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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372175

    #1

    Friday 10/10/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372175

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: Friday's Carryover Sunset 6 Analysis


    October 8, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

    Over the last few days, I have seen clever names like Carryover-Copia and Bettors Bonanza Friday for the big day coming up at Santa Anita Park and 1/ST Racing, but what really matters is the pools up for grabs for horseplayers after tough sledding on Sunday in Southern California. For starters, the $2 Pick 6 at Santa Anita has over $45k in carryover money and the Super Hi-5 sits at nearly $36k. Added to the mix is a $48k+ carryover in the Coast-to-Coast Pick 5, which kicks off at 3:30 PM eastern at Gulfstream Park. Finally, the one I am most looking forward to, the Sunset Six, which has over $54k in free money to chase on Friday afternoon. I am hopeful to hit it for the first time.


    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


    Gulfstream Race 7:
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 8 Magic Red; 1 He’s a Beast
    Backups: 5 Thought Control

    Forecast: The sequence kicks off at 4:04 PM eastern with this 7-furlong dash for protected maidens. I am going to take a swing against 7-5-ML favorite #7 Skellig Michael. The Battalion Runner gelding has lost in back-to-back starts at odds-on making him very difficult to trust. I will try to beat him with a trio, including top choice #8 Magic Red. The first-time starter for Saffie Joseph Jr. lured jockey Edgard Zayas from #5 Thought Control and has been working steadily since mid-July in preparation for his debut. He is far from certain to fire a big shot, but is one worth including on all tickets at anything close to his 8-1-morning line offering.


    Gulfstream Race 8:
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 9 Zo Zucchera
    Backups: None

    Forecast: I have no desire in trying to beat the 7-5-ML choice though in this starter allowance over the grass. #9 Zo Zucchera makes her first start off the claim for trainer Jose D’Angelo. D’Angelo finds a great spot for this gal that comes in having won 2 in a row over this turf course. Not only is he able to protect his new trainee, but she meets a field of horses that for the most part are faster over the all-weather. The fact D’Angelo often moves his new runners up first off the claim only adds to the case. Single city.



    Gulfstream Race 9:
    Grade: C+
    Main Ticket: 1 Neblina; 4 Maerdama; 8 Sweet Sash
    Backups: None

    Forecast: 2-1-ML favorite #4 Maerdama obviously makes sense on the big drop in class, but at the same point the 5YO mare is tough to trust since she has lost already at 2-5, 8-5, 1-2 through her first 5 starts. The voided claim in New Jersey in May gives Saffie Joseph a bit of a free pass to drop into this $8kN2L spot and likely he does not mind losing the Girvin mare, but there are others capable as well, including 10-1 shot #1 Neblina. The daughter of Cairo Prince drops to the lowest level of her career after chasing the pace last out. Second start in the Victor Barboza Jr. barn could lead to a career best effort for a filly that has races to go back to.


    Santa Anita Race 7:
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 7 Paradise Lake; 5 Hannah Buckle
    Backups: None

    Forecast: #7 Paradise Lake looks like the one to beat in this second-level allowance event at 1 1/8-mile over the Santa Anita sod. The daughter of Uncle Mo has proven form over the distance and has shown an affinity for the course already. She appears to be ready to fire a big shot off the freshening. If she takes a step backwards though, #5 Hannah Buckle might be ready for a big effort for trainer Leonard Powell. The Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners filly is bred to appreciate stretching out to 9-furlongs for the first time. Hopefully, jockey Armando Ayuso avoids leaving her with too much to do late.



    Santa Anita Race 8:
    Grade: C+
    Main Ticket: 2 Auditory
    Backups: None

    Forecast: This open $10k claimer goes through #2 Auditory. The Audible filly ships into Arcadia after a win against starter foes at Los Alamitos. The fact she has proven form over this surface gives me confidence she should handle this modest field. If I am not all in on her, I would have to use most of the field.



    Santa Anita Race 9:
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 1 Stolen Treasure; 3 Vodka Vodka
    Backups: 9 Oobubbakakayo; 4 Freeport Joe

    Forecast: The sequence concludes with a state-bred first-level allowance at one-mile over the grass where I expect 2-1-ML favorite #8 Winning Patriot to get over bet and overused. He was 13-1 last out, had a really good trip, and was second best. He can win, but I am singling a pair of favorites already and I do not expect his trip to be as comfortable on Friday. Therefore, trying to beat him makes sense. #1 Stolen Treasure is my top choice. The son of Nyquist makes his second start off the long layoff for trainer Edward Freeman after a prep going one-turn over the Los Alamitos dirt. The inside draw should lead to a favorable prominent voyage for the Reddam Racing homebred. Hopefully, we get here and four shots to beat the chalk!

