Saturday 9/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #1

    Saturday 9/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #2
    Meet the Contenders: Saturday’s Princess Rooney at GP


    September 15, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint hopefuls battle for a berth in the championships Saturday at Gulfstream Park. The Grade 3 $200,000 Princess Rooney, named for the inaugural 1984 Breeders’ Cup Distaff and 1983 Kentucky Oaks winner, lured a field of 8 over its traditional, 7-furlong trip.

    Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet be sure to take part in Saturday’s 15% Win Boost (up to $20) on Saturday’s full card from Gulfstream.

    Let’s meet the contenders for the Princess Rooney (Race 10):

    #1-VINCEY GIRL: Rallying and runaway winner of the Sheer Drama Stakes August 15 over the track and distance for red-hot trainer Jose D’Angelo. The barn got a big boost when Breeders’ Cup Sprint runner-up Bentornato returned from a 10-month break to win Churchill Downs’ $300,000 Louisville Thoroughbred Society Stakes. Race Day filly has split decisions in recent stakes bids with Princess Rooney rival Haulin Ice.

    #2-HAULIN ICE: Four-stakes winning streak snapped last out when runner-up to Vincey Girl in the August 16 Sheer Drama. Distance is the concern as she’s 1-for-5 over 7 furlongs, including that recent loss as the 3-5 favorite. Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. won this race in 2023 (Three Witches) and 2024 (Soul of an Angel) and had 4 of the 8 entries on Saturday. Edgard Zayas won the 2013 Princess Rooney in its last year at Calder before moving to Gulfstream.

    #3-ULTIMATE AUTHORITY: Private purchase has moved from Tim Yakteen’s Santa Anita barn to Saffie Joseph Jr.’s Palm Meadows base. Four works for the new stable, including a bullet Aug. 29 when blistering 3 furlongs in :34.75. Daughter of Practical Joke raced around 2 turns in her last 7 of 8 career starts. Jockey Skyler Spanabel takes the mount on the Grade 2 Santa Maria Stakes third-place finisher. One of 4 chances here for Joseph’s 3-peat bid in this race.

    #4-NERAZURRI: No threat third-place finisher in the Sheer Drama Stakes behind return rivals Vincey Girl and Haulin Ice last out. That was this 3-year-old filly’s first stakes big against elder runners. Runner-up against fellow sophomores in the Azalea prior to that – both recent starts at Saturday’s 7-furlong trip over this track as well as an allowance win in April. Edgar Perez rides for Angel Quiroz. Only a pair of 3-year-olds have won the Princess Rooney since it’s 1985 inaugural, coming in 1986 and 1990.

    #5-REPUTATION: Gustavo Delgado trainee returns home after summering at Saratoga and winning an allowance at Ellis Park in Kentucky and the Tyson Gilpin Stakes at Virginia’s Colonial Downs. Bolt d’Oro filly won at Gulfstream in April to break her maiden by more than 8 lengths. She’s raced exclusively vs. 3-year-olds to date and steps up in class under jockey Miguel Vazquez. The last sophomore to win the Princess Rooney came in 1990.

    #6-MYSTIC LAKE: Likely favorite for 2-time Princess Rooney winner Saffie Joseph Jr. as he eyes a 3-peat in this race. Mystic Lake won the Sugar Swirl and Grade 2 Inside Information over the Gulfstream main track this past winter and has been a successful road warrior since. She won the Memorial Day Sprint at Lone Star Park in Texas, the Dashing Beauty at Delaware Park and the Pink Ribbon at Charles Town in West Virginia in her last 3 starts. Jockey Reylu Gutierrez takes the reins for the first time on this $1.3 million earner who has won 10 of 19 starts.

    #7-GALLOP D’HERMES: Longshot was 93-1 when never threatening several of these rivals last out in the Sheet Drama and 49-1 when no match in the Musical Romance to some of the same. Medaglia d’Oro filly finished a distant eighth in this race last year at 60-1 odds. Trainer Dante Zanelli comes into the racing week 1-for-51 on the year, posting his lone victory on January 18.

