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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Friday 10/3/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Jeremy Plonk: Keeneland Opening Friday Late-Day Price Keys


    October 1, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Keeneland’s Fall Meet kicks off 17 days on Friday with horseplayers typically optimistic about the high-quality offerings. Keeping that optimism often requires some handicapping success, so let’s get after it.

    The stakes tri-features could very well run through the favorites: World Record in the Phoenix; Time to Dream in the Jessamine; and Tommy Jo in the Alcibiades. Because the gambling and glamour may not coincide Friday, look to the supporting races for value. Races 6 and 10 surround the stakes trio, making for a late pick 5 and late pick 4 that could open and close with prices. They will be two key races to attack both intra-race and multi-race if you want to connect through the potential favorites on a focused ticket.


    Keeneland Race 6: allowance

    Favorites are just 8-33 in Fall Meet turf mile ALW races at this first-level (N1X) condition, so don’t be afraid to shop with an average winner 6-1 odds in such spots. Also-eligible #14 Cliffs would be a serious threat if in, but regardless my lean is #9 Golden Gamble (6-1 ML odds). She’ll be second off the layoff after being too keen and too close to a fast pace at Kentucky Downs when returning from 8 months away. Look for new rider Jose Ortiz to get her to settle and finish strongly like she did on dirt in last year’s Untapable Stakes at Fair Grounds. Her BRIS late pace figure of 97 in that one is indicative of the close that can win this race, which historically has had a strong closer’s profile at Keeneland.


    Keeneland Race 10: maiden special weight

    Races 3 and 10 are split divisions of a 2-year-old MSW turf route, which is one of the biggest upset alert situations Keeneland offers in the Fall. The average winner from 65 such past races is 9.9-1 odds and favorites win just 27%. Two price plays jump out to me: #11 Island Girl and #6 Cove Spring in the second career start for both. Horses exiting turf routes with experience have a major edge in these Keeneland races historically and both were asked the tough route debut question. Cove Spring (12-1 ML) rallied for fourth at Kentucky Downs and has 2 works on the Turfway synthetic since that Sept. 5 unveiling. Top pick Island Girl (20-1 morning line) ran a better-than-it-looks seventh in her debut when a strong 92 BRIS late pace figure didn’t help dent the running lines when the race ran so terribly slow early and none of the pace came back to her. Ben Colebrook is a profitable trainer in second starts and that ROI gets another boost if we’re right.


    Consider these prices intra-race and as part of the late pick 5 and late pick 4 stringing the 3 favorites between on very affordable tickets.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Pick 5 Analysis-$75,000 Guaranteed Pool


      October 3, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      The Red Mile has a 13-race card with the first post at 1:00 PM EDT. The 0.50 Pick 5 starts in Race 3. The sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool with a $19,846 carryover, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 3 (1:40 PM EDT)

      8-Ardonne (2-1)-Got a wide trip against tough foes in the Mohawk million and cashed a 5th place check. Didn't race for almost 1 month before that start and now faces a beatable field. Will look for Scott Zeron to be out and rolling and to land in a close-up seat. The Megan Scran pupil should be racing on the lead or near the top of the stack early in the mile. Looks like the one to beat in its Red Mile debut and will assume there won't be any issues with the surface.

      Race 4 (2:00 PM EDT)

      3-Gracious (5/2)-Worked hard leaving from post 8 to come a close 2nd. That makes 5 straight as a bridesmaid, and usually my play would be to fade. But David Miller is at the controls for the 2nd straight start and should get a cozy trip with this post draw.
      5-Rocksy (8-1)-Interesting play at this price after going a sizzling .53 back half on 9-25 in the 1st start after a sick scratch. Moves in from the 8-hole and faces many of the same.
      7-I'm A Lou Lou (9/5)-Not a fan of the short morning line odds but can't disregard. Might be better on a smaller oval but willing to use after battling well against stakes caliber competition.

