Friday 11/7/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:34 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

November 7, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

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Hoosier Park has a 13-race card featuring 3-year-olds in the Catholic Cowboys Series. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10, it has a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selection below are based on a fast track.

Race 10 (8:57 PM EDT)

2-Miracle Maven (7/5)-Winner in 4 of the last 5 and gets significant post relief for this affair. The only loss came 2 back from post 8, did get the top and lost by a length. Got another difficult journey from post 8 in last, was hung the mile and won by a length. Can race much closer to the lead off the car here and should have her way with this crew.

Race 11 (9:20 PM EDT)

3-A New Endeavor (6-1)-Will look for better value and fade #2 the 2-1 ML chalk and will start with a square price. Comes off a dull try after winning 2 in a row, and one of the pictures came against straight Open company. Gets class relief and is worth a swing at this price and will look for a new win streak to begin.
4-M-M-S Bud (7/2)-Will toss last from post 10 and has been in the hunt at the wire in the previous 4 starts. Jay Cross should work a smooth trip with this post draw, and the fractions could be lively. Can roll late and is a threat if racing near the top of the stack turning for the wire.
5-Brookview Bullet (3-1)-Using and thinking the morning line price is too low. Ships back from DTN off a solid try and did win 2 back at HoP going gate to wire from post 7. This will be a test, but has the gate speed to be put in play when the wings fold and has a tactical advantage on others.

Race 12 (9:43 PM EDT)

3-Miss Fancy Nancy (5-1)-Come off a decent race leaving from post 10 and this is a consistent check casher against this kind. Trace Tetrick stuck with #7 and that helps the price. Should be no worse than in the pocket off the car and can beat this group with a top try.
4-Can'ttouchthese (7/2)-Comes off an 8th place finish and was hung the mile. This race should set up differently and will look for a bounce back effort at a fair price.
7-Westwinds (7/2)-This is the 2nd race at HoP, and the 2nd start since shipping in from Kentucky. The Tetrick-George combo should be respected as usual. Goes back on Lasix and will look for improvement in its 2nd race on this oval.

Race 13 (10:06 PM EDT)

4-Chandler Bing (3-1)-The Alvin Miller pupil has won 4 of 10 on the season. Has good speed, faces a beatable field and should be in the hunt at the wire.
9-Deal The Odds (20-1)-Price shot has put in 3 good efforts in the last 4 starts and drew post 10 the only time it missed a check. Has gate speed to get a close-up seat despite the post draw and will look for an aggressive steer with the driver change to Luke Plano.
10-Ima Perfect Choice (7/2)-Ships in to HoP from Yonkers which is interesting and has a 151.2 mark at Vernon Downs this year. Jordan Ross needs to find a way to race with the leaders early on in the mile. Has hit the board in 18 of 23 with 8 pictures this year and it's best to respect in its Hoosier debut.

$1 Late Pick 4

2/3,4,5/3,4,7/4,9,10
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:34 AM

Del Mar Pick 4, November 7, 2025

November 7, 2025 | By Frank Carulli

DEL MAR PICK 4
Friday, November 7, 2025

It’s the calm after the storm at Del Mar this Friday, Nov. 7. The Breeders’ Cup Word Championships are settled, now it’s time for the California breds to take the stage for three races that are part of the 50-cent Late Pick 4. Here’s a closer look:

DMR 5th race (5:30 p.m. EST) -- P TOWN PRANCER pressed the 32-1 winner but gave way after a half-mile off an eight-month layoff. He makes his first start as a gelding and for a claiming price and can make good use of his speed for trainer Doug O’Neill, who won two MSW turf races last week at Del Mar and has seven sprint-to-route turf winners with a $3.20 R.O.I in the past year. SHAPOVAL earned three mid-60 Beyers and finished in the money twice in one-mile races on firm footing at Santa Anita. He steadied behind a troubled rival last out at Del Mar while the two short-priced favorites got away from the field. FIGHT BACK, plagued by recurring trouble lines, gets a needed break from MSW company but draws outside in this $50,000 maiden claiming route for statebreds. He raced much closer to the pace when he last wore blinkers as he will today.

