Friday 10/17/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #1

    Friday 10/17/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NCAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #2
    Betting The Everest (G1): Ka Ying Rising’s Race to Lose?


    October 15, 2025 | By Johnny Burke

    Twelve contenders and four alternates have drawn a spot in The Everest (G1) at Royal Randwick for Australia’s richest race on Friday night US-time. The headlines (this one included) have rightfully focused on the world’s top-rated sprinter, KA YING RISING, who ships in from Hong Kong to test his might. Michael Hawkes, co-trainer of local leading sprinter BRIASA, has sent his warning that this is not a “one-horse race” despite the global focus on KA YING RISING. Let’s look at the field and try to determine whether this is indeed a one-horse race, or if you’re better off taking a shot against in the AU $20 million bout.

    #1 KA YING RISING | J: Zac Purton | T: David Hayes
    Record: 16-14-2-0

    There isn’t much to say about the world’s top-rated sprinter that hasn’t been said before, but in making his first start outside of Hong Kong, this gelding is taking quite a big bite. To give some context to KA YING RISING’s resume, half of his victories are in group stakes company and a fourth of them came in Group 1 competition. He has two second-place finishes, one by a nose as a result of a bad jump out of the gate and the other by a quarter-length after an undesirable trip on the lead. Both of his losses came in January of 2024, and the champion has been undefeated ever since.

    His works leading up to The Everest have been the subject of discussion after finishing third in his trial run. However, he worked easily and was never really asked for much, and David Hayes has insisted his training has him peaking at the perfect time. His tune-up race in Hong Kong was as effortless as his works on the grounds in Australia and he looks primed for another championship run. The competition will be stiff, but the homecoming for Zac Purton appears to be in the hands of the racing Gods as all signs point to KA YING RISING being healthy, in form, and capable of his best.

    #2 BRIASA | J: Tyler Schiller | T: Michael, John & Wayne Hawkes
    Record: 12-8-1-0

    BRIASA comes into the race at the peak of his career output having won two of his last five runs, including Group 1 and Group 2 stakes victories. He tried stretching out to seven furlongs in April but didn’t have the final push at the 50-meter mark to hang onto his lead. On September 20, BRIASA came up short in a Group 2 at Randwick going five and one-half furlongs before coming back for a Group 2 win on October 4 at six. BRIASA appears to be the most highly rated local runner, but a splash of inconsistency against the best fields could be the deciding factor as he prepares for the toughest race of his career. He should try to run a similar race as KA YING RISING, but BRIASA has shown weakness down the stretch where others in this field have that extra gear to utilize the entire length of the race. This will be his most daunting task, and he’ll need to run the race of his life to make it to the wire first.

    #3 OVERPASS | J: Joshua Parr | T: Bjorn Baker
    Record: 32-10-6-0

    The likely early speed of the field, OVERPASS has been in declining form over the course of the last calendar year. In November of 2024, this seven-year-old won the Group 1 Winterbottom at a fairly slow 1:09 over six furlongs. After taking time off until April of this year, OVERPASS has been winless in three official attempts finishing 2nd, 5th, and 9th. These races were against largely Group 1 competition, but the field doesn’t get any easier with BRIASA and KA YING RISING stalking him every step of the way. This gelding would need an easy lead and a crawling pace to take advantage of to win Australia’s richest race. Quite frankly, there isn’t much about this field that spells out an easy trip for the seven-year-old. If he digs back to his career best, he may have a puncher’s chance.

    #4 JIMMYSSTAR | J: Ethan Brown | T: Ciaron Maher
    Record: 20-9-4-2

    If OVERPASS looks like opening speed, JIMMYSSTAR is the horse that will settle far off the pace and his bettors won’t be nervous as they wait for him to shift into gear late and roar down the stretch. He came up just short of BRIASA in the Group 2 Premiere at Randwick on October 4. His victory in the Group 1 All Aged came at seven furlongs on a soft track, but he looked much the best for the distance. The six-year-old revels in longer sprints, but if everybody is going all-out early he may have an opening to exploit late. Like the other highly-rated locals, JIMMYSSTAR is going to need to dig in to find the run of his life to take down KA YING RISING, but crazier things have happened in racing. His running style should benefit him in trying to take down BRIASA and KA YING RISING if they have to battle with OVERPASS for five furlongs, but his resume still lacks the consistency and quality of his main competitors.