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372175

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


      October 10, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      Yonkers Raceway has a 12-race card to begin the weekend. The $2.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 9 (9:25 PM EDT)

      1-Acushla Machree N (5-1)-Left from post 6 in a needed start and that was its US debut. Now comes back in sequence, draws the rail, and makes its 2nd start on Lasix. Will take a swing for a square price and raced the back half last week in .55 flat.
      5-My Red Sea (2-1)-Left for the lead in 2 of the last 3 and won both of those races. Didn't leave in a race in the middle of those two, caught a wide trip and finished 4th. Brent Holland sticks, moves up in class and will look for an aggressive steer to double up.

      Race 10 (9:45 PM EDT)

      3-Nymeria (9/5)-Banked over $132k last year, now makes its 6th start in 2025 and is looking for its 1st picture. This mare raced only 15 times last year and this is the 5th start off the bench. Has issues and has been trying but needs to do more. Meets a field that can be beaten and can cash the top check with a decent trip.

      Race 11 (10:05 PM EDT)

      1-Maria Allegonda N (10-1)-Qualified nicely on Lasix winning in 156.2 with a 57.2 back half. Willing to use with this post draw in its US debut and George Brennan could work a trip out win.
      3-Big City Daisy (4-1)-Won 2 back against easier and suffered an interference break last time. Moves up but Jason Bartlett will be at the controls and could be in the mix at a square price.
      5-Easy To Please (5/2)-Recent form has been dull but now makes a double drop in class and that could be the winning difference. Jordan Stratton starts from a good post and should be driven aggressively when the wings fold.

      Race 12 (10:25 PM EDT)

      5-Windson Pioneer (9/2)-Tried to go gate to wire in last and faded down the lane. That was a different tactic but starts from the same post, and will look for a different plan at a solid price. Jim Marohn could leave and race near the top, then look to come off cover and roll by down the lane.
      6-Show The Will (10-1)-Will finish up with what could be a large price that takes a meaningful drop in class. Raced better in last and will look for Tyler Buter to be in striking range turning for the wire against a soft bunch.

      $2 Late Pick 4

      1,5/3/1,3,5/5,6
      Total Bet=$24

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372175

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Santa Anita Park - Race #5
        #5 Tahini Bit of a reach here given the long streak of flat finishes for this one, but I wonder if the blinkers coming off will help her settle a bit better and potentially find a bit more late. Her last wasn't *all* bad, and there are actually some pretty nice names in her company lines. I'll give her a spying look today.
        #3 Egyptian Mau Finisher has run on well in both American starts, and she'll go second off the layoff today with a little bit of room to come forward. Enough to like.
        #6 Bit's Tiger Magic Nothing wrong with the reliable form here, and she should get the jump on the top two turning for home. The obvious one to beat, but the price is likely to reflect that.
        Race Summary Tahini might be just a touch better than she looks at first glance, and I'm hoping she'll find a good rhythm to track the speedier types while shedding blinkers today. Maybe.
        Santa Anita Park - Race #6
        #5 Kokosan Wanted to see a bit better from him last time out, but he brings some upside today with that comeback race under his belt, and it feels like there is a lot of chasing pace signed on. Could be set for a finisher.
        #6 Mutaz He's one of three for Baffert -- and any of them could land it. Take your pick and trust your gut after getting a look at debuting #2 Jude on the track.
        #3 Simple Song Wonder if he'll be a bit outrun early in a spot where that might be a good thing to give him a chance to plug past a couple of the tired chasers in the lane.
        Race Summary Kokosan has not been particularly reliable or easy to figure out through four starts, but I think he's capable of something better this time around. I'm actually kind of interested in the fact that he comes back again in a dirt sprint...make me think he's better-meant that his last suggests.
        Santa Anita Park - Race #7
        #5 Hannah Buckle Maybe I've overrated her a touch, but I really expected her to be a bit more competitive last time out. Going to consider that one a deeper spot than she's finding today and hope she's back to score here.
        #7 Paradise Lake She and the next one both make a lot of sense, and I like that this one has some versatility to adapt to however this race is unfolding early.
        #4 Certitude Positional pace can sit close while stretching out again, and her reliable form is pretty appealing in a competitive race. Worried the price gets short.
        Race Summary Hannah Buckle looked good in the two-back score before a fairly flat try last time out, but I do feel like that race may have been better than the group she's lined up against today. Sneaky slight drop?
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372175

