Thursday 10/16/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:12 AM

Betting The Everest (G1): Ka Ying Rising’s Race to Lose?

October 15, 2025 | By Johnny Burke

Twelve contenders and four alternates have drawn a spot in The Everest (G1) at Royal Randwick for Australia’s richest race on Friday night US-time. The headlines (this one included) have rightfully focused on the world’s top-rated sprinter, KA YING RISING, who ships in from Hong Kong to test his might. Michael Hawkes, co-trainer of local leading sprinter BRIASA, has sent his warning that this is not a “one-horse race” despite the global focus on KA YING RISING. Let’s look at the field and try to determine whether this is indeed a one-horse race, or if you’re better off taking a shot against in the AU $20 million bout.

#1 KA YING RISING | J: Zac Purton | T: David Hayes
Record: 16-14-2-0

There isn’t much to say about the world’s top-rated sprinter that hasn’t been said before, but in making his first start outside of Hong Kong, this gelding is taking quite a big bite. To give some context to KA YING RISING’s resume, half of his victories are in group stakes company and a fourth of them came in Group 1 competition. He has two second-place finishes, one by a nose as a result of a bad jump out of the gate and the other by a quarter-length after an undesirable trip on the lead. Both of his losses came in January of 2024, and the champion has been undefeated ever since.

His works leading up to The Everest have been the subject of discussion after finishing third in his trial run. However, he worked easily and was never really asked for much, and David Hayes has insisted his training has him peaking at the perfect time. His tune-up race in Hong Kong was as effortless as his works on the grounds in Australia and he looks primed for another championship run. The competition will be stiff, but the homecoming for Zac Purton appears to be in the hands of the racing Gods as all signs point to KA YING RISING being healthy, in form, and capable of his best.

#2 BRIASA | J: Tyler Schiller | T: Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes
Record: 12-8-1-0

BRIASA comes into the race at the peak of his career output having won two of his last five runs, including Group 1 and Group 2 stakes victories. He tried stretching out to seven furlongs in April but didn’t have the final push at the 50-meter mark to hang onto his lead. On September 20, BRIASA came up short in a Group 2 at Randwick going five and one-half furlongs before coming back for a Group 2 win on October 4 at six. BRIASA appears to be the most highly rated local runner, but a splash of inconsistency against the best fields could be the deciding factor as he prepares for the toughest race of his career. He should try to run a similar race as KA YING RISING, but BRIASA has shown weakness down the stretch where others in this field have that extra gear to utilize the entire length of the race. This will be his most daunting task, and he’ll need to run the race of his life to make it to the wire first.

#3 OVERPASS | J: Joshua Parr | T: Bjorn Baker
Record: 32-10-6-0

The likely early speed of the field, OVERPASS has been in declining form over the course of the last calendar year. In November of 2024, this seven-year-old won the Group 1 Winterbottom at a fairly slow 1:09 over six furlongs. After taking time off until April of this year, OVERPASS has been winless in three official attempts finishing 2nd, 5th, and 9th. These races were against largely Group 1 competition, but the field doesn’t get any easier with BRIASA and KA YING RISING stalking him every step of the way. This gelding would need an easy lead and a crawling pace to take advantage of to win Australia’s richest race. Quite frankly, there isn’t much about this field that spells out an easy trip for the seven-year-old. If he digs back to his career best, he may have a puncher’s chance.

#4 JIMMYSSTAR | J: Ethan Brown | T: Ciaron Maher
Record: 20-9-4-2

If OVERPASS looks like opening speed, JIMMYSSTAR is the horse that will settle far off the pace and his bettors won’t be nervous as they wait for him to shift into gear late and roar down the stretch. He came up just short of BRIASA in the Group 2 Premiere at Randwick on October 4. His victory in the Group 1 All Aged came at seven furlongs on a soft track, but he looked much the best for the distance. The six-year-old revels in longer sprints, but if everybody is going all-out early he may have an opening to exploit late. Like the other highly-rated locals, JIMMYSSTAR is going to need to dig in to find the run of his life to take down KA YING RISING, but crazier things have happened in racing. His running style should benefit him in trying to take down BRIASA and KA YING RISING if they have to battle with OVERPASS for five furlongs, but his resume still lacks the consistency and quality of his main competitors.