      Race 5 (2:20 PM EDT)

      3-Marilyn Ruth (7/2)-Ruth appears to be a competitive filly when she is put in play off the car. This is an interesting play after going a sizzling .53 back half. Today, Andy McCarthy can get a close-up seat and look to seal the deal down the lane. Fits well with this crew.
      7-Java Jukebox (2-1)-The Ron Burke pupil was a sick scratch at M1 on 7-4 and qualified on 9-14 at Lex. Tuned up nicely and finished a close 2nd on 9-25. Draws outside this time but Yannick Gingras could be out and rolling. Looks like a major player at a small price.
      10-Super Freak (9/2)-Drops and could beat this crew at a square price if the fractions are lively. Scott Zeron should get a decent seat. Does show enough gate speed to drop in nicely and others don't usually fly off the car. The post helps the price and best to not overlook.

      Race 6 (2:40 PM EDT)

      6-Loua Dipa (3/5)-The Sweet Lou filly strutted her stuff at Mohawk winning her Elim and then drew off by >4 lengths in the Great Lady Final. Odds on chalk in the last 2 will be a tiny price. Should have her way with this field in her Red Mile debut. Ronnie Wrenn should be look to take control early on and make every call a winning one.

      Race 7 (3:00 PM EDT)

      1-Anativenewyorker (8-1)-Worked hard leaving from post 10 but the trip took its toll and faded down the lane. Steps up on paper but doesn't face the 3 that finished ahead and did beat #9 the program chalk who is not my ticket. Looks like a player with the post relief and the morning line price is probably wishful.
      6-Whiskey Wow (9/2)-Winner in 4 of 6 at Lex and that includes being taken down on a DQ. Returns to the red clay and Ronnie Wrenn will be headed for the top and could be difficult tackle.
      7-Grande Via (7/2)-Beaten odds on favorite met its match after easily winning 2 and 3 back. Gingras might get the top off the car, but a 2-hole trip could work for a picture as well. Could return to winning ways with a smooth trip.
      10-My Honor (8-1)-Comes off a decent effort versus a tough group and the trip was bumpy. Ake Svanstedt hands the lines to Tim Tetrick and that could help. Needs a sharp steer with this post draw but is worth a swing at a healthy price.

      0.50 Pick 5

      8/3,5,7/3,7,10/6/1,6,7,10
      Total Bet=$18

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Frank Carulli: Santa Anita Super High 5, October 3, 2025


        October 3, 2025 | By Frank Carulli

        Santa Anita’s Super High 5 wager requires bettors to pick the top five finishers in exact order on the last race of the day. If you think it’s easy, invest in the $1 base wager this Friday, Oct. 3, because there is a $104,929 carryover pool that surely will grow exponentially. Post time for the 9th race is 8:01 pm ET.

        1st Slot: With plenty of pace up ahead, SHE’S A JOKER and BREVE will carry the hopes of the Super High 5 in the leadoff leg. SHE’S A JOKER is 11/3-1-4 on the Santa Anita lawn and trainer Peter Miller won 102 turf races here in the last four years. BREVE rallied from post 10 two back to get beat 1-1/2 lengths in the same spot, then made some headway into a slower pace last out.

        2nd Slot: RUNAMILEINMYSHOES, the 9-to-5 morning line favorite, won 4 of her last 10 starts on the front end at today’s distance against much better company. She is the one to beat, but in hopes of a better payout, relegate her to a solo play in the second leg of the sequence.

        3rd Slot: DON’TMESSWITHTESS, 20-1 on the morning line, and ISSA COURT join the Super High 5 in Leg C. DON’TMESSWITHTESS had a troubled trip at Del Mar after three months away. She finished in the money in three consecutive starts at Gulfstream Park that produced a total of six next-out winners. And in her previous grass try, she met one follow-up winners and six runners-up with an average 74 Beyer speed figure. ISSA COURT makes her second start on the lawn in the last 15 months off the claim by John Sadler. She is by Acclamation, whose offspring have won 81 turf route races and earned more than $4 million, including multiple graded stakes winner Acclimate (7-28, $746k on turf) and the Sadler-trained Kings River Knight (10-14, $671k on turf).

