to rush to the windows to bet at his 3-1-ML price. That said, he is extremely difficult to outright toss off of his last couple. I will use the likely post-time favorite, as well as longshot #7 Captain Cook. The Practical Joke colt sheds the blinkers after wearing shades in his first 6 starts, including last out when he finally got back to doing what he does best, sprinting. The problem that afternoon in Louisville was his hand was forced being down on the inside against a strong group in the Maxfield that included #5 Verifire and #6 Smoken Wicked. Captain Cook comes in off a freshening, makes his first start for a higher percentage barn, and moves to an outside post. Hopefully, this leads to a career best effort. The price should be right to find out.


          Race 11: Ballerina (G1)
          Grade: B-
          Main Ticket: 5 Claret Beret; 9 Hope Road
          Backups: 8 My Mane Squeeze

          Forecast: I will take a swing against 5-2-ML favorite #7 Scylla in this year’s Ballerina. The extremely well-bred Tapit mare has had a great career earning nearly $1.1M, but has not been as good in 2025 as she was a year ago. She is likely to be finishing with energy, but I do not expect it to be enough to get to the wire first.

          I will use three other logicals against the favorite, including top choice #5 Claret Beret. The daughter of Not This Time has been a new horse since arriving in the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn earlier this year. She crushed a field in Florida before proving she belongs at this level in her runner-up effort to Vahva in the Chicago (G2). Saffie has given her time since the pair of huge runs this spring and legs up Irad Ortiz for the first time. #9 Hope Road also merits serious respect. The Bob Baffert trainee comes in fresh off a strong series of drills at Del Mar and should find a favorable forward position under Jose Ortiz.


          Race 12: Forego (G1)
          Grade: X
          Main Ticket: 5 Book’em Danno
          Backups: None

          Forecast: The best Jersey-bred in the country is back in action and looks very tough to beat in this 7-furlong affair over the main track. The Bucchero gelding has rattled off back-to-back wins over this racetrack for trainer Derek Ryan, including an easy win in the Vanderbilt (G2) on July 19. If he avoids traffic issues, he should have no issue making it 4 for 5 over the Saratoga dirt.


          Race 13: Travers (G1)
          Grade: X
          Main Ticket: 4 Sovereignty
          Backups: None

          Forecast: I decided starting in mid-May that the top two colts in this 3YO crop were not worth trying to beat in their subsequent starts. They have proven classy, fast, and consistent. Some may try to wire the field out with #1 Magnitiude or hope #3 Strategic Focus puts it altogether in his biggest race to date and I respect that, but it is difficult for me to see Kentucky Derby (G1) and Belmont Stakes (G1) winner #4 Sovereignty losing if he fires. He did what he needed to do in the Jim Dandy (G2) and now gets more ground in his second start of the form cycle. He will be a short price, but I would argue his two biggest rivals will be underlays making him a clear single in all sequences.

          Good luck!
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #6
            Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Graded Stakes Analysis


            August 23, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

            Woodbine Mohawk Park has a big 13-race card with six Graded Stakes and the Eliminations for the Canadian Pacing Derby as well. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

            Race 4 Eternal Camnation GR 3-Purse $100,200 (7:54 PM EDT)

            5-Naughty Delight (9-5)-My thinking is tonight, the Anthony Beaton pupil will be closer to the leader turning for the wire than in the last 2 starts. Ended the last 2 races with a .26 and 26.1 last panel to cash 3rd place checks. Last week, paced 2 seconds faster than the previous race and the wrapper could come off in this spot. Will key #5 on top in a $10 Exacta with the 6-Fabulous Hanover (4-1).
            $10 Exacta 5/6 for a total bet of $10

            Race 6-Nassagaweya GR3-2-year-old Open Pace-Purse $117,150 (8:40 PM EDT)

            3-Sweet Luvin Lu (6/5)-Handy and fast Sweet Lou 2-year-old is a perfect 3 for 3 and all of the races have been at Wbsb. Versatility is another attribute, can win racing at the top of the stack or by coming off cover. This race will likely go through the Dan Lagace pupil and will look for the winning streak to continue. Will key on top in a $15 Exacta with 1-Borderline Mobby (6-1) with Yannick Gingras steering. The Dave Menary trainee should get an efficient trip and add some pop to the gimmick.
            $15 Exacta 3/1 for a total bet of $15

            Race 7-Peaceful Way Final GR1-2-year-old fillies Trot-Purse $385,000 (9:03 PM EDT)

