Tuesday 9/30/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #5

#2 Reigert Girls	She has a handful of OK tries over this surface and brings some solid recent Penn National form with her to this one. Mild worry about the cutback in a race without a huge amount of serious pace, but she has been tactical enough going short in the past to put those concerns to rest.
#4 Zo Lee	She has been in with some pretty good groups and should find a good spot right up near the top, and she ran really well here in stakes company last year. Can be tough.
#7 Milliat	She finds an easier spot today than she saw at Kentucky Downs last time out, and she looks like the one to fear late with a pretty honest late kick to her name. Enough to like.
Race Summary	Reigert Girls looks the part here while turning back off a couple of solid scores, and the local sprint tries here last season were pretty good. I'll bite.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#8 Wow Whata Party	He might be a bit too cheap for these, but he has done decent local work and looked good in the score last time out. Spying run gives him a bit of a jump on the deeper closers?
#6 Mccullough	He's got a bit more tactical pace than he showed last out in another good finishing effort, and he should get every chance to kick into the splits here. Enough to like, but I wouldn't want too short a price while trying the new footing off the bench.
#4 He's a Mess	His better stuff would do here, and he's coming out of the meet's route centerpiece last time around when slowly away at the start. Bit more positional today? One of the ones.
Race Summary	Think you can make an honest enough case for a lot of these -- I also think #3 Calvin's Ride is worth a pressing look while in good form.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#1 Watermelon Crush	No confirmed pace in here except for this guy who just turned in a Colonial frontrunning score, and he might be able to shake free of this group into the far turn. Think he could like it here.
#5 Chill Boss	Tactical speed should find a great spot tracking the top choice, and he has been a good fit since returning to this kind of level. Wouldn't be thrilled for another short price, but he's probably going to be tough.
#4 Palace Revolt	He's another with a bit of positional speed that could keep him in a pretty good spot and in touch throughout while getting back around two turns. Not super enthused about him, but he wouldn't be a shock.
Race Summary	Watermelon Crush has some pace to work with in this one, and I'm hoping he can keep Chill Boss at bay while that one tracks the whole way. Fun race for the level.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #1

#3 BAZZARO (7-2)	Showed speed with blinkers removed, can make maximum use of it in this spot.
#4 GROUND SHAKER (5-2)	Third in pair of higher-tagged recent routes behind next-out winners.
#6 DECATUR STREET (9-5)	Second best in last two 5-1/2F sprints at the Horseshoe.
Race Summary	BAZARRO led for this far in a crowded one-mile turf race before tiring and he pressed a fast pace in a MSW sprint the last time he ran on the main track. He gets in light-weighted and can carry his speed to victory on the class drop. Bet to win and place and play 3-4 and 3-6 exactas.

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #3

#5 U R NOT THE FATHER (8-1)	Could hold tactical edge if he handles switch back to dirt, good price.
#4 INCLINED (8-5)	Second in 4 of last 5 starts with the benefit of ideal pace setups.
#1 SHOWDOWN JUSTICE (9-2)	Sometimes gets brave on the lead that should be his from the rail.
Race Summary	U R NOT THE FATHER made middle moves in his last three starts, all going long on the turf. He could get first run on the favorites and sustain a similar rally on the return to the main track. He changes riders and is worth a win and place wager at 8-1 on the morning line. Also play a 1-4-5 exacta box.

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race #5

#4 STARSPANGLEDIMAGE (2-1)	Finished full of run in shorter MSW sprint, today’s Best Bet.
#2 BELLA’S CHARM (12-1)	Useful seasonal debut in fast-paced sprint, lures De La Cruz.
#5 MORE THAN A DREAM (5-1)	Took some debut money against winning stablemate, sheds 7 pounds.
Race Summary	STARSPANGLEDIMAGE finished fastest after an awkward start in MSW company two back. He swung 6-wide in the stretch, got up for third and continued strong on the gallop out. The class drop and extra half furlong should land him a spot in the winners’ circle today. Make a flat win bet and a 4-ALL exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
PURCHASE

Finger Lakes - Race 9	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $13,800 • Post: 4:52P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. DASHING DELLA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DASHING DELLA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	DASHING DELLA	5/1	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	DASHING DELLA	6	5/1	Front-runner	85	79	73.8	66.2	61.2
8	GRAB THE GLORY	8	15/1	Front-runner	68	54	59.2	41.2	26.7
9	AWESOME ROBERTA	9	6/1	Stalker	66	62	49.8	51.6	43.1
4	FAUVE	4	10/1	Stalker	64	48	49.4	36.8	23.3
3	ACE UP HER SLEEVE	3	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	68	63.0	63.6	58.1
2	FIVE TO TWO	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	75	42.0	61.6	56.6
1	LA INDECENTE	1	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	55	42.2	49.6	37.1
5	RED BUTTERFLY	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	66	39.4	43.6	31.1
7	KITTY TIN TIN	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	52	38.6	44.0	32.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
PURCHASE