        4th Slot: LADY MONCLAIRE showed a passing gear when she began her 4-year-old season with a win here under the same conditions. Add her to Leg D.

        5th Slot: Nobody hit the Super High 5 on Santa Anita’s last live racing card Sunday, mostly because the third, fourth and fifth-place finishers were dismissed at 47-1, 26-1 and 58-1. Hit the ‘ALL’ button in Leg E, hoping for a similar result.

        Suggested $1 Super High 5
        1st Slot: 5, 6
        2nd Slot: 8
        3rd Slot: 1, 3, 5, 6
        4th Slot: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6
        5th Slot: ALL
        Cost: $90
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita Park - Race #1
          #1 Springline Think there is some room to come forward here after a non-threatening run when getting over to the turf in a race where the runner-up was back to graduate next out. Price should be right, and I'm hoping some pedigree around two turns might keep him in the mix from a cozy tracking trip on the fence?
          #6 Hypergamy Beat her to score in the opener -- she makes a lot of sense here while dropping back in with friends after staying for third in stakes company last time out, but I'm worried the price gets short, and I'm not totally sure I trust the race she comes out of that produced a $1,200-1 exacta and a $16,000-1 trifecta...the logical players didn't exactly show up. Your call at a short number.
          #7 Tiz Grace She's not out of the question here, either. I liked the race she came out, and the winner there finished fourth as the chalk in that aforementioned longshot parade stakes spot. In the mix.
          Race Summary Springline should be a price in a spot with some decent established form, but I'm wondering if some added ground will help her cause today while tucked in on the fence.
          Santa Anita Park - Race #7
          #7 Tariff Riser has needed a touch easier for his best in his starts with winners, but he has been pretty consistent while winning four of his last five -- and that was a good allowance spot he got beat in here back in June.
          #2 Drop Um Considered him on top for quite some time here, as his only turf try wasn't all bad, and he doesn't seem totally overmatched in this open spot. Tactical speed might trip out.
          #9 Septembersixtyfour He scored going short last time out and now stretches out to try winners for the first time, and some similar progression again today might be enough to keep him in the frame with this crew. Speedy enough to find the trip from out here.
          Race Summary Tariff is worth a look at this level despite his flat run when facing similar here in June, and I love the trip he figures to get from right up near the top again. Leaning in with a little backup on Drop Um.
          Santa Anita Park - Race #9
          #4 Summer Lake Worth a midrange shot here with some unreliable form, as she might find herself in a pretty sweet spot turning for home. Move back to the turf gives her some obvious room to rebound off the dud last out.
          #3 Breve She's a reliable enough finisher, but she tends to come alive just a little too late in a lot of her starts, and something similar could happen again today. Baseline fits.
          #8 Runamileinmyshoes Her typical efforts probably make her a handful in this spot, but I don't really love the way she finished up in her last two, so I'm not thrilled to bite at too short a price despite her finding an easier group today.
          Race Summary Summer Lake runs a little hot and cold for my typical tastes, but there are a few pretty good races on her page here last year, and I'm hoping the price will be fair enough to wonder if she finds one of those efforts today.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita - Race #2
            #2 INVINCIBLE (3-1) Drops out of ‘key’ July race that timed 1/5 slower than same-day allowance.
            #5 MYSTIC FLYER (7-2) Good try as beaten favorite off year layoff, can use speed well despite cutback.
            #7 JARAMA (5-2) Two-time winner at 6F with Kimura aboard joins class droppers.
            Race Summary INVINCIBLE lacked stretch kick in a $25,000 sprint from which he was claimed in July. But he finished 2-1/2 lengths behind next-out winner Left Hand Man (84 Beyer) and 3 lengths ahead of Western Avenue, who followed with a class-dropping win and a 76 Beyer. Bet to win and place and play 2-5 and 2-7 exactas.
            Santa Anita - Race #3
            #7 SHARP AZA TACK (5-2) Holds tactical advantage at proven distance with 4-13 turf record intact.
            #3 DONCIC (3-1) Rallied into photo-finish view and a ran second in last three turf sprints at Santa Anita.