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Laurel Park - Race #3
          #9 SOUPER ROLL (5-1) Can play lead role off bullet work and return quick dividend for new barn.
          #1 COMMEMORATIVE (9-2) Late foot in pair of 7-1/2F grass tests in MSW company, draws rail.
          #10 ROBERTA (30-1) Dam had 10 wins and $320k bankroll but was 0-for-5 on the lawn.
          Race Summary SOUPER ROLL failed at odds-on in his last start on the class drop. But he enters a barn in the midst of a 5-for-15 run off the claim and holds a tactical edge adding blinkers in a field void of speed. Make a win and place wager on today’s Best Bet. Also play a 9/1, 10/ALL trifecta.
          Laurel Park - Race #4
          #3 CAPTURED DARLING (9-2) In top form, last win was for $7,500, gets weight break.
          #7 DUBSTEP (20-1) Keeping good company, cuts back in distance, will be running late.
          #9 SHE’S A GEM (3-1) Pulled away in 4F sprint at bullring despite lugging in.
          Race Summary CAPTURED DARLING finished on both sides of a photo finish at Monmouth last month at a comparable level. She met a repeat winner last out and sheds weight for her first start at Laurel Park. Bet to win and place and play 3-7, 3-9 and 7-3 exactas.
          Laurel Park - Race #8
          #6 WORRIES UNFOUNDED (4-1) Layoff is the only worry, good chance to graduate if ready.
          #2 TICKLERS (6-1) Shook hard duel in early stretch in debut before winning fave powered by.
          #8 HOPE DIAMOND (3-1) Duplicate of 5-1/2F turf sprint two starts ago could be enough.
          Race Summary WORRIES UNFOUNDED ran well enough to break her maiden when last seen in February. She appeared full of run behind a wall of horses into the turn, then was shut off and had to alter course while making a rail run in the stretch. She also has a solid 5-1/2F turf race to summon. Bet to win and place and play a 2,6/2, 6, 8/ALL trifecta.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372175

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park
            PURCHASE
            Santa Anita Park - Race 6 Win ($2) / Place ($2) / Show ($2) / Exacta ($1) / Trifecta ($1) Superfecta ($.10) / RollingDouble ($2) / Rolling Pick 3 ($1) Late Pick 4 ($.50)
            Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 CR: 93 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 3:33P
            FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Dominant Stalker. INTO MIDNIGHT is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INTO MIDNIGHT: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse had a bullet wo rkout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KOKOSAN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
            1 INTO MIDNIGHT 2/1 5/2
            5 KOKOSAN 9/2 7/2

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            6 MUTAZ 6 6/1 Front-runner 100 95 0.0 0.0 0.0
            1 INTO MIDNIGHT 1 2/1 Stalker 87 98 84.4 92.9 86.9
            5 KOKOSAN 5 9/2 Stalker 98 103 77.8 82.6 78.1
            4 DOC BOVIE 4 15/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 71.1 83.4 76.9
            Unknown Running Style: JUDE (5/2) [Jockey: Hernandez Juan J - Trainer: Baffert Bob], SIMPLE SONG (8/1) [Jockey: Kimura Kazushi - Trainer: Glatt Mark], IMPLACABLE (5/1) [Jockey: Fresu Antonio - Trainer: O'Neill Doug F].
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372175

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
              PURCHASE
              Camarero - Race 1 Exacta / Daily Double 1-2
              Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 44 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 2:45P
              FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 4# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Dominant Class. EMANUEL MY SON is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EMANUEL MY SON: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MARANZANO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              5 EMANUEL MY SON 3/2 5/2
              4 MARANZANO 2/1 7/2

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              3 CABO INTERINO 3 4/1 Front-runner 30 24 32.4 26.4 20.4
              4 MARANZANO 4 2/1 Trailer 46 45 23.0 41.2 37.7
              5 EMANUEL MY SON 5 3/2 Alternator/Trailer 60 46 52.6 45.8 42.3
              1 SEBAN 1 7/2 Alternator/Non-contender 21 19 22.6 17.8 9.8
              2 EL TROMPETISTA 2 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 4.7 4.7 0.0
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372175