    #8-CLARET BERET: Fourth and final 3-peat bidder for Saffie Joseph Jr. in the Princess Rooney, this private purchase joined the barn in spring. Not This Time 4-year-old immediately paid dividends with a smashing, 19-3/4 length victory in handicap conditions in May in her only lifetime start at Gulfstream. She took star sprint filly Vahva to a three-quarter length runner-up in the Grade 2 Chicago at Churchill Downs before a troubled trip and tiring sixth in Saratoga’s Grade 1 Ballerina. Micah Husbands was aboard for the Chicago and returns to the saddle.

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369813

      #3
      Race of the Week: Saturday's PA Derby at Parx


      September 17, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      The sophomore class of 2025 has been Sovereignty, Journalism and everybody else to this point. In their absence, Saturday's Pennsylvania Derby has Grade 1 clout and money ($1 million), but falls short of any championship implications. Regardless, horses placed in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont Stakes, Haskell and Travers all are among the 10-pack of participants. The 1-1/8 miles PA Derby will be Race 14 of 15 on a card that co-features the Grade 1 Cotillion and Kentucky Oaks winner Good Cheer.

      Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET be sure to take advantage of the Bet $100, Get $10 promotion for Parx's big Saturday program.

      Field Depth:
      All seek an initial Grade 1 victory, but Grade 1-placed runners include MAGNITUDE (Grade 2 winner), GOSGER (Grade 3 winner), MO PLEX (Grade 3 winner), BAEZA, GOAL ORIENTED and BIG TRUZZ. In terms of strongest company lines over time, BAEZA has faced the toughest foes with GOSGER likely next-best.

      Pace:
      Lots of pace in this one, from leading contenders to some of the longest shots on the tote. Expect a fast, competitive tempo that should flatter a solid finisher if he fires a strong effort. ALTOBELLI and MAGNITUDE from the inside and widest-drawn MO PLEX figure to be in the first flight with several nipping at their heels.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      #1-SO SANDY: Vastly improved this summer for an always-dangerous Cherie DeVaux barn, but he's benefitted from modest paces and competition in recent starts. Speed jockey Kendrick Carmouche may be stuck in chase mode against these, and there's a big step forward needed to win. Sire Omaha Beach gets a fantastic 28% winners at Parx.

      #2-ALTOBELLI: Cheap sprint speed can't be expected to do much more than contribute to the opening half-mile tempo. That could be telling to the end result, but this Delaware-based runner shows no indications of being a part of the conversation in the lane.

      #3-MAGNITUDE: Speedster who wired the Risen Star and Iowa Derby wasn't able to maintain that over 10 furlongs in the Travers when fading to a distant third. Shorter trip and easier competition than Sovereignty conspire to improve his chances. Works indicate he came out of the Travers well for a Steve Asmussen barn whose Parx raids have included 4 victories in the Grade 1 Cotillion. Sire Not This Time has solid numbers over the Parx track with his offspring, which include local marathon dirt star Next's graded stakes success. Pace heat makes his chore less clear.

      #4-DAVID OF ATHENS: Interesting travel partner to the more accomplished Brendan Walsh stablemate Gosger, he's the most lightly raced PA Derby prospect making only his fourth lifetime start. His last allowance win at Ellis Park was really good from the elbow start for the mile trip, so Saturday marks his first true, 2-turn race and adds another furlong to the odometer. Showed class in his debut at Keeneland last fall when outrunning eventual Grade 1 winner Patch Adams among others. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione jumps off of Big Truzz to ride this one. Walsh's last 12 starters at Parx include 6 exacta finishes in stakes company. Some intrigue.

      #5-HAPPILY DELUSIONAL: The 1-for-11 local for Louis Linder hasn't finished better than fourth in 4 career stakes tries, and none of those were against this kind of competition. He is consistent to his credit and has some finishing ability that should keep him out of the basement. Best efforts have been with Lasix, which will not be in play Saturday. Jockey Paco Lopez has a national reputation, but absolutely is a local stalwart at Parx.

