Saturday 11/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2025, 01:26 PM

Race of the Week: Saturday's Dave's Friend at Laurel Park

November 19, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
The stakes season may be winding down, but Laurel Park's trio of featured races Saturday provide a welcome mat for some of the circuit's biggest stars. The Willa on the Move Stakes, Richard W. Small Stakes and the Dave's Friend Stakes are grouped together on the 9-race card that begins at noon. The 6-furlong Dave's Friend will be my focus in Race 7 (post time 2:52 pm ET).

Field Depth:
Grade 1-placed performers TWISTED RIDE and DEAN DELIVERS have dabbled at the top sprint levels, while Grade 2-placed SUNNY BREEZE and Grade 3-placed PRINCE OF JERICHO have earned black type. Six of the 9 entrants are listed stakes winners. The lineup is very evenly matched on class.

Pace:
Seven different runners have some designs on or pressing the lead, which should lead to a hotly contested pace. It's cloudy which will fire fastest and who will be left in chase mode, but SUBROGATE and TETINGAS TWIN figure to be the beneficiaries from off the pace.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-SUBROGATE: DeFrancis Dash winner over this track and distance in June returns with a great pace set-up. The Jorge Duarte trainee also hits a key, second-off-the-layoff spot of his form cycle. Note he won his second lifetime start, a 2OL allowance in June 2024 and a 2OL spot for the DeFrancis Dash. Major threat.

#2-PETINGAS TWIN: Off the board in all 3 career stakes bids, this allowance sort exits a career-best race over the track and is 9-for-12 in the exacta on the Laurel main. Should get a good pace set-up for the high-percentage Anthony Farrior barn. Consider at a price.

#3-TWISTED RIDE: Parx-based 6-year-old is 18-36 in the exacta lifetime with a commendable 10 wins. Runner-up in the Maryland Million Sprint here Oct. 11 and has been second in all 3 Laurel efforts lifetime. Third last summer in the Grade 1 Vanderbilt at Saratoga, but an 11-race losing streak lasted all the way until his Oct. 29 Parx allowance victory. Consider underneath.

#4-UNCLE CAT: Allowance sort has managed only 1 win from 10 starts at Laurel on the main track, albeit with 4 seconds. Against this crew looks to be in a no-lead, no-pass situation and others offer far more appeal.

#5-SHOWSTOPPER COPPER: Able to punch out lesser competition, but when faced with rivals of this ilk he's been flat late and unable to finish the job. Penn National-based gelding should be part of the contended pace, but prefer others when it counts late.

#6-MAXIMUS MERIDIUS: Parx trainer Butch Reid brings a rested and ready sprinter to town, off since September's runner-up in the Parx Sprint. While not a need-the-lead type, this fast breaker might be on the engine while fresh.

#7-SUNNY BREEZE: First of 2 for veteran trainer Ned Allard, who also sends out Dean Delivers. Won the Concern Stakes over this track last year, but has dropped 7 straight since (0-4 in 2025). Has lost margin in the final call in each of those defeats and appears to be in a no-lead, no-pass situation Saturday.

#8-PRINCE OF JERICHO: Morning line favorite returns from a February layoff as red-hot trainer Brittany Russell picks a steep spot for the comeback. While his record is strong at 6 furlongs (9: 3-4-1), at top levels he's been dynamite at 7 furlongs and potentially that's his best trip. Only 1 career start off a long vacation and that netted a solid, but unspectacular, allowance win. I'll try to beat him, but respect the ledger.

#9-DEAN DELIVERS: The 2024 DeFrancis Dash winner at Laurel was in peak form a year ago, but this 6-year-old season has seen a noticable decline. Poor allowance effort over this track and distance in his local prep doesn't inspire any confidence the Ned Allard trainee is about to turn it around.

Most Likely Exotics Contender:
SUBROGATE is proven locally at this trip and class level and should be ready to fire at this point of his form cycle behind a hot pace to tackle.