            9-One Belle (9/5)-The 9-hole will make it more of a challenge but probably won't be the cause of the 3-race win streak coming to an end. James MacDonald will see how things look when the wings fold and either leave hard or bide his time. Once the dust settles the Mathew Bax entry should be on the point and if JMac steals a quarter it could be lights out. Will key #9 on top in $6 Exactas with the 5-Calyx (8-1) and 8-Shimmering Hanover (10-1) underneath.
            $6 Exacta Key 9/5,8 for a total bet of $12

            Race 10-Wellwood Memorial Final GR1-2-year-old Open Trot-Purse $485,000 (10:12 PM EDT)

            5-Cambridge Hanover (9/2)-Dexter Dunn steered last time and took a picture at 8/5. He picks off to drive the program chalk 2-Magic Punk. Todd McCarthy was between the pipes 2 and 3 back and he will be at the controls tonight. The Andrew Harris trainee has been close in the last 2 starts and will use at what should be a square price. The post draw is fine and should be racing near the top of the stack when the wings fold. The Walner 2-year-old was a $1,000,000 yearling purchase, could be overlooked in this spot and hopefully that will be the case. Using on top in $10 Exactas with 2-Magic Punk (7/5) and 6-Ardonne (2-1).
            $10 Exacta Key 5/2,6 for $20
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer: Del Mar Spot Plays | Saturday, August 23, 2025


              August 23, 2025 | By Brian Spencer

              Del Mar features a pick 6 carryover of $57,980 that gets underway in Race 5. My Saturday keys plays all are in that sequence, including the featured Pat O'Brien Stakes in Race 9.

              Del Mar - Race 6

              #8 Keep Dancin Nick: He has had some chances and is a bit short on excuses, but he owns a couple decent lines that would play well here, and there is absolutely nothing to be afraid of on paper in this crew. Tactical type gets a decent lean for me today.

              #1 Big Bill: Suppose he's one of the main ones after turning in that good effort last out behind an easy winner, but I worry that he's the default choice in a modest race and will get overbet.

              #5 Fight Back: Reliable enough finisher has also had plenty of chances along the way, but his better stuff keeps him in the frame today at what might be a just playable enough price.

              Race Summary: Keep Dancin Nick has a couple competitive tries on his page, and I just think he's going to be in the right spot into the far turn in a race without any real standouts. Says 'come and get me' turning in?


              Del Mar - Race 9

              #6 Stronghold: He returns off the bench after the flat Pegasus try, but there are a handful of tough customers in his company lines and performances that would keep him in the frame here.

              #1 Dr. Venkman: Could get an OK price here with a couple flashier players lined up, and I'm hoping we'll see a bounce-back effort today for this guy as the important part of the season rolls around. Best stuff would do.

              #4 Maymun: Speed was sharp in the sprint score before backing it up with the route tally, but this is a much tougher cast than he has seen to date. Talent may be there.

              Race Summary: Stronghold ran well at this trip at Santa Anita in last year's Malibu, and there are a lot of question marks for me in this bunch today, especially from the Baffert contingent.


              Del Mar - Race 10

              #2 Nothing Is Forever: I liked her run last time out and think she's capable of something better on the turf than she showed in that Santa Anita try in May. Price should be OK to give her a look.

              #4 Hello Kid O Kid O: She finally got over the top last out, but the form had been competitive and reliable prior to that, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see her hold that through to something competitive in this first run with winners.

              #10 Lavender Love: She looked good in the easy graduation run last time out, and this doesn't feel like the deepest spot for the local level. Could rise to score right back.

              Race Summary: Nothing Is Forever has a bit of appeal while moving back to the turf, and I'm hoping that one of her better efforts would put her in the frame with a couple talented risers.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #8
                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                Del Mar - Race #6
                #8 Keep Dancin Nick He has had some chances and is a bit short on excuses, but he owns a couple decent lines that would play well here, and there is absolutely nothing to be afraid of on paper in this crew. Tactical type gets a decent lean for me today.
                #1 Big Bill Suppose he's one of the main ones after turning in that good effort last out behind an easy winner, but I worry that he's the default choice in a modest race and will get overbet.
                #5 Fight Back Reliable enough finisher has also had plenty of chances along the way, but his better stuff keeps him in the frame today at what might be a just playable enough price.
                Race Summary Keep Dancin Nick has a couple competitive tries on his page, and I just think he's going to be in the right spot into the far turn in a race without any real standouts. Says 'come and get me' turning in?
                Del Mar - Race #9
                #6 Stronghold He returns off the bench after the flat Pegasus try, but there are a handful of tough customers in his company lines and performances that would keep him in the frame here.
                #1 Dr. Venkman Could get an OK price here with a couple flashier players lined up, and I'm hoping we'll see a bounce-back effort today for this guy as the important part of the season rolls around. Best stuff would do.
                #4 Maymun Speed was sharp in the sprint score before backing it up with the route tally, but this is a much tougher cast than he has seen to date. Talent may be there.
                Race Summary Stronghold ran well at this trip at Santa Anita in last year's Malibu, and there are a lot of question marks for me in this bunch today, especially from the Baffert contingent.
                Del Mar - Race #10
                #2 Nothing Is Forever I liked her run last time out and think she's capable of something better on the turf than she showed in that Santa Anita try in May. Price should be OK to give her a look.
                #4 Hello Kid O Kid O She finally got over the top last out, but the form had been competitive and reliable prior to that, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see her hold that through to something competitive in this first run with winners.
                #10 Lavender Love She looked good in the easy graduation run last time out, and this doesn't feel like the deepest spot for the local level. Could rise to score right back.
                Race Summary Nothing Is Forever has a bit of appeal while moving back to the turf, and I'm hoping that one of her better efforts would put her in the frame with a couple talented risers.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369801

