Sunday 11/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Brian Bitler

Free Play: Steelers+2.5 +100

For my best free pick here in the NFL on Sunday I am taking a look at the Pittsburgh Steelers at the Chicago Bears. Even with Aaron Rodgers not playing in this game and Mason Rudolph getting the start the Steelers they are just 2.5 point dogs. This low number has the bandwagon guys betting this game and betting it big. Bears are the hot team winners of 3 straight games. Bears have covered 6 of the last 8 games. Steelers team will step up and I believe Mike Tomlin will have a winning game plan for this game.

Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers plus the points rotation number 241.

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Lions -13 -110

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Andrew Gold

1% GOLD RUSH on Seahawks/Titans: under 40.5

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Sean Murphy

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Kansas City at 1 pm et on Sunday.

I think the knee-jerk reaction will be for bettors to get behind the Chiefs as they're entering desperation mode as they sit at 5-5 following a tough division loss in Denver last Sunday. We'll go the other way and grab all the points we can get with the Colts, who have done nothing but exceed expectations this season and enter rested off their bye week. Indianapolis has had to navigate some rough waters recently, losing defensive anchor DeForest Buckner to injury and also dealing with some regression from QB Daniel Jones. I do think we see Indianapolis come out rejuvenated following its bye, however, and I think it matches up well against a reeling Chiefs team. Kansas City came off of its bye last week - an overwhelmingly positive spot for the team under Andy Reid over the years - and coughed up a 22-19 decision against the Broncos. That marked the Chiefs second straight loss. While Kansas City's defense has held up well, its offense has left a lot to be desired, and I think it's going to have a very difficult time pulling away from a game Colts squad here. The path to victory for Indy involves running the wheels off of RB Jonathan Taylor against a beatable Chiefs front. On the flip side, I think Patrick Mahomes will have a difficult time pulling a rabbit out of his hat against a terrific Colts defense that's strength lies from the back-end in. Look for this game to go down to the wire at the very least. Take Indianapolis.

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Joe Duffy

Free Play: Bengals+7.5 -110

New England sits at 7-3 ATS, covering by 5.2 per game—third best in the league. Cincinnati sits on the opposite end at 3-7 ATS, -7.2 per game.

Classic regression angles fire hard here: backing the significantly worse spread team in Week 6 or later is 180-102-10, and fading teams with an 11+ point ATS differential is 294-198-6.

New England has actually been better on the road (5-0 SU vs. 4-2 at home). Fading road teams that overperform away from home is 123-73-8, and home dogs in colder form are 105-73-4.

The Grandmaster Joe Duffy is ripping through the board again. Another dominant 3-1 Saturday featuring top-shelf Wise Guys and a full sweep of Named Plays.

At 25-11 in the NFL, this surge is undeniable. Today’s NFL Total of the Year anchors a ferocious trio of Wise Guys, with eight NFL winners poised to break open the slate. Get in before this freight train leaves the station.

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Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on Ravens -13.5 -110

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Max Chase

1* Free Pick on Colts/Chiefs under 50.5

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Mike Lundin

Steelers vs Bears NFL Free Pick

The Angle: The Chicago Bears are 7-3 on the season, but five of the wins were decided by five points or fewer. I gladly take the points here when given, as I'm not even sure the right team is favored.

Aaron Rodgers has fond memories facing the Bears since his time in Green Bay, and while banged up, reports says he's "pushing to play". With the better QB (probably) and better defense (definitely), give me the hardnosed Steelers.

Play on: STEELERS+2.5 (3%).

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 11-23-25

NY Jets @ Baltimore (1:00 PM EST)
Play On: Baltimore -13 1/2

The New York Jets travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens on Sunday afternoon. The NY Jets are 2-8 SU overall this year while Baltimore comes in with a 5-5 SU overall record on the season. The Jets are allowing 30.3 points per game on the road this year. Baltimore is 4-0 SU over the past month where they are beating teams by an average score of 27 to 14.3. Baltimore is 21-8 ATS last 3 years when the total is between 42 1/2 and 49 points including 12-3 ATS when playing at home. The Jets are 1-10 SU and 2-11 ATS last 13 games overall in this series. Baltimore is 7-0 SU last 7 games at home vs the Jets. We'll recommend a small play on Baltimore today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Dave Price

