Saturday 9/13/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-12-2025, 10:04 AM

Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays | Saturday, 9/13

September 11, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

The first Saturday of the September meet at Churchill Downs features five stake races, a pair of competitive MSW events over the main track, and the first points race on the Kentucky Derby 152 leaderboard. The 11-race card kicks off at 12:45 pm ET and as always features a plethora of horizontal wagering opportunities for those interested. Here are a few horses I plan to build my wagering around on in Louisville on Saturday the 13th.

Race 5:

2-1-ML favorite #2 Lit Ship is almost certain to scratch having run at Kentucky Downs on Wednesday, but this MSW event for 2YO gals still looks loaded with several big-name barns debuting well-bred fillies. I am hopeful #5 Bonne Sante gets a bit lost in the shuffle in the wagering. The OXO Equine homebred is the first foal out of a Jimmy Creed mare that is a half-sister to 2019 Alcibiades (G1) winner British Idiom. The Instilled Regard filly comes in off a strong series of local drills for trainer Will Walden. Walden has continued to win races in bunches in 2025 and has proven capable with 2YO first-timers sprinting over the main track evidenced by his 3 for 14-record with a $2.82 ROI over the last 5 years. The fact Luis Saez sees fit to ride only adds to her case.

Play: #5 Bonne Sante (12-1 ML)

Race 7: Locust Grove (G2)

#3 Royal Spa and #2 Alpine Princess are listed as the top two choices respectively in this Grade 2 affair for fillies and mares at 8.5-furlongs, but neither two excite me from a wagering perspective. Royal Spa was very good in the Shawnee (G3) in late May over this surface and distance, but has regressed since then. The Violence mare underwhelmed in a trip to Southern California and could be going the wrong way as the 8-5-ML choice. Alpine Princess took advantage of a big inside speed favoring racetrack at Horseshoe Indianapolis two-back, but otherwise has been more of a money burner than anything else throughout her 15-race career.

I prefer the filly that finished second to Alpine on that early July afternoon in Indiana #6 Our Pretty Woman. The Courtlandt Farms runner has only raced three times this year after a strong 3YO campaign for Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, but it was good to see her bounce back last out after two poor runs to kick off her 2025 campaign. Asmussen is as good as it gets at knowing when to give his horses time and this filly comes in fresh after a career best effort when chasing Alpine Princess over the wrong part of the racetrack. I like her chances to get the job done as the likely third choice in this year’s Locust Grove.

Play: #6 Our Pretty Woman (4-1 ML)

Race 10: Louisville Thoroughbred Society

The most competitive stakes race on the card is probably this 6-furlong dash over the main track. The $300k event marks the return of 2024 Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) runner-up #3 Bentornato. The Jose D’Angelo trainee had been training at Saratoga, but did not race in upstate New York. If he runs back to his performance at Del Mar 10.5 months ago, he will be tough to beat, but that is a big if. One would expect him to use this race off nearly a year break as a tightener. I will try to beat him with Churchill Downs specialist #5 Nash. The Godolphin colt rattled off a pair of big efforts against slightly lesser company in Louisville before being pinched back at the start costing him any real shot against a serious group in the Vanderbilt (G2). The son of Medaglia d’Oro should get an honest pace to run at with Luan Machado back aboard after not being in the saddle at the Spa in mid-July. Hopefully we get close to the ML offering.

Play: #5 Nash (6-1 ML)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-12-2025, 10:06 AM

Race of the Week: Saturday's $1 Million Woodbine Mile

September 11, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Can WIN FOR THE MONEY join the legendary Wise Dan as the only back-to-back winners of the Woodbine Mile? We'll find out Saturday as Breeders' Cup Mile aspirants showcase their stuff in the headliner to a 12-race card that includes a quartet of important supporting stakes races. A field of 9 has answered the Woodbine Mile call and will square off in the 1-turn event in Race 9.

Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET be sure to take advantage of the $3,000 Exacta-Thon promotion on Saturday's full card at Woodbine. Tournament players note the $1,000 Woodbine Mile Challenge contest coincides with the big program.