                  #9
                  Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                  Delaware Park - Race #1
                  #8 HOLD ON (2-1) Second in last pair, can graduate with clean trip for new pilot today.
                  #6 SEVEN’S MAGIC (4-1) Ran third for $30,000 in her prior 5-1/2F race on a fast track.
                  #2 SWEET AND FEISTY (5-1) Solid numbers in this spot, finished third in 3 of last 6 starts.
                  Race Summary HOLD ON has done the least wrong in a field that is a combined 0-for-91 and she had a legitimate excuse when second in her last start. She was ‘stymied’ at the top of the stretch, swung 6-wide and couldn’t reach the second favorite. She worked fast since then, changes riders and gets the nod for a win and place bet to go along with 8-2 and 8-6 exactas.
                  Delaware Park - Race #4
                  #4 SWEET SHENANIGANS (2-1) Gets class relief after useful debut for high-percentage trainer.
                  #7 ASTRID (5-1) Strong – and fast – foundation of workouts at Fair Hill to get ready for her first start.
                  #2 MEATBALLSFORARIES (3-2) Broke outward, finished evenly, ran second as debut favorite.
                  Race Summary SWEET SHENANIGANS stalked the 1-to-5 winner to the stretch but faded to fourth in a 6F MSW sprint. She figures tough on the class drop for a barn in the midst of a 5-for-12 run with second-out maidens. Bet to win and place and play 4-2 and 4-7 exactas.
                  Delaware Park - Race #7
                  #4 VEKOMA KID (7-2) Found proper level, led and held second on soft footing from post 10.
                  #7 DANCE ON AIR (9-2) Wears blinkers for seasonal debut in new barn, will be underlay.
                  #8 OXFORD UNION (8-1) Steady low-50 Beyer type, makes third start of cycle, use in gimmicks.
                  Race Summary VEKOMA KID cleared to the lead from post 10 despite a bumpy start while carrying 135 pounds in an amateur riders’ turf route. He stayed on gamely to finish second to a rival who came back with a wire-to-wire victory at Penn National. Bet to win and place and play 4-7 and 4-8 exactas.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369801

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sweetwater County Fair
                    PURCHASE
                    Sweetwater County Fair - Race 2 $2 WPS / $ 1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $2 Quinella
                    Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 81 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 1:25P
                    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. FINALS TO BE RUN ON SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 6, 2025. WEIGHT . 124 LBS.4.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BOBS SPEEDYSAINTJESS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BI LLY SWEET DYNASTY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                    6 BOBS SPEEDYSAINTJESS 5/2 5/2
                    5 BILLY SWEET DYNASTY 4/1 4/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    1 RGR BLACKLABELBUZZ 1 3/1 Average/Trouble-prone 65 62 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    2 LET THERE B LIGHT 2 15/1 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 7.0 0.0 0.0
                    3 A CHARMIN KISS 3 12/1 Average 68 59 4.3 0.0 0.0
                    4 HIGH FLYING STORM 4 12/1 Average 78 58 5.8 0.0 0.0
                    5 BILLY SWEET DYNASTY 5 4/1 Fast 79 74 3.0 0.0 0.0
                    6 BOBS SPEEDYSAINTJESS 6 5/2 Fast 87 79 2.9 0.0 0.0
                    7 MAKE IT RAYNE 7 7/2 Average 73 68 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    Unknown Running Style: REVERSE RYDER (8/1) [Jockey: Arana Minor - Trainer: Brown Ross].
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369801