Best Longshot Contender:
PETINGAS TWIN should get a great trip, and while only 6-1 in the morning line, is the best 'price' to dabble.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$100 win SUBROGATE.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2025, 01:26 PM

Scott Shapiro: Saturday's Gulfstream $5K Hit & Split Analysis

November 20, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

The Championship Meet at Gulfstream Park is rapidly approaching. In fact, it kicks off on Thanksgiving Day, November 27, and runs until March 29, 2026. To get 1/ST BET and Xpressbet customers ready for the big meeting in the Sunshine State, we have a $5,000 Hit & Split on Saturday. $2500 is up for grabs in the Pick 5 sequence that gets started in Race 7 with the other $2500 for the Pick 4 that begins in Race 8. Make sure to register on the promotional landing page!

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 7:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 5 One of One; 2 Tinta Roja
Backups: None

Forecast: Six of the nine entered for this $10k open claimer over the all-weather exit a similar spot on November 1 where it was #5 One of One and #4 Love Mami Love running 1-2 around the racetrack from start-to-finish. It is unlikely that the race plays out exactly the same three weeks later, but there is little early speed signed on once again making it tough to get to the late runners that were no match earlier this month. The wild card is though #2 Tinta Roja. The daughter of Vino Rosso drops out of a $20k claimer and moves back to the all-weather for trainer Beau Chapman. I give him the best chance of beating One of One to get the sequence started.

Race 8:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2 Duty; 5 Uncle’s Gold
Backups: None

Forecast: A MSW at two-turns over the all-weather is next where I will lean on a pair of lighter raced horses with several of those likely to take money having far too many chances against similar already. #2 Duty is my top choice, but hard to fully trust. The Kinsman Stable gelding competed twice in Hallandale Beach back in late winter and early spring, but has not been seen since. He does though come in off a steady series of drills over the Belmont training track and one local move at Payson Park. His speed is a major weapon. #5 Uncle’s Gold comes in with better form, but has never competed over a synthetic surface. That said, he should be tough if able to translate his grass form over to the all-weather for trainer Michael Trombetta.

Race 9:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 10 Street View
Backups: 1 Puckered

Forecast: There is a ton of early speed signed on in this first-level allowance at the tricky 7-furlong distance. I am hopeful #10 Street View can use the outside draw to her advantage after chasing and tiring against much better in the Gallant Bloom (G2) in late September. The outside draw should allow jockey Micah Husbands to play the break and settle just off the plethora of early zip to his inside. If Husbands can avoid getting caught up in the early tussle or getting caught too wide throughout, this daughter of Street Boss should be tough. If not, #1 Puckered has a shot to make the last move. The Constitution filly was unable to take advantage of a really fast pace last out, but it came off of just 12-days rest. She can finish. Edgar Perez takes the call this time around.

Race 10:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 7 And UWish
Backups: None

Forecast: The last time #7 And Uwish raced over this surface and distance it was a neck win over #3 Sosua Summer at this same condition. Both are entered in this 5.5-furlong sprint over the all-weather where I expect And Uwish to get to the wire first once again. The Joe Orseno trainee has raced twice since his win on July 6, once at five furlongs on the grass where he finished a length behind serious turf sprinter Reef Runner. After that, Orseno opted to try him at two-turns, which did not go well. The 4YO gelding has been given time and should get a similar outside stalking trip on the cutback to the one he got in his victory this summer. Regular rider Edgard Zayas is back onboard.

Race 11:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2 Hard Circle
Backups: 4 Astin Style; 5 Broken Sound; 1 English Rocker; 6 Depth Perception

Forecast: The finale goes through a number of runners dropping from MSW into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time. Of the class droppers, I like #2 Hard Circle most. The son of Hard Spun moves into the Jose D’Angelo barn after a number of starts against better competition for Mike Maker. He has a steady series of works since arriving in Florida and should be on the lead under jockey Emisael Jaramillo. He had no chance to get to the front in his last this spring at Keeneland when a long shot ran off. I expect him to get back to showing speed from the gate.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-20-2025, 01:27 PM

Jeremy Plonk: Laurel All-Stakes Pick 3 for Saturday

November 20, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s racing action in Maryland includes a trio of Laurel Park stakes races. The featured events go in succession, Races 6-8, and make up an all-stakes pick 3. Dry skies and temps in the low 50s are forecasted for Saturday.