Field Depth:
NOTABLE SPEECH far and away has the strongest company lines as a multiple English Group 1 winner and near-miss third in last year's Breeders' Cup Mile at Del Mar. Defending champ WIN FOR THE MONEY is the only North American Grade 1 winner in the lineup, while South African export ONE STRIDE is a multiple Group 1 winner in his homeland.

Pace:
MY BOY PRINCE has shown more speed this year than last when unable to make a dent in this race and could be the tone-setter in a race without a defined speedster. HUNT MASTER and STANLEY HOUSE are possible contenders to the early throne, the former more accustomed around the mile trip. The pace should be modest.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-STANLEY HOUSE: Wire-to-wire winner of the 10-furlong Niagara Stakes over this course last out August 2, it's debatable he's fast enough to reach the front in a 1-turn mile from the rail. This will be his first mile bid and it's notable that he had lost 10 in a row (9 stakes) prior to winning last out on the class drop to listed company. Brilliance needed for distance and increased competition may be too much to overcome up top, but not without a minor share chance.

#2-NOTABLE SPEECH: Trainer Charlie Appleby, owner Godolphin and jockey William Buick teamed to win this race in 2022 (Modern Games) and 2023 (Master of the Seas); they were fourth last year with odds-on favorite Naval Power to deny a three-peat. While last year's Group 1 English 2000 Guineas and Sussex winner has lost 6 straight, a neck defeat as runner-up to world-class Diego Velazquez last out in France's premier Group 1 mile, the Prix Jacques Le Marois, is a performance that towers over these. A lot to like here and a win makes last year's BC Mile favorite the potential chalk in the big dance once again. Clearly the one to beat.

#3-ONE STRIPE: X-factor from South Africa ripped through the competition, going a length shy of winning 7 straight races, including a pair of Group 1 scores at a mile. One of those already earned him a BC Mile Win & You're In berth, so this March layoff runner appears in obvious prep mode for new trainer Graham Motion. The conditioner has had North American success via South Africa in recent years, including Isivunguvungu and Gimme a Nother, the latter winning last Saturday's Grade 2 John C. Mabee at Del Mar. Five-time Woodbine Mile winner John Velazquez looks to add to his race record when he partners with this colt for the first time. Colt has had some trouble leaving the gate cleanly, but Woodbine's long stretch run for home may benefit him if things go rocky at the start.

#4-HUNT MASTER: Rank outsider cross-entered in the 7-furlong Vigil Stakes (Race 10) on this same card. Haltered for $50,000 out of an optional claiming runner-up as the favorite last out. Potential pace player at best.

#5-WYOMING BILL: Rallying runner-up of the Grade 2 King Edward, the local prep, unable to outkick Woodbine Mile return rival Gas Me Up. Veteran trainer Catherine Day-Phillips adds blinkers back to the routine, which he wore while going 1-for-8 to open his career. Don't expect them to have a major form impact. Jockey Frankie Dettori exits a leading rider crown at the short, but lucrative, Kentucky Downs boutique meet and seeks a first Woodbine Mile trophy.

#6-MY BOY PRINCE: While he's had some success going longer against fellow Canadian-breds, at the higher levels this Cairo Prince gelding has been best in sprints. Lost starch late in the Grade 1 Fourstardave at Saratoga over a mile and that's been his tale in most races beyond dash distances. Figures to be in the hunt throughout under Joel Rosario, but that 5: 0-1-1 record at the distance is hard to overlook. Mark Casse won the 2016, 2017 and 2024 editions of the Woodbine Mile and can match Neil Drysdale's race record with a fourth victory.

#7-NAPTOWN: Rallying winner of his last 2 allowance trips at Colonial Downs, trainer Jose Magana already is in the black with this $40,000 claim from Laurel in June. Ontario-bred began broke his maiden over the Woodbine Tapeta in 2023, but has yet to try the local grass. Won both with a fast-pace set-up and behind moderate splits in those recent Colonial wins, so he's not pace dependent. He's at his best right now, but looks a cut below the good ones here.

