Tuesday 12/2/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 8	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta
Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 4:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 2, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. (RAIL SET AT 14 FEET).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WAR CHEST: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SARGE'S SERMON: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HONOS MAN: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PEPPER JACK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MY INDY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface.
2	WAR CHEST	6/1	6/1
7	SARGE'S SERMON	3/1	6/1
11	HONOS MAN	10/1	7/1
5	PEPPER JACK	10/1	8/1
1	MY INDY	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	SARGE'S SERMON	7	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	82	88.0	85.6	79.1
5	PEPPER JACK	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	90	75.2	83.8	75.3
10	CRAFTY KING	10	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	88	75.2	81.6	67.1
6	PACIFIC THEATER	6	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	84	73.2	81.6	70.1
1	MY INDY	1	10/1	Trailer	89	78	85.3	86.3	71.3
2	WAR CHEST	2	6/1	Trailer	96	95	64.2	80.6	71.6
11	HONOS MAN	11	10/1	Trailer	91	85	61.6	89.1	84.1
3	NAVAL ESCORT	3	20/1	Trailer	93	89	52.1	74.9	62.9
9	MASTERING	9	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	78	79.3	62.5	45.0
4	HARD LOVE	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	87	76.4	79.4	66.9
8	SUGAR BEETS	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	98	90	58.4	63.6	47.1

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:07 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 6	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $14,800 • Post: 2:35P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BREEZE THE BAYOU is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IMPROBABLE FIRST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PICARO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth star t after a layoff. COOL COUPLE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. GREEWHIZ: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BREEZE THE BAYOU: Horse had a bullet wo rkout within the last seven days.
8	IMPROBABLE FIRST	8/5	5/1
2	PICARO	7/2	6/1
3	COOL COUPLE	5/2	6/1
6	GREEWHIZ	10/1	8/1
5	BREEZE THE BAYOU	8/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	BREEZE THE BAYOU	5	8/1	Front-runner	71	54	55.0	57.4	43.9
8	IMPROBABLE FIRST	8	8/5	Stalker	79	69	60.2	71.2	65.2
3	COOL COUPLE	3	5/2	Stalker	76	66	42.8	64.2	59.7
6	GREEWHIZ	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	72	49.0	63.8	53.8
2	PICARO	2	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	78	72	48.8	67.2	59.7
4	CANAVERO	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	84	70.8	54.4	48.4
7	SPELLED WELL	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	60	57.6	57.4	46.4
1	HEART OF AN ANGEL	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	64	48.6	56.8	43.8

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $39300 Class Rating: 83

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER IN 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR ENTERED TO BE CLAIMED FOR $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $40,000 OR LESS NOT

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CHANEL SPIRIT 10/1
# 7 SHE'S CRAFTY 9/2
# 6 KICHI KITSU 12/1

I think CHANEL SPIRIT is a decent choice especially at 10/1. SHE'S CRAFTY - Investors should note that this racer runs on Lasix today. Should definitely be given consideration in this race if only for the solid Equibase Speed Fig earned in the last contest. KICHI KITSU - There is a competitive chance that this entry's late pace will improve on Lasix. Will probably go to the front end and could never look back.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#8 DIRBAS (ML=8/1)
#6 REVEREND JACK (ML=5/2)

DIRBAS - Speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. Labra will try adding the 'shades' today in hopes of an improved performance. REVEREND JACK - Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a sharp contest on November 10th. I like the case that this gelding's last speed fig, 81, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ONE DESTINATION (ML=7/2), #5 MONJE SOLAIA (ML=9/2), #7 MY MISTER PERFECT (ML=5/1),

ONE DESTINATION - Recorded a disappointing speed rating last time around the track in a $4,000 Claiming race on November 24th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. MONJE SOLAIA - Hard to put any dough on this colt on the front end. Likes to hit the board though. Common speed rating last out at Mountaineer Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event. MY MISTER PERFECT - This thoroughbred hasn't had nary a single morning drill after running so well on October 30th.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #8 DIRBAS to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:26pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#3 ADIOS JERSEY (ML=8/1)
#2 GUCCI VISION (ML=9/5)
#5 AUTHENTIC KINGDOM (ML=5/1)

ADIOS JERSEY - Hernandez and Padilla perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +40 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. The Nov 12th event at Parx Racing was at a class level of (78). Dropping down the class scale considerably, so he should be in a good spot to win. This gelding should be in top form, this far into his form cycle. GUCCI VISION - This rider and conditioner's equines have been producing a favorable return on investment. This colt recorded a strong speed rating of 73 in his last event. That speed rating should be good enough to win this time out. Dropping 7 lbs from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. AUTHENTIC KINGDOM - The rider and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they work together. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier field than last time out at Parx Racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COMPA (ML=3/1), #6 SWEET WINNER (ML=7/2),