#5 WAR MACHINE | J: Tim Clark | T: Ben, Will & JD Hayes
Record: 14-7-2-2

WAR MACHINE is taking a big step forward but has been on a tear lately winning four of his last five. Three of those victories came at seven furlongs, or close to it, and the most recent at the six-furlong distance he will run in The Everest (G1). For context, WAR MACHINE won at Flemington on a Good turf course at six furlongs with a time of 1:08.53. BRIASA finished in 1:07.98 in his Group 2 victory at Randwick in October. If you assume a sixth of a second is equal to a length, that puts BRIASA at about three lengths ahead of WAR MACHINE. This runner will be settling off the pace along with JIMMYSSTAR, but the on-paper times he runs make me hesitant to think he’ll be able to clear this field at six furlongs. WAR MACHINE seems to really excel in the final furlong of his seven-furlong victories, but he just won’t have that much track to run this weekend.

#6 MAZU | J: Jason Collett | T: Joseph Pride
Record: 40-9-4-6

MAZU claimed his last victory in April of this year in the Group 3 Hall Mark, but has been somewhat underwhelming in his campaign since. Having run twice on slower conditions, he deserves some grace for his recent resume, but this runner is 9-5-1-1 on a Heavy turf course so he certainly likes the soft grass. The seven-year-old gelding just seems to be ready for some class relief after this to try to get back into winning form. It’s hard to say no to the opportunity this kind of purse brings, but on paper the bite seems to be too big for MAZU to chew. Expect him to try for an early lead alongside OVERPASS, but I think the distance and quality of his competition will chew him up before he can sniff the wire.

#7 JEDIBEEL | J: Kerrin McEvoy | T: Brad Widdup
Record: 24-8-7-1

7-1-2-1 at six furlongs, 8-2-2-0 at Randwick, and in declining form this year, JEDIBEEL doesn’t offer much to bettors on paper. In his last run against MAZU, JIMMYSSTAR and BRIASA, he was nowhere near threatening to find the wire first. The field here only gets tougher even with familiar foes. This distance just doesn’t suit him, and I think this six-year-old will be ready to get back to on-par competition as his campaign continues.

#8 ANGEL CAPITAL | J: Ben Melham | T: Chris Waller
Record: 9-5-0-0

As the record indicates, ANGEL CAPITAL is sort of the “all or nothing” horse. He’s either winning, or he’s completely off the board. With a pair of wins in listed stakes at six furlongs, he boasts a solid 3-2-0-0 at this distance, but this is no listed stakes. His times in those six-furlong runs are vastly slower than the regular times put up by his competition, and we have no evidence to say he can magically pick up a couple of seconds between races. If this horse wins, it’ll just have to be one that beats me.

#9 JOLIESTAR | J: James McDonald | Chris Waller
Record: 16-7-4-2

JOLIESTAR comes into this race with the rare line item on his resume of having not only beaten BRIASA but having won in impressive fashion. Outside of a ninth-place finish on April 5 in the Group 1 T J Smith, JOLIESTAR has been a menace to any field she has had the pleasure of running against. She ran second to JIMMYSSTAR in the Group 1 All Aged before coming back to roar past BRIASA in the Group 2 The Shorts. This five-year-old mare also has the benefit of a potential hot pace between the assumed favorites, and the breaks are set up to go her way if all things play out perfectly. This is not a mare you can count out easily.

#10 LADY SHENANDOAH | J: Damian Lane | T: Chris Waller
Record: 9-5-2-1

LADY SHENANDOAH will be glad to be back at Randwick where she boasts a 4-3-1-0 record, but none of those four runs have been The Everest (G1). Her times at six furlongs show a very beatable competition in nearly every try, and I do think losing James McDonald to JOLIESTAR does further hurt her chances at making a splash on the tote board. This mare wins races, there’s no doubt about that, but I do expect this race to shape up just a bit too tough for her. She has only run a third of her races at six furlongs, and the connections certainly prefer to set her up for longer distances than what she’ll run at Randwick this weekend.

#11 MAGIC TIME | J: Michael Dee | T: Grahame Begg
Record: 22-8-2-4

On paper, there isn’t much to say about MAGIC TIME other than she seems to be slowing down in her six-year-old campaign and this field is just too much for her. She wins half the races she runs at six furlongs, but in her last five races she has won only once in a Group 3 stakes race running six furlongs in 1:10.01. In other words, she got a win but her Group 3 foes were nowhere near what she’ll see at Randwick. Unfortunately, she feels like an easy toss for handicappers.