#8-WIN FOR THE MONEY: Upset this race at 13-1 last year under reunited rider Patrick Husbands, but has dropped 5 decisions since then. His 2025 losses have looked similar, pressing in position but lacking a finishing kick. Could be in store for a no lead, no pass trip ... making a repeat victory unlikely. Mark Casse eyes a record-tying fourth Woodbine Mile winner and has won this race back-to-back previously (2016, 2017 with Tepin and World Approval).

#9-GAS ME UP: Got a fast set-up in the Grade 2 King Edward local prep and rallied from the clouds for his second straight victory. Jockey Flavien Prat returns to the saddle for trainer Kevin Attard, a top local conditioner who notched Woodbine Mile glory in 2020 with Starship Jubilee. May not get a fantastic race shape this time, and his BRIS late pace figures aren't nearly as good as the running lines suggest.

Most Likely Exotics Contender:
NOTABLE SPEECH appears to be a complete standout in this year's Woodbine Mile. It's hard to envision a scenario where he's not on the ticket somewhere.

Best Longshot Contender:
STANLEY HOUSE feels more than the 10-1 morning line price to win, but his BRIS late pace figures are the best among the North Americans here and if he's quick enough to be competitive early on the cut-back, he could stick for a share.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$60 daily double from HOT MASH in Race 8 to NOTABLE SPEECH here. Plus, $40 exacta NOTABLE SPEECH to STANLEY HOUSE in the Woodbine Mile itself.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:47 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway International Trot Pick 5 Analysis

September 13, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

Yonkers Raceway has a 10-race card with the main event coming in Race 6, The MGM Yonkers International Trot with a $1,000,000 purse. The $1.00 Pick 5 starts in Race 5. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5 (2:23 PM EDT)

3-Coaches Corner (4-1)-Has been racing well considering drawing the 8-hole in 3 of the last 5 starts. Faced tough company up in Canada and is now on its favorite oval where the Engblom trainee has excelled, winning 16 of 31 races. Will look for Jason Bartlett to work an effective trip. Should be racing near the top of the stack throughout despite the added distance.
6-Captain Albano (9/5)-The program chalk is in sharp form and has done good work on smaller ovals. This will be the 1st race on the Hilltop, and that is cause for pause. But will rely on the Noel Daly standout to not have issues with the turns or the surface, and should be a dangerous player.

Race 6 (2:53 PM EDT)

6-Double Deceiver (5-1)-Winner of 3 straight has Yonkers experience and was a 2nd place finisher in the Trot in 2022. Did leave for Sweden afterward, had mixed results the first 2 years and now has been on fire. The 6-year-old PA Bred son of Cantab Hall has been off since 8-9. The connection have pointed him for this event and with this post draw driver Orjan Kihlstrom has options. If necessary could grind it out and still be in the hunt at the wire.
9-Periculum (5/2)-Last year's runner up didn't get an ideal journey but in the end was a clear 2nd best. Now is challenged with starting in the 2nd tier once again. Recent form has been fine but hasn't been able to solve #1-Lexus Cody in the Maple Leaf Trot races. Will lean toward the tepid morning line chalk here. Scott Zeron should be closer to the leader turning for the wire this year. Likes to roll late and the added distance could help the Marcus Melander trainee.

Race 7 (3:23 PM EDT)

3-Up Your Deo (7/2)-There is speed on the rail and one the below could be leaving also. This race could set-up nicely for Dexter Dunn to get a close up seat, maybe in the pocket. Lightly raced 5-year-old, won its only start on a smaller oval this year, and could be a trip out candidate at a square price.
8-Antognoni S (5/2)-The Burke trainee would probably be an odds-on choice if drew inside. This post draw will be a test but has been so good it may not matter at all. Won at Yonkers this year in a 1 1/4-mile race drawing off by over 5 lengths. Yannick Gingras will look to get a decent seat off the gate and could power by later in the mile. Hasn't lost at Yonkers (7-7) and is looking for its 4th straight picture.

Race 8 (3:53 PM EDT)

4-Dealyed Hanover (5/2)-Went off as even money chalk in the 1st race since 5-26. Got on the engine and got caught late to lose by a neck. Probably needed the last start and George Brennan should have in striking range for a picture even without landing on the point. This isn't a deep group and could be more battle ready this time.
8-Austral Hanover (7/2)-The Engblom entry has the gate speed to land in a close-up seat. But is versatile and also can win coming off cover. Has hit the board in 21 of 37 at Yonkers with 8 pictures, and could add to the total with a sharp steer from Jim Marohn.

