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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Maccabi Haifa
Israel Premier League
under 169
Jordan Farmar will miss this game due to the end of the NBA lockout. He leads the team in scoring and assists. He had 15 points and 13 assists in their last game. Tel Aviv does have Guy Pnini and Keith Langford as well as Richard Hendrix to put up points. They are coached by David Blatt who is a solid defensive coach. Their last 5 scores have ended with 185, 133, 150, 145 and 144 points.
Haifa is a high scoring team led by Sylvan Landesberg and Sean Williams.
Hot teams
-- Edmonton won five of its last six home games.
-- San Jose won four of its last five games.
Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost its last two games, both 5-2 at home. Lightning lost eight of last eleven road games.
-- Dallas Stars lost their last four road games, outscored 14-3. Colorado lost five of its last six games overall.
-- Nashville lost its last four games, outscored 17-8.
-- Los Angeles lost three of its last four games.
Totals
-- Three of last four Tampa Bay game went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Colorado home games this season.
-- Six of last seven Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven San Jose games stayed under the total.
Series records
-- Lightning lost four of last six games vs Minnesota; road team won five of last seven series games.
-- Dallas Stars won last three games vs Columbus, scoring 14 goals.
-- Oilers won four of last five games against Nashville.
-- Sharks won six of last eight games against Los Angeles.
JOHN RYAN
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints (NFL) - 8:30 PM EST
Point Spread: 7.5/-105
25* TITAN New York Giants as they take on the Saints in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. I also like using a 21* bet with the points and a 4* bet using the money line taking advantage of the potential for a Giants win. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Giants will lose this game by fewer than seven points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 24-6 ATS mark for 80% winners since 1983. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. Of the 30 plays made based on the specific criteria of this system, 15 of them or 50%, covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone an impressive 11-2 ATS for 85% winners spanning the past five seasons. Here is a second system that has gone 35-12 ATS for 75% winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite an is a marginal winning team posting a 51% to 60% win percentage and now playing a winning team. This system has gone 10-2 ATS for 83% winners over the past 10 seasons. Further supporting this graded play are game situations showing that Saints are just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons; 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a win by 3 or less points since 1992. Coughlin is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games facing good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better. Th Saints have used Roman Harper, who is the SS, for max pressure efforts and he has gotten an impressive 6 ½ sacks. This is NOT the right scheme to sue against Manning, who is excellent at identifying man coverage situations on the perimeter and can identifying secondary receivers. Manning also does well against zone and off-man coverage schemes, which the Saints utilize. I do believe that manning will have a big night and I would not be surprised to see the Giants come away with an improbable win.
Oh, those Giants. Each time they move up the league’s ladder, they find a way to slide back down. Frequently, it is when they are expected to win that they disappoint while performing best when expectations are low. Last week’s loss at home to the Eagles was a mind-bender and looks even worse now after the Pats demolished the same Eagles yesterday in Philadelphia. What’s interesting is that the G-Men defeated both the Patriots and the Eagles as substantial road underdogs and the Saints have not hosted a team with the passing ability of the Giants. With the Saints weak tackling skills, New York’s behemoth RB Brandon Jacobs capable of exploiting that weakness and the G-men’s pass rushing skills, the Giants could once again pull off a considerable upset or keep this one well within range. Play: N.Y. Giants +7½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Tampa Bay +106 over MINNESOTA
Minnesota is coming off back-to-back 5-2 losses while playing its third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs. Those two losses were to Edmonton and Calgary and they’re surely not taking a step down in class here. The Wild are an offensively challenged team that shot up in the standings due to some tremendous goaltending by Josh Harding and Niklas Backstrom. Both have come back down to earth from their unsustainable form and it’s no great surprise that the Wild can’t compensate for ordinary goaltending. The Lightning plays the type of style (the 1-3-1 trap) that Minnesota will find difficult to deal with. Tampa is coming off back-to-back wins over the then surging Panthers. They cooled them off with a 2-1 OT win in Florida and followed that up with an impressive 5-1 victory the next night. After a slow start the Bolts are looking more and more like the Bolts these days with an aggressive forecheck and creating chaos around the net. They’re the superior team here in a favorable spot taking back a tag. Play: Tampa Bay +106 (Risking 2 units).
Nashville –106 over EDMONTON
Key game for the Predators, as they play third leg of a five-game trip and the first of three in Western Canada. After losing the first two of said trip, we expect a more focused effort here, especially after getting smoked 6-3 by Edmonton in Nashville last week. That may have been the Predators worst performance of the year and now they catch the Oilers in a difficult situation. Edmonton returns home from a four-game trip that ended in Colorado with a 5-2 loss. The Oilers also lost a key player as Taylor Hall went down and that doesn’t help a team that is already without three starting backliners. Edmonton has shown a propensity for stringing together some poor performances and this should fall into that pattern. Play: Nashville –106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
COLORADO -½ +131 over Dallas
It’s no coincidence that the Stars’ free-fall began when Alex Goglioski went down with a fractured thumb. The Stars have dropped seven of nine since and they’ve been shutout in three of their past seven games. Even before Goglioski’s injury, Dallas had been getting outplayed almost every night. Some outstanding goaltending by Kari Lehtonen kept them in every game and they found ways to win, most of them in the late going. Things have gone from bad to worse, as Lehtonen has been sidelined too, along with d-man Trevor Daley and another key contributor in Brendon Morrow. The Stars were an overachieving club when all those key guys were in and their free-fall is not over. Highly touted defenseman Stefan Elliott made his NHL debut for the Avalanche in their last game and he gave the Av’s a much-needed boost. Colorado trailed 2-1 going to the third and rallied for four unanswered goals to put away the Oilers, 5-2, capped by Elliott’s game-winner. The Av’s have some momentum after that needed win and it should carry over against this fragile and beatable visitor. Play: Colorado -½ +131 (Risking 2 units).
GAMING TODAY
Consensus Picks November 28, 2011 6:26 AM by GT Staff
PRO FOOTBALL
New York Giants +7½ and UNDER 51
New York Giants +7½ at New Orleans Saints
After watching the game last night between the Steelers and Chiefs there is only one way to bet this game tonight, take the Giants +7½. This game opened at -6½ and now has moved up, look for G-Men to show up big time in prime time.
PLAY OF THE DAY* NFL* NY GIANTS +7½
NCAA BASKETBALL
Long Beach State +9½
Kent -13½
Xavier +4½
Colorado -4
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