12-5-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

DCI NFL

Monday, December 5, 2011
San Diego 19, JACKSONVILLE 17

[Mr. IWS]

Dunkel

MONDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 6:00 p.m. EST (11/29) Game 375-376: San Diego at Jacksonville (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 127.656; Jacksonville 131.394
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 4; 41
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); Over

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Jacksonville +3.5 over San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

New York Rangers -150 over Toronto Maple Leafs

[Mr. IWS]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Saint John's -1 over Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

5 UNIT: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars +3

[Mr. IWS]

Pointwise Phones

2* Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

NFL Poolies Cheat Sheet: WEEK 13
By Colin Kelly

San Diego (-3) at Jacksonville
WHY CHARGERS WILL COVER: Too much talent for this team to be riding a six-game SU and ATS losing streak and eventually that talent should win out. This week could be the spot, as Jacksonville is out of sorts after firing coach Jack Del Rio on Tuesday. The Bolts are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 in December while the Jags are on ATS downslides of 4-9-1 overall and 2-8-1 as a pup. Plus, the Jags can’t score, averaging a league-worst 12.5 ppg behind rookie QB Blaine Gabbert.
WHY JAGUARS WILL COVER: Well, there’s that 0-6 SU and ATS burden San Diego is carrying. The Bolts are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven on the road.
TOTAL (38.5): We’re talking about Jacksonville here, so the under has got to be considered. The under has cashed in all but one of the Jags’ games this season, and they are on under runs of 6-0 on Monday night, 5-0 as an underdog and 5-1 at home.

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

JAGUARS +3 vs chargers (MNF)

[Mr. IWS]

R.a.w. Football

2* = "under" jags/chargers

[Mr. IWS]

David Chan aka The Dragon NFL PLAY

10* Jacksonville Jaguars +3 "ELITE PEDIGREE"

[Mr. IWS]

Monday’s betting tips: Chargers set to can Turner?

Who’s hot

NFL: The under is 6-0 in Jacksonville’s last six Monday night games.

NHL: The New York Rangers as 12-2 in their last 14 overall.

NHL: Pittsburgh has won seven of its last eight home games.

NCAAB: Florida state is 8-3-1 against the spread in its last 12 home games.

Who’s not

NFL: San Diego has dropped six straight against the number.

NHL: Washington has lost its four road games.

NHL: Tampa Bay is 5-23 in its last 28 games in Ottawa.

NCAAB: Providence is just 3-9 against the spread in its last 12.

Key stat

1 – Just one of the Jacksonville Jaguars’ games have played over the total this season. The average total for their games so far this year is 38.9 and oddsmakers have a 39-point total on the board for Monday’s game.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Alexander Semin, Washington Capitals – Semin missed Saturday’s game against Ottawa with a shoulder injury and is considered questionable for Monday’s contest against Florida. Semin is struggling through a rotten year with just five goals and 10 points in 23 games.

Matt Forte, Chicago Bears - Forte exited Sunday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs in the first quarter with a right knee injury. Initial reports said Forte suffered a sprained medial collateral ligament and could be sidelined for two to four weeks.

That would leave the Bears down their two most important offensive players (QB Jay Cutler there other) in next week's game against the Broncos.

The early line has the Tebows giving 3.5 points to the visiting Bears.

Game of the day

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (3, 39)

Notable quotable

‘‘It’s still young in the season, and we’re a young team, and it’s important to keep that in mind. But it’s important for our players to know they have to grow up. Hopefully, we can impose our will a little more next time.’’ – DePaul coach Oliver Purnell after his club rallied from a 17-point deficit in the second half to take the lead over Mississippi, only to miss a couple free throws in the final minute to lose 70-68 as a 1-point favorite.

Notes and tips

Chargers head coach Norv Turner will be fired at season's end, the San Diego Union-Tribune is reporting. Sources close to team president Dean Spanos say he feels he has "no choice" but to cut ties with Turner, who has been at the helm since 2007. The report also suggests the team is leaning toward dismissing general manager A.J. Smith, as well. It has been a difficult season for San Diego, which sits tied for last place in the AFC West with a 4-7 mark. The Chargers have dropped six straight games heading into Monday’s date with Jacksonville, but more than 68 percent of Covers.com Consensus bettors were backing the Bolts as of Thursday evening.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are expected to start Jonas Gustavsson in goal Monday night when they visit the Rangers. Gustavsson has had an up-and-down year and was shelled for five goals in his last start, but he was terrific at Madison Square Garden earlier this year, helping Toronto to a 4-2 win with 28 saves. He’s 8-5 on the year with a 2.97 goals against average.