#12 TEMPTED | J: Craig Williams | T: Ciaron Maher
Record: 8-4-1-2

The lone Godolphin runner in this field, TEMPTED also bears the burden of being a three-year-old against some of the toughest older horses in the hemisphere. This daughter of Street Boss certainly has the connections and pedigree to catch the eye of handicappers, but I think she’s taking a huge step forward in a spot that may end up being a blemish on an otherwise successful resume. She’ll need to improve drastically here to be considered a contender.

Race Forecast

Top Choice: #1 KA YING RISING
Upset Alert: #4 JIMMYSSTAR & #9 JOLIESTAR

OVERPASS and MAZU should both try for an early lead, and I expect the two to do battle upfront with KA YING RISING and BRIASA just off the pace. Settling back will be JIMMYSSTAR and JOLIESTAR waiting to see how the field shapes up and where the gaps may lie as they head towards home. I think the pace and pressure of such a big race will be too much for BRIASA who will start to tread water while KA YING RISING makes his late move and starts pushing past slowing contenders. From somewhere far off the pace, JIMMYSSTAR and JOLIESTAR will start looking for a lane and passing by tiring rivals. I expect KA YING RISING to be just a touch too much, but don’t be shocked if one of the late closers gets set up to slingshot home winning by a nose.

Predicted Top Four

#1 KA YING RISING
#9 JOLIESTAR
#4 JIMMYSSTAR
#2 BRIASA

How I’ll Play It

Win: 4 or 9 (depending on who has the higher odds at post time)
Exacta: 1 w/ 4,9
Trifecta: 1 w/ 4,9 w/ 4,9
Superfecta: 1 w/ 4,9 w/ 4,9 w/ 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:12 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#2 Krissys Star	She rolled a small Belterra group by nearly a dozen at 6/5 in the debut, and while I'm a touch wary of that line for multiple reasons, I like the way she did it and think she's a decent fit with the boys here. Turfway drills suggest she can handle synthetic footing just fine, and she seems manageable enough to rate herself a bit here if needed.
#1 Wine Party	I like the way she moved forward when getting over the local footing, and she might find a decent trip while tucked in behind a couple forward players today. Threat right back.
#4 Mo Dodgy	Yeah, he's probably supposed to be tough here while looking for his third straight score outside of stakes company, but I'm just not totally convinced that he's much better than some of these like the price will likely suggest he is.
Race Summary	Krissys Star is a big question mark, but I'm hoping we get a mildly playable price to find out how she stacks up here after the debut romp at Belterra. Wouldn't be shocked if she were better on the synthetic surface.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#4 Major Mischief	There were a couple of tough names on his page from the 2024 campaign, and he finished up nicely to graduate off the bench last out at 90 cents on the dollar. Think he might be the best finisher while bringing some upside in the second start back.
#5 King Mendelssohn	He's got pretty honest form and some finishing ability, and he should get the jump on the top choice. Just worried that he's another relatively short price here.
#1 Hurricanes Ablowin	The only route try was pretty solid when second here a couple starts back, and he has some versatility to him that should allow his rider to find a proper spot behind the speed while saving ground.
Race Summary	Major Mischief looks interesting on the rise, as he closed well to score here last out after chasing some touch customers as a 2-year-old.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#9 Noble Gem	He's kind of all over the place, but his last sprint effort was pretty sharp and came for twice this price, so I'm wondering if there is some room for him to wake up today while turning back at this kind of level.
#7 Rar	He's one of a couple droppers who need some form reversal to play today, but that's not out of the question while getting some class relief. There has only been mild spying interest here so far, so I'm treading lightly, but class could prove king today.
#4 Fuoco	He has never been in this cheap and ran OK with a better special weight crew last time out, but he's probably not getting any better at this point in time and has been a little flat in the final yards of his recent runs. Could drill these, but I'm kind of unenthused.
Race Summary	Noble Gem ran pretty well four starts back when sprinting here, and I'm hoping he'll offer an OK midrange price with some upside while cutting back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:13 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Delaware Park - Race #1

#3 NAYMAR (8-5)	Handled stretch-out assignment well at this level, barn keeps them sharp.
#4 GONZALO (9-2)	Poor start in debut, rallied into fast pace, evenly late.
#2 LOVER BOY NESS (4-1)	Nine works in nine weeks; sire won 2018 BC Classic for fifth G-1 win.
Race Summary	NAYMAR made a ‘quick move’ leaving the far turn but couldn’t reach the 8-5 second favorite in his first route attempt. Trainer Gary Capuano is on a 9-for-33 run with second-off-the-layoff types of 45-plus days. Bet to win and place and play 3-2 and 3-4 exactas.