Laurel: Race 6 (2:23 pm ET) | $100,000 Willa On the Move Stakes

Parx-based Michael Moore has been stellar with limited Laurel raids in recent years and has once-beaten #4 Takethemoneyhoney working sharp for her May return. This filly is 2-for-2 over the track and may benefit from some big-name barns present (Joseph, Rice, Amoss) and helping the price. Moore also adds #12 Alani, who is 4: 3-1-0 at Laurel and in excellent recent form. I’ll hone on these stablemates.

Laurel: Race 7 (2:52 pm ET) | $100,000 Dave’s Friend Stakes

A strongly contested pace is forecasted here and the patience displayed by #1 Subrogate should pay dividends. This sprinter has gone 3-for-3 when making the second start of his form cycle as he’ll be making on Saturday. He catches morning line favorite #8 Prince of Jericho at a shorter trip than that one’s best off the layoff. #1 Subrogate stands out as a single to this eye.

Laurel: Race 8 (3:22 pm ET) | $100,000 Richard W. Small Stakes

Not only did the 3-year-old #5 Barbadian Runner give local superstar Post Time the only loss of his Laurel career in the Maryland Million Classic, but third-place finisher Blue Kingdom since won an Aqueduct allowance for his fourth win in his last 5 starts. Barbadian Runner is a legit favorite here over the same 9 furlongs he negotiated last month, but the recipe to beat him would be with early speed. #6 Secret Zipper looks like potential lone speed, which takes on even greater upset potential with a small field size like this. The race runs through these two.

The Tickets:
4-1-5 largest amount
12-1-5 medium amount
4-1-6 medium amount
12-1-6 smallest amount

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-21-2025, 10:37 AM

Scott Shapiro: Saturday Fair Grounds Best Bets 11/22

November 21, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

Saturday marks the first Saturday of the meeting at Fair Grounds, which opened on Thursday afternoon in New Orleans. The 9-race card kicks off at 1:45 pm ET / 12:45 pm local time and is headlined by a trio of Louisiana-bred stakes events. Here are a few horses I plan to build my wagering around on Saturday in the “Big Easy.”

Race 3
My first play of the day comes in this $30k maiden claimer over the grass where I landed on class dropper #8 Edgerton. The son of Street Boss has made three starts, including two going long on the sod against maiden special weight competition. Not only does the Godolphin homebred get some significant class relief on Saturday, but he had legitimate excuses in both turf routes thus far. On September 11, in his grass debut, he was beaten out of the gate and up against it from there in a race dominated by those on the front end. Last time out, he was caught wide throughout in a race over the Laurel turf. Trainer Michael Stidham finds a softer spot and legs up jockey Axel Concepcion. Expect a big effort after a pair of maintenance drills over the main track since arriving in New Orleans.

Play: #8 Edgerton (9-2 ML)

Race 7: Andrew Ney Memorial
One of the stories to watch early on in the Fair Grounds 2025-2026 meeting is how veteran jockey Paco Lopez fares in New Orleans. I anticipate Lopez will find plenty of winners over the course of the winter. He should be able to work out a fantastic trip on #8 Not On Herb in this 6-furlong dash for Louisiana-breds over the main track. 2-1-ML favorite #1 Geaux Sugar is the likely pacesetter from his inside draw, but has not quite been the same horse over his last few starts. Hopefully, #3 Smash It off the long break amongst others at least keeps the chalk honest. Either way, I expect Paco to be sitting a few lengths off the early pace on this 8-time winner that comes in fresh for trainer David Terre. Terre appears to have pointed for this spot, so I expect his trainee to be ready to roll on Saturday afternoon.