DMR 6th race (6:00 p.m. EST) -- The 2-3-4-5 finishers from the same race under these conditions reunite in this $32,000 maiden claimer. FLASHY FRITZ set all the fractions but he drifted and bumped the even-money winner in mid-stretch and settled for second. But be duly warned: the nine entrants in that race were a combined 28/0-2-1 coming in and a claim on the winner was voided by the vet. Hit the ‘ALL’ button in Leg B of the Pick 4.

DMR 7th race (6:30 p.m. EST) -- ANDTHEHOMEOFTHEBRAVE dueled and finished 1-2-3 in his three 5F turf sprints at Del Mar. But he was no match at 6F for TITANIC THOMPSON, who put away the top one at the top of the stretch, only to get caught by a pair of deep closers, including 46-1 shot GOOD COUNCIL. Use TITANIC THOMPSON as a solo play, but add ANDTHEHOMEOFTHEBRAVE if there are any scratches on our ticket below.

DMR 8th race (7:00 p.m. EST) -- VICTORIA’S JEWEL pressed recent stakes winner Too Sassy to the quarter pole in her debut, maintained ‘command through the turn’ before the deep closers arrived in her second start and wilted again at 5-1/2F last out. She has the speed of morning-line favorite LADY K WESTFALL to contend with today, but the class drop could be the answer. If the favorites duel each other into defeat, SOUTHERN ANTON is a viable longshot worth using on the ticket. She just missed after a stretch-long battle with the winner in her MSW debut at Emerald Downs, but was no factor at this level in a follow-up try at Santa Anita. The ninth-place finisher in her debut won by 6 lengths next out with a 63 Beyer.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
DMR 5th Race: 1, 4, 9
DMR 6th Race: ALL
DMR 7th Race: 3
DMR 8th Race: 7, 9, 11
Cost: $40.50

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:35 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #1

#5 Tiger of the Sea	Speed stayed well when third last time out, and he looks like the controlling pace from out here and could seal the deal today.
#1 Della Terra	She could handle this group easily, but I would have liked to see just a touch more punch from her last time out. She has tables to turn on a couple who beat her that day and has come up short at 90 cents on the dollar in both of her last two races. I don't know...
#2 Apple Pie	Take a look at her on the track and tote ahead of this, but she might not have to be a star to land a piece of this at first asking.
Race Summary	Tiger of the Sea should be able to control the tempo here, and that's a dangerous edge in a small field.

Del Mar - Race #3

#9 Adia	She ran a good one in a solid race here this summer, and I wonder if some of the new faces will be interesting enough to keep the price mildly playable here? Will take her experience edge with good form.
#3 Stars Hollow	She's the most interesting debuter to me on paper, so I'll start with her when taking a look at the fresh faces on the track.
#2 Marla Hooch	Another firster for a capable team, she's bred to enjoy this short trip and wouldn't be any surprise right out of the box.
Race Summary	Adia brings the only serious form on paper in here, so I'm hoping that will stack up well enough with some interesting newcomers.

Del Mar - Race #8

#11 Victoria's Jewel	She hasn't stayed late in her three starts, but her best try came over the local footing, and she draws well to attack from out here in a race without a ton of serious pace.
#7 Lady K Westfall	She looks like the other main pace player in here, I just assume we'll get a better price up top. Nothing clever here -- think it's one of the forward players.
#3 Big Coin	She missed at 4/5 last out at Los Al, and she's not entirely out of the question if she can find a good spot to spy the top two as they sort out the early scores.
Race Summary	Victoria's Jewel draws well to prompt the pace here, and I'm hoping that draw advantage gives her enough to make the day tough for Lady K Westfall, who figures to be right there in the early mix, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:36 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #4

#2 MONGOLIAN MAX (5-2)	Idle since July claim, good one-mile form, :59.1 bullet work encouraging.
#5 RESEMBLANCE (4-1)	Stands 7/2-1-3 with more than $42,000 in earnings at this distance.
#3 SUPERMAX (12-1)	Can rally into gimmick wagers if she avoids another troubled start.
Race Summary	MONGOLIAN MAX chased a fast pace but couldn’t hold off the favorite or deep-closing runner-up when claimed four months ago. He won twice in his last six one-mile runs at Santa Anita and could win again while racing for the cheapest claiming price of his career. Bet to win and place and play a 2-ALL exacta.