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Colts/Chiefs UNDER 50.5

The Key: The Chiefs continue to be an UNDER team this season with a dink and dunk, methodical offense and one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Chiefs are 5-0 UNDER in their last five games overall with 49 or fewer combined points in all five games and 41 or fewer in three of their last four. This coincides with them getting all their receivers back and healthy on offense during this stretch. Their defense is balling out yielding only 14.8 PPG in their last five games. The offense has been a major disappointment. I think the Chiefs will come up with the answers defensively to slow down this Colts offense, which has benefited from a weak schedule. The Colts have been held in check on the road this season as the Steelers held them to 20 points and the Rams held them to 20 as well. The Colts will have one of the better defenses in the NFL moving forward with the trade for CB Sauce Gardner, plus the healthy return of CB Charvarius Ward opposite him. They have one of the best CB tandems in the NFL. They are also much healthier alone the defensive line coming out of the bye week as DE Lewis and DE Ebukam are both back. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four matchups between the Chiefs and Colts finishing with 44 or fewer combined points in all four. The UNDER is 6-0 in Mahomes' last 6 starts with a total of 50 or higher. Take the UNDER.

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Rob Vinciletti

Sunday card has the 32-1 NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR going early and a Top RED ZONE Play in Late afternoon. We also have a Player TOP Prop a perfect SNF System play and hoops. Comp play below

The Sunday NFL Comp play is on Baltimore at 1 eastern at -13.5. The Ravens are rolling and should do well here against a depleted Jets defense. To Tie in a nice system we note that home favorites of 9 or more with a .500 or worse record off a road favored win cover 75% of the time long term vs a team off a road dog loss and these teams win by an average 35-11 score. The Ravens have covered 6 of 7 as a double digit favorite and 5 of 6 in the series. The Jets have failed to cover the last 3 as a dog of 10 or more and are likely headed to another loss. Play on Baltimore. GL Rob V-

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seahawks/Titans UNDER 41

The Tennessee Titans have the worst offense in the NFL. WR Calvin Ridley finally returned from injury last week, only to suffer a season-ending injury on his first catch of the game. Fellow WR Elic Ayomanor suffered an injury in that game and is out for this game as well. That leaves a lot of no-name receivers for Cam Ward to throw to this week, so this offense isn't getting any better. The Titans managed just 229 total yards in their 16-13 loss to the Texans last week. But their defense held strong and it was largely due to the return of two of their best defenders in DE Jeffery Simmons and LB Arden Key coming out of the bye week. This is a very underrated Tennessee defense. The Seahawks are suffocating teams defensively. They held the Rams to just 249 total yards last week. They have been consistently dominant, giving up 22 or fewer points in nine of their 10 games this season. I would be surprised if the Titans get more than 10-14 points in this game, and I think they can hold Sam Darnold and company in check like the Rams did last week. Give me the UNDER.

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ProSportsPicks

PSP Data Driven 1* Under 140.5 -110 West Virginia/Xavier

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 10-3 in West Virginia's last 13 games. The Under is 8-3 in Xavier's last 11 games played in November.

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Browns +3.5 -108

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Jaguars/Cardinals OVER 47 -110

The Arizona Cardinals are an OVER team right now with all their injuries on defense, coupled with the resurgence of Jacoby Brissett at QB. They have gone 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall. They have combined for 50 or more points with four of their last five opponents, so this total of 47 is pretty short for a game involving Arizona right now.

The defense was lit up for 44 points by the Seahawks and 41 by the 49ers the last two weeks. Their secondary is a complete mash unit, and they have nine defenders on IR or out and another three starters listed as questionable this week.

Brissett is playing the best football of his career completing 66.7% of his passes with a 10-to-3 TD/INT ratio and averaging 7.4 per attempt. The Cardinals have scored at least 22 points in each of his last five starts and have averaged 379 yards per game in those five games.

Jacksonville has scored an average of 31.3 points per game the last three games after putting up 35 on the Chargers last week. Jakobi Myers had 5 receptions for 64 yards and will be a big part of this offense moving forward. The Jaguars are also expected to get back their best receiving TE in Brenton Strange from IR this week.

This Jacksonville defense leaves a lot to be desired. The Jaguars have allowed 28 or more points in four of their last six games. They are also dealing with some injuries as they will be without DE Travon Walker, and both CB Jarrian Jones and CB Jourdan Lewis are questionable. I expect Brissett and Lawrence to light up these two sub-par defenses today. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.