      #6-GOAL ORIENTED: Preakness fourth and Haskell third-place finisher was an April debut artist and Kentucky Derby Day allowance winner who arrived late to the party. Bob Baffert's sophomores have disappointed this year, but Citizen Bull did get back on the beam to win at Del Mar this summer when dropped in class. Avoiding the cream of this year's 3YO crop helps Goal Oriented here as well as the others. Baffert shipped Bayern, McKinzie, West Coast and Taiba here to find past PA Derby success. Capable of sitting a good trip here and should have no excuses, while his BRIS late pace figures are good, but not great. That keeps him around the hunt at least. Irad Ortiz Jr. (26% on Parx dirt) takes over for Flavien Prat, who rides Saturday at Aqueduct after a Friday road trip to Presque Isle Downs for the Masters.

      #7-BIG TRUZZ: Ellis Derby winner was flashy last out under Tyler Gaffalione, who jumps to ride David of Athens on Saturday. There's a glaring 1 bad start in his career in the Indiana Derby, which was his only true, 2-turn race and only race beyond a mile. Pedigree says distance won't be a problem, so there's more to the Indiana Derby dud than just distance when he never looked comfortable. Parx can be a funky track many don't handle, too, but at least know sire Justify's offspring are a strong 10: 3-1-2 over the local dirt surface in limited appearances. Trainer Brian Lynch has an excellent mark with Parx shippers, landing 10 of 19 in the exacta locally. Mixed vibes, but this is a very talented horse, not dependent on pace and will be taken over by Hall of Famer Javier Castellano for the first time.

      #8-BAEZA: The Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes third-place finisher gave divisional kingpin Sovereignty a solid fight in the JIm Dandy at Saratoga on July 26, coming up a length short. He'll be a deserving favorite and likely goes under the 2-1 morning line price. The race conditions stack just 120 pounds on the John Shirreffs trainee, almost mockingly while getting a 4-pound break against some of his rivals and 2 pounds from others. Race tempo figures to be fast and benefit his finishing style; Baeza's BRIS late pace figures far outshine the competition on Saturday. Son of 2018 PA Derby winner McKinzie, who's limited offspring to race on the Parx dirt are a solid 6: 2-1-1 so far. First Parx appearance for jockey Hector Berrios. The horse to beat.

      #9-GOSGER: What a difference a few strides make when you consider the Preakness and Haskell runner-up. Journalism's dogged determination nailed him late in both of those races and figuratively he'll be happiest in the field to not see that one in the starting gate. With 5 starts and 5 top-2 finishes, expect to see another prime effort. As mentioned, trainer Brendan Walsh's last 12 Parx starters include 6 exacta finishes in dirt stakes. Gosger breaks next to the favorite, Baeza, and the pair project to have similar running styles Saturday maybe 5-6 lengths off the contested pace. You can envision veteran Luis Saez gluing Gosger on the hip of Baeza and moving in tandem. But Gosger must give 4 pounds to Baeza and that rival has run 4 BRIS Late Pace Figures that are all higher than Gosger's lifetime best. If they both fire, Gosger may be second-best.

      #10-MO PLEX: Outside speed likely will hustle from the gate and clear the face of several of these into the clubhouse turn. Set the pace in the Jim Dandy at Saratoga before tiring to fourth over this same distance vs. Baeza et al, but did win the Ohio Derby against lesser at this 1-1/8 miles trip. Jockey Joe Ramos has been second-leading rider at Horseshoe Indianapolis this season and reunites with his Ohio Derby-winning mount in the PA Derby. Horse and rider will be making their Parx debuts. Difficult to see him not getting hung wide on the first turn without being over-used to save ground, making his late-race forecast less promising for an obviously talented sort.

      Most Likely Exotics Contender:
      BAEZA has been in the money in 6 straight and gets the race set-up in his finishing favor.

      Best Longshot Contender:
      The logical contenders probably have a hold on the exotics, but HIGHLY DELUSIONAL can pass tired horses with local experience over the track at a huge number for the bottom of a superfecta perhaps.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $65 exacta BAEZA over GOSGER; $35 exacta BAEZA over BIG TRUZZ.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369813

        #4
        Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Pick 5 Analysis


        September 20, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

        Northfield Park has a 15-race card. The $1.00 Pick 5 starts in Race 6, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

        Race 6 (7:50 PM EDT)

        1-Mystical View (5/2)-This will be the 4th race for the Betty Clegg barn and broke in one start at a Fair. Gets a ++ driver change in Aaron Merriman, which makes for a smaller price. Hoosier shipper has the speed to win but needs to mind its manner.
        4-Vendetta Blue Chip (3/2)-Short price chalk has a tactical advantage over others who are in the mix. Justine Irvine has gate speed to work with and should be no worse than in the pocket around the opening turn.