Del Mar - Race #1

#6 PAVEL’S ETOILE (2-1)	Loomed boldly on turn off 11-month layoff, missed in blanket finish.
#1 DELLA TERRA (9-5)	Second in deep turf sprint in March, beaten fave in return versus main rivals today.
#5 TIGER OF THE SEA (5-2)	Takes catching on cutback to 5F, erratic in stretch last out, sheds blinkers.
Race Summary	TIGER OF THE SEA set the pace, turned back PAVEL’S ETOILE when she drew alongside late on the turn but weaved in and out through the stretch, probably costing her the victory. Both runners came off lengthy layoffs, but go with PAVEL’S ETOILE at a projected better price in the 5F rematch. Bet on PAVEL’S ETOILE to win and place and play 6-1 and 6-5 exactas.

Del Mar - Race #2

#2 TOPPERS AT SEASIDE (3-1)	Smashing maiden score, taken to repeat if he doesn’t ‘bounce.’
#5 SCATIFY (8-5)	Dueled, just missed despite bad start at 6-1/2F, mid-80 Beyers in 3 of prior 5 on dirt.
#3 OUR CONSIGLIERE (5-1)	Finished 2 lengths behind Scatify, worked 4F in :48.1 since then.
Race Summary	TOPPERS AT SEASIDE pulled away from the pursuing even-money favorite midway on the final turn en route to a 10-1/4-length maiden victory and an eye-catching 87 Beyer at this distance. The performance was validated when the runner-up came back with a 12-3/4-lenghth victory with an 82 Beyer. Bet to win and place and play 2-3 and 2-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:36 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
PURCHASE

Remington Park - Race 8	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Late Daily Double
Stakes • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 9:16P
SILVER GOBLIN H. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA FOALS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $600 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $500 ADDITIONAL WITH $30,000 GUARANTEED BY REMINGTON PARK AND AN ADDITIONAL $20,000 PLUS FROM THE OKLAHOMA BRED FUND. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR A FEE OF $2,200, WHICH QUALIFIES TO START. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY USUAL TIME OF ENTRY. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. THIS RACE WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN (14) STARTERS. THE GUARANTEED MONEY AND OBF FUNDS TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. FEES INCLUDE A CUSTOM SADDLE TOWEL THAT WILL BE PRESENTED TO EACH ENTRANT. A SUITABLE AWARD WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. FLAT HANBY is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * C W PRIZE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or rout e)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CONNORS OUTLAW: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GHOST HERO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MISSIN HOLLYWOOD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	C W PRIZE	3/1	9/2
6	CONNORS OUTLAW	5/2	7/1
7	GHOST HERO	6/1	7/1
3	MISSIN HOLLYWOOD	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	GHOST HERO	7	6/1	Front-runner	100	101	103.3	62.5	53.0
6	CONNORS OUTLAW	6	5/2	Front-runner	97	89	95.6	82.8	76.3
2	TZEDAKAH	2	8/1	Front-runner	97	78	91.4	74.0	60.5
1	C W PRIZE	1	3/1	Stalker	102	96	86.2	91.2	87.7
3	MISSIN HOLLYWOOD	3	10/1	Stalker	96	90	75.0	88.0	81.5
8	CODE NATE	8	9/2	Stalker	77	81	68.2	77.4	68.4
5	FLAT HANBY	5	12/1	Trailer	89	86	73.0	81.7	71.2
4	SALT CREEK KID	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	81	47.8	75.6	63.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:37 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE

Evangeline Downs - Race 6	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HY ON SWEET LUCK: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CARRY ON MOON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. APOLITIC AL TRAIN: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. TJS DYNASTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. JESS DYNASTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	HY ON SWEET LUCK	15/1	6/1
6	CARRY ON MOON	6/1	7/1
9	APOLITICAL TRAIN	20/1	7/1
1	TJS DYNASTY	5/1	7/1
4	JESS DYNASTY	12/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TJS DYNASTY	1	5/1	Average	86	81	5.1	0.0	0.0
2	UNLEASH	2	8/1	Fast	84	74	2.0	0.0	0.0
3	HY ON SWEET LUCK	3	15/1	Average	91	88	5.3	0.0	0.0
4	JESS DYNASTY	4	12/1	Average	83	82	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	CINDYS CARTER MISS	5	10/1	Fast	78	82	1.1	0.0	0.0
6	CARRY ON MOON	6	6/1	Average	85	83	4.9	0.0	0.0
7	DESTINYCHILD	7	3/1	Average	89	79	5.0	0.0	0.0
8	YODA	8	2/1	Average	87	81	5.5	0.0	0.0
9	APOLITICAL TRAIN	9	20/1	Fast	91	78	2.7	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:37 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15800 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 7, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FIVE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CAJUN EXPECTATION 7/2
# 8 MISS BEE BOP 7/5
# 7 CHEROKEE CASTLE 8/1