    #5 WAR MACHINE | J: Tim Clark | T: Ben, Will & JD Hayes
    Record: 14-7-2-2

    WAR MACHINE is taking a big step forward but has been on a tear lately winning four of his last five. Three of those victories came at seven furlongs, or close to it, and the most recent at the six-furlong distance he will run in The Everest (G1). For context, WAR MACHINE won at Flemington on a Good turf course at six furlongs with a time of 1:08.53. BRIASA finished in 1:07.98 in his Group 2 victory at Randwick in October. If you assume a sixth of a second is equal to a length, that puts BRIASA at about three lengths ahead of WAR MACHINE. This runner will be settling off the pace along with JIMMYSSTAR, but the on-paper times he runs make me hesitant to think he’ll be able to clear this field at six furlongs. WAR MACHINE seems to really excel in the final furlong of his seven-furlong victories, but he just won’t have that much track to run this weekend.

    #6 MAZU | J: Jason Collett | T: Joseph Pride
    Record: 40-9-4-6

    MAZU claimed his last victory in April of this year in the Group 3 Hall Mark, but has been somewhat underwhelming in his campaign since. Having run twice on slower conditions, he deserves some grace for his recent resume, but this runner is 9-5-1-1 on a Heavy turf course so he certainly likes the soft grass. The seven-year-old gelding just seems to be ready for some class relief after this to try to get back into winning form. It’s hard to say no to the opportunity this kind of purse brings, but on paper the bite seems to be too big for MAZU to chew. Expect him to try for an early lead alongside OVERPASS, but I think the distance and quality of his competition will chew him up before he can sniff the wire.

    #7 JEDIBEEL | J: Kerrin McEvoy | T: Brad Widdup
    Record: 24-8-7-1

    7-1-2-1 at six furlongs, 8-2-2-0 at Randwick, and in declining form this year, JEDIBEEL doesn’t offer much to bettors on paper. In his last run against MAZU, JIMMYSSTAR and BRIASA, he was nowhere near threatening to find the wire first. The field here only gets tougher even with familiar foes. This distance just doesn’t suit him, and I think this six-year-old will be ready to get back to on-par competition as his campaign continues.

    #8 ANGEL CAPITAL | J: Ben Melham | T: Chris Waller
    Record: 9-5-0-0

    As the record indicates, ANGEL CAPITAL is sort of the “all or nothing” horse. He’s either winning, or he’s completely off the board. With a pair of wins in listed stakes at six furlongs, he boasts a solid 3-2-0-0 at this distance, but this is no listed stakes. His times in those six-furlong runs are vastly slower than the regular times put up by his competition, and we have no evidence to say he can magically pick up a couple of seconds between races. If this horse wins, it’ll just have to be one that beats me.

    #9 JOLIESTAR | J: James McDonald | Chris Waller
    Record: 16-7-4-2

    JOLIESTAR comes into this race with the rare line item on his resume of having not only beaten BRIASA but having won in impressive fashion. Outside of a ninth-place finish on April 5 in the Group 1 T J Smith, JOLIESTAR has been a menace to any field she has had the pleasure of running against. She ran second to JIMMYSSTAR in the Group 1 All Aged before coming back to roar past BRIASA in the Group 2 The Shorts. This five-year-old mare also has the benefit of a potential hot pace between the assumed favorites, and the breaks are set up to go her way if all things play out perfectly. This is not a mare you can count out easily.

    #10 LADY SHENANDOAH | J: Damian Lane | T: Chris Waller
    Record: 9-5-2-1

    LADY SHENANDOAH will be glad to be back at Randwick where she boasts a 4-3-1-0 record, but none of those four runs have been The Everest (G1). Her times at six furlongs show a very beatable competition in nearly every try, and I do think losing James McDonald to JOLIESTAR does further hurt her chances at making a splash on the tote board. This mare wins races, there’s no doubt about that, but I do expect this race to shape up just a bit too tough for her. She has only run a third of her races at six furlongs, and the connections certainly prefer to set her up for longer distances than what she’ll run at Randwick this weekend.

    #11 MAGIC TIME | J: Michael Dee | T: Grahame Begg
    Record: 22-8-2-4

    On paper, there isn’t much to say about MAGIC TIME other than she seems to be slowing down in her six-year-old campaign and this field is just too much for her. She wins half the races she runs at six furlongs, but in her last five races she has won only once in a Group 3 stakes race running six furlongs in 1:10.01. In other words, she got a win but her Group 3 foes were nowhere near what she’ll see at Randwick. Unfortunately, she feels like an easy toss for handicappers.