        Race 7 (8:12 PM EDT)

        1-Deep Satin (7/5)-Raced once at Nfld and lost by a nose. Has been facing tougher competition and should have her way with this field. Stands out but wasn't an automatic single because the pilot has only driven 83 times in the past 365 days and wins about as often as the seasons change. That said, from the rail this is a chance to break its maiden in a field full of those who don't like to win.

        Race 8 (8:34 PM EDT)

        8-Crimson Blue (4-1)-Fired hot off the bench to come a good 2nd. Now ships in from the Mea and makes its Nfld debut. Braiden Rhoades trains and steers and showed good speed in last. The only mare in the field could connect if gets a smooth trip.
        9-Newswriter (6-1)-This is the 3rd start in town and improved in the last race. The post helps the price and if Kody Massy can work an efficient trip this is a suck-around win candidate at a square price.

        Race 9 (8:56 PM EDT)

        2-Just A Pleasure (3-1)-Couldn't seal the deal in last but this is the level where a win could happen. That was the case 3 back, won off a 2-hole trip and could follow a similar plan here.
        3-Rocknstarletngray (3-1)-Logical player has been 1st of 2nd in the last 4 starts and can get a top of the stack trip tonight. Gets a positive driver change in Justin Irvine and should be a small price.
        4-Tomi Senorita (5-1)-Will use Merriman in this spot because if the top two are off their game he could challenge down the lane. This feels like a Rhoades-Merriman special, gets a form spike and a special trip.

        Race 10 (9:18 PM EDT)

        1-Hello In There (7/2)-Come off a big effort, hung the mile against this kind and finished a close 3rd leaving from post 6. Loses Ronnie Wrenn but draws the rail and Chris Lems can get the job done.
        5-Sarah Said (3-1)-Tried to go gate to wire in the 1st start in the Garry Martin barn but faded late to finish a close 4th. That was the 1st race in over 5 weeks here and could be sitting on big try tonight.
        9-Maggie Time (15-1)-The price is right to take a swing and will look for Tyler Angus to get away in a decent seat when the wings fold. Needs a trip but could pop at a big number if in play on the final turn.

        $1 Pick 5

        1,4/1/8,9/2,3,4/1,5,9
        Total Bet=$36
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369813

          #5
          Jeremy Plonk: Saturday's 15% Win Boost Gulfstream Plays


          September 19, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

          Gulfstream Park features the Aventura Stakes, Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint and Grade 3 Princess Rooney on a stuffed Saturday card. To add more sizzle, horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can earn a 15% Win Boost up to $20 in bonuses on that day’s Gulfstream card. With that in mind, I’ll spotlight the key win plays to attack.

          Gulfstream Park: Race 2 maiden claiming
          #2 Sweet Lazarus (5-1 morning line odds) has improved in all 4 starts since coming to Leon McKanas’ barn this summer. Drawn well in post 2 and should sit second or third with every chance to pounce. The little-known trainer has been on a roll since July 25 at 14: 5-3-0 and an ROI of $5.50 for every $1 bet (2-42 at Gulfstream prior in 2025). Win bet #2.


          Gulfstream Park: Race 8
          #6 Winfromwithin (6-1 morning line odds) has back class to draw upon and should be on full tilt while making his second start after a long layoff and cutting back in distance at the same time. Trainer Jose D’Angelo is 9: 4-0-2 in GP turf sprint stakes in 2024-’25 with winners paying $12, $21, $29 and $35 – a phenomenal $5.46 ROI for every $1 bet. He won with his only route-to-sprint cut-back during that time as well. Win bet #6.


          Gulfstream Park: Race 10 Grade 3 Princess Rooney Stakes
          #8 Claret Beret (3-1 morning line odds) gets a mulligan for a troubled start in the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga and should be well-spotted here against easier competition and from a comfortable, far outside post over 7 furlongs. Dominated her only start over this track and anything close to her May and June performances can get the victory. Win bet #8.

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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369813

            #6
            Jeremy Plonk: Saturday's 15% Win Boost Gulfstream Plays


            September 19, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

            Gulfstream Park features the Aventura Stakes, Bob Umphrey Turf Sprint and Grade 3 Princess Rooney on a stuffed Saturday card. To add more sizzle, horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can earn a 15% Win Boost up to $20 in bonuses on that day’s Gulfstream card. With that in mind, I’ll spotlight the key win plays to attack.

            Gulfstream Park: Race 2 maiden claiming
            #2 Sweet Lazarus (5-1 morning line odds) has improved in all 4 starts since coming to Leon McKanas’ barn this summer. Drawn well in post 2 and should sit second or third with every chance to pounce. The little-known trainer has been on a roll since July 25 at 14: 5-3-0 and an ROI of $5.50 for every $1 bet (2-42 at Gulfstream prior in 2025). Win bet #2.


            Gulfstream Park: Race 8
            #6 Winfromwithin (6-1 morning line odds) has back class to draw upon and should be on full tilt while making his second start after a long layoff and cutting back in distance at the same time. Trainer Jose D’Angelo is 9: 4-0-2 in GP turf sprint stakes in 2024-’25 with winners paying $12, $21, $29 and $35 – a phenomenal $5.46 ROI for every $1 bet. He won with his only route-to-sprint cut-back during that time as well. Win bet #6.


            Gulfstream Park: Race 10 Grade 3 Princess Rooney Stakes
            #8 Claret Beret (3-1 morning line odds) gets a mulligan for a troubled start in the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga and should be well-spotted here against easier competition and from a comfortable, far outside post over 7 furlongs. Dominated her only start over this track and anything close to her May and June performances can get the victory. Win bet #8.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369813

              #7
              Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays | Saturday, Sept. 20


              September 19, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

              The second of three Saturday cards at the Churchill Downs September meeting features four stake races headlined by the Dogwood (G3) for 3YO fillies. The 11-race slate is a strong one with a plethora of horizontal wagering opportunities for those so inclined. Here are a trio of horses I plan on building my Saturday in Louisville around.


              Race 5:

              This MSW event for 2YO fillies at two-turns drew a full field and appears to be relatively wide open. The two ML favorites exit the August 30 MSW at Kentucky Downs, but I prefer a filly coming in with a bit more rest from the “Pea Patch”. Helen Alexander homebred #3 Rain Gold was bet down to 5-2 on debut at Ellis Park on August 18 and ran a very strong third at this same one-mile distance. The More Than Ready filly was caught three-wide much of the way that afternoon in Henderson, yet still fought hard to the wire to miss by just half a length. Trainer Cherie DeVaux is off to a slow start to the meet, but is likely to start winning in bunches again before too long. This gal is bred to route on the lawn and has a big shot to earn her first win this weekend.

              Play: #3 Rain Gold (5-1 ML)


              Race 7: Harrods Creek

              #5 Smoken Wicked is listed as the deserving 8-5-ML favorite in this 7-furlong dash for 3YOs over the main track. The Louisiana-bred has tackled many of the best sprinters in the division throughout his 2025 campaign and has races that almost certainly handle this field. That said, I am slightly concerned that this is his fourth start of the form cycle and seventh since late February. He is the likeliest winner, but I prefer the upside and value of #3 Jimmy’s Dailys. The son of Vekoma showed promised down at Gulfstream Park this winter before going to the sidelines after being outrun in the Florida Derby (G1). Trainer Brian Lynch brought him back in the Ellis Park Derby on August 10. Not only was that race at the unique one-mile configuration against better competition outside of Smoken Wicked, but it was fellow Lynch trainee Big Truzz that was dominant in victory. Jimmy’s Dailys was able to grind a well-beaten second despite being last early and then moving up into a tight spot costing him a few early lengths. Now, he cuts back to a true one-turn race and appears poised for a big run with Jose Ortiz taking over riding duties.