CAJUN EXPECTATION is the strongest bet in this race. Has been running soundly and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. Should definitely be given a shot for this race if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. This animal has to be in good form coming back to the track so quickly. MISS BEE BOP - Has a solid shot in this competition if you like back class. Overall the speed figs of this pony look very good in this contest. CHEROKEE CASTLE - Have to play this mare with the strong earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. I would have to consider this mare on the jock and trainer numbers alone.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:37 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 4:59pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,400 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#10 IF YOU INSIST (ML=20/1)
#4 U S ARMY CORPS (ML=15/1)
#6 MEHLEK (ML=4/1)
#1 FAST AND READY (ML=20/1)
#11 GOOD SIN (ML=7/2)

IF YOU INSIST - This gelding is in exceptional condition right now. Finished first in the last race and comes back rapidly. This mount has multiple victories at the same distance we're running today. U S ARMY CORPS - Strong return on investment for this jockey and conditioner tandem. MEHLEK - Entered at the same class level and distance of his last win, which is a big plus for this horse. Flores and Tharrenos perform well when they unite. It's hard to beat a +184 ROI for a jock and trainer. Always watch out for the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Trainer Tharrenos moves this horse down in class to face a lower class field. Look for a good race with this class drop. FAST AND READY - This gelding seems to like to win at a big price. Look for this gelding to run much better in this event. Last race at Fort Erie finishing fifth on a sloppy track is no indication of his true talent. GOOD SIN - A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a sharp race is a good omen. Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Woodbine. Could add another win right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MANNIX (IRE) (ML=3/1),

MANNIX (IRE) - Unlikely that this horse will finish better than he did last time when ending up sixth. Mediocre fig in the last race at Woodbine at 7 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - U S ARMY CORPS - Closed nicely on October 24th at Woodbine. Should do well stretching out to 1 1/16 miles today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #10 IF YOU INSIST on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	[4,6,10] with [1,4,6,10,11] with [1,4,6,10,11] Total Cost: $36
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,10] with [4,6,10] with [1,4,6,10,11] with [1,4,6,10,11] Total Cost: $24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 PEACETHRUSTRENGTH 4/1
# 5 MESSAGEFROMTHEKING 15/1
# 11 J SQUARED 8/1

PEACETHRUSTRENGTH has a formidable shot to take this race. Tough to pass on this colt with Husbands in the saddle. The average class rating of 73 makes this horse difficult to beat. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this pony look very strong in this competition. MESSAGEFROMTHEKING - Could provide positive dividends based on formidable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 74. The average Equibase class figure of 74 makes this entrant tough to beat. J SQUARED - Recorded a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. With one of the strongest jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this gelding out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-07-2025, 06:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Aqueduct - Race #5 - Post: 1:40pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#6 CREDIT RISK (ML=5/2)
#7 DANIELLA MARIE (ML=7/2)
#1 SPARKLING MAMA (ML=8/1)

CREDIT RISK - After the contest aboard this horse on Sep 12th, the jock is going to be in touch with the filly much better. Is ranked highest in earnings per start. A dominant outing in this race can add to that total. DANIELLA MARIE - This rider and conditioner's equines have been generating a beneficial return on investment. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class to make her presence felt. SPARKLING MAMA - Faced tougher last out at Belmont at the Big A. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders. I think that today's shorter distance should help this filly. Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This filly should do better hitting the dirt in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 IT'S CAROL'S WAY (ML=7/2), #3 CLARIVIDENTE (ML=6/1), #8 LADY ROSE (ML=8/1),

IT'S CAROL'S WAY - I forecast a disappointing effort for this horse in this event. CLARIVIDENTE - Tough to support any thoroughbred that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. LADY ROSE - This less than sharp equine will likely be pulling up the rear as this bunch crosses the finish.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DANIELLA MARIE - The conditioner is getting serious with this filly today. The 'hood' on for this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #6 CREDIT RISK on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,7] Total Cost: $6