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18300 Class Rating: 59

                FOR REGISTERED OHIO FOALS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 4 INSTIGATION 8/5
                # 3 RUBY LAYNE 10/1
                # 1 BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 5/2
                INSTIGATION is the strongest wager in this race. Radosevich has a very solid win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Have to wager on this filly with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint races. Always seems to be close up at the finish. RUBY LAYNE - Salazarbecerra has a winning percentage of 25 over the last month. Looks solid against this group and should be one of the front-runners. BEAUTIFUL CHARADE - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 24 percent - at this distance & surface. Is a definite contender - given the 54 Equibase Speed Fig from her most recent race.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372175

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Keeneland - Race #9 - Post: 5:16pm - Stakes - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $400,000 Class Rating: 112 Sycamore S. (Grade 2)

                  Rating:

                  #10 OHANA HONOR (ML=6/1)
                  #5 GRAND SONATA (ML=9/2)
                  #4 UTAH BEACH (ML=7/2)
                  #9 GOLDENEYE (ML=5/1)


                  OHANA HONOR - Believe in this pony. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a fabulous spot to crush them in the stretch. GRAND SONATA - Ran a lackluster race at Kentucky Downs last time out. Racing on a non-sloppy track puts this horse at the top of my list of contenders. Have to give this race horse a good look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. Finished ahead of today's favorite in the last race at Kentucky Downs. Can do the same again in today's race. He has the top earnings per race entered. Take a long look at this horse. UTAH BEACH - This horse ran outside the top 3 at Kentucky Downs last time around the track on the soft turf. He should improve in today's race without the off-track conditions. GOLDENEYE - A little change in scenery has got to do this thoroughbred well. Reading the PPs, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle at different tracks.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SAFE TRIP HOME (ML=6/1), #11 ANGLOPHILE (ML=8/1), #3 MERCANTE (ML=8/1),

                  SAFE TRIP HOME - This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last race which likely isn't good enough today. ANGLOPHILE - Hard to take this racer at this price after the result (seventh) in the last event. MERCANTE - Awfully hard to wager on this racer when he hasn't been showing any gumption of late.

                  GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - GRAND SONATA - Best average class rating amongst these horses. This mount figures to be tough today.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #10 OHANA HONOR on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 10 with [4,5,9]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: 10 with [4,5,9] with [4,5,9] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 10 with [4,5,9] with [4,5,9] with [4,5,9] Total Cost: $6
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372175

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 72

                    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. MARYLAND BRED CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 7 TURTLE LOVE 6/1
                    # 2 TICKLERS 6/1
                    # 8 HOPE DIAMOND 3/1
                    TURTLE LOVE is the best bet in this race. Displays solid speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses in this race. The average class rating alone makes this horse a key contender. Don't let this mare slip past you. Could win at boxcar odds. TICKLERS - She has earned very good figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this field. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the secret to a turnaround. HOPE DIAMOND - Formidable average Speed Figures in turf sprint races make this horse a solid contender. Has to be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372175

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 5:07pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,500 Class Rating: 74

                      Rating:

                      #5 SPATULA (ML=15/1)
                      #1 NEBLINA (ML=10/1)
                      #8 SWEET SASH (ML=5/1)
                      #7 BELLA MENDY (ML=9/2)


                      SPATULA - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this campaigner is up against an easier group than last time out at Gulfstream Park. Minguet gets a break on this horse carrying 5 lbs less than last out. Should help in this event. NEBLINA - This filly should give a strong showing of herself in today's race. SWEET SASH - This filly has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Crichton. Better be wary of this angle. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last 30 days. Coming off a fourth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may skip this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent morning odds today. BELLA MENDY - This filly is in superb physical condition right now. Ended up third last time out and comes back soon. I like the case that this filly's last rating, 74, is tops in this field.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MAERDAMA (ML=2/1), #2 TINKATWO (ML=5/2), #3 MISCREANT (ML=8/1),

                      MAERDAMA - This probable favorite probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Skip her today. No picnic to bet on this mount this time. Make her show you something in a short distance contest before you wager on her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. TINKATWO - 5/2 is just not enough of a value to take on most any mount that has run poorly in back to back races. Improbable that the rating she registered on Sep 5th will hold up in this affair. MISCREANT - If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed most every time. Hasn't been doing anything at all recently.
                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 SPATULA to win at post-time odds of 6/1 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5,8]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                      SUPER HI 5 WAGERS: Skip
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