Race 9 (4:23 PM EDT)

3-Airmans Jackpot (4-1)-This will be the 4th race for the Pat Lachance barn and hasn't been able to connect for the new connections. Actually, recent efforts have been dull but gets post relief and fits with this crew. Should be able to show more life with a ground saving journey. That type of trip could happen if closer to the leaders after the 1st turn.
7-Mazeppa N (9/5)-Not loving the small price but that has to do with the lack of form in this field and gets class relief. Makes the 1st start for the Engblom barn and finished a beaten 3rd last time. Drops to face much easier and could have his way with this crew. Tyler Buter might have the pedal down and try to make every call a winning one.

$1 Pick 5

3,6/6,9/3,8/4,8/3,7
Total Bet=$32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:47 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Woodbine Mile Day Mandatory Pick 6 Analysis

September 12, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s Woodbine Mile Day card features a mandatory payout in the pick 6 as well as the super hi 5. The 12-race card gets underway at 1:05 pm ET with the 20-cent pick 6 sequence beginning with Race 7 at 4:27 pm ET. The super hi 5 will be up for grabs in Race 12 at 7:12 pm ET.

Horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet are encouraged to take part in the $3,000 Exacta-Thon promotion throughout Saturday’s Woodbine card. Successfully hit exactas ($2 minimum) in at least 5 races and win your share of bonus cash to your pari-mutuel winnings.

Here’s a look at the pick 6 races.

Race 7: Grade 3 Ontario Matron
The most competitive race in terms of number of quality options is this 1-1/16 miles Tapeta heat. I’ll spread to accommodate. The favorites #10 Caitlinhergrtness and #4 Wild Pansy are Kevin Attard trainees with question marks about current form but races clearly good enough to win this upon their best. #3 Avenue Neil intrigues most at 10-1 morning line, drawn beautifully and she’s been a different mare racing with Lasix vs. without. She gets it Saturday. #6 Literate has split decisions with Caitlinhergrtness, #8 Johanny should be finishing well under a resurgent Frankie Dettori, #9 Five Towns made a premature move in last year’s only local appearance and returns from the States with John Velazquez this time and #11 Hurricane Clair has dangerous early foot at a big 20-1 ML price.

Race 8: Grade 1 Natalma
#6 Hot Mash dazzled in her debut at Ellis Park sprinting and the Not This Time filly should love the mile trip. She’s the play and should be the value, but facing a promising Chad Brown debut winner #10 Deep Learning will be quite a task to fend off late. #5 Dance to the Music has won both in England for Charlie Appleby and Godolphin, but hasn’t overwhelmed and the North Americans typically hold up well enough in this race and Breeders’ Cup division. If needed to trim for budget, settle on Hot Mash and Deep Learning, otherwise include Dance to the Music as well.

Race 9: Grade 1 Woodbine Mile
In what’s not a historically strong group of North American milers, #2 Notable Speech should run roughshod over this bunch via Europe. His head runner-up in France’s premier mile race, the Group 1 Prix Jacques le Marois, just lays over this cast, not to mention his English 2000 Guineas and Sussex wins last year before coming to Del Mar and narrowly finishing third in the Breeders’ Cup Mile. South African #3 One Stripe is an X-factor for a Graham Motion barn that won last week’s Grade 2 Mabee at Del Mar with another export from that country. But he’s facing a tough hombre in Notable Speech, who is a single for me.

Race 10: Grade 3 Vigil
The locals exiting the Bold Venture couldn’t warm up #2 Simcoe last out and, if he holds his form, the new faces in this cast also are likely in trouble. Simcoe has been first or second in 8 straight races over the main track sprinting and was freakishly best of his career last out. Turfer Cruden Bay will take, but doesn’t sprint on the main track and has to beat Simcoe at his game. Monmouth-based Horsepower beat Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint winner Nobals on the synthetic at Presque Isle and could factor, but 7 furlongs looks beyond his best trip. This is another solid single of Simcoe.

