Friday 9/19/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:03 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

September 19, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

Hoosier Park has a stakes heavy card with the headliner coming in Race 13 the Caesars Trotting Classic with a $200,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. It has a $40,000 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 (9:20 PM EDT)

1-Bythemissal (9/2)-Missal is a difficult horse to read because he goes in and out form. Physically he is better on some nights, but always has a big heart. This classy competitor has battled nagging injuries for years and will be tough to beat if dialed on high. Need to use here with an inside draw, at a 9/2 morning line.
5-Captain Luke (7/2)-When having a decent starting slot Luke has shown the ability to battle some tough competition and cash checks. This is a choice post draw, fits well with this field, and Jason Bartlett should have the classy 4-year-old in striking range turning for the wire.
8-Maximus Miki (5-1)-Makes its HoP debut and Scott Zeron knows how to work a trip and roll late. There should be spicy fractions and could finish best of all, as was the case last time in the CDN Pacing Derby.

Race 12 (9:43 PM EDT)

5-Whoomp (4-1)-The 2-year-old likes to win (10-5-1-1) and this will be a test but draws well and should offer a square price. Needs a trip but if in play late in the mile John DeLong will be flying down the lane.
10-Somemore Blue (5/2)-The Erv Miller freshman is a perfect 7-7 and usually gets on the point early in the mile and can't be caught. The 2nd tier starting point might be a bit uncomfortable. But if not an issue, Marcus Miller will get away okay and then look to take the lead early on. The post helps the price, and the win streak could continue with a sharp steer.

Race 13 (10:06 PM EDT)

3-Periculum (7/2)-Does well on larger ovals and finished 3rd in its only Hoosier race. The Melander pupil should get an efficient trip and be in the hunt at the wire.
4-Hillexotic (4-1)-Has been no worse than 3rd in the last 4 races and in that start had the 9-hole. Cashed a big check winning at Scioto in last and set a 150.2 mark last year at HoP.
7-Lexus Kody (5/2)-Has banked over $700k in the last 2 starts winning at YR and Wbsb. Winner of 3 straight should be put in play off the gate. Yannick Gingras isn't ducking, and he could try to go gate to wire.

Race 14 (10:20 PM EDT)

1-Dan D Man Can (7-1)-Tough race considering there is talent in this group, but they can't mind their manners. Atlee Bender will probably be cautious off the gate but could still get away in a close-up seat. This is one of a few that could win if stays flat.
4-San Patricio (5/2)-Broke in last after looking really good and winning 3 in a row. Winner in 5 of 8 and 2 of 3 here could get the top and not look back with Tim Tetrick at the controls.
7-I' Too Volo (15-1)-The Rick Plano trainee is in deeper water tonight but is coming off its best race of the year. Will be a price and has a shot if can get a trip racing with the leaders. Price shot doesn't have the resume of others but does stay flat.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,5,8/5,10/3,4,7/1,4,7
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:04 AM

Presque Isle Downs Pick 3 | Friday, September 19

September 19, 2025 | By Frank Carulli

Presque Isle Downs’ signature race – the $300,000 Masters – has more than lived up to its current Grade 2 status. In the first 15 Masters runnings, four repeat winners emerged in the race for 3-year-old fillies. Those winners – Groupie Doll, Informed Decision, Living The Life and Hotshot Anna – were a combined 48-for-107 with $6.6 million in earnings. A new champion will be crowned this Friday in the 6-1/2 furlong race on the synthetic track. The Masters is the final leg of a 50-cent all-stakes Pick 3 that drew double-digit entrants each race and part of a 2 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split in the late pick 4 when you bet with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.

PID 7th race (7:42 p.m. EST) -- Seven of the 10 entrants in the $100,000 Fitz Dixon Jr. Memorial Juvenile arrive off victories -- and that doesn’t include morning-line favorite MAX CAPACITY, who tested stakes company after a smashing debut win at Colonial Downs. MAX CAPACITY gave way chasing the second favorite before promising winner Magic Wallet passed by to win the 6F Dover Stakes at Delaware Park. He might forget to stop If he handles the synthetic track and 6-1/2F distance. INMATE looms a late-running threat at a good price from the rail. He trailed into the turn at 5-1/2F and closed with a 6-wide rush to finish second to the co-favorite in his debut. MO DODGY proved ‘much the best’ in a maiden-breaking win on the Saratoga turf. He seized the moment after race favorite Minorinconvenience – a recent stakes winner -- bore out and took up out of contention. He followed with a 6F allowance win at Presque Isle despite dropping back off heels on the turn and re-grouping with a winning 6-wide rally.