            #5 PROOF HE RIDES (9-2) Dueled inside to early stretch, stopped as winning fave and others passed by.
            Race Summary SHAPR AZA TACK earned a pair of 90-plus Beyers in two 6F turf victories on the Santa Anita lawn, the most recent in June for a $32,000 tag. His can maximize his speed in this field in lieu of $300,000 in grass earnings. Bet to win and place and play 7-3 and 7-5 exactas.
            Santa Anita - Race #8
            #7 COACH CRONIN (9-2) Rallied extremely wide, lugged in, got up for third off long layoff.
            #5 MR. MACHUPICCHU (5-2) Set pace, held second against top one in race that turned up ‘key.’
            #9 LAST CALL PAUL (8-1) Stalked pace 7-wide, took over in mid-stretch to break maiden in 26th start.
            Race Summary COACH CRONIN swung 7-wide late on the turn and closed well to finish third despite lugging in through the stretch. He steps up in class for his second start after a 10-month layoff and enters the barn of trainer Mark Glatt, who is 9-for-37 off the claim in the last two years. Bet to win and place and play 7-5 and 7-9 exactas.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
              PURCHASE
              Special Wager - Race 5 Leg E of the Sunset Six
              Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 7:31P
              SA - R8 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MR. MACHUPICCHU is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MR. MACHUPICCHU: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). NO MORE D ING DONGS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TARGARYIS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). COACH CRONIN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
              5 MR. MACHUPICCHU 3/1 9/2
              6 NO MORE DING DONGS 7/2 6/1
              8 TARGARYIS 20/1 7/1
              7 COACH CRONIN 9/2 9/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              5 MR. MACHUPICCHU 5 3/1 Front-runner 90 89 72.8 80.4 72.9
              2 YA'LL COME 2 8/1 Stalker 83 75 77.8 75.3 65.8
              8 TARGARYIS 8 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 92 93 73.5 76.0 70.5
              7 COACH CRONIN 7 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 91 85 70.4 82.4 72.9
              3 ARIO 3 6/1 Trailer 84 85 69.4 80.8 74.3
              6 NO MORE DING DONGS 6 7/2 Trailer 99 92 68.0 88.0 82.5
              9 LAST CALL PAUL 9 8/1 Trailer 82 83 55.4 71.8 58.3
              4 CHASING RAIN 4 6/1 Alternator/Non-contender 83 79 75.0 66.6 52.6
              1 ONE SMOKIN DUDE 1 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 84 76 59.7 69.4 53.4
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Meadowlands
                PURCHASE
                Meadowlands - Race 5 Win, Place and Show Exacta, 50-Cent Trifecta and 10-Cent Superfecta Daily Double (Races 5-6)
                SO $30,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 95 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 8:52P
                (RAIL AT 17 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TALKLESSWORKMORE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. RIGEL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SPACE LAUNCH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LATE CALL: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. MAGICAL MARRIAGE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                3 TALKLESSWORKMORE 4/1 6/1
                6 RIGEL 3/1 7/1
                7 SPACE LAUNCH 6/1 7/1
                4 LATE CALL 5/1 8/1
                2 MAGICAL MARRIAGE 9/2 8/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                3 TALKLESSWORKMORE 3 4/1 Front-runner 94 94 110.7 90.6 87.6
                6 RIGEL 6 3/1 Front-runner 96 88 86.2 92.8 86.3
                9 RIGHTHERE RIGHTNOW 9 6/1 Stalker 93 87 83.0 85.2 73.7
                2 MAGICAL MARRIAGE 2 9/2 Stalker 95 85 79.0 88.6 82.1
                7 SPACE LAUNCH 7 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 95 91 80.8 89.6 81.1
                8 PANDO 8 8/1 Trailer 94 87 87.0 89.4 74.4
                4 LATE CALL 4 5/1 Trailer 93 90 75.2 87.0 80.5
                5 FRANK'S ART 5 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 81 80 93.7 80.2 66.7
                1 LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA 1 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 77 66 83.6 74.2 57.2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Belmont at the Big A - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $65,000 Class Rating: 87