Special Wager - Race 3	Leg 3 of the Horseshoe Turf Pick 3
Allowance • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 5:47P
IND - R8 - (RAIL AT 12 FEET). FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JUICY JUSTICE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SOLRUN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SKIPPINJUSTICE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SWEET HEAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
4	JUICY JUSTICE	12/1	5/1
3	SOLRUN	5/1	6/1
9	SKIPPINJUSTICE	15/1	7/1
11	SWEET HEAT	3/1	8/1
12	FOXY JUSTICE	7/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SHESMYHUCKLEBERRY	1	20/1	Front-runner	69	65	70.2	38.9	19.9
6	ENCHANTED MELODY	6	8/1	Front-runner	72	60	62.6	53.1	42.1
10	REDHOTJUSTICE	10	20/1	Front-runner	69	57	31.7	52.4	33.4
11	SWEET HEAT	11	3/1	Stalker	69	66	64.6	66.9	52.9
12	FOXY JUSTICE	12	7/2	Stalker	75	73	59.2	59.2	45.7
4	JUICY JUSTICE	4	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	68	57.0	64.2	56.2
2	CLASSIC KITTEN	2	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	57	52.6	54.8	41.8
3	SOLRUN	3	5/1	Trailer	70	64	42.3	64.9	57.9
9	SKIPPINJUSTICE	9	15/1	Trailer	77	57	34.1	64.5	55.5
7	PRETTYONTHEPRARIE	7	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	73	59	54.6	49.2	31.7
5	CHARMING JAZEL	5	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	70	62	39.8	60.8	50.8
8	FLOWERED	8	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	54	55.0	41.6	18.1
13	INCLUSIVE JUSTICE	13	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	57	53.3	51.4	35.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 64

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 CUTADAY 3/1
# 7 TRUIST 2/1
# 4 GOLD JERRY 4/1

CUTADAY has a strong shot to take this race. Has run solidly when running a dirt route race. Conditioner has strong win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface. Lynch has shown excellent profits (+68 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. TRUIST - Looks decent to be up on the lead at the first call. Is a solid contender - given the 64 speed rating from his most recent race. GOLD JERRY - Has competitive early speed and will probably fare quite well versus this group. The Equibase class rating of today's contest is much lower than his last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 56

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 MORE THAN A DREAM 5/1
# 3 COUNT THE CASH 5/2
# 4 STARSPANGLEDIMAGE 2/1

I've got to go with MORE THAN A DREAM. COUNT THE CASH - Leahey has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent rate. STARSPANGLEDIMAGE - Must be given a shot here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last affair.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#6 GIACOMO CASANOVA (ML=7/2)


GIACOMO CASANOVA - Rode this animal on September 7th and Aviles is back again in the irons this time around. This gelding is in fine physical condition. Finished third on September 7th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 RIVER WARRIOR RVF (ML=2/1), #4 ROAD MINISTER (ML=5/2), #1 ZEALOUS STORM (ML=5/1),

RIVER WARRIOR RVF - You should normally bet against morning-line choices that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. ROAD MINISTER - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed rating last time out in an $8,000 Claiming race on September 20th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. ZEALOUS STORM - Any speed rating attained in the slop must be taken with a grain of salt.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 GIACOMO CASANOVA is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#7 LEISUREWEAR (IRE) (ML=3/1)
#2 TICKET TO FLY (ML=9/2)


LEISUREWEAR (IRE) - Great chance for this pony. Solid late speed and should have good position. Ranks number one in the field in earnings per start. A dominant try in today's race will boost that total. TICKET TO FLY - When this jockey and trainer combine forces you have to take a look. Pauly and Greenhill have been fabulous together. Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a nice contest on September 5th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LONIE MO (ML=5/2), #1 MARKET OF STOCKS (ML=4/1), #6 YAREE D TAT (ML=6/1),

LONIE MO - This filly registered a fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough today. MARKET OF STOCKS - Even though victorious in last, didn't finish the way you'd like to see when stepping up to face tougher opponents. Notched a common speed rating last time around the track in a $5,000 Claiming race on Sep 18th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LEISUREWEAR (IRE) - The affair on Sep 3rd had a class rating of 83 while today's class rating is 66. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 LEISUREWEAR (IRE) to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	7 with 2 with [1,4,5] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None