Play: #8 Not On Herb (9-2 ML)

Race 9: Jacob V Morreale Memorial
The final stakes race of the afternoon is another state-bred affair, but this one at two-turns over the main track where early speed appears to be at a premium. I am hopeful #3 Letmikefigureitout can take advantage. The son of Daaher comes in fresh for trainer Alan Klanfer. Klanfer has only started 62 horses this year, but has won at a 27% clip with a positive ROI and finds his trainee in a wide-open spot in his first ever stakes try. Letmikefigureitout has won from just off the pace before, but also has won on the front end. Look for jockey Devin Magnon to get aggressive from his inside draw, take command early, and hopefully have enough left late to earn his fifth victory in six starts in 2025. He should offer solid value on the class hike in this field of 11 to close opening week at Fair Grounds.

Play: #3 Letmikefigureitout (8-1 ML)

Best of luck in the Big Easy!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:18 AM

Johnny Burke: Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes Selections | Sha Tin

November 22, 2025 | By Johnny Burke

Race 6 | Jockey Club Sprint
Top Pick: #1 KA YING RISING
Suggested Play: Exacta – 1 w/ 7,8

It’s not a sexy pick at 3/5 on the Morning Line, but KA YING RISING is truly the sprinter of this generation. Coming off a resounding win in the G1 Everest at Royal Randwick, we have almost no reason to believe KA YING RISING is in anything other than top form. This race should serve as a tune-up ahead of December 14th where he’ll look to defend his Hong Kong Sprint (G1) title. KA YING RISING will get his workout in and should romp in this field, but if we can find a standout opinion for the runner-up spot we can still make something of the race.

TOMODACHI KOKORE is certainly in good form, having rattled off three wins in a row, but more than the trips to the winner’s circle I’m looking at the final race times where he has excelled. What I’m looking for is a runner with enough pure speed who can find a way to run above his class and well above his odds. This seven-year-old is just 7/1 on the Morning Line, making him the third choice, but his final times in his most recent victories have been coming in well under a lot of his competition. In these sprints, I like to lean on a horse’s pure speed more than tactical placement. Sometimes you just get breaks to go your way and when you’re fast, you’re fast.

RAGING BLIZZARD boasts an appealing 16/1 Morning Line and has shown a cunning ability to close at both five and six furlongs. If things get hairy up front, and with a champ like KA YING RISING you never know what kind of instructions these jockeys will get to try to take him down, I like this gelding to have a fair shot at cleaning up some stragglers. He has finished within a half of a length of both FAST NETWORK and TOMODACHI KOKORE and with a tad bit of improvement in trip or speed, he’s got a good shot of clearing them both for second place.

Race 7 | Jockey Club Mile
Top Pick: #13 LIGHT YEARS CHARM
Suggested Plays: Win – 13 // Quinella – 13 w/ 1,4,5

Contrary, maybe, to the 9/10 designation on Morning Line favorite MY WISH, I think this race is pretty wide open. The field consists of a strong group who have bounced around winning and hitting the board in Group Stakes action, with MY WISH in the best form of late.

LIGHT YEARS CHARM is going to be stretching out an extra furlong in this bout, having won four of his last five races over seven furlongs each. He has only run one race at a mile where he placed third, but I think his recent performances have shown a propensity to go further. He has been more than capable of hanging onto the pace in those longer sprints and makes a surging closing run to pull through. With extra distance, I think the pace will slow down for him enough to keep him in this race all the way through, but I expect a busy group up front early duking it out for lone-pace status and eventually opening up a window for our top choice. Zac Purton is up and that bodes well for any bettor dabbling in the Hong Kong circuit.