    #12 TEMPTED | J: Craig Williams | T: Ciaron Maher
    Record: 8-4-1-2

    The lone Godolphin runner in this field, TEMPTED also bears the burden of being a three-year-old against some of the toughest older horses in the hemisphere. This daughter of Street Boss certainly has the connections and pedigree to catch the eye of handicappers, but I think she’s taking a huge step forward in a spot that may end up being a blemish on an otherwise successful resume. She’ll need to improve drastically here to be considered a contender.

    Race Forecast

    Top Choice: #1 KA YING RISING
    Upset Alert: #4 JIMMYSSTAR & #9 JOLIESTAR

    OVERPASS and MAZU should both try for an early lead, and I expect the two to do battle upfront with KA YING RISING and BRIASA just off the pace. Settling back will be JIMMYSSTAR and JOLIESTAR waiting to see how the field shapes up and where the gaps may lie as they head towards home. I think the pace and pressure of such a big race will be too much for BRIASA who will start to tread water while KA YING RISING makes his late move and starts pushing past slowing contenders. From somewhere far off the pace, JIMMYSSTAR and JOLIESTAR will start looking for a lane and passing by tiring rivals. I expect KA YING RISING to be just a touch too much, but don’t be shocked if one of the late closers gets set up to slingshot home winning by a nose.

    Predicted Top Four

    #1 KA YING RISING
    #9 JOLIESTAR
    #4 JIMMYSSTAR
    #2 BRIASA

    How I’ll Play It

    Win: 4 or 9 (depending on who has the higher odds at post time)
    Exacta: 1 w/ 4,9
    Trifecta: 1 w/ 4,9 w/ 4,9
    Superfecta: 1 w/ 4,9 w/ 4,9 w/ 2

    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369813

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis


      October 17, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
      Woodbine Mohawk Park has a 13-race card, and the headliners are 2-year-olds competing in 7 Breeder Crown Elimination races. The 0.20 Early Pick 5 starts in Race 1. The sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 1 (6:35 PM EDT)

      1-Wallace Hartley (3-1)-Going to try to not over think the opening leg and will assume there isn't a form reversal coming. Has drawn off in the last 2 races to win easily and stopped the clock in 149.2 with a 26.2 final panel in last. Doug McNair should get away close to the top of the stack and will pick the time to push the button. Should roll by them all again for a 3-peat.

      Race 2 (7:08 PM EDT)

      2-Spencer Hanover (5-1)-Will use a horse who has been improving, comes off an impressive win and has a top pilot in Jason Bartlett between the pipes. This is a versatile freshman that should be in play off the gate but doesn't need to be on top for the entire mile to win.
      5-Im Kronos S (5/2)-Took 40 days off after a sick scratch on 9-16. Came off the bench on 9-25 and rolled home with a 54.3 back half to take its 1st picture 2 back. Caught a rough trip last time against a salty field and cashed a 4th place check. Ake Svanstedt steers his pupil and this is a big track horse who could bounce back and take his Elim.

      Race 3 (7:31 PM EDT)

      4-Whoa Black Betty (3-1)-This will be the 3rd start for the David Menary filly and raced from off the pace in both races. Won its debut coming off cover, then was too far back and couldn't reach despite a 55.2 back half. JMac steers again and will look for a more aggressive steer tonight.
      5-Easy Station (5/2)-Took a few weeks off after shipping in from Lex and has cashed 2dn place checks in both starts off the bench. Showed good gate speed in last, raced well but couldn't seal the deal as a big odds-on choice. Lou Roy should be racing on the point or close to it off the car and could make amends for last week's loss.

      Race 4 (7:54 PM EDT)

      1-Endurance (6/5)-Beaten 2/5 favorite in the Million on 9-20 has nothing to apologize for coming up short at 2/5. Has banked over $768,000 this year, and has been resting since the last start. The Chris Beaver entry has won 6 of 8 and could be ready to add to that total here.
      5-Diabolic Hill (7/2)-Might be overlooked, and should be respected as had excuses in the last 2 races before taking a short hiatus. Qualifier at M1 on 10-9 was good and will look for a big try starting when the wings fold.
      6-Nix Nacken (5-1)-Could be a square price and this horse likes to work on bigger ovals. Has shown improvement in its last 2 races at the Red Mile. Yannick Gingras takes over as TMac steers the one above. My take is the Marcus Melander pupil is going to leave hard. If the opening turn goes well and lands in a close-up seat chances for a win improve a great deal.

