Thursday 10/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:10 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Price Players in Keeneland's $88K Carryover Pick 6

October 23, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

Thursday at Keeneland features a pick 6 carryover of $88,864 on Races 4-9 as well as a super high 5 carryover of $42,810 in the finale. I've got a couple of price plays that could help blow up the pick 6.

Keeneland | Race 5 | 3:08 pm ET
#8 Paseo (20-1 morning line odds) has a big chance to leap forward in her second career start. She finished with some late interest over a shorter distance in her debut and has a pedigree to relish the Keenland turf course in her first local venture. Workouts indicate she's sitting on a big try. Win-place bet #8. Exacta key-box 8 with 1,9,10. Daily Double 8-2 to next pick.

Keeneland | Race 6 | 3:40 pm ET
#2 Wizard of Yester (12-1 morning line odds) might control this race from the outset from an inner post draw that's advantageous for his running style. He could improve in his first start for trainer Joe Sharp after leaving an outfit that had only won 5% on the year (Sharp is at 22%). Win-place bet #2. Exacta box 2-3 with likely favorite Antietam.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:11 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#5 Spirited Sol	He hasn't won in some time, but I love how honest he is and how often he's able to outrun his price on the board. I think he's lost on the tote again with another great spying trip in store. Would love to see him get over the top on Closing Day.
#7 Going Up	He handled the to choice last out, but I'm hoping the addition of a little bit more early play from Diamond Dust might make the forward battle just a touch tougher this time around?
#6 Scoot Daddy	He might be worth another look over the local footing if you draw a line through that try here in July when he didn't show up at all. Could be sneaky here with some rebound form from Finger Lakes.
Race Summary	Spirited Sol should get a great run of things behind a couple of pace players he tracked last time out, including Going Up, who has had his number this season.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#7 Virtuosity	Pace scenario is a bit murky with some turnback players and a couple of forward types who aren't all that committed to the front. This guy has flashed enough tactical pace going shorter than this to think his rider should be able to pick his spot up or near the top as they sort themselves out through the first furlong. Edge in competitive race.
#1 War Officer	He has been finishing from off the pace in route spots, so he's going to need to avoid getting outrun in the early stages, but his better stuff fits here.
#3 Pedro Nunes	Think there are a couple excuses on his page from just three starts in the States, and he's probably going to like the switch to a synthetic surface today. Wouldn't argue too hard with you -- he has a lot of similarities to the top choice.
Race Summary	Virtuosity and Pedro Nunes have the style I want in this spot, but I think the former gets the right draw to watch things unfold early on and choose a spot up top.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#3 Jazz Time Girl	That comeback race earlier this season gave me enough hope that she was going to get back to the 2024 form at some point, but it hasn't happened yet. Despite that, it felt like she showed a little bit of life last time out before flattening late, and I'm willing to give her one more price look from close range.
#9 Kanazawa	Considered her on top with some pace in a spot without a ton of serious early burn, and to be honest, I don't really have any concerns with her. Guessing she's going to be right there.
#2 Make a Million	She might dunk on this bunch while getting back down in class around one turn, but I also wanted to see something just a bit better from her when trying this level two starts back. I dunno....but her better stuff would do.
Race Summary	Last of the season here, and I wonder if Jazz Time Girl can find some of her better form today after making a mild move last out. The race flow might work in her favor if she can get away cleanly and try to show some of that tracking pace she has been lacking in recent starts -- would put her right in behind Kanazawa at the turn in.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:11 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #1

#7 BEACH READY (8-1)	Gets class relief, could be in play early off prior turf route form, price attached.
#2 MIZZEN ASH (4-1)	Rallied for a win, a second and two thirds in her last five starts on turf.
#6 RETAIL THERAPIST (5-2)	Six-figure earner on the lawn was ‘resilient’ in recent win at this level.
Race Summary	BEACH READY is ready for a surface change after she was no factor in a pair of sprints on Woodbine’s Tapeta track. She raced closer to the pace going a route of ground on the Gulfstream Park lawn and could revert to those tactics in here for a trainer-jockey combo that has three turf victories at the meet. Bet to win and place and play 7-2 and 7-6 exactas.

Woodbine - Race #3

#3 CONQUER THE STORM (12-1)	Slowed by pace and wide trip, longshot stab in crowded field.
#2 SUNNYVILLE (6-1)	Finished second three times for higher tags in five starts with Hoyte aboard.
#11 PAT’S HOLLIDAY (5-2)	Continues to burn serious money, moves inside out for new connections.
Race Summary	CONQUER THE STORM ‘continued to edge up’ while 5-wide on the final turn in the same spot last out, but she finished out of the money. She should benefit from a livelier pace in a 12-horse field while wearing blinkers for the third time. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3-11 exacta box.