Alongside LIGHT YEARS CHARM, I think there is a lot of potential in some big prices. RED LION has an impressive G1 win on his resume and looked sharp in his season debut even with a tough trip grinding him down. I like his chances at improving in his second try of the new year. CHANCHENG GLORY is a one-mile monster, but will have to return to a form that has faded as of late. If he can reach deep in his bag and get up for this race, he’s going to remind us why a 99/1 Morning Line is too good to leave off the ticket. Lastly, HAPPY TOGETHER is a horse that has been highly touted by the connections, and while he’s been coming up just short I do think his team is anticipating a big run this Sunday at Sha Tin. Quite frankly, even his average recent race is worthy of finishing within a half-length of the lead, making him a prime Quinella or Exacta contender.

Race 8 | Jockey Club Cup
Top Pick: #1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR
Suggested Play: Trifecta – 3,4,6 w/ 1 w/ 3,4,6

ROMANTIC WARRIOR is already a legend in Hong Kong, and if you’ll recall, was leading Breeders’ Cup Classic Winner FOREVER YOUNG down the stretch in the Saudi Cup before losing by a less than a half-length. Prior to two second-place finishes in the Middle East, ROMANTIC WARRIOR and James McDonald were the stuff of nightmares for anyone running in Hong Kong. He’s coming back from an injury, and we should take into account that he may not look like his peak self right away, but anything close to his prime is more than enough to tackle this field. VOYAGE BUBBLE, only the second HK Triple Crown winner ever, is a clear second choice, but has shown an ability to be his own worst enemy at times.

At 3/5 on ROMANTIC WARRIOR and 9/5 on VOYAGE BUBBLE, to me the only way to play this race is to find some prices and split the trifecta. We’d have to bank on ROMANTIC WARRIOR not having his best day off the layoff, VOYAGE BUBBLE getting into some trouble out of the gate, and one of three price horses finding a way to dig deep and take advantage of the circumstances. It’s a stretch, but I can’t in good faith advise many other ways to spend your bankroll on a race with such a high chance of pennies on the dollar for payouts.

What’s the difference between this race and KA YING RISING at 3/5? Why not play a cold exacta again? Well, we know KA YING RISING is healthy and in incredible form. We’ve seen a run in Hong Kong and Australia this season and both were outright dominant. ROMANTIC WARRIOR is the classiest horse in the field, but we have introduced a couple of unknowns to the equation. With KA YING RISING, I have no doubt the race is all his to lose. With ROMANTIC WARRIOR, it’s not inconceivable to see a trip where his time off catches up with him and he needs the race ahead of the International Races on December 14th. This isn’t the destination for ROMANTIC WARRIOR, nor KA YING RISING, but one may need the tune-up and the other is finely tuned and firing.

However you decide to play them, the races at Sha Tin this Sunday are expected to be spectacular and well worth the attention of racing fans around the globe. I wish you the best of luck with all your plays, and hope everyone is gearing up for some needed time with family and friends this holiday season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:18 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

November 22, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10 (10:05 PM EDT)

7-National Sport (8-1)-The veteran makes its 4th start off the bench and rolled home in a 56.1 back half to finish 2nd. Raced from the back last time and 2 back got on the point and also finished 2nd. Gets a positive driver change in Jason Bartlett and could be sitting on a big race.
8-Like A Shadow (5-1)-Does good work on an off-track and that was the case in last as it drew off by 3 lengths and now steps up. Has gone off as the chalk in the last 3 and the post helps the price here.
10-Marcus Seelster (4-1)-Took on Open horses last time at RcR, that didn't work out well and the same happened at the Big M 3 back at this level. In between, did win on the engine. Dexter Dunn takes the lines, that's a ++ driver change and will respect chances but could be over bet.

Race 11 (10:30 PM EDT)

5-Steely Knife (3-1)-Dropped into a good spot to take a picture last time and did so at 8/5. This won't be as easy but should handle the bump up in class and draws well again.
6-Storm The Court (12-1)-Ships in from PcD off a dull try, now lands at a comfortable level and should be a price. Got on the engine 3 back and went gate to wire from post 10 against similar. Will probably try that plan again and should be able to get the top without burning much gas.
9-Pineapple Crunch (5-1)-Beat this kind 2 back leaving from post 6. Doesn't need to lead every step of the way to win. But does need to land in a close-up seat, and if so, could be posing again.