      Race 5 (8:17 PM EDT)

      2-Always Dawn (9/2)-Comes off an efficient trip win against older and rallied to just get up. This will be the 3rd race for the Kevin Benn barn and has a 2nd place finish along with a win. Dexter Dunn takes over for JMac who drives #5 and will look for another cozy trip. It's best to respect chances to double up, and does good work at Mohawk (16-3-6-2).
      5-Coco Jo Jo (10-1)-This mare has burned money in the last 2 starts but has not raced poorly. At this price, in a wide-open affair, will use and hope JMac can dial her up a notch.
      9-Asweetbeachhere (6-1)-Not loving the post draw but that makes the price in a race that is not easy to ready. This will be the 2nd start off a sick scratch. Has the gate speed to be put in play early on and is another that could win at a nice price with a top effort.

      $1 Early Pick 5

      1/2,5/4,5/1,5,6/2,5,9
      Total Bet=$36

      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369813

        #4
        Jeremy Plonk: Remington Park OK Classics Best Bets | Fri 10/17


        October 16, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

        The nationwide tour of state-bred championship cards rolls through Remington Park on Friday night for the Oklahoma Classics. The 10-race program includes 8 stakes races for the Oklahoma-breds and reunites several familiar equine faces on the local scene. What's interesting about this year's Classics Night card is the number of past champions showing up in different race divisions compared to their previous success. Who wins these contests of musical chairs? Let's take our shots.

        1/ST BET and Xpressbet players be sure to take advantage of the Breeders' Cup Bankroll Builder promotion. Bet $25 on the Race 9 Oklahoma Classics Cup and get $5 deposited into your account on Oct. 31 to play this year's Breeders' Cup.

        Race 3: $100,000 Lassie
        Veteran trainer Kari Craddock has had much success with the 2-year-old fillies here, winning this race 3 times and finishing second a year ago. She's got #8 Lil Miss Brisket (4-1 morning line odds) coming off a big maiden win in her second start. Her rider Richard Eramia jumps to go with the Joe Offolter barn, for which he's the go-to pilot, but that leaves Craddock a chance to lure Stewart Elliott, the track's leading rider in 2023 and 2024.

        Race 4: $100,000 Juvenile
        #7 Sooner Red (5-2 ML) rolled wire-to-wire in his career debut Sept. 20 and looks to continue an unbelievable run for the Robertino Diodoro barn in recent months at the track. Leading jockey Ramon Vazquez has returned to Remington like time stood still, moving straight to the top of the leaderboard and winning a wild 45% teamed with Diodoro here. Underneath give a look to #4 Royalamerican and #5 Threesocks for a C.R. Trout barn that aims for Classics Night and has won this division 3 times.

        Race 5: $130,000 Distaff Turf
        Two-time reigning Remington Park Horse of the Meeting #2 Miss Code West (8-5 ML) has been an OKC dynamo. She romped by 4 in the Distaff last year on dirt, and recently has found a home on grass winning stakes at Lone Star and Remington Park. Kevin Scholl's stable star has the edge on defending Distaff Turf heroine #1 Doudoudouwannadance after comfortably defeating her in the Bob Barry Memorial last out. Favorites have won this division 9 of the last 10 years and that should continue. Late-running #3 Maybe Docie may pick up the exacta pieces with on-the-pace types likely to be softened by Miss Code West.

        Race 6: $130,000 Distaff Sprint
        Longshot #5 Floras Ora (15-1 ML) can step up as a 3-year-old filly and claim this division with last year's winner opting for the Distaff going long. Floras Ora won the Oklahoma Stallion Stakes fillies' division in her first start of the year and now gets that key, second-off-the-layoff attempt. She made a huge improvement in 2024 between her first and second starts and a similar improvement can win this. I'll exacta key-box with #1 Letta's Legacy (9-5 ML), who is a remarkable 9-10 in the exacta locally and 6-6 in the exacta over 6 furlongs, as well as the ever-sharp #2 Artistic Vision (2-1 ML).

        Race 7: $145,000 Distaff
        With last year's 1-2 finishers opting for the Distaff Turf this time around, it's last year's Distaff Sprint winner #7 Take Me Serious (6-5 ML) who gets a lot of attention here on the stretch-out. But I've liked both 2-turn route efforts by #4 Eireann (10-1 ML) and happily would take a good price on this one who is fresher at this time of year.