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
                      PURCHASE
                      Fairmount Park - Race 6 $1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) .10 Cent Superfecta
                      Optional Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $17,500 • Post: 3:35P
                      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD NON WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER, STARTER OR STATE BRED OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                      Contenders Race Analysis
                      P# Horse Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds
                      Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TOO MUCH TUESDAY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TOO MUCH TUESDAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SPICY DELIGHT: Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LIL BIT TIPSEY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                      4 TOO MUCH TUESDAY 5/1 3/1
                      1 SPICY DELIGHT 10/1 8/1
                      2 LIL BIT TIPSEY 3/1 8/1

                      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                      Figure
                      4 TOO MUCH TUESDAY 4 5/1 Front-runner 84 77 82.2 73.4 67.9
                      1 SPICY DELIGHT 1 10/1 Stalker 80 80 46.8 70.0 61.5
                      2 LIL BIT TIPSEY 2 3/1 Trailer 72 77 54.8 75.0 70.5
                      6 AROSE FOR LYLA 6 2/1 Trailer 74 71 35.4 70.6 65.1
                      5 BLAZE BEAUTY 5 6/1 Alternator/Non-contender 84 78 55.0 65.0 57.5
                      3 JULYNNE 3 4/1 Alternator/Non-contender 77 72 50.6 69.6 61.1
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369801

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

                        PURCHASE
                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12400 Class Rating: 63

                        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. NO WVB CLAUSE.
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 UNDERBID BRITTANY 2/1
                        # 3 MONSTER SUMMER 12/1
                        # 8 GOLDEN GIRL LENA 5/2
                        UNDERBID BRITTANY looks to be a very good contender. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Farrior have shown strong results as of late. In this field, this one is at the top in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. Trainers don't bring racers back this quickly for no reason. MONSTER SUMMER - Could provide positive profits based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 56. Trainer boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369801

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                          PURCHASE





                          Saratoga - Race #4 - Post: 12:51pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $90,000 Class Rating: 86

                          Rating:

                          #10 MERICA'S BACK (ML=2/1)
                          #7 KEEPINITREAL (ML=5/2)


                          MERICA'S BACK - I'll forgive that last performance on Jun 27th when he flopped as the favorite. That race was pretty good for a Maiden Special race and this gelding's speed rating was solid. I like the hard fact that this gelding's last speed figure, 86, is tops in this group. KEEPINITREAL - (EPS) earnings per start is something that I believe can be a vital handicapping aspect. This thoroughbred is ranked numero uno in this field. Have to make this colt a contender; he comes off a strong contest on Jul 27th. With 'blinkers-on' this colt should be very competitive.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SPEIGHTFUL STORM (ML=6/1), #1A ALZERO (ML=6/1), #8 CALL BOB (ML=6/1),

                          SPEIGHTFUL STORM - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in sprint affairs recently. ALZERO - Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a sprint affair to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint. CALL BOB - Speed figures tell a narrative of decreasing physical condition.
                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #10 MERICA'S BACK to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,10]
                          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369801

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                            PURCHASE





                            Prairie Meadows - Race #4 - Post: 7:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 51

                            Rating:

                            #4 MISS CONTROL FREAK (ML=7/2)
                            #6 LUCKIE GOLDIE (ML=3/1)


                            MISS CONTROL FREAK - This filly is in fine condition. Finished second on August 4th. Horses that finish runner up in Maiden races and finish well ahead of the third horse are generally good bets next time out. The 51 last race speed figure looks mighty good in the TrackMaster PPs. This horse wins a lot of dough per race. I believe she will add to that bankroll in this race. LUCKIE GOLDIE - This filly is in good condition. Ran third on Jul 31st.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #5 U BETTER B THE WON (ML=5/2), #2 HIGHER PATH (ML=4/1), #1 HOT AND NASTY (ML=5/1),

                            U BETTER B THE WON - Awfully difficult to play this horse when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness of late. Recorded a pedestrian speed fig last time around the track in an $8,000 Maiden Claiming race on June 6th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. HIGHER PATH - Didn't look so good last time out. Probably won't make a winning move in today's event. HOT AND NASTY - In the last event this entrant finished seventh. Doesn't look good for her chances this time out.

                            GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MISS CONTROL FREAK - Bettors may say this animal cannot control the pace. While this may be true, she is the sole solid stalker in this field. Won't be too far back when it counts - At the end.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 MISS CONTROL FREAK to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
                            TRIFECTA WAGERS: 4 with 6 with [1,2,5] Total Cost: $3
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369801

                              #15

                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

                              PURCHASE
                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.



                              Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 54

                              FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $5,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 8 HOLD ON 2/1
                              # 3 RUBY RIVER 7/2
                              # 2 SWEET AND FEISTY 5/1
                              I think HOLD ON is a respectable choice. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. RUBY RIVER - With one of the best riders in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this filly out. Batista will probably be able to get this filly to break out early for this event. SWEET AND FEISTY - Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 54 - of her last contest.
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