Monday 10/13/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 08:58 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 13, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, Yonkers Raceway has a $10,000 guaranteed pool for the $1 Pick 5 that rolls in Race 5. The $2.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 8, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (9:05 PM EDT)

2-Manferno (6-1)-Steps up after beating the $60k claimers coming off cover. Could provide a nice payout in a race without a standout if Matt Kakely works another sharp steer.
4-Jomikiyoursofine (7/2)-Went the last 1/2-mile in 55.1 and just missed by a nose. There could be some big early speed in this affair, and a well-timed move can get this 5-year-old across the wire first.
6-Endofstory (5-1)-If the Dilloian 4-year-old is all systems go, Tyler Buter could try to out-leave Dunkin' to the outside and Red Wood Hanover on its inside. May have better gate speed then both, and will likely be a much better price than the other 2 and should like the company.

Race 9 (9:25 PM EDT)

4-Goliath Hanover (9/2)-Will look for a solid # with a Burke trainee that might be overlooked. Buter probably has enough gate speed to out leave those on the inside and could get on the point or land in the pocket. Did beat this kind back on 9-1 coming off cover so that is an option too and did have the same post as tonight.

Race 10 (9:45 PM EDT)

2-Himself N (4-1)-Drops to a spot to shine and draws well to be forwardly placed. Comes off flat efforts versus the Invites and hopefully will offer a square price. Should be a player if Austin Siegleman provides a smooth steer.
4-Aye Aye Captain N (5/2)-Came 2nd to Verdun who raced big last week. The Bucci trainee is usually in the hunt with a good draw and Brent Holland knows how to provide a winning trip.

Race 11 (10:05 PM EDT)

1-Hickfromfrenchlick (6-1)-This isn't an easy race to read. Mark MacDonald knows the old-timer well and it has a big shot versus this bunch leaving from the rail. Beat better than this back in July and hasn't been in this cheap for a long time. Should be no worse than in the pocket off the car and could get on the point. Will look to fade the 9/5 morning line chalk Nandelo N until it proves it can seal the deal.

$3.00 Late Pick 4

2,4,6/4/2,4/1
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 08:58 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita Park - Race #6

#4 Bear's Board	Have thought this filly was a pretty good fit in some recent races, and I like that she might find herself in a spot right in behind a couple of quicker players stacked up outside of her. Price might be a touch more appealing today, too.
#6 Alluring Valentine	She's another with a claim on this one -- but I think you can make a fun case for a lot of them in here, so I might not be too excited to take a much shorter price this time around after she shared at 18/1 in a couple of recent starts.
#9 Jewlz	Dropper has never seen this soft a spot, and she has some speed to prompt the other forward players from the outside. Wouldn't be a surprise.
Race Summary	I'm hoping Bear's Board gets just a little shuffled on the board here while trying the local footing for the first time. She caught a couple easy winners at this kind of level before and might find the right trip today.

Santa Anita Park - Race #7

#7 Venganza	Taking a little swing with this one in a race where I don't totally trust the ones who are likely to get bet. She has some pretty solid local lines from earlier this year, and I wonder if she can wake up while getting back on this turf course.
#6 Watchtower	I've thought pretty highly of her compared to her actual running lines, but I also think she's riding a wave of decent enough excuses. Better stuff fits, and there are some really nice names on her page.
#11 Vibez	Positional pace could get stuck wide from out here given her style, but the form is obviously there to be a player turning for home. No real argument from me, I'm just not that excited about her today.
Race Summary	Venganza ran a couple races here earlier this year, including a couple decent tries in Grade III company, and I'm wondering if she might come back to life while getting her feet on this course again. Hoping we can draw a line through the long try last out and consider that her record at Del Mar isn't anything to write home about.