Delaware Park - Race #2

#8 DISSOLUTE (9-5)	Class drops off victory three months ago, strictly the one to beat on best.
#9 LADY ARWEN (5-1)	Sat good trip, couldn’t reach troubled fave as top pair separated from field.
#2 BUGGED OUT (5-1)	Stalked and caught the pace-setting favorite, third start of cycle.
Race Summary	DISSOLUTE can use her speed wisely from a favorable post as today’s Best Bet. She runs for the cheapest claiming price of her career after three months away but remains eligible for a repeat victory under nw/4 portion of the race conditions. Bet to win and place and play 8-2 and 8-9 exactas.

Delaware Park - Race #4

#8 KUZ IT’S CHILLY (8-1)	Gets class relief, figures closer to pace in second 6F try this year, good price.
#2 CHASE A DREAM (5-2)	Improved numbers, has speed, gets double-digit weight break from rivals.
#5 HAPPYFLYER (9-5)	Added Lasix again, rallied 4-wide alongside winner, missed in photo finish.
Race Summary	KUZ IT’S CHILLY set a pressured pace until early stretch before the two favorites passed by in a longer sprint two starts ago. He was no match for HAPPY FLYER for a higher tag last out, but he could be closer to the pace in this field and is worth a win and place bet to turn the tables at a good price. Also key #8 over 2, 4, 5 in a trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE

Evangeline Downs - Race 7	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 8:05P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FAMOUS FLYIN COWGIRL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. TF JESS A EAGLE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JJ JESSA DYNASTY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. FISHING FOR A LIVING: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
2	FAMOUS FLYIN COWGIRL	5/2	6/1
1	TF JESS A EAGLE	9/2	6/1
9	JJ JESSA DYNASTY	8/1	7/1
3	FISHING FOR A LIVING	12/1	7/1
4	SANDSTONE	20/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TF JESS A EAGLE	1	9/2	Fast	95	86	1.1	0.0	0.0
2	FAMOUS FLYIN COWGIRL	2	5/2	Average	98	90	3.7	0.0	0.0
3	FISHING FOR A LIVING	3	12/1	Fast	90	86	2.3	0.0	0.0
4	SANDSTONE	4	20/1	Average	94	90	5.4	0.0	0.0
5	GEAUX PARTY GEAUX	5	20/1	Average	93	83	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	AXLE D	6	15/1	Fast	82	74	2.4	0.0	0.0
7	POWER BY BLACK	7	15/1	Average	86	81	3.8	0.0	0.0
8	EAGLE SPEED	8	5/1	Average	89	88	4.6	0.0	0.0
9	JJ JESSA DYNASTY	9	8/1	Fast	95	81	3.1	0.0	0.0
10	SAN LORENZO TRUMP	10	3/1	Average	95	88	3.7	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager
PURCHASE

Special Wager - Race 3	Leg 3 of the Horseshoe Turf Pick 3
Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $32,640 • Post: 5:48P
IND - R8 - (RAIL AT 24 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 16, 2025. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $17,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES)INDIANA BRED MAIDENS AND INDIANA BRED CLAIMING RACES FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILLBE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 1/16 ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * FREDO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOOGIE SON: Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. QUOKKA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). BROWN LIQUOR MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LIAR'S POKER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
6	FREDO	5/1	9/2
10	MOOGIE SON	10/1	7/1
11	QUOKKA	12/1	8/1
4	BROWN LIQUOR MAN	10/1	9/1
12	LIAR'S POKER	6/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
12	LIAR'S POKER	12	6/1	Front-runner	101	94	109.6	90.2	76.2
5	DAY TRIPPER	5	15/1	Front-runner	100	92	92.8	84.7	67.7
7	ELEVATED GAME	7	5/2	Front-runner	92	96	85.8	85.4	67.9
8	MY ROMEO LIMA	8	20/1	Front-runner	89	83	72.8	80.4	61.9
6	FREDO	6	5/1	Stalker	101	93	100.2	93.6	87.1
16	STRIDE	16	12/1	Stalker	91	79	76.8	86.8	64.3
4	BROWN LIQUOR MAN	4	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	93	90	81.6	88.2	78.2
10	MOOGIE SON	10	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	100	92	78.0	88.2	79.2
15	STRADIVARIAN	15	30/1	Trailer	79	81	77.6	80.6	56.6
11	QUOKKA	11	12/1	Trailer	93	87	70.2	88.0	79.0
3	TIZ WICKED STRONG	3	9/2	Trailer	96	84	59.8	83.4	71.4
2	MY BROTHER KEITH	2	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	90	85	77.4	81.6	61.1
1	MUTAKATIF (IRE)	1	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	97	89	78.8	75.9	52.9
14	DIAL HIM UP	14	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	76	68.2	79.0	54.0
13	LEAR	13	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	99	88	63.3	74.0	62.0
9	INDOCUMENTADO	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	80	60.0	78.2	51.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - SO - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22700 Class Rating: 86