PID 8th (8:09 p.m. EST) -- THE WINE STEWARD, a generous 8-1 on the morning line, earned the top two speed figures of his career in non-graded stakes route races this year. He caught the pace-setter to win by a neck in the one-mile Fifth Season Stakes at Oaklawn Park and, more recently, edged away at the eighth-pole but settled for second best with a 98 Beyer in the 7F John Morrissey at Saratoga. He was graded stakes-placed at tonight’s 1-1/16-mile distance as a 2- and 3-year-old. He is a must use in the $150,000 Presque Isle Mile (at 1-1/6 miles). ENCINO arrives for two-time, Eclipse Award-winning trainer Brad Cox with a 5-for-10 record and $560,000 bankroll. He has plenty of speed to get early position from post 10, but has a come-from-behind stakes win on Turfway Park’s synthetic track to summon if he needs it. He went wire-to-wire in the Grade 3 Lexington on Keeneland’s main track and won the Jonathan Schuster Memorial on the Horseshoe Indianapolis lawn to improve to 4-for-4 at 1-1/16 miles.

PID 9th race (8:36 p.m. EST) -- ELLEN JAY, the morning-line favorite in the featured Presque Isle Masters, draws post 11 for her first start on a synthetic track, a big concern considering she broke slowly in her last two starts. But she won the Glen Cove Stakes on the Aqueduct turf to close her 3-year-old season with three consecutive wins and had a useful seasonal debut in the Smart And Fancy at Saratoga. She steadied in traffic on the backstretch, advanced on the rail and finished third, beaten 2 lengths by four-time graded stakes winner Future Is Now (10-18, $967k). She galloped out several lengths in front, a good sign as she goes beyond 6F for the first time. PANDORA’S GIFT has also seen enough of the aforementioned Future is Now, finishing close behind her in four straight graded sprints on the turf. She’s 4-for-6 on synthetic tracks, ran well off longer layoffs than tonight and hails from a hot barn. Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse sends out three uncoupled Grade 3 winners. ELYSIAN FIELD rallied from far back to defeat favored STORMCAST in the 7F Seaway Stakes on Woodbine’s synthetic surface, but STORMCAST can turn the tables in her second start as a 4-year-old. TICKER TAPE HOME won the same race as her stablemates in 2024, her first of four Grade 3 placings. MS TART won 4 of 8 starts and blossomed into a Grade 3 winner for locally-based trainer Kevin Rice after she was claimed for $30,000 in January. She angled 5-wide for the stretch run and surged to win the 6F Satin And Lace at Presque Isle in her final prep for the Masters. CANDY REWARD is 5-for-8 at Presque Isle, winning at three distances by a combined 25-3/4 lengths.

Suggested $1 Pick 3
PID 7th Race: 1, 8, 9
PID 8th Race: 2, 10
PID 9th Race: 3, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11
Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:05 AM

Scott Shapiro: PA Derby Day Mandatory Payout Pick 5 Analysis

September 18, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

It is the biggest day on the racing calendar at Parx and the premier races came up competitive for 2025 Pennsylvania Derby Day. In addition to a strong 15-race card, Parx has stated that there will be a mandatory distribution of the Philly BIG 5. This 50-cent pick 5 wager is not to be confused with the association of college basketball teams in Philadelphia that includes the likes of Villanova and Temple. Here are my thoughts on the sequence.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 11: Parx Dirt Mile
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3 Duke of Gloucester; 4 Dilger
Backups: None

Forecast: The sequence kicks off with this $300k event at one mile over the main track where last year’s winner #8 Coastal Mission was made the 3-1-ML favorite. The West Virginia-bred has won 14 of his 28 career starts and obviously fits well overall, but has not raced since early March. Last year when he won as the 7-5-public choice, he came into the race in solid form. I am willing to take a swing against him given the lack of racing prior to his return to Parx.

#4 Dilger is an obvious alternative that I will include, but I like #3 Duke of Gloucester most. The son of Air Force Blue has rattled off 2 wins in 3 starts since being claimed by trainer Michael Moore for $40k in July. This includes a victory on September 14 at Laurel. The quick return might seem less than ideal, but Moore is 6 for 16 with a $2.30 ROI over the last 5 years when wheeling horses back on 7 days rest or less. Hopefully, we get the 8-1-ML offering.

Race 12: Gallant Bob (G2)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 10 Neoequos; 1 Retribution
Backups: None

Forecast: This 6-furlong sprint came up strong given the presence of 2-1-ML favorite #5 Barnes. The one-time serious Kentucky Derby contender came back off the layoff last month and ran well in the H. Allen Jerkens (G1). This is a softer spot and a repeat of that makes him tough, but he is likely to take far too much money given the field he encounters.