Santa Anita Park - Race #9

#11 Halstyn Rose	She's not easy to trust with a lot of chances on her page, but she photo'd with an eventual Grade I winner earlier this year and should get the trip today. Right spot on the right day?
#1 My Perfect Wave	Think you can go a handful of different ways in here, and this filly has some appeal while getting Lasix and going long for the first time with a pedigree to match. One of the ones.
#9 Grey Matter	Nothing much from her on the Churchill turf when sprinting first out in May, but she has been working OK locally and might be meant for better today.
Race Summary	Fun spot -- you could probably talk me into #3 Lady Chic or #7 Heads in Beds on top, maybe even #6 Helga Brandt. You get the point. Lots of options, so trust your gut.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 08:59 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Parx - Race #3

#2 LOVE LIKE CRAZY (4-1)	Tries to get through nw/2, 3 and 4 conditions in her last four starts.
#3 CHARM OF THE SONG (3-1)	Rallied to win 3 of last 7 sprints at Parx to reach brink of $50k season.
#4 MO’S VINO MESA (5-1)	Good recovery from another awkward start, rallied 3-wide, second to fave.
Race Summary	LOVE LIKE CRAZY, 1-for-21 with several runner-up finishes through the first half of 2025, found her winning stride with back-to-back wins at Parx for higher claiming tags. She was overmatched last out but should go well in this spot. Bet to win and place and play 2-3 and 2-4 exactas.

Parx - Race #6

#2 DEVIL’S CAY (3-1)	Bid past clear leader in lane, out-kicked by rail-running fave from same barn.
#5 WHITEWALKER (8-1)	Rallied to win both 6-1/2F starts, rest of field is combined 5-32 at distance.
#8 RUNYONESQUE (4-1)	Solid numbers are offset by 1-for-29 record on a fast track.
Race Summary	DEVIL’S CAY tracked the 3-1 pace setter alongside his 3-to-5 stablemate, made first run while 3- and 4-wide in the stretch but settled for second best. He’s 1-for-24 the last two years but he can get back in the win column with a duplicate performance. Bet to win and place and play 2-5 and 2-8 exactas.

Parx - Race #2

#2 CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF (9-2)	Led in-hand, responded when challenged, in good form cycle.
#1 SHUDABEENACOWGIRL (4-1)	Dueled throughout, just missed, returns to her level of claim.
#3 HALA BLUE (7-2)	Found proper level, projects ideal trip, was under a drive on the turn two back.
Race Summary	CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF, under a snug hold until her closest pursuer turned up the pressure turning form home, dug in gamely and edged away late to her maiden-breaking win. She is reunited with Sanchez and appears rounding to another good race. Bet to win and place and play 2-2 and 2-3 daily doubles.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 08:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie
PURCHASE

Fort Erie - Race 6	WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Jackpot High 5 (Pentafecta)
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $25,050 • Post: 2:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE SEPTEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (LIMITED TO 10 STARTERS)(*PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF SIX AND ONE HALF FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. NANTUCKETS DAY is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NANTUCKETS DAY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	NANTUCKETS DAY	2/1	7/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BRILLIANT DISGUISE	1	3/1	Front-runner	71	63	53.1	44.6	40.1
4	MORE GALILADY	4	4/1	Stalker	66	66	44.6	65.4	59.4
6	SILENT PATSY	6	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	70	62	37.7	60.4	53.4
3	NANTUCKETS DAY	3	2/1	Trailer	85	81	83.4	72.0	68.5
5	HEBRIDEAN MISS	5	5/1	Trailer	47	49	27.0	48.4	37.4
2	DANCING IN RIO	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	49	73.0	50.2	40.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 08:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

Santa Anita Park - Race 5	Win ($2) / Place ($2) / Show ($2) / Exacta ($1) / Trifecta ($1) Superfecta ($.10) / RollingDouble ($2) / Rolling Pick 3 ($1) Late Pick 5 ($.50) All Turf Pick 3 Races 5-7-9 ($3 - 15% Takeout)
SO $50,000 • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 3:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $50,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (HORSES ENTERED FOR THE ALLOWANCE ARE PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * UNBINDING (GB): Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MAGALE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SKATINGTHROUGHLIFE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. CLOUDY WOMEN: Horse ranks in the top thr ee in TrackMaster Power Rating. ORIGAMI (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	UNBINDING (GB)	5/1	9/2
1	MAGALE	5/1	6/1
4	SKATINGTHROUGHLIFE	7/2	7/1
2	CLOUDY WOMEN	6/1	9/1
3	ORIGAMI (IRE)	9/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	CYPRUS MOON	7	15/1	Front-runner	91	78	99.8	78.2	64.7
9	FROM SCRATCH	9	10/1	Front-runner	84	81	91.6	67.2	50.2
8	DOUBLE BAY (IRE)	8	8/1	Front-runner	86	86	81.7	78.8	69.8
6	PRETTY PRANCEALOT	6	12/1	Front-runner	81	71	81.5	67.3	50.8
5	UNBINDING (GB)	5	5/1	Stalker	93	98	80.2	79.8	76.3
10	GOATSKI	10	20/1	Stalker	84	78	51.2	83.4	71.9
3	ORIGAMI (IRE)	3	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	88	82	86.0	77.4	65.9
2	CLOUDY WOMEN	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	82	84.4	78.8	65.8
1	MAGALE	1	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	91	80.8	85.7	76.7
4	SKATINGTHROUGHLIFE	4	7/2	Trailer	86	88	73.0	79.8	69.8
11	IRISH ROSE	11	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	74	40.0	74.8	60.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 4:24pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#1 MACLEAN'S LULLABY (ML=5/2)
#3 MALIBU MUSE (ML=9/5)