Race 12 (10:55 PM EDT)

8-Stellar Yankee (2-1)-Hasn't taken a picture in a couple of months but did race well against better in last. Made its way to the top off the gate but it wasn't a smooth landing and faded to finish 3rd. Drops to a soft spot and will rely on Jordan Stratton to provide a smooth trip. If that is the case the team Stratton veteran should have his way with this bunch.

Race 13 (11:20 PM EDT)

4-The Will To Play (6-1)-Had a rugged trip in last, was parked into a fast 1/4 and then got the top. But the half went in a quick .55 and faded to finish a beaten 6th. Beaten chalk fits well and has won 2 of 5 at M1. Braxten Boyd should work a better trip, and the price is right to take a swing.
9-Lyons Liberty (2-1)-The 9-hole makes this a bigger challenge, but Lauren Tritton knows how to land in an up-close seat off the gate. Won last time in the 1st start in the Tritton barn and raced near the top of the stack. That same trip is possible this time and may have met a beatable field.

$1 Late Pick 4

7,8,10/5,6,9/8/4,9
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:19 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #7

#7 Christel Clean	Think she's going to be a handful today, as she draws well to force the issue in a race without a ton of super-committed early burn. Should just be waiting to press go the whole way.
#3 Timekeeper's Charm	Tactical type broke through to graduate last time out, and she's quick enough to find a good spot right up near the top on the rise. Not impossible if she shakes off the top choice turning for home.
#6 Don't Ju Forget	The move back to the main track could work in her favor today, but I have a mild worry about the race flow. Along late.
Race Summary	Christel Clean should trip out here while racing up close the whole way, and that first-jump run should give her enough to hold off Don't Ju Forget.

Del Mar - Race #8

#2 Westwood	He was no match for the guy drawn outside of him when they met earlier this year, but I wonder if this one has come forward a little bit since then, and I suppose he could be quick enough to set the early tempo and hope for the best in a small field.
#3 Nevada Beach	No doubt he's supposed to hit hard after chasing some of the best dirt horses in the world last time out, and his form prior to that was pretty honest. Short price will take some beating.
#1 Indispensable	There are some pretty tough names in his company lines, so he's not overmatched here with his best stuff, but I do worry that he's giving away a tactical edge to a couple of fairly talented horses.
Race Summary	Westwood comes out of a good race and may be catching Nevada Beach at the right time? Obviously not going to argue too much with those leaning on the class and talent of Nevada Beach here outside of the price.

Del Mar - Race #9

#7 Cactus Charlie	He's a bit tough to trust with that kind of one-paced tactical form, but I also think it almost guarantees he'll be in a great spot turning for home, and he'll outkick a crew like this one of these days. Slightly better number today?
#3 Blacksmith	He could be the back end of a short-priced Baffert double to close out the card, and he showed good tracking pace in the debut run. Reasonable move forward at second asking would probably do the trick.
#10 Winston Ave	Get a look at him on the track and tote, but I think he might be live enough to play a part in this, and his stablemate is likely to command much more attention at the windows. Not impossible?
Race Summary	Cactus Charlie has honest form that might get a little overlooked while coming back over to the main track, and the Baffert second-timer could help keep the price interesting enough.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:19 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#2 THREE LITTLE BIRDS --	Validated improved try with equipment change two back with maiden romp.
#1 BEAR CLAW NECKLACE –	Hit board in pair of $50k optional claimers at Saratoga, one to beat.
#4 LUCKY OLD SON –	Good first gear, steady improvement until long sprint fade last out.
Race Summary	THREE LITTLE BIRDS overpowered the two favorites and won as ‘much the best’ in his maiden win for half this price. He appears a new horse since shedding the blinkers and retains betting value on the class hike off the claim. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#10 BABY LALA –	Close-up with blinkers on, caught wide, bumpy stretch run on class drop.
#1 MITHRIL –	Rallied into fast pace to finish second at 5F as the favorite at this level.
#5 MAJESTUOSA –	Tries to follow footsteps of her dam, who won 16 races, $375k and a 5F stakes.
Race Summary	BABY LALA broke sharp with blinkers added, settled off the dueling leaders while 4-wide most of the way and flattened out to finish third in a long sprint at Woodbine. She cuts back to 5-1/2F off the layoff but should go well if she can navigate post 10. Bet to win and place and play a 10/1, 5/ALL trifecta.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#6 CORTA FUEGO –	Has proven profitable claim, should pad $50k bankroll as a 3yo on the class drop
#2 FREDERICKSBURG –	Returns to winning level and distance, can rally into gimmicks with alert start.
#5 LOOKIN FOR ROSES –	‘'Fuego’ stablemate is steady low 70-Beyer type with 9/2-4-1 mark this year.
Race Summary	CORTA FUEGO was favored five times while compiling an 8/2-1-4 route record against better since April. He drops to half of his claim level and is strictly the one to beat. Bet to win and place and play a 6/2,4,5/2,4,5,7 trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar
PURCHASE