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE OCTOBER 16, 2024 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MOR MOR MOR 7/5
# 2 CHARGE NURSE 3/1
# 6 REZQUIA 12/1

MOR MOR MOR looks competitive to best this field. Latchman should be able to get this filly to break out sharply for this race. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group of horses in her last outing. Strong average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a contender. CHARGE NURSE - A solid 82 avg class fig may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this group. Might best this group here, showing quite good figs of late. REZQUIA - Profitable rider and trainer team, with a +170 return on investment. Looks quite good against this field and will almost certainly be one of the front-runners.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $53,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#12 MATTY'S BABY (ML=2/1)
#11 LOVING MISCHIEF (ML=4/1)

MATTY'S BABY - Gaffalione comes to get aboard after getting to know the filly in the last race. My pals and I have made cash playing horses with this type of speed. Follow my advice and do the same. Note that although this filly finished runner-up in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. A campaigner coming back this soon after a nice effort is a good sign. LOVING MISCHIEF - Was in a Maiden Special race at Kentucky Downs last out. That contest had a class number of 81 and she is moving down in this race. A certain serious competitor. Have to forget about that last grass race. This filly should do better hitting the dirt in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 TOPIC THUNDER (ML=9/2), #9 CHRISTY (ML=6/1), #1 THOUSAND M P H (ML=8/1),

TOPIC THUNDER - In any event of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been looking good in short distance affairs of late. CHRISTY - Morning line of 6/1 make this racer a pass by my approach. THOUSAND M P H - Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a sprint clash to be worth the chance at minimal odds in a sprint. Earned a mediocre speed rating last race out in a $50,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 12th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #12 MATTY'S BABY to win if you can get at least 6/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [11,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, COLTS AND GELDINGS TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 AJ MISSMERIZING 3/1
# 12 MIGHTY BLOOD 7/2
# 7 CRYPTONYTE 8/1

AJ MISSMERIZING is my choice. He should have a strong showing versus this softer lot. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 82, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this field. MIGHTY BLOOD - Could provide positive dividends based on quite good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 67. This horse enters today's race with second time Lasix. CRYPTONYTE - Look for a strong pace improvement from this pony who enters with second time Lasix today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-16-2025, 06:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Belmont at the Big A - Race #5 - Post: 3:20pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $85,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#4 SARATOGA PARTY (ML=8/1)
#6 SHILLING (ML=6/1)
#1 BAFFLE (ML=8/1)

SARATOGA PARTY - I sense an early battle developing here. If that happens, this filly will be in stalking position to run down the leaders. Aboard this horse on August 16th and Franco is yet again in the irons in this race. Brown has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. SHILLING - On board this horse on Sep 20th and Elliott is right back in the irons this race. When this jockey and trainer team up you have to take a look. Elliott and McPeek have been terrific together. BAFFLE - Last time out on Apr 30th was a good tune-up for today. Got pretty good betting action in that one, but finished third. Have to do better right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MS SOPHISTICATION (ML=3/1), #9 BRITAIN (ML=4/1), #5 QUIDDITY (ML=9/2),

MS SOPHISTICATION - Not the proper 'spot' in this affair. BRITAIN - Not a perfect 'situation' in this contest. QUIDDITY - Tough to play this steed this time out. Make her show you something in a short distance affair before you bet on her in a race of 7 furlongs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 SARATOGA PARTY on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6

Thursday 10/16/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 10/16/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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