                  Rating:

                  #5 SOUNDBITE (ML=2/1)


                  SOUNDBITE - Carmouche and Rice perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +20 ROI for a jockey and trainer. This filly ran a real solid race back on July 31st but bounced when coming back off that effort. Today should be different; I expect a return to form.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #4 READY FOR TROUBLE (ML=9/5), #1 SWEETEST PRINCESS (ML=7/2), #2 LUNA MOTH (ML=7/2),

                  READY FOR TROUBLE - 9/5 odds isn't enough for this horse when checking the most recent showings. SWEETEST PRINCESS - This mare is always hitting the board, but just doesn't win. Difficult to bet on her on the front end. LUNA MOTH - Tough to take this mount at the odds after the finish position (sixth) in the last affair. This mare recorded a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #5 SOUNDBITE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Pass
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $58000 Class Rating: 96

                    GP - R9 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 3, 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 2 SUPER FREAKY GIRL 7/2
                    # 5 ETRURIAN 9/5
                    # 1 HOT CARGO 6/1
                    I think SUPER FREAKY GIRL is a very good choice. Could beat this group of horses given the 95 speed rating posted in her last outing. This filly has posted some nice finishing positions in her last couple of tries. ETRURIAN - Make a note that this horse runs on Lasix today. Looks respectable versus this field and ought to be one of the front-runners. HOT CARGO - Has put up reliable Speed Figures in turf sprint races in the past. This equine has a terrific win percentage in turf sprints.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Coast To Coast

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 84

                      GP - R7 - RACE 7 FROM GULFSTREAM PARK. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 3 DIME PAPI 5/2
                      # 9 TRACKSTER 7/2
                      # 4 BOBBY BOB 6/1
                      DIME PAPI has a competitive shot to take this race. Has competitive speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Had one of the strongest Equibase speed figs of this group in his last contest. Has earned solid speed figures in turf route races in the past. TRACKSTER - This gelding should be carefully examined just off the earnings per start in turf route events alone. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. BOBBY BOB - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Camacho should have this gelding in excellent position to win the contest. The price should be just right on this one.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:10pm - SO - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $37,000 Class Rating: 100

                        Rating:

                        #3 UNCLE JAKE (ML=8/1)
                        #11 REGAL KINGDOM (ML=8/1)
                        #1 MASSIF (ML=3/1)
                        #8 INTO IT (ML=7/2)


                        UNCLE JAKE - This entrant could be tough today, especially since Araujo rode last out and now should be familiar with this one. This horse picks up a lot of cash per race. Number one in this race. REGAL KINGDOM - This thoroughbred has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the distance and surface. This horse is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf number in last race at Delaware Park was tops in this bunch. Look for this one to go all the way to the finish line at some pretty good odds right here in this race. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the end. MASSIF - This trainer brings horses to the grass in shape and ready to win, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. This jock and trainer have a fantastic winning percent when they team up. Entered a $50,000 Optional Claiming race at Colonial Downs last race out and raced on the soft turf finishing sixth. I'd expect a better race today. INTO IT - I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last work was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the recent past performance lines, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle on different ovals. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (84-86-92) make this one a powerful contender.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LOVE ME NOT (ML=5/2),

                        LOVE ME NOT - Really had to give me a whole lot more in the last race. Never made much of an impact.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - UNCLE JAKE - Don't overlook this thoroughbred in your wagering. He owns the best average class figure against these thoroughbreds in this event.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 UNCLE JAKE is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3,11]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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