Race 11: allowance/optional claiming
Morning line favorite Poissiblemente is suspect at 1-1/8 mies, picking up weight and coming off a 2-month break. I’ll lean heavily into #4 Pierre, a 4-year-old who seems to be rounding back into the promising form that opened his career. #2 Fly the W is a veteran synthetic maven who will be finishing well with a ground-saving trip.

Race 12: allowance/optional claiming
Top pick #2 Awesome Bourbon should be in the hunt from the opening bell with inside speed, as will #3 Niagara Skyline on the stretch-out in trip. Both are threats, particularly if the other doesn’t break. #5 La Macazza fits well at this class level for high-percentage connections. #6 Jayhawk had a promising return from a long layoff, but is unknown on the lawn. Capable perhaps, but not at a short price for intra-race betting. #8 Malibu Mambo at 8-1 ML intrigues for a Michael Doyle barn that’s going very well the past month.

Suggested Ticket
3,9,10,4,6,8,11 with 6,10,5 with 2 with 2 with 4,2 with 2,3,8,5,6 = $42 for 20 cents

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:48 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #6

#5 Our Two Girls	Think she has enough upside today in the second start to play with this group, and she should find a really nice spot near the top while stretching out a bit -- first jump after the outside runners clear if they don't want to have a run for it?
#6 Dazzling Dame	Nothing to argue with after two easy scores that included a stakes win last time out, and she figures right up near the top again today. Wouldn't argue too hard with you if you land here, but think there is enough upside elsewhere to look around.
#3 Taken By The Wind	She was an easy Saratoga winner in the debut run, and she's another who can probably find a good spot tracking the pace. Wouldn't be a shock, but think others are more likely.
Race Summary	Our Two Girls might get a great trip while adding a bit of ground today off a sharp first-out score, and she can hit hard here if she steps forward at second asking.

Churchill Downs - Race #8

#8 Vost	I like how he looked scoring from off the pace at first asking, but I do worry just a touch about the potential race shape today without a ton of super-serious early burners lined up for a 2yo stakes spot like this.
#7 Comport	He can be tough here with his best stuff, and he's got enough speed to find another perfect first-jump kind of trip. The one to beat.
#5 Spice Runner	He was no match for Comport when they met at Ellis, but this guy looks like controlling pace today and might be able to stick around a bit better if he gets a more leisurely tempo to work with.
Race Summary	Vost impressed out of the box at Ellis, and I'm hoping he can be just tactical enough to avoid dropping too far out the back behind what may be a somewhat modest kind of pace for a spot like this.

Churchill Downs - Race #11

#13 Subito	He showed pace and stayed well in the Saratoga debut run, and anything like that effort should handle these unless he runs into a freaky first-timer. Needs a scratch to but should score if he does.
#7 Nuanced	He's one of the debuters I worry about having a high enough ceiling for a capable barn to get in the mix with the top choice. Take a look at this one on the tote and track, but I'm guessing he's ready.
#9 En Fuego	He's got a big pedigree to get sprint and mile-type trips, so I wouldn't be shocked to see him turn in something solid at first asking. Tab for turf, too?
Race Summary	Subito is one spot out of the main body here on the also-eligibles, but he should get a great attacking trip from the outside if he draws in and would almost surely handle these with something like the Saratoga debut run.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:48 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Colonial Downs - Race #1

#2 SUZIE’S PRIDE (10-1)	Took money off layoff, ‘lost position’ on turn, shortens up on the class drop.
#10 AMERICAN KESTREL (7-5)	Set pace for this far in comeback route but fell to 8/0-0-2 on lawn.
#5 RANCHO VISTA (8-1)	Carried her speed to three seconds in six starts on Gulfstream dirt.
Race Summary	SUZIE’S PRIDE worked fast leading up to her seasonal debut with Lasix and blinkers, but was no factor for a $50,000 tag at one mile. She couldn’t keep up with two short-priced favorites on the turn, though she outlasted a few tiring rivals in the stretch. She takes the class plunge and gets plenty of pace to rally into on the cutback to a short sprint. Bet to win and place and play a 2/5, 10/ALL trifecta.