Del Mar - Race 7	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50c Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / $3 Late Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10c min) / $2 WPS Parlay / $1 3x3
Optional Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $61,000 • Post: 3:32P
FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $21,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 2 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. RIZZLEBERRY ROSE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DON'T JU FORGET: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Cla ss Rating at the distance/surface. CHRISTEL CLEAN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RIZZLEBERRY ROSE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today' s distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of to day's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
6	DON'T JU FORGET	5/2	5/1
7	CHRISTEL CLEAN	2/1	5/1
4	RIZZLEBERRY ROSE	5/1	7/1
3	TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM	4/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	RIZZLEBERRY ROSE	4	5/1	Front-runner	92	69	81.4	67.4	54.9
3	TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM	3	4/1	Stalker	81	83	74.4	77.2	69.7
7	CHRISTEL CLEAN	7	2/1	Stalker	92	81	67.9	80.5	77.0
6	DON'T JU FORGET	6	5/2	Stalker	96	86	65.8	82.4	76.9
5	CALIFORNIA ROCKS	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	83	0.0	0.0	0.0
1	BUDS N SUDS	1	12/1	Trailer	92	77	42.0	75.2	62.7
2	NEWPORT DREAMZ	2	12/1	Trailer	82	68	38.8	54.8	42.3
8	DRAW ME	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	69	0.0	70.2	59.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:57 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
PURCHASE

Fair Grounds - Race 9	$1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta
Stakes • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 106 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 4:45P
JACOB V. MORREALE MEMORIAL S. - FOR THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD, ACCREDITED LOUISIANA BRED. FREE NOMINATION BY MONDAY, NOVEMBER 10. $550 TO ENTER, $550 ADDITIONAL TO START. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS OF $2,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY WHICH SHALL INCLUDE ALL FEES. $100,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS 121 LBS. OLDER 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS., $15,000 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 22, 2025, ALLOWED 4 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 6 LBS. (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THE JACOB V. MORREALE MEMORIAL STAKES WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN (14) STARTERS. FIRST PREFERENCE TO STAKES WINNERS, SECOND PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE ACCUMULATED THE HIGHEST TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2025 AND THEN HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS. ANY HORSE EXCLUDED FROM RUNNING BECAUSE

