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“Dr. Alan” Dumond, two-time top-five Westgate SuperContest finisher, Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge runner-up.
Raiders (2-9) at Chargers (7-4)
Time: 1:25 p.m., CBS
Line/total: Chargers -9?, 40?
Analysis: The Raiders had high hopes that reuniting new coach Pete Carroll with quarterback Geno Smith and having Chip Kelly as their new offensive coordinator would make them playoff contenders. Instead, this combination has been a disaster, and Kelly was fired after last week’s loss to the Browns. On paper, this looks like an easy Los Angeles win. But Chargers have offensive line issues, and Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby could have a big impact and make Los Angeles quarterback Justin Herbert uncomfortable. The Raiders’ offensive coordinator change to Greg Olson should spark their lethargic offense.
Analysis: This is a crucial AFC South matchup that pits strength against strength, as the Texans have the NFL’s No. 2 scoring defense and the Colts the No. 1 scoring offense. Indianapolis is off an overtime loss to the Chiefs, and Houston has won three straight games with backup quarterback Davis Mills. C.J. Stroud returns as the Texans’ starting quarterback.
Analysis: This is easily the least attractive matchup on Sunday’s NFL card, with Falcons veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins and Jets veteran quarterback Tyrod Taylor squaring off. Atlanta beat the Saints on the road last week, but it’s hard to win back-to-back road games in the NFL.
Analysis: The NFC-leading Rams are on a six-game winning streak after a blowout home win over the Buccaneers on “Sunday Night Football.” The much-improved Panthers return home off an ugly loss to the 49ers on “Monday Night Football.” It might seem folly to step in front of the Rams’ runaway train, but we’re not fans of laying double-digit points on the road in the NFL. The underdog Panthers will be motivated to make amends for their poor play last week.
Pick: Rams 24, Panthers 17
Jaguars (7-4) at Titans (1-10)
Time: 10 a.m.
Line/total: Jaguars -6, 41?
Analysis: The Jaguars enter this AFC South matchup off an overtime win at the Cardinals and are in a horrible scheduling spot. Not only is this the second of back-to-back road games, but it’s also their fourth road game in five weeks. The lowly Titans are at home for the fourth straight week and have covered the past three weeks as underdogs. Tennessee rookie quarterback Cam Ward has improved, with no interceptions in his past three games. Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown five interceptions in his past three road starts.
Analysis: Both squads are on three-game losing streaks. Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over as the starter for injured Kyler Murray and played well. The best play in this game is to go over the total, as Tampa Bay has surrendered 106 points in the past three games, and Arizona has allowed 112.
Analysis: After a rough start to the season, the Dolphins have won their past two and three of four. It’s been a tough season for the rebuilding Saints, who are 3-8 ATS. Miami will be well-rested and prepared coming off its bye.
Analysis: No matter what Browns rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders does for the rest of his NFL career, he always will be remembered for breaking a 17-game losing streak of Cleveland quarterbacks making their first start. Now the question becomes what can he do for an encore. The 49ers have won three of their past four, but are coming off an ugly win over the Panthers in which Brock Purdy threw three interceptions in the first half. We expect Purdy to bounce back, even against the tough Browns defense.
Analysis: This is the Sam Darnold revenge game. The Seahawks quarterback gets his first crack at his former team that parted ways with him after he led the Vikings to 14 wins last season. Minnesota has lost five of its past six games. Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy, Darnold’s replacement, is having an awful season and will miss the game with a concussion. Rookie Max Brosmer will make his first NFL start in his place.
Analysis: Both teams lost last week and are in desperate need of a win to bolster their playoff hopes. We are well aware of Steelers coach Mike Tomlin’s stellar career spread record as a home underdog. But we simply trust Bills quarterback Josh Allen and coach Sean McDermott to get the win. Buffalo had extra rest after playing on “Thursday Night Football” and is the better team.