              Play: #3 Jimmy’s Dailys (7-2 ML)


              Race 9: Dogwood (G3)

              The feature came up strong for a Grade 3 given the presence of #1 Echo Sound, #4 Ragtime, and #7 Delightful Claire. Echo Sound was made the 9-5-ML favorite by oddsmaker Mike Battaglia and no doubt brings the strongest resume in to this 7-furlong dash over the main track. The Rusty Arnold trainee has won 5 of 7, including a pair of Grade 3’s on the east coast earlier this year. She raced against the flow last out in the Test (G1), so her first career off the board performance is forgivable, but the rail draw is no bargain.

              I like Ragtime most. The Godolphin homebred was impressive winning her first two starts going away at the Spa before being run down late in the aforementioned Test last month. She had a favorable setup that day, but it was Kilwin making the final move to get the money. She gets some class relief here and the removal of blinkers for the first time suggests she is relaxing better in the mornings. A move forward of any kind and she should have no issue running this field down under regular rider Junior Alvarado.

              Play: #4 Ragtime (2-1 ML)
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369813

                #8
                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                Parx Racing - Race #12
                #5 Barnes Price probably won't be that appealing, but I think he's supposed to handle this group with anything like his best stuff. There is some sharp, but less classy, pace drawn outside of him, and he might find himself in a perfect spot tucked in just behind the early battlers. Should be the right one.
                #1 Retribution He's probably the most logical alternative here with a similar kind of trip waiting for him, and his last was a pretty solid one against cheaper.
                #6 Donut God He ran well enough last time out despite the flat break, and he should be right up on the splits today. Bit worried he'll take some heat, but I think he can stay for a share as the best of the pace.
                Race Summary Barnes has a pretty solid class edge over this group, and he wasn't too far off a Grade I group last time out -- think he's got a really nice trip waiting for him.
                Parx Racing - Race #13
                #7 Good Cheer She bounced back with a decent effort last time out behind Nitrogen, and I think her baseline stuff makes her tough here. I respect the next one, but we might be a mildly attractive price here.
                #1 Scottish Lassie She should get a good go of things from the inside in a race without a ton of serious pace, and if the handful of pressing types let her get away too easily at any point today, they could be chasing in vain.
                #1 La Cara She's not all that consistent, but she has the pace to find a good spot right up top here and has some races on her page that would play with these. I'd want something better than the 7/2 ML price here.
                Race Summary Good Cheer, Scottish Lassie, and La Cara all have pretty logical claims on this one, but I think Good Cheer can get back on the wire today after suffering her first two lifetime defeats.
                Parx Racing - Race #14
                #7 Big Truzz Not sure if he's good enough at this level -- there are a few horses in here who have knocked heads with the very best 3-year-olds out there, and this guy has been no serious threat in his two graded stakes tries. That said, his last was really sharp, and I think he gets an OK first-over run. There has always been a little bit of potential here, and I wonder if this late bloomer is just hitting his stride.
                #8 Baeza He's likely to take a lot of cash after running a couple of pretty competitive races with the class leaders, and this is his chance to shine while getting away from Journalism, Sovereignty, or both for the first time since February.
                #9 Gosger He's another with a pretty decent claim on this after hitting the top in the lane in a couple of Grade Is before getting run down by Journalism both times. One of the ones in a really fun race.
                Race Summary Think you can make a decent case for several of them being good enough to land this with their best -- would also consider improving #1 So Sandy, #6 Goal Oriented, and #3 Magnitude, who faded far too tamely with zero fight last time out and is probably meant for better today.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369813