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BEHEMAH STAR is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HIGHLAND CREEK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint o r route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BEHEMAH STAR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. COSMIC TRAIN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	HIGHLAND CREEK	8/1	6/1
3	LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT	8/1	7/1
4	BEHEMAH STAR	12/1	7/1
1	TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR	20/1	8/1
7	COSMIC TRAIN	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	BEHEMAH STAR	4	12/1	Front-runner	105	99	71.6	82.2	66.7
3	LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT	3	8/1	Stalker	102	100	91.6	96.7	84.2
2	TAMBOURINE STAR	2	20/1	Stalker	97	89	87.8	83.9	65.9
6	HIGHLAND CREEK	6	8/1	Stalker	106	95	74.6	99.4	93.9
11	HAY JUDE	11	5/1	Stalker	98	88	72.1	70.6	55.6
1	TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR	1	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	99	104	83.2	87.4	77.4
9	GOOD AND STOUT	9	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	106	91	78.4	91.0	84.0
10	HE'S LATE AGAIN	10	6/1	Trailer	90	93	78.0	82.8	68.8
8	ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT	8	7/2	Trailer	107	93	74.6	88.0	79.5
5	SIPPIN ON GIN	5	9/2	Trailer	93	95	69.2	88.8	76.8
7	COSMIC TRAIN	7	8/1	Trailer	104	102	60.0	93.8	84.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 11:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:32pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,600 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#8 LOVE TO EAT (ML=7/2)
#6 CITY TAAH (ML=4/1)

LOVE TO EAT - Nunez's agent must like anytime Butts gives them a mount; win percent together is terrific. I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone pace to demolish this field. This filly is tops in earnings per race entered. Give the once over to this horse before the race. CITY TAAH - This filly should be in tip-top shape, this far into her form cycle. Lower weight assigned of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this filly falls into this category.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ITZAYANA (ML=3/1), #3 STREETCORNER (ML=6/1), #7 KISS CAM (ML=6/1),

ITZAYANA - This steed ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last time out. She shouldn't improve and will likely get beat in today's event running that fig. STREETCORNER - Earned a mediocre speed figure in the last race in a $5,000 Claiming race on October 31st. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure. KISS CAM - Awfully difficult to bet on this horse when she hasn't been showing any gumption of late.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LOVE TO EAT - When a magnificent animal takes such a big drop in the class rating department, I always take a peek. I like what I see with this one and am making a bet on her.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #8 LOVE TO EAT to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 12:06 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $38000 Class Rating: 96

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 22, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 EMERALD FOREST 12/1
# 6 AMUNDSON 2/1
# 3 DIVINE LEADER 3/1

EMERALD FOREST is my choice and is a formidable value bet given the line. He has a respectable distance/surface win record - 13 out of 44. Looks like a formidable candidate for the exotics. AMUNDSON - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look very strong in this race. Recently Summers has provided wagerers with a competitive winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. DIVINE LEADER - Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 88 - of his last outing. Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 12:06 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 79

FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 NEVERWORKEDADAY 2/1
# 2 KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE 30/1
# 8 MANSEEYASWAY 12/1

NEVERWORKEDADAY is my choice. Reliable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid contender. As of late Hazlewood has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Over time, this handler has a respectable ROI at this distance/surface. KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE - Has to be given a shot versus this field displaying respectable figures lately and an average speed rating of 62 under similar conditions. With Batista in the saddle guiding him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly for this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-22-2025, 12:07 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #11 - Post: 4:52pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $114,600 Class Rating: 89

Rating:

#6 VERDEJO (ML=6/1)
#9 MOONLIGHT PROMISES (ML=7/2)

VERDEJO - I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last 30 days. Trainer, Katryan, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. MOONLIGHT PROMISES - This pony coming off a nice effort in the last thirty days is a contender in my opinion. I think this filly is coming into top form. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return. Horse has improved at least 2 speed fig points in last two races. I look for that to continue in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SINCLAIRITY (ML=5/2), #7 XARABELLA (ML=4/1), #8 FORESTERS EXEC (ML=8/1),

SINCLAIRITY - Have to put a question mark next to the most recent speed fig since it was attained on the soft turf. XARABELLA - Mediocre speed rating last race out at Woodbine at 7 furlongs. Don't believe this entrant will improve too much in today's race. FORESTERS EXEC - This field is a whole lot tougher than the ones she met in the last affair. Don't believe this horse will make a winning move today. That last speed rating was mediocre when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 VERDEJO on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None