I like #10 Neoequos most. The Saffie Joseph trainee competed on the Derby trail and the “Run for the Roses”, but has probably always been best at one-turn. I can forgive his run in the Woody Stephens (G1) when caught wide over the mud three-back and his runner-up finish at Charlestown last out in what is a two-turn 7-furlong configuration. He should get a great trip from the outside off a lively early pace. #1 Retribution is a must use as well. The Cherie DeVaux trainee really has never run a poor race. The inside draw might not be ideal, but he should be finishing well assuming a clean trip under Kendrick Carmouche.

Race 13: Cotillion (G1)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 3 Clicquot; 7 Good Cheer
Backups: 1 Scottish Lassie

Forecast: #1 Scottish Lassie and #7 Good Cheer headline the field for this Grade 1 test for 3YO fillies. Scottish Lassie was awesome when we saw her last in the Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), but that was in mid-July. She bypassed the Alabama (G1) and looms large if she can repeat that dazzling performance at Saratoga, but I am concerned about regression.

#7 Good Cheer ran poorly in the Acorn (G1), but was up against it that day given the track profile. She lost little in defeat finishing second last out in the aforementioned Alabama to Nitrogen and is probably the one to beat. That said, #3 Clicquot is the one to bet. The lightly-raced Quality Road filly has rattled off three dominant wins against lesser since dueling and tiring on debut at Gulfstream Park. She has been freshened up and attracts the best rider on the grounds. Hopefully, she is up for the class hike!

Race 14: Pennsylvania Derby (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 8 Baeza
Backups: 4 David of Athens; 9 Gosger

Forecast: Finally, it will be someone other than Sovereignty or Journalism winning a Grade 1 event for 3YOs. The top two in the crop will not compete in the Pennsylvania Derby (G1) leaving things wide open for #8 Baeza. I can understand wanting to take a shot against a horse that is going to be below 2-1 with just 1 win under his belt. The problem with that is he has been far more competitive with the big two than anyone else. The McKinzie colt should get a great trip and prove he is the third best of his crop on Saturday afternoon.

Trainer Brendan Walsh has to beat the favorite, but he holds a strong 1-2-punch in the 9-furlong test over the main track. #9 Gosger is the obvious contender. The son of Nyquist has rattled off back-to-back career best efforts when finishing second to Journalism in the Preakness (G1) and Haskell (G1). Another move forward and he could be tough to get by late. His stablemate #4 David of Athens has a lot more to prove, but comes into his first stakes start off of a big effort at Ellis Park. The fellow Nyquist colt has never run a bad race and has more of a ceiling at this point than most of his competition.

Race 15:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1 Full Moon Madness
Backups: 11 Damon’s Mound

Forecast: The Philly BIG5 concludes with this 6.5-furlong sprint where I lack creativity. 3-1-ML favorite #11 Damon’s Mound should benefit finally getting off the inside and stalking off a fast pace, but I prefer second choice #1 Full Moon Madness. The Jay Em Ess Stable homebred comes in fresh, but I am not concerned since he fired a big shot last November off a longer break. The Into Mischief gelding took advantage of a perfect pocket trip in his win at Delaware Park in mid-June and should get a similar voyage in his first local start.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:05 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #7

#6 Tricky Kitty	She moved forward nicely at second asking for a team that has been hitting all the marks for some time, and this one looks like the one to beat today after catching that easy Kentucky Downs winner.
#4 Rodina	Think she's likely to run into one or two of them who are a bit too tough, but I spent a long time looking here and would want her on the plays -- honest finisher makes sense at an OK price.
#1 Lady Iva	Good sprint effort from her out of the box at Ellis, but the waters get deeper in this spot and she'll have to stay two turns here. Should get a good run of things from the fence, thouh.
Race Summary	Tricky Kitty looks appealing enough in here with any small step forward off the solid Kentucky Downs try, and I'll try to get Rodina in the frame with one of the logical players to build the gimmicks.

Churchill Downs - Race #8

#6 Hero's Medal	Wanted to see a little bit more from him in the last couple tries, but I think this softer spot gives him a chance to show something better. Will need a turnaround, but that could be in the cards.
#2 Indy Charges On	He's got honest enough form and should be right up on the splits throughout, but he has occasionally come up a bit flat late in his route races, so I have a few reservations.
#4 Mo Hope	Speed is a good fit here after showing some life last out in starter company, but I think there is enough other reasonable pace to think the front end won't be an easy walk in the park.
Race Summary	Hero's Medal was a bit dull in the last two, but he was facing better at Saratoga and looks like an OK fit if he can rediscover something a bit closer to his better stuff.