The courting of NBA free agents is expected to begin on Monday at 10 a.m. ET, according to an ESPN.com report. The reports states that teams were notified Saturday that they would be allowed to begin communicating with players - and free agents - on Monday. The start of NBA training camps is tentatively scheduled for Dec. 9. A 66-game season will open on Christmas Day. Teams have not been allowed to contact their players despite owners and the players' union agreeing in principle to a new collective bargaining agreement last week. Players have, however, been allowed to return to team facilities to take part in voluntary workouts. Tyson Chandler, Nene, Marc Gasol and David West are believed to be the most sought-after free agents.

[Mr. IWS]

College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bets

St. John's at Detroit (+1.5, 144)

With its recent run against non-conference ranked opponents coming to an end, St. John’s hopes to get back on track against Detroit on Monday. The Red Storm lost 81-59 at No. 1 Kentucky last Thursday.

Detroit fought back from a 14-point deficit with just over eight minutes remaining, but ultimately fell short against Horizon Conference rival Cleveland State on Saturday, 66-61.

Freshman guard Moe Harkless has carried the Red Storm so far, leading the team in points (14.4 per game), rebounds (7.1), blocks and steals. St. John’s is shooting 39.4 percent in its four losses and 50.2 percent in its four victories.

Expect the Johnnies underclass to come through against Detroit on Monday.

Pick: St. John's -1.5

Charleston Southern at Florida State (-18.5, 135)

After being beaten at its own game, Florida State is wounded and angry. The short-handed Seminoles will try to take out their frustrations on visiting Charleston Southern on Monday.

Florida State, picked to finish third in the ACC, were outmuscled by Michigan State in the Big Ten/ACC challenge. They’ll try to bounce back against the Buccaneers, whom they are 5-0 against. Florida State rolled to a 78-41 victory in 2008.

The Buccaneers have won five straight and their latest victory was the most impressive. Charleston Southern shot 61 percent (42 of 69), including 13 of 22 from beyond the arc in a 114-81 win over VMI on Saturday.

Charleston Southern won't find it as easy scoring from the field against the 'Noles.

Pick: Under

[Mr. IWS]

Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets

Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators (-115, 5.5)

It’s probably just a matter of time before the Tampa Bay Lightning come around.

They fell apart in the third period of Saturday’s 4-2 loss to the New York Rangers, giving up three in the final frame in their third consecutive loss.

"Last year, we won most of our games in overtime or by one goal and right now we are losing them for the reasons we are not taking care of those details on a consistent basis," head coach Guy Boucher told reporters. "Some games we do, some games we don't; some periods we do, some periods we don't.”

That’s what is killing Lightning backers right now. Tampa sits 26th in the league’s money standings having dropped almost 10 units for its supporters already.

The Lightning need this one as they open up a four-game road trip. After Ottawa they head to Long Island before a couple of tough ones at MSG in Philly.

Pick: Lightning

Phoenix Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks (-150, 5.5)

The Phoenix Coyotes have dropped two straight and are now staring down a tough three-game road trip as they head to Nashville and Detroit after this matchup.

The Blackhawks are going to give them some major problems too. Chicago is coming off an impressive 5-2 win at St. Louis that saw the club click on two of its three power play opportunities. The Blackhawks’ depth is really starting to show through at this point in the season.

They have four players with 26 or more points right now with captain Jonathan Toews’ 15 goals and 29 points leading the way.

“He’s been a pretty dynamic player over the last stretch of games,” coach Joel Quenneville told reporters. “Every game we see it: He just keeps getting better over the course of a season.”

With Toews rolling and the Blackhawks riding a 6-2 run in their last eight home games, we’re comfortable eating a bit of chalk in this matchup.

Pick: Blackhawks