                  #9
                  Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                  Laurel Park - Race #1
                  #7 PEGSTER Found comfort zone in grass routes, stretch traffic proved costly in allowance.
                  #4 SLEEPWALKER Changed tactics, tired in second start for new barn, can top $200k in turf earnings.
                  #1 RISK AND REGRET Rallied into slow pace in her maiden-breaking win at this distance eight days ago.
                  Race Summary PEGSTER saved ground tracking a soft pace, rallied into stretch contention, but was shut off with run at the sixteenth pole. She clearly improved going a route of ground on the turf with the addition of Lasix two starts ago. Bet to win and place and play 7-1 and 7-4 exactas.
                  Laurel Park - Race #2
                  #8 PRINCESS CHARMING Money showed in troubled debut, wears hood after ‘mild move.’
                  #1 LUCKY LIS Up for third in 4F debut at bullring, also adds blinkers for sharp outfit.
                  #4 FIESTA LA LUNA Barn is good with the babies, keep watch on the odds.
                  Race Summary PRINCESS CHARMING took play off a slow work tab against a pair of 2-to-1 first-time starters, but she lost all chance at the break. She adds blinkers and faces all but one Maryland-bred rival again today. Bet to win and place and play a 1-4-8 exacta box.
                  Laurel Park - Race #5
                  #6 MAILMAN MONEY Loomed boldly for the stretch run in his last four starts, won at this distance.
                  #2 AMERICAN UNITY Ness-trained 7yo loves to win and will be the favorite to do so again.
                  #9 BRING ME A CHECK Hit board in 22 of 33 on turf, many in photo finishes, enters new barn.
                  Race Summary MAILMAN MONEY has a win and two thirds in his last four turf routes and his off-the-pace style is well-suited with plenty of pace in this field. He earned his top speed figure this year at one mile on the Monmouth lawn in his first start off the claim. Bet to win and place and play 6-2, 6-9 and 2-6 exactas
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369813

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
                    PURCHASE
                    Lone Star Park - Race 5 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
                    Allowance • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 105 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 7:49P
                    QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2024-2025 PREFERRED.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * THE GRAND LEGEND: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. MOONIN THE CZECH: Q uarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THRILL AND FURY: Quarter horse has the high est last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                    1 THE GRAND LEGEND 4/5 4/1
                    6 MOONIN THE CZECH 4/1 9/2
                    4 THRILL AND FURY 9/2 8/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    1 THE GRAND LEGEND 1 4/5 Fast 95 93 3.2 0.0 0.0
                    2 SWEATER TLC 2 10/1 Fast 86 82 3.3 0.0 0.0
                    3 KVN VALIANT CORONA 3 15/1 Average 72 68 5.3 0.0 0.0
                    4 THRILL AND FURY 4 9/2 Average 91 85 5.2 0.0 0.0
                    5 PEVS KIOTE MOON 5 12/1 Average 83 76 4.1 0.0 0.0
                    6 MOONIN THE CZECH 6 4/1 Fast 95 98 1.7 0.0 0.0
                    7 DETERMINED 7 15/1 Average 83 63 4.8 0.0 0.0
                    8 A STREAKIN MAMBACITA 8 20/1 Average 78 77 4.6 0.0 0.0
                    9 SONNY SURFER 9 20/1 Average 91 83 4.5 0.0 0.0
                    10 LOUISIANA POP 10 20/1 Fast 81 73 1.6 0.0 0.0
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369813

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque
                      PURCHASE
                      Albuquerque - Race 7 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Second Leg Pick 4
                      Optional Claiming $20,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 79 • Purse: $30,200 • Post: 4:00P
                      QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
                      Contenders Race Analysis
                      P# Horse Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds
                      Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CRUZIN FOR CHICKZ: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BIG DADDY FARR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SUN HARVEST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is a t least +20. ONE GAME JESSE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                      3 CRUZIN FOR CHICKZ 5/2 7/2
                      5 BIG DADDY FARR 3/1 7/1
                      7 SUN HARVEST 10/1 8/1
                      2 ONE GAME JESSE 12/1 10/1

                      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                      Figure
                      1 PAINT ME QUEEN 1 7/2 Average 88 77 5.6 0.0 0.0
                      2 ONE GAME JESSE 2 12/1 Average 86 78 4.4 0.0 0.0
                      3 CRUZIN FOR CHICKZ 3 5/2 Average 90 94 5.8 0.0 0.0
                      4 EYE NEEDA TEQUILA 4 4/1 Average 75 73 5.1 0.0 0.0
                      5 BIG DADDY FARR 5 3/1 Average 91 79 4.6 0.0 0.0
                      6 MELEROS TEQUILA 6 6/1 Average 82 79 4.5 0.0 0.0
                      7 SUN HARVEST 7 10/1 Average 86 79 5.0 0.0 0.0
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369813

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

                        PURCHASE
                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 4 - SO - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 94

                        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 - $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 20, 2025 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $16,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 15/1
                        # 3 WHITE LILACS 6/1
                        # 10 BABY BLOCKS 6/1
                        I have to consider HOT FUDGE WARRIOR in this race and is a solid value-based wager given the 15/1 line. Has a very solid shot for this event if you like back class. WHITE LILACS - Will almost certainly compete solidly in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. This equine has a wonderful winning percentage in turf sprints. BABY BLOCKS - Recorded a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369813

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

                          PURCHASE
                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 81

                          FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR NONE WINNER OF $27,500 OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 20 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $20,000 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 3 VIVA LA DIVA 7/5
                          # 5 AIR FORCE 8/5
                          # 2 WANDALITA 5/1
                          I think VIVA LA DIVA is a very strong choice. Has to be used in the exotic bets. I like the jockey on this filly - strong chance to win the contest. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with Perez aboard. AIR FORCE - Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 76 avg - of late. She has a good opportunity in this competition as trainer, Pedersen, has very strong win clip with horses going this distance. WANDALITA - Always seems to be close at the finishing post. Posted a quite good speed figure last time out.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369813

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                            PURCHASE





                            Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 3:31pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $115,100 Class Rating: 76

                            Rating:

                            #3 DUNMORE BEACH (ML=6/1)
                            #6 PIPER'S GIFT (ML=5/2)
                            #2 ALLURING AMY (ML=7/2)


                            DUNMORE BEACH - Carroll sends this one to the track for the first time. With a win pct of 29 with first timers, I'll give this one a long look. I cannot ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well. You'll be generating money right and left by turning your racing money onto this jockey/conditioner combination. First-timer has morning workouts over the Woodbine strip, which is always a plus. PIPER'S GIFT - This jockey and conditioner have a beneficial ROI when they unite. The way this race sets up this filly will be in perfect stalking position when they turn for home. A solid handicapping angle is going on Lasix for the first time. Desruisseaux gives it to this one for this affair. ALLURING AMY - Selectors took note of this filly in her maiden race at Woodbine, sending her off at low odds. Look for a chance at a big improvement in this event. I like that latest outing on Aug 29th at Woodbine where she ran second. This animal could be tough this time, especially since Vives rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. Ranked the highest in (EPS) earnings per start. Another indicator that this horse has the class to win today. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the 2nd time. This one fits the bill. I like the hard fact that this filly's last speed rating, 74, is tops in this group.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SHE REIGNS (ML=3/1), #7 DIVINELY INSPIRED (ML=8/1),

                            SHE REIGNS - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 this time around. DIVINELY INSPIRED - Not likely for this participant to do much running with no recent good showings in a sprint affair.

                            GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - PIPER'S GIFT - Last race was on the turf at Woodbine. Switching to a dirt race at 6 furlongs today. I like this play with maidens.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 DUNMORE BEACH to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]
                            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,6] Total Cost: $6
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,6] with [2,3,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369813

                              #15

                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                              PURCHASE





                              Century Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 78

                              Rating:

                              #5 WHERE'S THE PUMPS (ML=6/1)
                              #4 GO MAMA (ML=8/1)


                              WHERE'S THE PUMPS - Although it's been awhile, this mare won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think she could run back to that old form today. I think this mare is coming into top form. Kenway brings her back again. I recommend you stick with this strong mare. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the recent past performance lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle on different ovals. GO MAMA - When Malvaez and Grieves are put together on equines the ROI has been fantastic at +33. The morning line odds on this mare are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Grieves. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should perform well today.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BOOTIFUL ROSE (ML=5/2), #6 B B'S WILDFIRE (ML=7/2), #3 SHE'S MY NIECE (ML=4/1),

                              BOOTIFUL ROSE - Tough to put your dough on this oft beaten chalk. Not much value. This mare will probably bounce, and not even come close to the recent speed fig of 79. B B'S WILDFIRE - Finished first in her most recent race with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. SHE'S MY NIECE - In this type of situation, this vulnerable equine's inability to close in the last event is definitely troubling. This equine doesn't have a champion's temperament. Time-and-again finishes in the place or show hole.

                              GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - WHERE'S THE PUMPS - Steady improvement in her speed ratings, 74 last race and 56 two races back. This magnificent animal is going to be tough against these thoroughbreds.


                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 WHERE'S THE PUMPS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5]
                              TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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