        Race 8: $130,000 Sprint
        #7 C W Prize (9-2 ML) was my pick in the Classics Cup going long last year, ran a credible second and has been rock-solid throughout the 2025 campaign. He's 9-10 in the exacta at Remington on dirt and a multiple stakes winner at Will Rogers Downs over this 6-furlong trip. He's the play over #5 Breakable Code (4-1 ML), runner-up in this race last year as the chalk and a super 5-for-7 on dirt at RP.

        Race 9: $175,000 Classics Cup
        #2 Mister Omaha (9-5 ML) ran fantastic on the front end of the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby vs. open company, beaten just 3-3/4 lengths when eventually third to Travers runner-up Bracket Buster. He won last year's Oklahoma Classics Juvenile and can be a hammerlock in this division for years to come for trainer Joe Offolter. I'll key him over #7 Flat Hanby on the long-awaited return, #8 Inca Empire, the defending champ meeting a slightly tougher field, and #3 Number One Dude, Mr. Reliable in these state-bred stakes over the years to put in a solid effort.

        Race 10: $130,000 Turf
        He wasn't favored in either of the past 2 years, but #6 Eakly (5-1 ML) knows his way to the front and to the wire first in the Oklahoma Classics Turf. Give him a big chance to three-peat for trainer Donnie K. Von Hemel, who's 32 victories in this series are far and away most of any conditioner. #7 Excaping the Blues (5-2 ML) set a course record 2 starts back and added the Red Earth Handicap for a fourth straight win most recently. He's not going down easily and will be forward as well in the mix. #8 Tap the Dot won this race in 2022 and at age 7 has been just about as good as ever. His late-running style could benefit from Eakly and Excaping the Blues duking it out. But give me Eakly once again.
        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369813

          #5
          Dustin Fabian: Santa Anita Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, 10/17


          October 16, 2025 | By Dustin Fabian

          Let’s start the weekend with a winner. Here’s my take on the Late Pick 4 at Santa Anita on Friday, which kicks off with Race 6, at 6:33PM ET.

          Race 6 (6:33PM ET)- $50K Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Turf)

          The sequence kicks off with maiden fillies and mares going six furlongs on the turf and I’m taking a stand against the 9/5 morning line favorite, #2 Frog. This filly has lost four consecutive races at this level and always concedes ground down the lane in races. Sure, she ‘can’ win, but she’s not a good favorite. I’ll go deeper here to try to beat her. My top pick is #6 PAARL (5/1) in a ‘second off the layoff’ move for John Sadler and dropping for a tag for the first time. She was a victim of a crowded break in a Del Mar MSW sprint last out and she did have to pull out of her spot. Did it cost her the win? No. But did it cost her a length? Maybe. This is a better spot for her. This is a good leg to find our price horse, so we’ll take advantage and also use a handful of others.

          Use Horses: #3 STORMY ROUGE (12/1), #4 MOLLY JENSEN (8/1), #6 PAARL (5/1), #7 WITHOUT A POUT (4/1), #9 (AE) EXPRESSIVE LOVE (8/1)


          Race 7 (7:03PM ET) - $20K Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs

          In state-bred maiden claiming races, I generally look for two things right off the bat. 1) Horses dropping in class from Maiden Special Weight races and 2) Horses dropping in class from open company races. This is a big field, but not much luck in either area. A few horses, like #1 She’s Back (8/1) and #8 Southern Anton (9/2) are in Southern California after debuting at Emerald Downs in Washington. So not exactly an ‘apples-to-apples’ class drop and not really the one I’m looking for. #12 REMEMBER APRIL (5/1) does drop in from a pair of Del Mar turf MSW races, and #14 CHICA TIGRE (8/1) was running for a $50K tag during that same Del Mar meet. #5 PRISCILLA (6/1) is another MSW class dropper, and appears to be the likeliest winner. Note that #2 STRONG MORALS was bet down to even-money in her Del Mar debut at this level and flashed a ton of speed before dropping out.

          Use Horses: #2 STRONG MORALS (15/1), #5 PRISCILLA (6/1), #6 SHEER LIGHTNING (6/1), #13 REMEMBER APRIL (5/1), #14 CHICA TIGRE (8/1)


          Race 8 (7:33PM ET) - $40K Claiming – 1 Mile (Turf)

          We’re deep-by-deep to start the ticket, but I think the eighth race is a two-horse event. Juan Hernandez, Southern California’s leading rider, could have probably ridden a few of these but takes the call on Mark Rheinford’s #4 CAISSON (4/1). Hernandez and Rheinford don’t have a history and this horse has slowly improved all year. The distance is a big concern – he’s just 3-for-16 going a mile – and his deep-closing style probably isn’t perfect for this race, but plenty of favorable factors. #1 BEEF WINSLOW (9/5) finished behind CAISSON at Del Mar, but should use the rail to his advantage. The last two times he went a mile at Santa Anita, he won by open lengths and he appears to be sitting on another big effort. The wildcard is projected pacesetter #5 Crosby Beach. He has races in 2024 that would demolish this field, but his race off the pine at Del Mar was not good and it’s not an encouraging sign that Jeff Mullins, who claimed him for $50K off that effort, immediately drops him into a lighter spot with a $40K tag.

          Use Horses: #1 BEEF WINSLOW (9/5), #4 CAISSON (4/1)


          Race 9 (8:03PM ET) – $35K Maiden Optional Claiming – 6 1/2 Furlongs

          Friday’s nightcap attracted 10 maidens – 6 of them first-time starters. Nobody is in for a claiming tag. In races like this I generally favor horses with some experience, especially if they were bet a little in prior start(s). #3 DEBBY’S GAL (5/2) is the favorite here and probably for good reason. She was bet to 12/1 in her debut last month at Los Alamitos, a race that also featured a 2/5 favorite for Michael McCarthy. She finished 3rd that day and picks up Juan Hernandez to ride. Of those who have started, she’s probably the one you want, along with #6 MIMI’S MEMORY (5/1). She went off at 9/1 at Del Mar and flashed speed before dropping out. This group is more to her liking. Let’s also give a look to first-time starter #7 TOKALA (8/1). He shows a pair of very fast gate drills in preparation for this debut and the Ryan Hanson / Adrian Escobedo combo have clicked at 15% over the last two years at Santa Anita, with a $2.67 ROI. Daughter of Yaupon sold for $100K at Keeneland last September for 4x the $25K stud fee and offspring of star sprinter Yaupon have been predictably proficient on debut.

          Use Horses: #3 DEBBY’S GAL (5/2), #6 MIMI’S MEMORY (5/1), #7 TOKALA (8/1)


          Pick 4 Ticket

          Race 6: 3, 4, 6, 7 (add 9 if draws in)
          Race 7: 2, 5, 6, 13, 14
          Race 8: 1, 4
          Race 9: 3, 6, 7

          Ticket Cost: $60 for 50-cent play
          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369813

            #6
            Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita Park - Race #7
            #9 Clam Beach Think you can go a few ways in this one, and I like that she at least seems to have established a baseline through two starts. That might do the job today.
            #8 Southern Nation She ran on well in the Emerald debut and looks like an OK fit with this crew, and she should find another good spot spying the speed.
            #5 Priscilla Wouldn't count her out of this one with a decent run with claiming company on her page from July. Drop might be enough to keep her in the frame here.
            Race Summary Clam Beach has been OK through two runs -- nothing spectacular, but fairly reliable -- and I think she should get a decent run of things from a good spying draw.
            Santa Anita Park - Race #8
            #3 Uncle Happy Think he's one of the ones in a fun race, as I think you can forgive him for the last one after a tough start left him way back off the pace and outside of his typical forward style. Lots to like today.
            #1 Beef Winslow He has to turn the tables on the guy who beat him last time out, but his form is honest and makes him a main character in this one if he brings his typical effort.
            #5 Crosby Beach There isn't a ton of pace lined up, so he might find himself right up on the splits here, and he ran well to score on the front end over the local footing last year. Capable of better in the second start off the long break.
            Race Summary Uncle Happy should get a great go of things near the top here, and I think the price might be just playable enough today on the drop.
            Santa Anita Park - Race #9
            #6 Mimi's Memory She flashed some pace from the fence and faded in the debut try, but she draws better today to avoid taking all the early heat and might stick around a lot better today.
            #7 Tokala Check her out on the tote and track ahead of this, but this team can send some live ones out, so she's the first new face I want to take a look at.
            #3 Debby's Gal Any mild move forward today off the debut try would probably make her a handful, and I wonder if a slightly better break could lead to a more advantageous trip today.
            Race Summary Mimi's Memory went flat late in the debut try, but she might be able to utilize a better draw to avoid a punishing trip today.
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
            Twitter@cpawsports