Woodbine - Race #5

#4 PADRAIG (12-1)	Worked in 1:00-3/5 since chasing a fast pace in his troubled debut.
#1 SPIKEPHIL (6-1)	Full brother to stakes-placed 2yo Sunsprite, barn can get ‘em ready.
#7 TOTAL SENSATION (2-1)	Steady 60-plus Beyers on several surfaces translate well in this field.
Race Summary	PADRAIG, bumped and steadied in a fast-paced 6-1/2F sprint, takes off the blinkers for his second start. He shows a fastest-of-36 workout at 5F since his debut and that puts him on upset alert today. Bet to win and place and play a 1-4-7 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 3	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Races (3-4-5) / 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 (Races 3-8)-60% Carryover
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $15,400 • Post: 1:10P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHIVAREE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Tod ay is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FLAT LUCKY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ZADDY: Horse's average winn ing distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. DON'T CROSS JACK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start aft er a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	SHIVAREE	5/2	5/1
8	FLAT LUCKY	6/1	6/1
4	ZADDY	3/1	7/1
3	DON'T CROSS JACK	4/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	ZADDY	4	3/1	Front-runner	87	76	73.2	71.0	60.5
3	DON'T CROSS JACK	3	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	82	75	57.4	71.0	62.0
5	SHIVAREE	5	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	80	80	45.8	77.2	74.2
8	FLAT LUCKY	8	6/1	Trailer	84	88	49.2	70.4	63.9
2	BAILAMOS	2	8/1	Trailer	84	71	35.4	78.4	73.4
1	MARKHAMIAN	1	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	75	75.8	67.0	54.5
7	LITTLE VAQUERO	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	75	52.8	67.6	56.6
6	EXONERATED PREZ	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	66	50.6	60.2	45.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
PURCHASE

Penn National - Race 7	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 8:39P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHARISSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RED BETTY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DRIFTING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 da ys. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8	CHARISSE	8/1	9/2
5	RED BETTY	5/1	5/1
4	DRIFTING	7/5	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	DRIFTING	4	7/5	Front-runner	63	68	69.2	45.0	40.5
3	MAGGIE K	3	6/1	Front-runner	69	62	63.4	32.2	26.7
6	GOLDEN LIMONCELLO	6	8/1	Front-runner	61	58	53.6	50.6	36.1
2	PERFECT PINK	2	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	61	61	67.2	48.4	36.9
5	RED BETTY	5	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	64	60	53.6	52.6	42.6
1	AUNT JO	1	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	53.5	43.8	33.3
8	CHARISSE	8	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	80	69	23.7	51.3	45.3
7	GOLDEN STYLE	7	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	62	62.4	40.2	32.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:12 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $130000 Class Rating: 93

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER SINCE AUGUST 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 SAM'S TREASURE 6/5
# 3 CARESS 4/1
# 2 TANYA SHOWERS 3/1

SAM'S TREASURE is tough to overlook as the wager in here. This filly with Ortiz in the saddle makes her a key contender. The Equibase speed fig of 92 from her last contest looks solid in here. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. CARESS - She has a good opportunity here as trainer, Weaver, has solid win rate with horses going this distance. Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved speedily to the lead recently. TANYA SHOWERS - Has very good speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the means to a comeback.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 6:12pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating:

#2 RECYCLE (ML=8/1)
#3 PEDRO NUNES (ML=9/2)
#6 SCHNITTKER (ML=7/2)

RECYCLE - Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Lets try to beat the morning-line favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. PEDRO NUNES - This colt is in first-rate physical condition right now. Finished third last race out and comes back soon. SCHNITTKER - Strong win percentage this rider and trainer tandem have been putting together. This gelding is almost always in the money. Ran a speedy time for the last quarter on Sep 29th at Presque Isle Downs. Anything close in this race should get the job done. Morales and his horse make quite a pair. Together they've been winning at a clip of 67 percent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 WAR OFFICER (ML=5/2), #7 VIRTUOSITY (ML=4/1), #8 I'M NO ANGEL (ML=8/1),

WAR OFFICER - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance affairs in order to play him. This gelding hasn't been getting the job done as the favorite. VIRTUOSITY - This less than sharp equine ran a common speed fig in the last race. He shouldn't run much better and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that number. I'M NO ANGEL - Finished fourth last time. Would have to perk up to be there at the wire in today's race. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed rating last time out in an Allowance race on Oct 9th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that number.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #2 RECYCLE to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,3,6] with [2,3,6] with [1,2,3,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:13 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - SO - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23120 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CUPID'S RUNAWAY 1/1
# 8 GOLDEN HORNET 4/1
# 5 ZAPPINIT 6/1

CUPID'S RUNAWAY looks very good to best this field. Overall the speed figures of this racer look quite good in this race. Has ran soundly in dirt sprint races. Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this group in his last affair. GOLDEN HORNET - Put up a very good speed rating last time out. Is difficult not to examine based on speed figs which have been solid - 81 avg - of late. ZAPPINIT - His 83 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this race. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-23-2025, 09:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 2:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,250 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#2 MY LAST ESCAPADE (ML=3/1)

MY LAST ESCAPADE - Felix and Slager partnered with one another are a horseplayer's friend. He finished second October 9th, but was well clear of the show horse. Taking a trip down in class; has the class to make his presence felt. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I feel can be a very key handicapping aspect. This animal is ranked at the top of the list in this field. This thoroughbred coming off a solid race in the last month is a contender in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JACKSON'S BUDDY (ML=2/1), #5 BLACK RUSSIAN (ML=7/2), #3 LUCKY SEVEN (ML=9/2),

JACKSON'S BUDDY - I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last few weeks. This gelding earned a fig in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. BLACK RUSSIAN - A bit of a less than stellar performance when this horse finished fourth. LUCKY SEVEN - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underlay.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #2 MY LAST ESCAPADE on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

Thursday 10/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 10/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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