COMPA - Hard to play a low class level horse like this after back to back stiff stretch drives. SWEET WINNER - Let me give you a lesson. For the most part, don't play a maiden breaker out of a maiden claimer next time out. This was a live horse, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to watch your step with this weaker runner.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - GUCCI VISION - Racing against a similar field as last out. I believe he'll now be settled in at this class level and should perform well in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 ADIOS JERSEY to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24500 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2, 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DOUBLE RIDE 7/2
# 5 VOLS 5/1
# 1 TRUCKIN 6/1

DOUBLE RIDE looks decent to best this field. His 77 average has this colt with among the strongest Equibase speed figs in this competition. With Fuentes in the saddle guiding him, this colt will probably be able to break out quickly in this race. With a formidable 76 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. VOLS - Garnered a strong speed figure last time out. TRUCKIN - Is a contender - given the 81 speed rating from his most recent race. Win percentage with this jockey and trainer combo - 20 percent - strong.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:09 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 6
4	4	ERIC'S DUDE	6/1	Moeykens, Adam - 9	352.18
2	2	SHADY MAPLE BRIDGT	3/1	Dibenedetto, Kyle - 14	335.13
1	1	KEEP THINKING	5/2	Ricco, Jason - 6	308.44
5	5	BET ON BUTCH	10/1	Harp, Rick - 2	279.01
7	7	RAW SUGAR	7/2	Merton, Thomas - 8	278.55
3	3	MRS DASH	8/1	Chellis, Drew - 3	257.53
6	6	WICKED ROCK STAR	9/2	Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 15	228.41

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:09 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Post: 8:56 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$6000 - CLAIMING $6000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 TRUE BLUE LINDY 9/5
# 1 MANSAI 7/2
# 6 TWIN B NATION 9/2

If you want a very good play this time, feast your eyes on TRUE BLUE LINDY. Cannot put a finger on it, but lean toward this gelding for a wager. Worth taking a close look at here on the basis of the numbers in the TrackMaster SR department alone. If effort in the most recent affair is any indicator, this entrant will have a very great shot here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. MANSAI - More wins than you would expect have been recorded by contenders lining up behind the 1 slot at Northfield Park. TWIN B NATION - His 79 average has this gelding among the most respectable speed figs in this one. Unquestionably the class of the bunch with an average rating of 80. A nice choice.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:09 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Post: 1:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$12500 - FILLIES AND MARES - N/W $6,000 LAST 5 STARTS - N/W LAST 3 ALW. $500 AE: N/W $12,500, 2 EXT. P-M RACES IN 2025

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 DELTA THREE N 5/2
# 4 CYCLONE SISTER 6/1
# 6 CELCIUS 4/1

DELTA THREE N looks like our best wagering option in this gathering. Many horse players know speed is is such an important factor. This contender has credentials with a 85 average figure. She has respectable class figures, averaging 82. Could be considered for a bet this time. Driver-handler are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this mare breaking away from the group of horses. CYCLONE SISTER - It's somewhat risky to consider based only on class, but this mare has among the most compelling class markings of the field of starters. Certainly did like this mare's last race. Ran a strong 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. CELCIUS - Have a feeling this one might take today.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:09 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 11
1	1	THIS JK ROCKS	7/2	Buter, Tyler - 13	504.70
4	4	SET SHOT	6/1	Lachance, Pat - 9	504.03
7	7	FEDERER	2/1	Bartlett, Jason - 34	490.36
2	2	CAPTAIN FEAR	8/1	Holland, Brent - 14	483.16
5	5	PIRATES CODE	7/2	Kakaley, Matt - 11	450.29
6	6	CURRYS FLURRY	20/1	Marohn, Jim Jr - 8	438.28
8	8	CRUISING ZONE	20/1	Kelly, Colin - 12	410.35
3	3	CAMCO LUCAS	20/1	Stratton, Jordan - 14	369.96

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:09 AM

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Memphis +4.5 over San Antonio

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:10 AM

Free play from Totals4U

Tuesday's Free Selection: Purdue/Rutgers under 146 1/2

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:10 AM

Free play from #1 Sports

Tuesday's Free Play: Georgia Bulldogs - 2 1/2

**ConleyPicks** · 12-02-2025, 09:10 AM

Free play from Hawkeye Sports

Tuesday's Free Pick: Boston Bruins + 165

Tuesday 12/2/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 12/2/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment