Saturday 10/18/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Saturday 10/18/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NCAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #2
    Meet the Contenders: Saturday’s British Champions Day at As


    October 14, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Ascot hosts one of the world’s most important international race meetings Saturday when England’s richest day of racing returns for British Champions Day. The prestigious lineup extends to seven races for the first time in its 15-year history, featuring five Group 1 events. First post is 7:55 am ET with the featured Champions Stakes (Race 6) set for 11:05 am ET.

    Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet be sure to take part in Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup Bankroll promotion. Bet $25 on the featured Champions Stakes (Race 6) and earn a $5 bonus to be deposited into your account for the opening of the Breeders’ Cup on October 31.

    Let’s meet the contenders for the British Champions Day races at Ascot:

    TRAWLERMAN (Race 1): The British Champions Long Distance Cup winner from 2023 and last year’s runner-up set a course record locally in winning the 2025 Group 1 Gold Cup at Royal Ascot at age 7 and doesn’t look to be slowing down. He’s won 3 straight all at the Cup’s 2-mile distance or farther. William Buick guides the Godolphin home-bred by Epsom Derby & Arc de Triomphe hero Golden Horn for John and Thady Gosden.

    WORDS OF TRUTH (Race 2): Group 2 Mill Reef winner for Godolphin takes on Aidan O’Brien and company in the British Champions Day Two-Year-Olds Condition Stakes. Charlie Appleby and Willam Buick team with the Lope De Vega colt who has won 3 straight since being gelded after a disappointing debut in May. His half-brother Ancient Truth won last year’s Group 2 Superlative and placed in the Group 1 Dewhurst.

    KIND OF BLUE (Race 3): Defending champ in the British Champions Sprint Stakes is third choice among the bookmakers to defend his title. He’s lost all 4 starts this season but perked back up last out with a runner-up in the Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup. Trainer James Fanshawe is a 3-time Sprint winner. The race will also include 8-year-old Art Power, who scored this trophy in 2023, though favoritism is expected to go between Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee winner Lazzat and his Group 1 Haydock Sprint Cup conqueror Big Mojo.

    KALPANA (Race 4): Winner of last year’s British Champions Filly & Mares Stakes wheels back on 13 days’ rest from her Arc de Triomphe seventh-place run. The Andrew Balding trainee hasn’t won in 5 starts on the campaign, but placed in the Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup, Group 1 Pretty Polly and Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. Competition figures to be strong from Yorkshire Oaks runner-up Estrange, who previously had won 3 straight.

    FIELD OF GOLD (Race 5): The Queen Elizabeth II Stakes headliner won this year’s Irish Two Thousand Guineas and St. James’s Palace at Royal Ascot. He’s ranked co-#2 in the Longines World’s Best Racehorse Rankings for John and Thady Gosden and Juddmonte Farm. The chief rival figures to be Rosallion, runner-up in Royal Ascot’s Queen Ann as well as the Sussex and Prix du Moulin de Longchamp, all Grade 1s. American export Carl Spackler exits back-to-back sixth-place runs since his relocation to the UK.

    OMBUDSMAN (Race 6): The current #1 in the Longines World’s Best Racehorse Rankings headlines the British Champions Stakes. He’s won 6 of 8 with a pair of seconds for Godolphin, most recently victorious in the Group 1 Juddmonte International. He tallied the Group 1 Prince of Wales’s over this course at Royal Ascot in June. He’s 1-and-1 in head-to-head matchups with Delarcroix and Saturday will be the decider. Ombudsman’s presence caps what could be a huge day for John and Thady Gosden.

    DELACROIX (Race 6): The British Champions Stakes will be the expected final career start for the regally bred Dubawi-Tepin colt who has been first or second in 10 of 11 starts. Recent victories in the Group 1 Irish Champion and Group 1 Coral-Eclipse have washed away some of the disappointment from his Epsom Derby ninth in June. Trainer Aidan O’Brien looks for a rather elusive second win in this race, having scored in 2019 with Magical.

    CALANDAGAN (Race 6): Last year’s British Champions Stakes runner-up eyes the big prize Saturday. Because geldings aren’t permitted to run in the Arc de Triomphe, his connections have been eyeing this race to once again cap his season. Enters off wins in the Group 1 Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud and the Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the latter over this course at Ascot. Mickael Barzalona rides for Francois-Henri Graffard.

    NATIVE WARRIOR (Race 7): A straightway mile wraps the program with the Balmoral Handicap in its traditional anchor spot for British Champions Day. A whopping 47 entered with 20 to start, headlined by Native Warrior, a winner in 3 of his last 4 starts. The last 3 winners of the Balmoral Handicap have popped 80-1, 25-1 and 14-1 prices -- and the favorite has not won this race since 2017.
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
    Twitter@cpawsports


    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #3
      Race of the Week: Gulfstream's FSS Affirmed on Sat.


      October 15, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      The second leg of the Florida Sire Stakes series stretches the 2-year-old sprinters to 7 furlongs this Saturday at Gulfstream Park. The Susan's Girl division for fillies will be Race 8 on the card, while our spotlight falls on the colts and geldings in the Affirmed in Race 11. Fourth and Central captured the Dr. Fager to open the series for the boys, but that one has been sidelined from the workout tab since September 24 and the door opens to a big cast of 11 that's ready to take the divisional lead among the Florida-breds.

      Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can take advantage of the up to $10 money-back special on win bets in the two FSS stakes on Saturday at Gulfstream (if your win bet finishes second or third). The Affirmed is also part of the 10X 1/ST Rewards Point promo on the Sunset Pick 6 wager that ties the final 3 Gulfstream and final 3 Santa Anita races daily.

      Field Depth:
      CAMIGOL is Grade 3 stakes-placed, while listed stakes-placed runners include SQUIRE and TRELAWNY. STRATEGIC RISK has kept the strongest company lines while dropping out of a pair of Saratoga Grade 3 stakes.

      Pace:
      The only of the 11 here to make the early lead last out was WOOTUN, while CAMIGOL may be most likely to apply pressure from the outset. STRATEGIC RISK may hustle from the fence and notably did win wire-to-wire locally before heading to Saratoga.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      #1-STRATEGIC RISK: Local debut winner returns home after humbling tries at Saratoga vs. tougher. Only workout showing at the training center and his Gulfstream rider Edgard Zayas doesn't get the return mount. Mixed vibes on the Mark Casse trainee.

      #2-HE'S MY UNCLE: Third-start maiden showed modest improvement in the second start and will need another move forward. No match for Micanopy in their Sept. 13 head-to-head.

      #3-SQUIRE: Top early juvenile on the grounds won an April 18 dirt dash and was a good second at 4-5 in the Royal Palm Juvenile right after. But neither return race in the FSS Dr. Fager or Hollywood Beach Stakes gives me a sense that he wants the additional distance.

      #4-TRELAWNY: Connections and dam have had FSS series success in the past with a filly who made it to the Breeders' Cup, and this colt absolutely fits the bill Saturday. Fourth in the open-company Proud Man Stakes and a solid third in the FSS Dr. Fager, I love that he's had 4 workouts since, 3 of them at 5 furlongs. Contender.

      #5-ALL TO WIN: Farther back in the FSS Dr. Fager than expected, he rallied into fourth when well-backed at 3-1. Could see some price increase here and he's in with a reasonable chance to improve. Jockey Emisael Jaramillo more often that not wants to be in the early mix, so expect more urgency than the last matchup.

      #6-I'M TUFF ENOUGH: No threat sixth to open this series when 20-1 and unless the blinkers-off move produces a major wakeup for trainer Mark Passley, this Girvin colt is tough to recommend..

      #7-CAMIGOL: Figures to vie for favoritism off his FSS Dr. Fager runner-up at 3-1 odds. Antonio Sano charge rolled to a dirt dash win here in June before a distant third in the 4-horse Grade 2 Saratoga Special. He obviously fits here and has had 4 workouts right on cute for this, including an Oct. 4 bullet. Solid.

      #8-WOOTUN: Fresh face to the local stakes scene, this is a fast colt coming off a front-running maiden breaker in his second start. Heather Smullen's barn is going very well right now and this colt was meant to have a quick turnaround. Little-known $2,000 stallion Tunwoo isn't expected to have a colt sell for $95,000 in the 2YO sales. Interesting newcomer.

      #9-MICANOPY: Edgard Zayas lands here when he could have ridden a few of the other players. Debut runner-up made decent improvement second time out to win a 7-furlong maiden sprint. Trainer Jose D'Angelo landed a bullet half-mile workout in 47-3/5 at Palm Meadows on Oct. 3 to signifying this one's readiness. Jockey-trainer hit 24% together and certainly feels like a live wire.

      #10-HAWK: Rallied, second-best behind wire-to-wire winner Wootun on Sept. 27 and gets a rematch with that one while on the stakes rise. Carlos David gives the return call to Samy Camacho. Running style in debut would appear suited for 7 furlongs if he can make a leap forward in his second start.

      #11-KHOZALITE: Runner-up Aug. 2 on dirt to return rival All to Win, but followed that up with a 2-turn turf mile victory in an open company maiden special weight 4 weeks later. Second Jose D'Angelo entrant in the lineup gets regular rider Leonel Reyes. Tactical speed with his stamina-building prep make him interesting; if he's in the hunt, he could finish best.

      Most Likely Exotics Contender:
      I'm putting my lean to MICANOPY here and his successful 7F experience.

      Best Longshot Contender:
      TRELAWNY (10-1 ML) has shown consistency in the afternoon and in the morning and has a trustworthy outlook to land in the superfecta for the fourth time in as many starts.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $70 win MICANOPY. $5 exacta key-box MICANOPY with TRELAWNY, WOOTUN and KHOZALITE ($30).
      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
      Twitter@cpawsports


      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #4
        Scott Shapiro: Keeneland Saturday Spot Plays 10/18


        October 16, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

        Fall Saturdays at Keeneland are almost always fun. I particularly enjoyed attending, and of course, wagering on this card headlined by a pair of underrated graded stake sprints for 3YOs. The Perryville (G3) drew a compact field this year led by the second and third place finishers in the H. Allen Jerkens (G1) in late August, while the Raven Run (G2) attracted an oversubscribed group of sophomore fillies going 7-furlongs over the main track. I am chalky in the Perryville, so I will save you my selection of Captain Cook, but here are a few horses that should provide a lot better value on Saturday in the Bluegrass State.

        Race 2:

        My first play of the afternoon comes in this wide-open restricted MSW at 1 1/16-miles over the main track where I landed on second-time starter #4 Flat Rock Road. The Woodford Thoroughbreds homebred debuted at Churchill Downs going the tricky 6.5-furlong distance and made a solid account of himself for trainer Will Walden. The Street Sense colt was caught wide throughout in his first start and still battled on to finish third to a class dropper for Mark Casse that got a much better trip. Walden stretches this guy out to two-turns, protects him this time, and legs up hot riding John Velazquez. An improved effort should be expected.

        Play: #4 Flat Rock Road (10-1 ML)


        Race 8:

        There is a noticeable lack of serious speed signed on in this third-level allowance over the Keeneland lawn. #3 This Is Uscar projects to be forward assuming he stays in to try the grass for his second time, but is not a need the lead type. #9 Genius Jimmy could be sent aggressively in his first local try, but either way #1 Theismann should benefit. The $1.15M Keeneland September 2021 purchase has not panned out thus far, but appears to have found a home going two-turns on the grass. Two-back at Ellis Park in his first turf route effort he took advantage of a favorable inside trip when posting a career best effort. Then the C R K Stable gelding avoided regression five weeks later when holding off a stronger group in Louisville and did so while stalking just off the pace. Luis Saez was aboard that day and returns to ride this son of Quality Road that should get a great trip along the inside either on the lead or in the pocket. Hopefully, the Peter Eurton trainee can make it three in a row!

        Play: #1 Theismann (8-1 ML)


        Race 9: Raven Run (G2)

        The featured event for 3YO fillies as always came up salty led by Godolphin homebred #9 Ragtime. The Union Rags filly has done very little wrong through four starts with her lone defeat coming by a neck two-back in the Test (G1). She is a serious sprinter, but her lack of gate speed certainly could present some challenges in this full field 7-furlong affair making her 3-1-ML price tough to swallow.

        I landed on a filly with the opposite running style in #1 Delightful Claire. The Rigney Racing runner has been well meant from the start based on the amount of money she took in each of her first three starts. She enters her first start at Keeneland off a better than looks third to Ragtime in the Dogwood (G3). Ragtime and #3 Strong State came from well out of it early to finish one-two last month in Louisville, while Delightful Claire was on the lead throughout. She was no match late for the top two, but did run far better than any others prominently placed. #7 Maida could be a thorn in her side early, but if not she could have things her way early at a very playable price.

        Play: #1 Delightful Claire (10-1 ML)

        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
        Twitter@cpawsports


        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #5
          Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis


          October 18, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

          XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

          Woodbine Mohawk Park concludes the weekend with a 13-race card loaded with 8 Breeder Crown Elimination races. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 3, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

          Race 3 (7:31 PM EDT)

          4-Delaney Hanover (8/5)-This gal is as sharp as tack and should handle this group. But the big prize is next week, and she will most likely have to beat Yo Tillie again to take top honors. Does know how to win on a larger oval but has never raced on this surface before. Should win but the goal is to be dialed on high with a lot left in the tank for the BC Final.
          6-Walspea (10-1)-Should be a large number and knows how to show up when big money is on the line even with poor post draws. Doug McNair should be leaving and that gives the Walner filly a good chance of controlling the mile. This pilot knows how to save some juice for the long stretch and if there is going to be an upset this is my choice.

          Race 4 (7:54 PM EDT)>

          2-Madden Oaks (5/2)-Has hit the board in all 4 races at Wbsb but doesn't have a win. Gets a new set of hands in Louis Roy and he could make a winning difference. Will probably look to get an up-close seat and then rally down the lane.
          5-Papis Pistol (6-1)-Should offer a square price and has a 1.48 mark at Mohawk back in June. Jason Bartlett could benefit from a pocket ride and starts just inside of the one who could get on the engine.
          6-Prince Hal Hanover (2-1)-Dr Moore pupil has a big heart and explosive gate speed. Has been unlucky drawing the 8-hole in 2 of the last 4 races but is now blessed with a choice post draw. TMac will be on the engine at some point and will look to have a well-rated mile.

          Race 5 (8:17 PM EDT)

          5-So Much More (6-1)-This will be the 4th start off the bench and is rounding into top form. Just missed leaving from post 8 last time, now steps up and draws one of the best slots. Doug McNair will be on the point or in the pocket behind the one below. Could spice up the sequence if Sylvia is content to just put in a nice tune-up for next week.
          9-Sylvia Hanover (6/5)-Finished 2nd in the last 2 races to Twin B Joe Fresh who has the night off this week. If the big money were on the line, it would be easy to push all the chips toward this very classy mare. Does great work at Mohawk
          (29-16-9-1) and is a logical play but the post draw makes it tricky and might be more focused on next weekend.

          Race 6 (8:40 PM EDT)

          3-Champagne Problems (6-1)-This is a fine filly who so far can't beat an exceptional gal in Yo Tillie this season. That said, if anyone has a chance of taking down the morning line choice it's probably Jason Bartlett. Will toss the last start leaving from post 11 at Lex and before that was racing really well despite having only 1 win in this campaign. Bartlett will look to get on the point, and if he steals a quarter it could be revenge time.
          6-Yo Tillie (6/5)-Suffered her 1st loss of the year last time at the Red Mile. Seemed to have lost a little off her fastball that night and was beaten by a good horse who got a smoother trip. This is the time to sharpen up for next weekend, many will single, and she is the logical choice. But Tillie hasn't raced on this surface and maybe this isn't the night the connections look to push for an all-out effort.

          $1 Early Pick 4

          4,6/2,5,6/5,9/3,6
          Total Bet=$24

          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #6
            Scott Shapiro: Santa Anita Saturday Spot Plays 10/17


            October 17, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

            Saturday’s card at Santa Anita Park comes just two weeks before the running of the Breeders’ Cup World Championships down the freeway at the Del Mar Thoroughbred Club. The 10-race slate gets rolling at 4 pm ET / 1 pm PT and is headlined by the $80,000 Lure S. named for one of the best turf milers in my lifetime. The restricted stakes event over the grass goes as Race 9 and is included in a number of Santa Anita’s player friendly horizontal wagers. Here are a few horses I like on the card, including my top choice in the feature.


            Race 5:

            This state-bred MSW event for 2YO fillies over the sod that kicks off the Pick 6 and the All-Turf Pick 3 drew a field of eight led by #5 Druliner. The Clubhouse Ride filly comes in off a runner-up effort in her first try over the lawn back on August 28 at Del Mar. She beat #7 Eighties to the wire that day, but I give Eighties a big shot to turn the tables in her second start over the lawn. The Reddam Racing homebred was caught three-wide most of the way and moved before Druliner did to take on the leaders. She understandably did not have a ton of energy left late, but still battled hard to the wire to earn third. She gets a rider upgrade to Umberto Rispoli, should get the jump on the favorite once again, and appears poised to breakthrough for career victory number 1.

            Play: #7 Eighties (9-2 ML)


            Race 9: Lure Stakes

            The condition of the Saturday feature is key in assessing the chances of runners to get to the wire first since it is a significant class drop for horses exiting graded stakes events. The $80k race at one-mile over the sod is for those that have not won a stake of $60k at one mile or longer other than state-breds. This essentially means you have horses coming in to this spot not in their best form. I am hopeful this is the wake-up call for #4 Endlessly. The Amerman Racing colt was very good on the all-weather early in his career, tried the Kentucky Derby, and has not been the same since. That said, he has faced far better competition than he encounters today. Plus, one could argue he is rounding back into form despite failing to hit the board in three straight starts. Trainer Michael McCarthy probably sent him too far last out in the Del Mar Handicap (G2) and he ran better than the running line suggests two-back in the Wickerr. The son of Oscar Performance reunites with Umberto Rispoli. Hopefully, he comes to life with the decrease in competition.

            Play: Endlessly (7-2 ML)


            Race 10:

            The finale is a state-bred first level allowance at event at 6-furlongs over the main track where I like 10-time winner #11 Brookys Gal. The I’ll Have Another filly makes her second start of the form cycle for trainer Isidro Tamayo after a half-length defeat at 6-1 at Los Alamitos in mid-September. The 4YO gal has already proven she can be competitive at this venue and over this surface with her runner-up finish to a gate-to-wire winner in a slightly lesser spot on March 8. She draws to the far outside, so traffic issues should not be a problem for jockey Abel Lezcano. Her nose for the wire and 8-1-ML offering make her my top play to close the day.

            Play: #11 Brookys Gal (8-1 ML)
            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
            Twitter@cpawsports


            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Santa Anita Park - Race #7
              #6 Empire's Classic He's had a lot of chances, so I'm not too quick to extend him a lot of excuses, but he didn't have the cleanest go last time out and had been in the frame several times before that run. Midrange price bounces back today?
              #4 Lorenzo Bernini The only turf route wasn't all bad, but it also wasn't particularly inspiring, so I'm not all that excited. Still, he's capable from a tracking spot.
              #3 Both Sides of Bad He ran on well enough when trying similar last time out, but I think he'll find one or two of these a bit too good today.
              Race Summary Could see #8 Sweet Odyssey getting this done, but I'm just hesitant to wind up on any kind of short price in this spot. Empire's Classic fits with his better stuff and might show it today.
              Santa Anita Park - Race #8
              #7 Tupelo Nothing but fade jobs on the page so far, but I wonder if the drop to this kind of level on the main track might work in her favor. Attacks from the outside?
              #9 Ride Elbow Ranch Wanted to see a little bit better from her last time out when trying claiming company for the first time, and there are a couple of OK names on her page for the local crews. The one to beat.
              #2 Put Her On My Tab The Los Al debut was OK, and she's not meeting the deepest crew you're ever going to find for the local level. Maybe.
              Race Summary Tupelo tries the main track today while meeting a pretty suspect group, so I'm wondering if she can force the issue early and turn away Ride Elbow Ranch?
              Santa Anita Park - Race #9
              #3 Watsonville Not a whole lot to write home about through two starts so far this year, but he has run into a couple of pretty tough players in those spots whose form I respect. Might be a snug fit here in the third start of the season.
              #1 St Anthony There are a lot of uninspiring, one-paced kinds of races on her page, but most of those have come against better groups than she's going to find today. Logical on class and better form, but that's about it.
              #6 Sumter He finished up OK while never being a threat in that last one, but he stretches back out today for the first time since last year while looking to defend his title in this race. Overlooked but in the frame.
              Race Summary Watsonville gets a pretty decent lean for me here -- he has a couple of decent company lines and might get a good run of the race today.
              Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

              Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #8
                Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                Gulfstream Park - Race #1
                #9 ZERO REMORSE – Steady rally, late burst for third and class drop add up to a good effort.
                #4 DIVINE BLUE – Stablemate of top one runs faster in mornings than on race day, longshot for exotics.
                #10 SLEWTY PRINCESS – Overcame outside post to just miss in same main-track route as ‘Zero.’
                Race Summary ZERO REMORSE sustained a 3-wide rally from the far turn to the finish in a synthetic-track route, finishing behind the class-dropping winner and 5-to-2 runner-up SLEWTY PRINCESS. She runs for the cheapest tag of her career and should prove formidable. Bet to win and place and play a 4-6-9-10 exacta box.
                Gulfstream Park - Race #3
                #4 MAJOR KING – In good form, proven at one mile, looks to reverse photo-finish setbacks.
                #9 PET MAT – Won 3 of last 6 long-distance tests by a neck, can join $100,000 Club.
                #7 BOLD ADVANCE – Solid numbers, remains below his claim level in repeat attempt.
                Race Summary MAJOR KING has more wins at this distance than the rest of the field combined. He set the pace and just missed in photo finishes on a fast and ‘off’ track in his last two starts with blinkers on. Bet to win and place in hopes that he can turn the tables on the two main rivals who beat him.
                Gulfstream Park - Race #6
                #2 VALIANT WINTER – Pressed, led, caught by the favorite, who repeated in $30,000 turf sprint.
                #4 ONE MORE DUKE – Improved numbers on turf, gets class relief, gets in light on surface switch at 5-1/2F.
                #1 COFFEE AT K J’s &ndas Appeared ready to graduate when last seen in March, returns in new barn.
                Race Summary VALIANT WINTER pressed a fast pace, led at the stretch call and finished second, between a pair of follow-up winners. He sheds 3 pounds and goes an extra half-furlong on the class drop today. Bet to win and place and play a 2/1, 4/ALL trifecta.
                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                Twitter@cpawsports


                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369801

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park
                  PURCHASE
                  Arapahoe Park - Race 2 Win / Place / Show / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
                  Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 74 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 1:28P
                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GRAN CHICO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRAN CHICO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. OUR BUBBY BOY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. WINGS FOR ENO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FLEXIBLE TERMS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
                  7 GRAN CHICO 12/1 7/2
                  6 OUR BUBBY BOY 6/1 7/1
                  2 WINGS FOR ENO 7/2 8/1
                  8 FLEXIBLE TERMS 3/1 10/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  7 GRAN CHICO 7 12/1 Alternator/Front-runner 73 64 53.0 56.4 50.9
                  6 OUR BUBBY BOY 6 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 74 70 60.8 58.6 48.1
                  1 BAMBY BOOM 1 5/2 Alternator/Stalker 68 64 57.4 56.6 47.6
                  2 WINGS FOR ENO 2 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 75 64 36.6 58.2 50.7
                  5 JUST N JACK 5 2/1 Trailer 65 60 27.5 51.4 36.9
                  8 FLEXIBLE TERMS 8 3/1 Trailer 76 79 0.0 0.0 0.0
                  4 MAIN DUDE 4 10/1 Alternator/Trailer 78 65 60.9 49.0 39.5
                  3 RUNNIN BUFFALO 3 9/2 Alternator/Non-contender 74 50 48.8 52.4 40.9
                  Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                  Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369801

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
                    PURCHASE
                    Fairmount Park - Race 7 Late Daily Double $1.00 (Races 7-8) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .10 Cent Superfecta
                    Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 5:00P
                    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2024 - 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Lone Stalker. TRY TRY AGAIN is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GOLDEN BUCK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IRISH DECLARATION: Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TRY TRY AGAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating a t the distance/surface. AFRICAN WARRIOR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                    5 GOLDEN BUCK 5/2 9/2
                    3 IRISH DECLARATION 7/2 5/1
                    4 TRY TRY AGAIN 9/2 6/1
                    2 AFRICAN WARRIOR 6/1 10/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    2 AFRICAN WARRIOR 2 6/1 Front-runner 71 65 76.3 54.8 45.8
                    5 GOLDEN BUCK 5 5/2 Front-runner 76 70 74.8 64.6 59.6
                    4 TRY TRY AGAIN 4 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 74 62 62.4 58.8 50.8
                    3 IRISH DECLARATION 3 7/2 Trailer 71 62 59.4 66.0 62.5
                    7 BOURBON DELIGHT 7 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 77 70 62.6 51.4 42.4
                    8 PLAIN OR PEANUT 8 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 80 67 55.6 49.6 41.6
                    6 KEEN RESPONSE 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 70 62 53.8 52.8 38.8
                    1 BEST MAN SPEECH 1 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 68 61 41.8 44.7 32.2
                    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                    Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                    Twitter@cpawsports


                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369801

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 6 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 77

                      QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 3 ENERGY SIX 2/1
                      # 5 MISSION POSSIBLE 3/1
                      # 4 HELL FIRE QUEEN V 8/1
                      ENERGY SIX is my choice. Is a key contender - given the 72 speed figure from her most recent race. Should best this group of horses here, showing strong figs of late. MISSION POSSIBLE - Vaunts formidable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Have to bet on this money-making rider and conditioner duo. HELL FIRE QUEEN V - Nunez has her trained very well to break sharply out of the gate. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this group.
                      Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                      Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369801

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Century Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 57

                        Rating:

                        #3 BROOKLAND (ML=6/1)
                        #1 HABADABADOO (ML=6/1)
                        #7 MAVERIKIE (ML=8/1)
                        #6 HOLMDEL HORNET (ML=15/1)
                        #8 STACK ATTACK (ML=10/1)


                        BROOKLAND - A win percent the likes of what Asencio and Rycroft have achieved together is outstanding. Horse's last race was at Century Downs in a race with a class number of 67. Dropping drastically in Equibase class figure this time puts him in a solid position in this event. HABADABADOO - Trainer Russell moves this horse down the class scale to face a weaker level today. Look for a sharp race given the class advantage. Nice return on investment for this jockey and conditioner twosome. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. Russell adds it on this one today. MAVERIKIE - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last morning work was second fastest of the day for the distance. Natera rode this racer for the first time last time out and comes right back this race. Was in a $6,000 Maiden Claiming race at Century Downs last time around the track. That race had a class figure of 62 and he is moving down right here. A certain contender. HOLMDEL HORNET - Smith has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be careful of the longer priced half. Was in a $6,000 Maiden Claiming race at Century Downs last out. That affair had a class figure of 62 and he is moving down in this event. A certain win candidate. Lahoe comes to ride again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a comeback. STACK ATTACK - Gonzalez is right back for another event today after riding on board this equine for the first try on September 5th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +260. This rider/conditioner twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class rating points like this one did last time out. I believe he'll be competitive at this class.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BET ON WHITE (ML=9/5), #2 CASHFLOW (ML=9/2),

                        BET ON WHITE - Hard to back the public's top choice when he continues to lose as the favorite. Not probable that the speed rating he recorded on October 3rd will hold up in this affair. CASHFLOW - This entrant just hasn't looked ready recently. When checking today's class figure, he will have to garner a much better fig than last time out to be competitive in this dirt sprint.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HOLMDEL HORNET - Earnings per start is one measure of class I like to check out. This noble animal is in the top spot in the bunch and has a good shot to beat this crew.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 BROOKLAND to win if we can get at least 6/1 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3,7]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,3] with [1,3,7] with [1,3,6,7,8] with [1,3,6,7,8] Total Cost: $24
                        Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                        Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                        Twitter@cpawsports


                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369801

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

                          PURCHASE
                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12400 Class Rating: 61

                          FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 4 MADAM SENATOR 9/5
                          # 6 NOT CUZ IT'S EASY 8/5
                          # 1 LUCKY PARTNERS 20/1
                          MADAM SENATOR appears to be the wager in here. Ought to compete soundly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this group. Earned a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Should keep the good string of finishing positions intact this time around. NOT CUZ IT'S EASY - Barbosa has a win percent of 17 over the last 30 days. Must be considered given the class of races run recently.
                          Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                          Twitter@cpawsports


                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369801

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                            PURCHASE





                            Belmont at the Big A - Race #7 - Post: 3:25pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 98 Sands Point S. (Grade 2)

                            Rating:

                            #4 GRISELDA (FR) (ML=6/1)
                            #5 READY FOR CANDY (ML=2/1)
                            #6 PRETTY PICTURE (ML=7/2)
                            #7 PARADISE CITY (ML=4/1)


                            GRISELDA (FR) - Brown has a very strong win pct in turf routes. This filly should be in shape and ready to win. This filly has been working out well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a top effort today. Brown has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. This filly has performed well at major foreign tracks, and ships in for today's race. Could be tough to beat. READY FOR CANDY - A filly like this one, almost always in-the-money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. Using this jockey/handler combination is a smart move. She must like the track here. She just won over the track after shipping in. Look two races back where the racer finished first. You can excuse the last event where she bounced a bit. I see a return to form today. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign she can close well, and should be right there at the finish this time around. This filly has been working well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a top effort today. PRETTY PICTURE - Have to give this magnificent animal a long hard look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. This filly's last figure is lofty enough to win here, I'll invest in her right back this time out. PARADISE CITY - It looks like Franco had to learn all about this filly on September 20th when riding her for the first time. Back on board again today. This filly is in good condition, having run a nice race on September 20th, finishing second. You have to consider the solid works of late. Came home in quick time last out. A positive sign.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FAST MARKET (ML=8/1), #1 BOCA QUEEN (IRE) (ML=8/1),

                            FAST MARKET - Should be difficult for this animal to beat this bunch off of that last rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. BOCA QUEEN (IRE) - Didn't land in the top three on Jul 26th at Woodbine. Followed it up with another less than stellar outing.

                            GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - PRETTY PICTURE - Brown has superb win record with horses running a route on the turf. This filly can't be overlooked in your wagering.


                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 GRISELDA (FR) to win at post-time odds of 5/1 or better
                            EXACTA WAGERS: None
                            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                            Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                            Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                            Twitter@cpawsports


                            Comment

                            Working...