Colonial Downs - Race #2

#2 EL TINMARIN (9-2)	Ness claim tries to carryover grass sprint from to a long sprint on the dirt.
#7 BLUE KINGDOM (9-5)	'‘Tinmarin’ stablemate ran away from two next-out winners off layoff.
#1 DEADPAN (8-1)	Held on to win route at this level when Russell claimed him.
Race Summary	EL TINMARIN rallied for three consecutive runner-up finishes sprinting on turf. He returns to the main track with ascending speed figures off the Ness claim. Bet to win and place and play a 1-2-7 exacta box.

Colonial Downs - Race #5

#1 PERFECT UNION (6-5)	Out-kicked by the fave two back, set pace long way in follow-up MSW route.
#4 BOYS GO TO JUPITER (30-1)	Speed figure jump in both long-distance turf tests, use in gimmicks.
#7 HYSTERICS (5-1)	Steady diet of upper 50 Beyers translates well in third start for this barn.
Race Summary	PERFECT UNION benefitted from a front-end duel when she rallied for second in a 5-1/2F sprint in her first start for a claiming price. But it was a good try, nonetheless, considering she was idle 4 months and the winning favorite exited MSW company. She vied for the lead at today’s distance in her last start against better, so give her the nod for a win and place bet and play a 1-4-7 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
PURCHASE

Special Wager - Race 1	Leg A of the Turf Champions Pick 3
Stakes • 1 Mile • Inner Turf • Age 2 • CR: 97 • Purse: $500,000 • Post: 3:54P
BET365 SUMMER S. WO - R6 - GRADE 1 INNER TURF FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TWO OUT HERO is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TWO OUT HERO: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 start s). Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. TEDDY'S ROCKET: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ARGOS: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
5	TWO OUT HERO	3/1	7/2
12	TEDDY'S ROCKET	12/1	6/1
1	ARGOS	8/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	MARCUS J	8	12/1	Front-runner	82	89	84.4	84.4	75.9
7	CASSON	7	10/1	Front-runner	91	91	82.5	82.5	73.5
2	RUDE PROCEDURE	2	20/1	Front-runner	86	80	80.6	80.6	62.6
5	TWO OUT HERO	5	3/1	Stalker	87	89	85.3	85.3	78.3
1	ARGOS	1	8/1	Stalker	85	83	79.8	79.8	63.3
12	TEDDY'S ROCKET	12	12/1	Stalker	80	84	79.6	79.6	68.6
3	TIMEFRAME	3	20/1	Stalker	82	77	73.0	73.0	56.0
9	MILITARY TIME	9	12/1	Trailer	82	84	79.6	79.6	67.6
11	JUPITER	11	20/1	Trailer	86	89	74.9	74.9	60.9
6	BILL OF ICE	6	20/1	Trailer	82	74	49.3	70.2	53.2

Unknown Running Style: THESECRETADVERSARY (IRE) (6/1) [Jockey: Dettori Lanfranco - Trainer: Stack James A], WILD DESERT (IRE) (5/2) [Jockey: Buick William - Trainer: Appleby Charles].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque
PURCHASE

Albuquerque - Race 1	First Half Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $12,100 • Post: 1:30P
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JG KING CORONA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CB CARTELSDASH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SPECIAL WHO: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JAMES HEZA DYNASTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. THUG ROSE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
7	JG KING CORONA	6/1	5/1
2	CB CARTELSDASH	9/2	7/1
3	SPECIAL WHO	4/1	7/1
10	JAMES HEZA DYNASTY	3/1	8/1
6	THUG ROSE	15/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BAC SEAT MOVES	1	15/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	8.8	0.0	0.0
2	CB CARTELSDASH	2	9/2	Average	62	53	5.1	0.0	0.0
3	SPECIAL WHO	3	4/1	Average	62	51	4.4	0.0	0.0
4	FLY HIGH RUSH	4	20/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	8.6	0.0	0.0
5	RIMES N CHIMES	5	15/1	Slow	0	0	6.5	0.0	0.0
6	THUG ROSE	6	15/1	Average	64	52	5.1	0.0	0.0
7	JG KING CORONA	7	6/1	Average	60	61	4.4	0.0	0.0
8	KAHLESSI	8	10/1	Slow	0	0	6.3	0.0	0.0
9	SALT T	9	5/1	Slow/Trouble-prone	0	0	8.7	0.0	0.0
10	JAMES HEZA DYNASTY	10	3/1	Average	59	50	5.7	0.0	0.0
11	MIA RED HOT CARTEL	11	20/1	Slow	60	54	6.8	0.0	0.0
12	RUNNIN SOLO	12	20/1	Slow	0	0	7.6	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 DULCIFIED 6/1
# 7 UP A LAZY RIVER 9/2
# 2 EYEDIOS 5/2

My pick in this competition is DULCIFIED. Is a solid contender - given the 74 speed figure from his most recent race. A solid 82 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race. Tough to pass on this gelding with Lopez in the saddle. UP A LAZY RIVER - Has to be considered versus this group displaying competitive numbers lately and an average speed figure of 70 under similar conditions. Might best this field here, showing very strong figures of late. EYEDIOS - Could provide positive returns based on solid recent speed figures with an average of 68. Make a note that this one runs now going off Lasix today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 82

GP - R5 - FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 TREE C'S KAI 3/1
# 7 STARSHIP ELATION 15/1
# 8 TOO MUCH FUN 12/1

My choice in this race is TREE C'S KAI. Looks respectable to be on or close to the lead at the first call. Could beat this group of animals given the 70 speed rating garnered in her last outing. With a nice class fig average of 80, has one of the top class advantages in this field. STARSHIP ELATION - The odds should be right on this one. TOO MUCH FUN - Has performed soundly recently in route races, posting a nifty 71 avg speed figure.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#5 ILLUSTRATION (ML=6/1)
#8 TECHNO MUSIC (ML=7/5)

ILLUSTRATION - It looks like Meneses had to come to know this colt on Aug 10th when riding him for the first time. Back on board again today. The rest of the bunch may trail this horse all the way around the track. Another way to determine class is (EPS) earnings per start. This mount has the highest in the bunch. I think he'll be close at the finish. TECHNO MUSIC - Looking at today's class figure, this horse is meeting an easier bunch than last time out at Gulfstream Park.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AFTER PARTY (ML=9/2), #1 STAR OF THE GUN (ML=5/1), #6 GIGLINE (ML=8/1),

AFTER PARTY - In any race of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in sprint contests recently. STAR OF THE GUN - Difficult to play this mount this time out. Make him show you something in a sprint contest before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. A bit of a less than stellar performance when this gelding finished sixth. Finished sixth in his most recent race with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch. GIGLINE - Morning line of 8/1 make this horse a pass by my examination.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 ILLUSTRATION is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Belmont at the Big A - Race #5 - Post: 3:09pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $31,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#4 DOOMED (ML=9/2)
#8 TRUE CONNECTION (ML=2/1)
#7 VIA DELLA SPIGA (ML=6/1)
#2 ALWAYS BE SMART (ML=6/1)

DOOMED - Just missed hitting the board on July 24th at Saratoga. With pretty good morning odds in this field, he has my interest. A win pct the likes of what Franco and Cox have achieved together is terrific. The improved speed ratings over the last 3 races is solid. Cox drops him in this race ready to win. TRUE CONNECTION - You should throw out that last contest at Saratoga on a sloppy track where he finished out of the money. Should do well in this field on a non-sloppy track. VIA DELLA SPIGA - After the event aboard this horse on Jul 24th, the jock is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. I believe the addition of blinkers today will help this gelding focus his attention on racing. ALWAYS BE SMART - This thoroughbred ran off the board at Saratoga last time around the track in the slop. He should improve in this field without a sloppy track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 GOTTA GUY (ML=3/1), #5 BRAVE BEAR (ML=8/1),

GOTTA GUY - I foretell a disappointing effort for this animal in this affair. BRAVE BEAR - The sixth place result in the last race was not the best.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - VIA DELLA SPIGA - With speed figures of 79 and 90, this racer is showing much improvement.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #4 DOOMED on the win end if we get at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-13-2025, 11:06 AM

PAUL BOVI
lou tech -9.5 and UNDER 43
iowa state over 55.5