Analysis: This game features two squads streaking in opposite directions. The Broncos have won eight straight, and the Commanders have lost six in a row. Both teams are coming off their byes. At first glance, this game looks like it should be an easy Broncos win. But Washington played hard in its overtime loss to the Dolphins in Week 11 and will get star wideout Terry McLaurin back. Denver is on a 1-3 spread skid as a favorite.
Analysis: The Patriots are on a league-leading nine-game winning streak, and the Giants have dropped six straight. On paper, this looks like an easy New England win. But New York is on a 3-0 spread streak and has covered five of its past seven. The Patriots are on an 0-3 spread skid as favorites.
Raiders at Chargers (-10, 41): The Chargers have won and covered the past three meetings, including a 20-9 win Sept. 15 at Allegiant Stadium. The Raiders are on a 3-7 ATS skid. The Chargers have covered two of their past eight games. Edge: Slight to Chargers.
49ers (-5?, 36) at Browns: The 49ers have won and covered two straight since quarterback Brock Purdy returned to the lineup. They are 5-2 ATS and 5-2 to the over on the road. The Browns have gone over the total in four of their past five games. Edge: Over.
Jaguars (-7, 41?) at Titans: The Jaguars have won five of their past six, going 4-2 ATS. Their five road games have gone over the total. The Titans have covered three straight, and four of their past five games have gone over. Edge: Over.
Texans at Colts (-4, 44?): Nine of the Texans’ past 12 games have gone under the total. The Colts are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS at home. Edge: Colts and slight to under.
Saints at Dolphins (-6, 42): The Saints have lost five of their past six and covered only once. Their past seven games have gone under the total. The Dolphins have gone under in four straight games. Edge: Under and Dolphins.
Falcons (-2?, 39?) at Jets: The Falcons are 4-2 ATS on the road, and seven of their 11 games have gone under the total. Four of the Jets’ past six games have gone under. Edge: Slight to Falcons and under.
Cardinals at Buccaneers (-2?, 43): The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS on the road this season, and they are on a 6-1 over run. The Buccaneers have lost and failed to cover three straight, and they are on a 6-3 over run. Edge: Cardinals and over.
Rams (-10?, 45) at Panthers: The Rams have won six straight and covered five of them. Five of their past six games have gone under the total, while the Panthers are on a 3-1 under run. Edge: Rams and under.
Vikings at Seahawks (-11?, 41): The Vikings have no wins or covers in their past three games and five of six. The Seahawks have covered eight of their past 10 and are on a 4-1 over run. Edge: Seahawks and slight to over.
Bills (-3?, 47?) at Steelers: The Bills have covered only three of their past nine games. They are 4-1 to the under in road games. The Steelers have covered three of their past four home games and are on a 7-3 under run at home. Edge: Slight to under and Steelers.
Broncos (-6, 43?) at Commanders: The Broncos have won eight straight, covering five of them. They are on a 7-2 under run. The Commanders have lost six straight, going 0-6 ATS. Edge: Broncos and slight to under.
Brandon Lang
The Pick: My 150 Dime winner is the Houston Texans
The Line: The current line is +3 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 10:30 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
Note: If your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 to +4, I advise you buying the 1/2 point up on the Texans.
Sunday, November 30th
1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
#465-466
AFC South Division
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 41.5 or less points
2** UNDER the Total (44.5) / Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts / 1:00pm ET
3*** UNDER the Total (45.5) / Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers / 4:25pm ET
*Opinions: Jaguars OVER 24.5 pts (Team Total)… Seahawks OVER 26.5 pts (Team Total)… Cardinals OVER 21.5 pts (Team Total)… Bills UNDER 26.5 pts (Team Total)…
3* 49ers/Browns under 38.5 -115
2* Browns +5.5
2* Titans/Jags under 42
2* Raiders/Chargers under 41
3* Panthers RB Dowdle under 59.5 rush yards -115 (Player prop of the month)
2* Colts QB Jones under 239.5 rush + pass yards -120 (okay down to 228)
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