Saturday 12/6/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-05-2025, 09:27 AM

Jeremy Plonk: Remsen, Inaugural & MD Juvenile Stakes Picks |

December 4, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

The attention steeped on soon-to-be sophomores picks up business Saturday when the Remsen Stakes headlines a trio of 2-year-old stakes. Aqueduct’s $250,000 Grade 2 Remsen at a mile and one-eighth is joined on the national docket by the $125,000 Maryland Juvenile Championship over 7 furlongs at Laurel and the $125,000 Inaugural Stakes at 6 furlongs in the first leg of the Tampa Bay Derby series.

Kentucky Derby trail implications figure to be more prevalent in the Remsen, but we’ll begin our look in post-time order.

Tampa Bay Downs: Race 2 | $125,000 Inaugural Stakes | 1:00 pm ET

The Gulf Coast trail includes the Inaugural at 6 furlongs, the Pasco at 7 furlongs and the Sam. F. Davis and Tampa Bay Derby both at 1-1/16 miles. Seven colts/geldings will contest the series opener, including stakes-placed THUNDER CHUCK for Jorge Delgado and SUPER KICK for Eoin Harty. But it’s romping Gulfstream debut winner SOLITUDE DUDE for Saffie Joseph Jr. who will be a standout on the toteboard. The $300,000 2-year-old purchase by Yauponi is bred to sprint on both sides and appears well-placed for the natural rise in class. Joseph adds second-start Gulfstream maiden graduate LANGVAD.

Six of these 7 have made the lead early in sprints prior, the other has 3 times pressed from second in the early calls. Expect a strong tempo. Given that, the slight cut-back in distance for SOLITUDE DUDE as well as UNCLE CHUCK – the latter from the 6-1/2 furlong Saratoga Special and same-tripped Juvenile Sprint at Gulfstream, should prove beneficial. While THUNDER CHUCK has sprinted in all 4 starts, the Good Magic colt has as much license on pedigree as any in this field to handle the more important distances in the Tampa series down the road.

SUPER KICK won a sales-restricted maiden sprint at Churchill in September, but failed to threaten in a 4-horse Bowman Mill at Keeneland when third. He should find at last a couple better here as well.

The picks: 7-SOLITUDE DUDE, 3-THUNDER CHUCK, 4-SUPER KICK, 2-LANGVAD

Laurel Park: Race 6 | $125,000 Maryland Juvenile Championship | 2:26 pm ET

Ten juveniles in search of their first stakes glory match up in this 7-furlong sprint that starts to form the Preakness path at Laurel. That venue hosts the middle jewel in the Triple Crown this year and next during the reconstruction at Pimlico.

The field lacks a standout in the past performances, though TARTABULL was a notable third at Saratoga to next-out stakes winner Ewing and then fifth behind eventual national stakes players Talkin and Further Ado. Trainer Chad Summers brought the $310,000 Tapit-Anna’s Bandit colt to Laurel on October 25 to break his maiden with a green rally. He’s trained well since and may be starting to figure things out. WORKER BEE has won 2 of 3 for high-percentage trainer Gary Capuano and will be asked to tote 8 additional pounds from his prior score just 15 days ago. He figures to be in the mix every step of the way in a race that has a surprising lack of early pace for a 7-furlong juvenile stakes. Dominant maiden claiming debut winner BIKER BALEY may be the only other runner with designs on the front. Both deserve a look.

CODE OF SILENCE is a lukewarm 7-2 morning line favorite off a Nov. 16 maiden breaker in his fourth start for Tim Keefe. He has given himself a lot to do with a series of slow or poor starts, but perhaps the blinkers on last time helped focus his abilities in the late going.

The picks: 2-WORKER BEE, 8-TARTABULL, 4-BIKER BALEY, 5-CODE OF SILENCE

Aqueduct: Race 9 | $250,000 Grade 2 Remsen | 3:08 pm ET

The rematch between PALADIN and RENEGADE, who disputed an Oct. 17 maiden mile at Aqueduct, will be front and center in this field of 12. Since that race, in which I thought RENEGADE ran best, its PALADIN who has posted 5 workouts to a mere 2 for RENEGADE. That said, it’s quite likely Paladin will be fitter for the stretchout in distance and best his rival Saturday over a mile and one-eighth. That PALADIN gets to easily save ground in post 2 with a short run to the first turn only helps in his head-to-head with RENEGADE, who starts from the 9-hole. PALADIN trainer Chad Brown was runner-up here a few years back with fellow Gun Runner colt Sierra Leone.

Remsen history offers no pause for these 1-turn milers stepping up in class. In the last dozen years, 11 Remsen winners exited 1-turn races. And note the last 4 winners of this race stepped up from maiden or allowance races.

Todd Pletcher has won the Remsen 3 times (2005, 2012, 2021), but is 1 for his last 14 in this race. He’ll send out RENEGADE as well as the Nov. 9 Aqueduct maiden special weight 1-2 finishers COURTING and GRITTINESS. You want to love COURTING, a $5 million full-brother to star racemare Clairiere, but it’s notable that he was ridden out in that 1-turn mile victory against just 3 rivals at 1-10 odds. His back-to-back 94 BRIS late pace figures are very solid against this crew, but pale to the 104 and 100 that RENEGADE and PALADIN earned, respectively, over the same trip.

The wide draw for TALKIN in post 11 makes his task significantly more difficult. His Champagne Stakes runner-up to the fleet Napoleon Solo wasn’t visually overwhelming on his ledger, but we saw trainer Danny Gargan win the 2022 and 2023 Remsen editions with sons of Good Magic like this.

The picks: 2-PALADIN, 6-COURTING, 9-RENEGADE, 11-TALKIN

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-05-2025, 09:28 AM

Scott Shapiro: Aqueduct Saturday Late Pick 4 Analysis | Dec. 6

December 4, 2025 | By Scott Shapiro

Saturday’s card at Aqueduct is a good one. Not only is it Cigar Mile Day, but the Road to the Kentucky Derby also continues with a strong edition of the $250,000 Remsen Stakes (G2). The two races are both included in an All-Stakes Pick 4 sequence that gets started in Race 8 at approximately 2:39 eastern time. As usual, 1/ST BET and Xpressbet have a promotion to make the day much more enjoyable. This time it is a 1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split over the final four races. Be sure to register on the promotional landing page before playing!

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 8: New York Stallion Series: Fifth Avenue Division
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 8 Braverthanubelieve; 10 Hot Currency; 1 Oh
Backups: None

Forecast: The first of two New York-bred stakes at 7-furlongs kicks things off. This one is for the fillies where I am not creative overall, but landed on #8 Braverthanubelieve on top. The daughter of Honest Mischief showed speed and some grit winning on debut over the off track on November 22. Trainer Johnny Ortiz wheels her back quickly and when this barn is on a roll, they are one I like to back. Ortiz had a tough spring and summer, but has been heating up of late evidenced by his 5 for 19-record and $2.39 ROI over the last 30 days. This gal should be a decent price in this full field affair. #10 Hot Currency and #1 Oh are obvious contenders that make a lot of sense. Hot Currency broke well with the addition of blinkers last out and finished strong. She should get a similar trip under Flavien Prat. Oh has to overcome the rail draw, but comes in a perfect 2 for 2. With a good break, she could be very tough to catch.

Race 9: Remsen (G2)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 9 Renegade
Backups: 2 Paladin

Forecast: It is always intriguing to see how late season 2YOs of quality handle their first 1 1/8-mile test in the Remsen (G2) where this year there are some super high-priced colts hoping to earn some black type. #2 Paladin went for $1.9M at the FTS August 2024 sale, while #6 Courting sold for an astronomical $5M in September at Keeneland. Both have had quality starts to their careers, especially Paladin who ran huge on debut and was placed first via DQ. It was #9 Renegade he ran to the wire with in mid-October and despite him leaning on and bumping Paladin in the lane, I like his chances to win this graded stakes as a maiden. The son of Into Mischief is also bred to be a good one being out of the Curlin mare, Spice Is Nice and finished extremely strong stretching out from 6.5-furlongs to a mile. A move forward should be expected from the Todd Pletcher trainee. Paladin is also hard to toss though given the speed and determination he showed in that first start. He too should relish the added ground as Chad Brown’s early Derby hope.

Race 10: Cigar Mile (G2)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4 Crazy Mason
Backups: None

Forecast: This year’s Cigar Mile came up a bit light, but hopefully we can make the most of it by beating the two ML favorites. #6 Phileas Fogg is the deserving 9-5-ML favorite off of a strong 2025 campaign for Gustavo Rodriguez, but I am not in love with the cutback to a one-turn mile. This makes him tough to endorse as the likely public choice. #7 Bishops Bay is likely to take a lot of money too, but is not for me on top. The son of Uncle Mo has earned over $700k, but has done so by beating up on second and third tier fields for the most part. I expect there to be at least one better than the Brad Cox trainee. Hopefully, it is late running #4 Crazy Mason. The Coal Front colt lacks early speed, but consistently comes with a strong run late. He is unlikely to get a big setup as he tries to stretch out to eight-furlongs, but is a horse still improving and should get enough pace for Irad Ortiz Jr. to run them down as the third choice on the tote.

Race 11: New York Stallion Series: Great White Way Division
Grade: X
Main Ticket: 2 Parker Boone
Backups: None

Forecast: The finale is the male division of the NYSS at 7-furlongs where I have no interest in trying to beat 8-5-ML favorite #2 Parker Boone. The $100,000 son of Solomini crushed a field of open company maidens at Parx by twelve lengths and likely has pointed to this spot against fellow New York-breds since. Trainer Butch Reid has had plenty of success shipping into Aqueduct for stakes races over the year and this colt looks too fast for the competition. Jockey Mychel Sanchez was aboard him in Bensalem on debut and will make the voyage up the Jersey Turnpike to ride him in the Big Apple on Saturday. A likely short priced winner to close the afternoon!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-05-2025, 09:29 AM

Race of the Week: Gulfstream Park's Allen Jerkens Handicap | Sat.

December 3, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
The Championship Meet at Gulfstream Park picks up steam toward the New Year, and this Saturday's Race 9 feature will be the $100,000 H. Allen Jerkens Handicap. The unique, 2-mile turf test was inaugurated in 2015 and is among the longest stakes races at a major American venue. While the race produced a 60-1 upset winner last year, we're only another year removed from a pair of favorites netting a $9 exacta return. Favorites are 6-11 in the Jerkens with 3 second-place finishes.

Field Depth:
PADIDDLE is multiple graded stakes-placed, including at the Grade 2 level. BELOUNI is a stakes winner in listed company, while SUMMER CAUSE is multiple listed stakes-placed. PADIDDLE and SUMMER CAUSE have consistently faced the toughest competition among these.

Pace:
I KNOW I KNOW and DONTSPLASHTHEPOT appear most likely to set the tempo here, but SUMMER CAUSE should not be far off the pace. Over 2 miles, this race has been won on the front and from far back in recent years, so pace handicapping probably isn't the path to victory.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-RISK MANAGER: Trainer Mike Maker won this race in 2016, 2017 and 2022. A fourth win would tie Todd Pletcher for most Jerkens crowns. Risk Manager has been a consistent turf closer going middle-distances at the claiming and starter allowance level. The 7-year-old's 11-for-37 career record is admirable, which includes an April 2022 local turf mile score from 5 Gulfstream bids. Tyler Gaffalione notably jumps to Summer Cause on Saturday.

#2-I KNOW I KNOW: Nearly all of this 3-year-old's best work has come on the Tapeta synthetic surface. We've yet to see a 3-year-old win the Jerkens in 11 editions, and the 4-pound weight break on the top-carrying rivals is no major bonus.

#3-SUMMER CAUSE: Miguel Clement trainee traveled this 2-mile trip last out when a no-threat fourth of 11 at Far Hills in New Jersey. Note 9 of 11 Jerkens winners prepped at 1-1/8 miles or farther last time out, something only Summer Cause and Coiled can claim in this field. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione piloted Jerkens winners in 2016 and 2017 and opts here over Risk Manager. Likely to be a bit under-laid in terms of price for a horse who spent more time on dirt than turf, a surface in which he's 1-for-5.

#4-DONTSPLASHTHEPOT: LIghtly raced 3-year-old takes a massive leap from a maiden claiming score at 1 mile and 70 yards on Tapeta. The Kent Sweezey trainee gets in lightest at 113 pounds, including jockey Nik Juarez. Uncle Mo colt has a ton to prove while doubling distance and trying grass for the first time, but should be part of the pace.

#5-COILED: Laurel turf allowance winner at 1-1/2 miles in September for respected grass trainer Arnaud Delacour. Note 9 of 11 Jerkens winners prepped at 1-1/8 miles or farther last time out, something only Coiled and Summer Cause can claim in this field. Also, 4 of the last 5 Jerkens winners exited an allowance prep like Coiled. He's yet to try a stakes, but gets a 6-pound break from some of the favorites. Very interesting.

#6-BELOUNI: French-bred miler has been raced almost exclusively around that distance since coming to the US as a sophomore. The now 5-year-old has won 3 of his last 7, but has struggled to pair up good efforts. Jorge Abreu claimed him for $40,000 in August at Saratoga and got a solid second out of him last time out behind Jerkens rival Risk Manager at Aqueduct. Distance will be a significant hurdle.

#7-PADIDDLE: $25,000 claim in February may be 1-for-15 lifetime, but placings in the G3 Pan American, Grade 2 Man o' War and Grade 3 Belmont Gold Cup can't be overlooked. His record of a win and a third in 2 local starts looks strong against a field that is a combined 2-for-11 on the Gulfstream turf. Elizabeth Dobles takes over the training for the first time after a 2-month freshening.

#8-RUDDY BUDDY: Longshot has been 30-1 or more odds in 10 of his last 11 starts and now faces the most stern test of his career. Only victory in his last 19 starts came 12 races back at Sam Houston.

Most Likely Exotics Contender:
PADIDDLE is proven over the course and at same marathon distances that indicate 2 miles won't be too much to ask.

Best Longshot Contender:
COILED is my top pick and should be a square price given the modest speed figure at Laurel in victory.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$80 win COILED. $10 exacta box COILED and PADIDDLE.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:06 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 3	$1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-5)
Claiming $30,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 1:45P
(RAIL AT 14 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OVER A MILE ON THE TURF SINCE JUNE 6, 2025. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE NOVEMBER 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH.)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. NOW AND LATER is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SUMMER IN ADRIANE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. HALF BROTHER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDEN BANDIT: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. LEADING THE CHARGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LIAR'S POKER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	SUMMER IN ADRIANE	7/2	6/1
5	HALF BROTHER	4/1	6/1
7	GOLDEN BANDIT	9/2	7/1
6	LEADING THE CHARGE	9/2	8/1
2	LIAR'S POKER	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	LIAR'S POKER	2	8/1	Front-runner	96	92	109.8	90.4	82.9
7	GOLDEN BANDIT	7	9/2	Front-runner	100	100	85.7	76.3	68.8
3	HARD TO FATHOM	3	6/1	Front-runner	94	95	85.2	84.4	72.9
1	TAHOE RUN	1	12/1	Stalker	93	86	82.5	82.5	68.5
5	HALF BROTHER	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	103	93	85.0	89.8	84.8
4	SUMMER IN ADRIANE	4	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	102	92	83.6	91.4	86.4
6	LEADING THE CHARGE	6	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	99	76	79.4	91.4	82.9
8	NOW AND LATER	8	5/1	Trailer	92	89	66.0	82.8	71.3

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:06 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4) / Pick 4 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4-5) Super High 5
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 95 • Purse: $125,000 • Post: 1:00P
INAUGURAL S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. FREE NOMINATION, $400 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $400 ADDITIONAL TO START WITH $125,000 GUARANTEED (WHICH INCLUDES $25,000 FROM THE TBD/HBPA/FL FUND TO BE DIVIDED 70% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND AND 10% TO THIRD PROVIDED THEY ARE A REGISTERED FLORIDA BRED) WITH THE REMAINING $100,00 TO BE DISTRIBUTED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 2% TO SIXTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. STARTERS AND RIDERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THIS FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO FOURTEEN STARTERS. IN THE EVENT MORE THAN FOURTEEN PASS THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX, THE FOURTEEN STARTERS WILL BE DETERMINED WITH PREFERENCE GIVEN TO HORSES THAT HAVE ACCUMULATED THE HIGHEST CAREER EARNINGS. SAME OWNER ENTRY MAY START TO THE EXCLUSION OF A SINGLE ENTRY. FOR THOSE THAT ENTER AND ARE ELIMINATED UNDER THESE CONDITIONS, THE ENTRY FEE WILL BE REFUNDED. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS OF $2,000 EACH (WHICH INCLUDE ENTRY AND STARTING FEES) DUE BY THE USUAL TIM

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SOLITUDE DUDE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. SUPER KICK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. MAX CAPAC ITY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	SOLITUDE DUDE	1/2	7/2
4	SUPER KICK	5/1	6/1
1	MAX CAPACITY	8/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	UNDERTAKER	6	30/1	Front-runner	0	0	96.1	56.2	42.2
1	MAX CAPACITY	1	8/1	Front-runner	79	84	92.2	72.2	66.2
5	GO SIMPLE	5	30/1	Front-runner	70	61	77.3	58.5	46.5
7	SOLITUDE DUDE	7	1/2	Front-runner	78	97	58.8	92.0	88.0
4	SUPER KICK	4	5/1	Stalker	89	69	101.9	65.8	60.3
2	LANGVAD	2	10/1	Stalker	79	68	66.8	64.9	59.4
3	THUNDER CHUCK	3	6/1	Stalker	75	75	61.7	64.6	56.1

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 RYTHEM GIRL 5/1
# 5 CHOKECHERY SHARI 6/1
# 2 ROUSING JEWEL 7/5

RYTHEM GIRL is my choice. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. With a strong jock who has won at a very strong 15 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. CHOKECHERY SHARI - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 72 speed figure put up in her last outing. ROUSING JEWEL - Has run admirably when racing a dirt sprint race. Trainer has solid win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:07 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:20pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#5 THOUSANDSTICKS (ML=2/1)
#2 THUNDER ZEUS (ML=3/1)

THOUSANDSTICKS - In this race here, this horse has clearly shown signs that he likes the turf. His Equibase speed figs are the highest in the field for this distance/surface. When this jock and trainer work together you have to take a look. Gutierrez and Lynch have been fantastic together. This horse is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf rating in last race at Churchill Downs was tops in this field. I like the case that this colt's last speed fig, 84, is tops in this bunch. Ran a speedy time for the last quarter on October 26th at Churchill Downs. Anything close right here should get the job done. THUNDER ZEUS - This jock and handler's animals have been producing a favorable return on investment. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times. This trainer brings horses to the turf conditioned to win, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 HARRY O (ML=9/2), #6 MO LADIES (ML=6/1), #9 VERSAILLES ROAD (ML=8/1),

HARRY O - Will be hard for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. MO LADIES - I just don't possess a 'use' sensation about this steed in this clash. VERSAILLES ROAD - Didn't finish in the money on September 13th at Belmont at the Big A. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort. This colt probably needs a more hospitable pace scenario to make his late rush.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THOUSANDSTICKS - This colt is utmost in the group in earnings per start. I'm making a wager on this one.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 THOUSANDSTICKS to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:07 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 12:28pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#6 JOE THE JET (ML=7/2)
#5 SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT (ML=9/2)
#1 TOP BLOOD (ML=12/1)

JOE THE JET - Getting a break of 5 lbs from last race at Laurel. He should make the most of this advantage. SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT - I believe this horse isn't a natural sprinter. Routing is his best game and those last two sprints should have him set for a big run today. This gelding is in good condition, having run a good race on November 27th, finishing second. Carrying 8 pounds less this race. Trainer has him in a good spot. TOP BLOOD - The most recent speed figure of 85 is the top last race speed rating in the bunch. When this jock and handler team up you have to take a look. Briceno and Corrales have been great together. I always like to see a campaigner getting Lasix for the first time. Corrales adds it on this one today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MUGATU (ML=2/1), #2 MR. BOGAN (ML=3/1), #3 ROLL ON JESSE (ML=6/1),

MUGATU - Speed figs of 84/79/74 are started in the wrong direction. MR. BOGAN - That was merely not a very good display in the last contest. ROLL ON JESSE - The finish of fourth in the last affair shows me that this equine may be going off form.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 JOE THE JET is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:07 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 41

FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 4# A INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 MOON DESTINY 5/1
# 1 EL PODEROSO 2/1
# 2 MY FAVORITE LAWYER 4/1

My pick in this race is MOON DESTINY. Earned a solid Equibase speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Look for a much better performance with the drop. This colt has some longshot angles I like to bet on. EL PODEROSO - Has been running strongly lately and ought to be on the lead early on. Texidor has a very strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. MY FAVORITE LAWYER - Has been running well lately and should be on the front end early on. Lopez has a sound 31 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Post: 9:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$15000 - TRACKMASTER RATING 86

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 8 TRICKY MIKI A 10/1
# 3 SOUTH BEACH STAR 7/2
# 2 IT'S IN THE STARS 4/1

TRICKY MIKI A unquestionably looks to be the horse to beat in here looking ever better at 10/1 on the morning line. Cannot put a finger on it, but love this gelding for a bet. SOUTH BEACH STAR - This horse has been making trips to the winner's circle on a regular basis, look for him to make another trip soon. Silva knows this entrant well. Outstanding in the money results when starting as a team. IT'S IN THE STARS - Positive instinct - competing well enough to contend in this contest.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 13
9	9	JUDGE ME AGAIN	7/2	Wrenn, Ronnie Jr - 25	460.94
3	3	FOREVER HIGH	9/1	Ciocca, John Jr - 10	457.47
4	4	GORGEOUS PACKAGE	3/1	Macdonald, Anthony - 14	453.82
5	5	GINGER TREE ROSE	9/2	Merriman, Aaron - 26	447.26
7	7	RISING FIRE	5/1	Noble, Dan - 29	440.66
2	2	PAMS FOR REAL	12/1	Sugg, Kurt - 12	414.64
8	8	WITCHING BLUE CHIP	7/1	Lems, Chris - 14	402.64
1	1	FASHIONABLY LATE	12/1	Rhoades, Braiden - 9	393.63
6	6	LADY HOLLY	25/1	Angus, Tyler - 8	361.02

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
5	5	ZIP TIME	2/1	Sowers, Mcgwire - 18	432.27
2	2	MOOSS TRAX	7/2	Harrington, Andrew - 8	412.01
4	4	UNDENIABLEBLUECHIP	9/2	Wilson, Steven - 9	404.96
3	3	MIDNIGHT MACNEILL	4/1	Stevenson, Michael - 6	402.21
1	1	HUNTING ANGELS	6/1	Graffam, Nicholas - 15	365.85
6	6	BOLT RULER	5/1	Hall, Aaron - 12	361.26
7	7	SHOUT IT OUT LOUD	10/1	Watson, Wallace - 13	347.44
8	8	LITTLE GUY	12/1	Bertolini, Jason - 0	345.36

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:08 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Post: 10:12 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$22000 - NW $9,000 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $18,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000.

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 SNACK ATTACK 8/1
# 1 WHATCHULOOKIN AT 3/1
# 2 DUBLIN DASHER 7/5

Really keen on the likelihood of SNACK ATTACK taking down the winner's share in this event especially at 8/1. Have to support a fine animal coming out of the Woodbine Mohawk Park 5 post. The ROI is tremendous. WHATCHULOOKIN AT - He has competitive class figures, averaging 89. Could be considered for a bet this time. Very strong driver-conditioner numbers make this race horse a very promising choice. Definitely will be putting cash down in this contest. DUBLIN DASHER - Deserves a shot given the successful win percent he sports. He has been going to post strongly and the speed ratings are among the strongest in the group of horses.

**ConleyPicks** · 12-06-2025, 09:09 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, December 6, 2025

by Al Cimaglia

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card, and the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM EST)

2-Joey Joe (3-1)-Bumps up a TM level after putting in a huge mile racing wide and was double bubbled. Was aided by a fast pace but did the heavy lifting to roll a 56.1 back half and looks like a good double up possibility.
7-Pompeo Hanover (4-1)-Finished 4th up one TM level and did go a 54.1 back half after leaving from the 7-hole. Now drops and may have met a beatable field.

Race 7 (8:50 PM EST)

7-Caviart Lotus (9/2)-Makes the 1st start at M1 this year after doing some good work at HoP. Was claimed very late in the meet and comes back in sequence. Should fit well, and the Alvarez barn post 29% winners after a claim.
9-Mamba (3-1)-Joe B steers his own and the 5-year-old has hit the board in 6 of 13 with 2 pictures. Should relish the company after close finishes with the $40k claimers at Yonkers.

Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)

2-It's In The Stars (4-1)-Gets post relief, drops a notch and has been a player at this TM level. Likes to race near the top of the top of the stack and Brett Beckwith could make this post draw a winning advantage.
4-Seasideescape (6-1)-Liked this 4-year-old with Bartlett steering on 11-22 and did connect for a win. Now Joe B steers another of his own and it steps up. Using on the assumption will handle the bump up and looking for a bigger price than the morning line.
5-Trumpster Blues (6-1)-Sealed the deal last week after a pair of 2nd place finishes and now moves up a TM level. Draws well and was aided by a quick pace last week. Could be rolling hard off cover and the fractions should be lively again.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Mayhem Hanover (5-1)-Has won only 2-times in 34 starts at M1 but gets some needed post relief and fits with this crew. Looking for a solid price, the veteran is in a spot to get an efficient trip and be in line for a suck-around win.
6-Dance Partner (3-1)-Beaten even money chalk started from the same post last week and came 2nd. Faded down the lane after getting the lead and now faces the same kind again. This is a different field, only the 1-4 are the same and could make amends tonight.

$1 Early Pick 4

2,7/7,9/2,4,5/1,6
Total Bet=$24