            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369813

              #7
              Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


              Laurel Park - Race #1
              #2 HAPPY THIS DAY (9-2) In top form, should sit perfect stalking trip, added ground within reach off latest.
              #12 PRACTICAL ROMANCE (4-1) Enough speed to get early position from post 12 and stay there a long way.
              #1 MIDWAY VOW (6-1) Tracked slow pace and 28-1 winner after fave stumbled at start but couldn’t get by.
              Race Summary HAPPY THIS DAY saved ground until she split the two favorites in the stretch, finishing a game second in a blanket finish. She finished 1-2 in her previous two turf races from a good stalking position that could be the path to victory in this field. Bet to win and place.
              Laurel Park - Race #2
              #3 CASEOFTHEMONDAYS (5-1) Ranged up on winner at top of lane, clear second in shorter sprint.
              #1 POWER GRID (2-1) Second at three sprint distances in last three starts for top barn with 2-year-olds.
              #7 UR A COLLECTION (6-1) Stepped it up for final debut prep, sire produced five 2yo winners from 23 runners this year.
              Race Summary CASEOFTHEMONDAYS took aim at the 4-1 pace-setter near the stretch but couldn’t match strides to the wire while finishing a clear second. He steps into Maiden Special Weight company and a long sprint for a 26-percent barn with second-out starters. Bet to win and place and play 3-1 and 3-1 exactas.
              Laurel Park - Race #6
              #10 FIESTA LA LUNA (15-1) Lost all chance at break, wakeup candidate in second start, blinkers on.
              #3 TOASTTOTHESTONES (5-1) Rallied to brief stretch lead at even-money in Monmouth debut, ran third.
              #4 HOOF AND BOOTS (8-1) Troubled MSW debut on turf, worked bullet on main track since then.
              Race Summary FIESTA LA LUNA was roughed up at the start, spotting the field several lengths in a well-bet debut. She made progress under a drive to the quarter pole, only to lug in early in the stretch while losing contact with the field. She wears blinkers to today and is worth a win and place bet at an inflated price. Also play a 3, 10/3, 4, 10/ALL trifecta.
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369813

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park
                PURCHASE
                Santa Anita Park - Race 5 Win ($2) / Place ($2) / Show ($2) / Exacta ($1) / Trifecta ($1) Superfecta ($.10) / RollingDouble ($2) / Rolling Pick 3 ($1) Late Pick 5 ($.50)
                Optional Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 100 • Purse: $61,000 • Post: 3:03P
                FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $21,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED)(HORSES ENTERED FOR THE ALLOWANCE ARE PREFERRED).
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. RUNAMILEINMYSHOES is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUNAMILEINMYSHOES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                2 RUNAMILEINMYSHOES 6/5 8/5

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                2 RUNAMILEINMYSHOES 2 6/5 Front-runner 104 102 98.6 91.0 89.0
                6 BROADWAY VENUS 6 6/1 Front-runner 82 80 81.2 76.4 67.4
                5 SEVERE CLEAR 5 12/1 Front-runner 74 70 76.0 64.0 53.0
                3 DORIE MILLER 3 3/1 Trailer 98 85 83.9 85.4 78.9
                4 JESSEBEAR 4 8/1 Trailer 97 89 79.9 73.7 64.7
                1 NOTHING IS FOREVER 1 7/2 Trailer 95 82 77.2 90.4 85.9
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369813

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque
                  PURCHASE
                  Albuquerque - Race 7 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Second Leg Pick 4
                  Maiden • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 65 • Purse: $27,000 • Post: 8:35P
                  QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * INDIS CARTEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. HARDCORE TROUBADOUR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. B ROWN EYED DADDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DADDYS STREAKIN DOLL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                  11 INDIS CARTEL 20/1 5/1
                  7 HARDCORE TROUBADOUR 10/1 7/1
                  8 DADDYS STREAKIN DOLL 4/1 8/1
                  9 MI GUSTO ES 8/1 8/1
                  1 BROWN EYED DADDY 5/2 8/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  1 BROWN EYED DADDY 1 5/2 Average 0 0 5.0 0.0 0.0
                  3 SAFAERA 3 12/1 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 8.6 0.0 0.0
                  4 ROLL INTO VIKE 4 7/2 Average 0 0 4.5 0.0 0.0
                  7 HARDCORE TROUBADOUR 7 10/1 Slow 0 0 8.5 0.0 0.0
                  8 DADDYS STREAKIN DOLL 8 4/1 Slow 0 0 6.6 0.0 0.0
                  9 MI GUSTO ES 9 8/1 Slow 0 0 6.3 0.0 0.0
                  10 BOOGIES CARTEL 10 6/1 Slow 0 0 7.3 0.0 0.0
                  11 INDIS CARTEL 11 20/1 Average 0 0 5.8 0.0 0.0
                  Unknown Running Style: TIRO AL BLANCO CSJ (15/1) [Jockey: Tapia Emilio - Trainer: Honesto Julian Rey], SURPRISE MAGIC (20/1) [Jockey: Becerra Jr Sergio - Trainer: Meraz Juan], KING EDWIN CARL (20/1) [Jockey: Ortega Raul - Trainer: McArthur Donna], IV
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369813