MACLEAN'S LULLABY - Stalking speed. My cronies and I like this animal. Faced tougher in the last race at Kentucky Downs. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders. This horse picks up a lot of cash per start. Uppermost in this affair. MALIBU MUSE - Was in a Maiden Special race at Churchill Downs last out. That clash had a class number of 85 and she is moving down in this event. A certain serious competitor. Look for this filly to run much better right here. Last race at Churchill Downs finishing sixth on a track listed as good is no indication of her true ability.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FORBIDDEN FRIEND (ML=7/2), #5 JOYOUS SONG (ML=5/1), #2 GOT A COMPLEX (ML=6/1),

FORBIDDEN FRIEND - This filly finished outside the top 3 on July 19th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance events of late. Not probable to see her doing it this time out either. JOYOUS SONG - Finished third in her most recent effort with a disappointing rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch. GOT A COMPLEX - M/L odds of 6/1 make this horse a pass by my approach.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - MACLEAN'S LULLABY - This filly is moving from the turf to the dirt. Looking for her first win, this is a positive move.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 MACLEAN'S LULLABY to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $80000 Class Rating: 107

SWINGTIME S. SA - R7 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A SWEEPSTAKES OF $60,000 AT ONE MILE OR OVER OTHER THAN STATE BRED IN 2025. FREE NOMINATIONS CLOSE SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2025, CLOSED WITH 34. $1,600 SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS CLOSE ATTIME OF ENTRY. ALL HORSES TO PAY $600 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $600 TO START WITH $80,000 ADDED. THE ADDED MONIES AND

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 VENGANZA 30/1
# 2 VIOLETA M (ARG) 12/1
# 1 BALTIC FIRE 15/1

I've got to go with VENGANZA and is a very good value-based wager given the 30/1 line. This trainer has the strongest return on investment in this group with entries racing at this distance and surface. Ought to be considered a key contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. I like the jockey on this mare - formidable chance to win the contest. VIOLETA M (ARG) - Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Very strong try today now going off Lasix. BALTIC FIRE - Win percentage one of the top in this field. Will probably go to the front end and might never look back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 60

Rating:

#1 LOOP OF HENLE (ML=6/1)
#7 CHAPTER AND VERSE (ML=2/1)
#3 GEEGEE'S STORY (ML=5/2)

LOOP OF HENLE - The Sep 16th clash at Presque Isle Downs was at a class level of (72). Dropping down the class ladder considerably, so she should be in a good spot. CHAPTER AND VERSE - Jockey and handler do well when they join forces. Barbaran and Rone have been dependable together. This filly was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think she's ready for today's event. This thoroughbred earns a lot of cash per race. I believe she will boost that total in this race. GEEGEE'S STORY - Widely used angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. A live horse today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ENDLESS FASHION (ML=7/2), #2 TO MUCH STYLE (ML=5/1),

ENDLESS FASHION - If this race shapes up right, all the early pace horses will force a pretty mean duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners. A pony that breaks her maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next out. When examining today's class rating, she will have to record a much better speed figure than last time around the track to vie in this dirt sprint. TO MUCH STYLE - There's speed, early speed, and more early speed in this race. Doesn't look promising for this horse. Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 LOOP OF HENLE on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-13-2025, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SO - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 DEVIL'S CAY 3/1
# 3 REBEL INVASION 6/1
# 8 RUNYONESQUE 4/1

DEVIL'S CAY has a quite good shot to take this race. Has to be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Trainer boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last race. REBEL INVASION - He looks quite good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Very good selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. RUNYONESQUE - With a strong 82 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been formidable - 80 avg - of late.