Churchill Downs - Race #9

#3 Sunset Harbour	Really liked the second-out score, and she's stepping up to try winners in a spot where a lot of them are entering off modest tries against similar. Fresh face at the level might be the right idea.
#1 Foie Gras	She makes a lot of sense with reliable form through six chances at this level, and she hasn't been right on the wire with a winner in any of those four runner-up finishes. Respect her, but she isn't for me today.
#2 Trouble in Love	She ran pretty well in that stakes try at Oaklawn earlier this year, and she could potentially be better at this point in her 3-year-old season. Wouldn't argue too hard with you.
Race Summary	Sunset Harbour might have found the right kind of group to make some noise on the rise after moving forward well in that second run.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:06 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1

#3 PRINCESS RUNAWAY (9-2)	'‘Convincing’ win here two back, gave way to closers in follow-up stakes.
#5 FOXXY CLEOPATRA (9-5)	Won her ‘23 debut here, returns as stakes-placed sprinter, can top $200k.
#2 SICKLE DANCE (3-1)	Rallied widest and past the even-money fave in lone Presque Isle start last fall.
Race Summary	PRINCESS RUNAWAY earned her top speed figure with an easy win against PA-breds two starts ago at 6F, then she pressed the pace in a stakes race dominated by deep closers and won by Ms. Tart, who is entered in today’s featured Presque Isle Masters. Bet to win and place and play 3-2 and 3-5 exactas.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#4 BUCK’S HOWL (12-1)	Fast gate work for 19-percent barn with synthetic track runners.
#5 FREESTATE (7-2)	Showed pulse in MSW company on Saratoga lawn, worked in 1:01 since then.
#8 LEFTNATEAWALKING (3-1)	‘Responded well turning for home’ but couldn’t reach 2-1 winner.
Race Summary	Taking a price shot on Buck’s Howl, one of four first-time starters. The $40,000 sales buy fired a bullet :35-4/5 workout on Turfway Park’s all-weather track and the offspring of his sire, Audible, are 49-379 (12 percent) as 2-year-olds. Bet to win and place and play a 4-5-8 exacta box.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6

#9 CUDA CUTIE (15-1)	Visually impressive debut, taken to upset in $100k Debutante Stakes.
#10 CONTIKI (9-5)	Won two Ohio-bred stakes and three straight overall by combined 27 lengths.
#2 SMOOCH UP (7-2)	Ran away from two allowance rivals as day’s only wire-to-wire winner.
Race Summary	CUDA CUTIE broke sharply, cruised to the lead on her own courage, then exploded when asked for run in the final furlong of a debut win at Horseshoe Indianapolis. She draws a good post in a field loaded with speed and is a must use on all tickets at 15-1 on the morning line. Bet to win and place and play a 2-4-9-10 trifecta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:06 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park
PURCHASE

Arapahoe Park - Race 1	Win / Place / Show / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double
Maiden • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $6,300 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FLASIN COURAGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figu re at the distance/surface. FIREWAL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	FLASIN COURAGE	6/1	8/5
4	FIREWAL	2/1	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LOST IN FANTASY	1	4/1	Slow	0	0	6.4	0.0	0.0
2	DASHING SEPERATE	2	5/1	Fast/Trouble-prone	0	0	2.9	0.0	0.0
3	FLASIN COURAGE	3	6/1	Slow	69	56	7.1	0.0	0.0
4	FIREWAL	4	2/1	Slow	60	46	6.2	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
PURCHASE

Lone Star Park - Race 8	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Optional Claiming $15,000 • 550 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 9:07P
QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR TEXAS BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JUST CALL ME JESS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. DM PREACHER MAN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
11	JUST CALL ME JESS	8/1	3/1
7	DM PREACHER MAN	2/1	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CORONA TRES EAGLE	1	15/1	Average	72	60	5.6	0.0	0.0
2	THE PAINTED LIGHTS	2	20/1	Slow	74	68	6.7	0.0	0.0
3	SOME FINE CANDY	3	30/1	Average	68	59	5.1	0.0	0.0
4	LIGHT EM UP ROOSTER	4	10/1	Average	74	73	4.7	0.0	0.0
5	RUN LIKE DA DEVIL	5	7/2	Fast	77	74	3.4	0.0	0.0
6	IMMA SWEET DIVA	6	9/2	Average	79	80	3.9	0.0	0.0
7	DM PREACHER MAN	7	2/1	Average	89	83	3.8	0.0	0.0
8	TANGIE BOY	8	4/1	Average	69	65	5.6	0.0	0.0
9	PULL A CORK	9	20/1	Slow	68	68	6.2	0.0	0.0
10	ONE MIGHTY EFFORT	10	10/1	Average	76	68	4.5	0.0	0.0
11	JUST CALL ME JESS	11	8/1	Slow	94	91	7.2	0.0	0.0
12	CAPTAIN TLC AW	12	15/1	Average	80	61	5.3	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:07 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Meadowlands - Race #2 - Post: 7:28pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#5 COUNT MY BLESSINGS (ML=5/2)