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 6 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $130000 Class Rating: 91

                    OKLAHOMA CLASSICS DISTAFF SPRINT H. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BREDS. WHICH HAVE NOMINATED TO AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE OKLAHOMA CLASSICS PROGRAM. $1,000 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $1,000 ADDITIONAL. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR A FEE OF $4,000, QUALIFIES TO START. HIGH WEIGHTS
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 9 NICE NEIGHBOR 20/1
                    # 1 LETTA'S LEGACY 9/5
                    # 2 ARTISTIC VISION 2/1
                    My pick for this event is NICE NEIGHBOR and is a very strong value bet given the line at 20/1. Has a very strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this mare. Is a definite contender - given the 90 speed figure from her most recent race. Has run very well when running a dirt sprint race. LETTA'S LEGACY - Handler boasts sharp win figures at this distance and surface. Looks very strong against this group and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. ARTISTIC VISION - Has to be given a shot against this group of horses in this race displaying solid figs recently and an average speed figure of 88 under similar conditions. Have to think this racer will run well again today.
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369813

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Belmont at the Big A - Race #2 - Post: 1:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $48,000 Class Rating: 62

                      Rating:

                      #6 ALWAYS HONEST (ML=6/1)
                      #2 DIAMOND LIFE (ML=9/5)


                      ALWAYS HONEST - Ran against 'open' company last time out, in with state breds today. Got some betting action in maiden outing on Aug 15th at Monmouth Park, but finished second. Has a shot in this field. This mount earns a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe he can add to the lifetime earnings in this field. DIAMOND LIFE - This racer should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire to wire the field. I like the fact that this colt's last speed rating, 53, is tops in this bunch. Ran last out against better company at Belmont at the Big A. The move to a lower class level should suit him well.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED FERN (ML=7/2), #4 TWISTED BANKER (ML=5/1), #3 THREE TWO WON (ML=8/1),

                      RED FERN - Would have to get more than the morning line of 7/2 to bet on this thoroughbred. TWISTED BANKER - Not the proper 'fit' in this race. THREE TWO WON - Improbable that this horse will finish better than he did last time when ending up 12th. 8/1 is not worth the risk for any mount in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint affair of late. The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this racer as a questionable challenger.
                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 ALWAYS HONEST is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,6]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369813

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                        PURCHASE
                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $39000 Class Rating: 106

                        SA - R8 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 BEEF WINSLOW 9/5
                        # 6 CATHAL (IRE) 6/1
                        # 4 CAISSON 4/1
                        BEEF WINSLOW looks to be a very good contender. Could provide positive returns based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 103. Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this group of horses in this race in his last race. Must be given a shot given the class of races run lately. CATHAL (IRE) - Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been quite good - 101 avg - of late. Could beat this field given the 92 speed figure put up in his last outing. CAISSON - Recorded a very good speed figure last time out. Has to be considered against this group of horses in this race displaying strong figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 104 under similar conditions.
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369813

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                          PURCHASE





                          Laurel - Race #10 - Post: 4:54pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 58

                          Rating:

                          #3 FAB GIRL (ML=2/1)


                          FAB GIRL - Faced tougher last time out at Laurel. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of choice plays. That 54 fig this filly notched in her last clash tells me she's a big time player today.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BOYS GO TO JUPITER (ML=7/5), #5 TASTY TIME (ML=6/1), #6 QUEEN'S BLESSING (ML=8/1),

                          BOYS GO TO JUPITER - Last ran on September 13th at Colonial Downs, finishing fifth. Unlikely to move up off of that effort in today's event. On a downward spiraling cycle. Speed figures keep dropping. TASTY TIME - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. QUEEN'S BLESSING - Finished tenth in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch.
                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 FAB GIRL on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                          EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with 7
                          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          Working...