COUNT MY BLESSINGS - I have to like this filly's likelihood of winning at the shorter trip. Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished 2nd easily ahead of the 3rd-place finisher in her last race. I like to play horses that faced open company in their last race and drop into state bred races. This filly fits the bill. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp contest in the last month or so is a solid contender in my opinion. Lots of trouble last time out. This time around Jara should keep her clean so she runs a good race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LA PLUMA (ML=3/1), #2 LUCIANA (ML=6/1), #4 LIFE RAFT (ML=6/1),

LA PLUMA - Not easy to play any horse in a short distance contest at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last sixty days. This vulnerable equine didn't do too much last out finishing fourth. Don't see any chance of any betterment today. This racer ran a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's race running that rating. LUCIANA - Not easy to wager on this less than sharp equine this time. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you bet on her in a race of 5 furlongs. LIFE RAFT - Likely won't make much of an impact today.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - COUNT MY BLESSINGS - Coming off her last race with the top speed figure of 63 at Monmouth Park. She is the filly to beat today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #5 COUNT MY BLESSINGS on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [3,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 108

PRESQUE ISLE MILE S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 ENCINO 5/2
# 9 TAPIT SHOES 7/2
# 11 BOPPY O 10/1

ENCINO looks to be a competitive contender. Recent figs for the rider - 23 win percent - make this colt stand out in this group. Prat has one of the top rider ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +8 percent. Could beat this group given the 114 Equibase Speed Fig put up in his last outing. TAPIT SHOES - The average class fig of 100 makes this one hard to beat. Should best this group here, showing very good figures of late. BOPPY O - Is a solid contender based on figs earned recently under today's conditions.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:08 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $1000000 Class Rating: 105

COTILLION S. PRX - R13 - GRADE 1 FOR FILLIES THREE YEAR OLDS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CLICQUOT 8/1
# 7 GOOD CHEER 5/2
# 2 LA CARA 7/2

CLICQUOT is the best wager in this contest and could score at a price in here. Is a very solid contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions. Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to consider this filly. Always tough to beat Walsh and Ortiz working together, winning 26 percent of their races. GOOD CHEER - Is difficult not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been competitive - 93 avg - of late. This filly is a solid choice based on her earnings per start in dirt route events. LA CARA - Must be given a chance given the class of races run recently. Going in a dirt route race gives this filly a very good shot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-19-2025, 08:08 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,600 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#2 VERI GIZMO (ML=12/1)
#7 LOVE YOU LIPPY (ML=5/2)
#5 VICTORIA ELIZABETH (ML=6/1)
#4 CINNAMON BITS (ML=8/1)

VERI GIZMO - Ran in the last race against a high class rated field at Woodbine. The move down in class should suit her well. Drexler will try adding blinks today in hopes of an improved performance. I like this mare. Has the top EPS (earnings per start) in here. LOVE YOU LIPPY - Have to like the way Nosowenko has raced this filly back into shape off the layoff. Animal is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. This filly is in nice form. Ended up first on Aug 31st. Flores is back for another race today after riding on board this horse for the first ride on August 31st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. VICTORIA ELIZABETH - A pony coming back this soon after a solid effort is a good sign. Look at this mare's PP lines. With each event she keeps getting closer. Trainer, Belhumeur, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. CINNAMON BITS - I expect this race horse to bewilder some folks this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 IMA BEAST (ML=3/1), #8 REALLY THIRSTY (ML=7/2),

IMA BEAST - This vulnerable equine will have a tough time winning this 5 1/2 furlongs dirt race. She just doesn't win races very often. Mediocre speed fig last out at Woodbine at 5 furlongs. Don't feel this entrant will improve too much today. REALLY THIRSTY - Tough to support any animal that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. This steed ran a most unsatisfactory speed fig last time out. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose today running that number.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LOVE YOU LIPPY - Advancing each step of the way, this racer has recorded significant increases in her speed figures over her last two races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #2 VERI GIZMO on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7] Box [2,5] Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass