Saturday 12/6/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Thunder Zeus ran third in a stakes and seems best here at the MSW level. (5) Thousandsticks was an improved third last time and should be the main rival. (10) Royal Quest can improve on an 8^th in his debut. (8) Harry O closed fast in his debut and may be a factor here . Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-8-10.

4^th race – (3) Covered in Crystal was game winner of her debut and should like the added ground. (4) Getting Serious exits a sharp maiden win. (6) Haute Diva will welcome a return to turf. (1) Bert’s Knoty Girl should benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.

6th race – (1) She’s My Lady Luck is in sharp form and can lead throughout from the rail. (3) Puckered should pose a late threat. (4) Stamp of Approval may benefit from a return to dirt. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4.

8th race – (3) Longbranch Lou comes off a nice win over the track and can make it two in a row. (4) Ticking could be hard to catch in this spot. (5) Navy Cross belongs in the exotics. (6) Uncle John could make a smooth switch to turf. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-6. Doubles: 3-4-5-6 with 3-5-7-8.

9th race – (3) Summer Cause has experience at the marathon distance which should be beneficial. (5) Coiled showed a nice late kick last time and figures to be a main foe. (7) Padiddle has stakes experience which will come in handy here. (8) Ruddy Buddy could sneak into the picture. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-8.

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Hotlist - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2^nd race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (1) Double Act was third in both of his starts that had strong fields including the Nashua winner. (2) Schoolyardsuperman clipped heels and fell in his debut but then came back to finish second and was a heavy favorite in both races for Chad Brown. (6) Buntus Foclora is another one that faced tough competition in his three starts and it looks he has found another challenging group. (4) Stream It moved from turf to dirt and had his best finish getting third last month going a mile for Linda Rice.

3^rd race [Demoiselle (G2), 1 1/8 mi] – (6) Believable is a full sister of Tenfold, a winner of the Jim Dandy (G2) and Pimlico Special (G2), who sold for $800,000 as a Saratoga yearling. She won at first asking for Repole Stable and Todd Pletcher in September and was second in the Tempted last month. (3) Zany broke her maiden by more than six lengths at Gulfstream Park also for the Repole/Pletcher team. Irad Ortiz gets on board. (1) Jumping the Gun won her first three starts at Delaware Park including a pair of stakes and then was second in October. (2) Shilling won the Tempted for Kenny McPeek’s New York division.

9^th race [Remsen (G2), 1 1/8 mi] – (9) Renegade (A) returned from a short layoff to cross the finish line first and was disqualified to second for bumping even though the replays showed him get knocked off stride. (11) Talkin was second in the Champagne (G1) behind the impressive performance of Napoleon Solo. (6) Courting is a full brother of multi-grade one winner Clairiere that sold for $5 million as a Keeneland yearling and was a second-start maiden winner. (7) Igniter broke his maiden in his second try in the race where Courting was fourth.

10^th race [Cigar Mile (G2), 1 mi] – (4) Crazy Moon won the Carter (G2) at Aqueduct earlier in the year with a late rally. A fast pace is expected in the Cigar Mile and he should appreciate the one-turn mile. (7) Bishops Bay returned from a layoff to win the Forty Niner (G3) last month with 5 wins from his last 6 races. (6) Phileas Fogg will cutback in distance with wins in the Suburban (G2) and the Excelsior. He won 5 out of his 9 most recent starts. (2) Mika is a 3-year-old with two open-length front-end allowance victories in his last two starts.

Best bets: Double Act (2^nd); Crazy Moon (10^th). Best Value: Believable (3^rd); Renegade (9^th).

Saturday Pick 3 Special --
Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 9-11 and includes the Remsen (G2), Cigar Mile (G2), and NY Stallion Series Stake ALL with 4, 6, 7 with 2 = $36.

No.	Name	Letter last race	Today's Race	Comments
(9)	Renegade	A on 10/17	9	Disqualified from 1st to 2nd but got knocked off stride.

[ConleyPicks]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 6, 2025


Dec. 05, 2025

Race 9 at Aqueduct | Saturday, December 6 | Post Time 3:08 PM Eastern

Remsen Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $250,000 | One Mile and One-Eighth | Two Year Olds

Top winning contenders are Chambersville (5), Talkin (11), Igniter (7)

Contenders for second in exactas: Paladin (2), Renegade (9)

Analysis and Contenders:

With three horses who like to set a blistering pace – Day One Starter (1), Balboa (10), and Concorneau (8) – none of the three seems able to find peace in the lead, and all three will be tired by the stretch.

Chambersville (5) is the only one among the 12 entrants in this race to have run a mile and one-eighth distance. He won that race on October 25, showing a kick from fourth at the quarter-pole and winning by a length in a field of 12, earning the best Equibase Speed Figure of 92. All three of his races were on turf, but that is not a problem, as Chambersville has a strong pedigree. Trainer McPeek also trained 2025 Kentucky Derby winner Mystic Dan and Kentucky Oaks winner Thorpedo. Since his last race on October 2, Chambersville improved from an 84 figure to a 92, showing a pattern of progress. Even though Chambersville won his last race, he is coming off turf and moving to dirt, where all the rest of the entries have won on dirt; his odds should be excellent for a win bet.

Talkin (11) finished second in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes on October 4, rallying from seventh early to finish second behind the winner Napoleon Solo, who earned a 98 figure. Napoleon Solo was planned to run in the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes, where he would have been a top favorite, but connections decided to wait until 2026, making Talkin a strong contender. Talkin earned an 87 figure after posting an 81 in his last start and is showing improvement. Talking’s sire, Good Magic, produced the 2022 Remsen winner Dubyuhnell and the 2023 Remsen winner Dornoch, both trained by Gargan.

Igniter (7) last won his race on September 27 and earned 87, the same exact figure as Talkin, after a 73 on his career debut on August 9, also showing a pattern of improvement. He won that race at the same one-mile distance as Talkin's at Aqueduct. Igniter won his start from off the pace, so he should improve to be one of the top contenders among the three.

Bets:

Win: Chambersville (5), Talkin (11), and Igniter (7) are all considered a win bet at fair odds at 3 to 1 odds or higher.

Exactas: Chambersville (5), Talkin (11), Igniter (7) over Chambersville (5), Talkin (11), Igniter (7), Paladin (2), and Renegade (7)

[ConleyPicks]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $23,000 Claiming 7 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 NO MAP NEEDED
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	No Map Needed	J L Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	2	Say I Do Sadie	C McMahon
SHOW	3-1	7	Malibu Smart	M Murrill
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Romany Road	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	3	Linda Faye	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	8	Ballybay Beauty	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $54,000 Maiden Special Weight 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	6	Sweet Lexus	J Graham
PLACE	9-5	5	Hay Evabody	B Curtis
SHOW	7-2	3	Sister Lily	A Concepcion
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Cloud Number Nine	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Taylors Enticed	J Mudd
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	2	Sunshine Daydream	P Lopez
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #3 $28,000 Claiming 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	5	Half Brother	D H Magnon
PLACE	9-2	6	Leading the Charge	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	7-2	4	Summer in Adriane	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Hard to Fathom	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Tahoe Run	E Nieves
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	7	Golden Bandit	A Concepcion
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $14,000 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	2	Cajun Dance	M Murrill
PLACE	7-5	4	Surfin Bayou	J Loveberry
SHOW	4-1	1	Go Get Trae	J Riquelme
WILD CARD	12-1	6	Lil Henry	E Nieves
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	5	Spiritual Duty	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Dayofthewarrior	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #5 $55,000 Allowance 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 PLAY THE TRUMPET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	8	Play the Trumpet	A Concepcion
PLACE	2-1	5	Bosun	J L Ortiz
SHOW	5-2	2	Im Wide Awake	P Lopez
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Carpis	S Vives
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	4	Vesture	A Concepcion
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	1	Hit That Review	B Curtis
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #6 $54,000 Maiden Special Weight 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Wherethehitsare	M Pedroza Jr.
PLACE	3-1	8	Von Erich	C McMahon
SHOW	10-1	5	My Boy J	D H Magnon
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Joey D	B Curtis
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Lil Central	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Saboteur	T S Albert
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
RACE #7 $55,000 Allowance 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 AUTODRIVE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	8	Autodrive	A Concepcion
PLACE	4-1	2	Kenmore West	A Concepcion
SHOW	9-2	5	Unbeatable	B Curtis
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Pharoahs Dynasty	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Premium	C McMahon
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	I Am Lowkey	C McMahon
* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $30,000 Maiden Optional Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Halo Music	A Concepcion
PLACE	3-1	6	Kazoom	J L Ortiz
SHOW	5-1	1	Chasing Gray	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Election Night	P Lopez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	4	French Knight	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Ur Honey	J Graham
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #9 $19,000 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	8	Voodoo Lady	J Loveberry
PLACE	6-1	1	Love Getaway	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	4-1	7	Simple Spice	H Rea
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Ve Nina	C McMahon
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Mischief Ambition	E Nieves
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Deweys Soldier	S Vives
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Los Alamitos Tip Sheet - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $13,000 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	2	Invincible	T Baze
PLACE	9-2	3	Unbreakable Trust	S Carmona
SHOW	6-1	6	Infamous Angel	F J Olague
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Rhino	W R Orantes
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Blue Silver	A L Bautista
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	1	Littlebrotherjoey	S R Vargas
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #2 $16,000 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	2	Rousing Jewel	T J Pereira
PLACE	2-1	6	Sensational Z Z	K Kimura
SHOW	5-1	4	Rythem Girl	A Ayuso
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Rose of Jericho	S R Vargas
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	5	Chokechery Shari	T Baze
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	3	Promise Me Kat	A L Bautista
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #3 $45,000 Maiden Special Weight 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	6	Tiger of the Sea	A Ayuso
PLACE	9-2	5	Joyful Mischief	L Camacho-Flores
SHOW	2-1	3	Honey Bucket	T J Pereira
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Despite	C Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Grainne OMalley	F Orduna-Rojas
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	1	Cote Blanc	A L Bautista
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #4 $15,000 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 MONEY MITCH
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	6	Money Mitch	K Frey
PLACE	3-1	4	Unbridleddaviddoro	D D Cruz
SHOW	2-1	5	Boundless Optimist	K Kimura
WILD CARD	7-2	3	First to Fly	A L Bautista
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Scoop of Chocolate	A Escobedo
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Always a Miracle	A Aguilar
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #5 $20,000 Maiden Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Matts Advisor	K Frey
PLACE	5-1	5	One Happy Dude	T J Pereira
SHOW	2-1	10	Kiki Ride	A Ayuso
WILD CARD	20-1	3	Smokeintheair	A Castellanos
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Desert Kat	J Laprida
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Valentine Rocks	A L Bautista
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX
RACE #6 $34,000 Starter Optional Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:02 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 TRACK TIGER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	6	Track Tiger	K Frey
PLACE	8-1	2	Marcos Performance	R Gonzalez
SHOW	12-1	5	Tapbyangels	A Ayuso
WILD CARD	3-1	4	Fumanos Magic	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Italio	C Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	7	Very Quiet	A Aguilar
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
RACE #7 $45,000 Maiden Special Weight 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Falcon Jet	R Gonzalez
PLACE	2-1	4	Greenwich Village	J J Hernandez
SHOW	4-1	5	Easy Company	D A Herrera
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Whynotanotherone	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Cosmic Trail	S Carmona
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	1	Maximum Gladiator	F Orduna-Rojas
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
RACE #8 $200,000 Stakes 1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	6	Nimah	J J Hernandez
PLACE	3-1	3	Consequent	K Kimura
SHOW	5-2	1	Himika	T Baze
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Cosmic Heat	A Ayuso
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Cashed	T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Jewlz	R Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #9 $46,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #9 JAGUAR JON
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	9	Jaguar Jon	T Baze
PLACE	8-1	3	The Big Cheeseola	K Kimura
SHOW	7-2	5	Grazed	D A Herrera
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Otro Mas	E Payeras
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	10	Its a Cinch	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Clever Clover	W Antongeorgi III
* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/9 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 60% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $17,900 Maiden Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 WARLORD
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Warlord	G Corrales
PLACE	5-1	7	Probably	S E Bermudez
SHOW	9-2	1	Stormin Willie	J E Felix
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Papa Alden	J Curtsinger
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	14	Royal Flush Hearts	V R Carrasco
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Coasting By	R Mojica Jr.
* EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/10 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $19,100 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	1	Rancho	J D Ramos
PLACE	7-2	13	Decatur Street	J D Ramos
SHOW	4-1	6	Sticky Note	O Villarreal
WILD CARD	9-2	11	Caped Crusader	G Ashton
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Cow Creek Kid	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	4	Boys Code	L Contreras
* EXACTA: 1-13 BOX, 13-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/13 BOX, 6/11/13 BOX
RACE #3 $34,500 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	9	Spoils of War	V R Carrasco
PLACE	2-1	1	Enticing Sunset	E Esquivel
SHOW	10-1	6	Curls Nite Out	V Cheminaud
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Cleopatras Nile	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Lady Hamilton	O Villarreal
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Blossoming	L Machado
* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $34,500 Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 PITTORE DORO
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	8	Pittore dOro	A Calleja
PLACE	6-1	7	Cedrato	S E Bermudez
SHOW	5-1	6	Learning to Fly	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Rainbow Rania	D Machado
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Jerseys Parade	C Barbosa
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Moon Dance Laura	S Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
RACE #5 $100,000 Maiden Special Weight 6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	1	Fight Time	G Saez
PLACE	6-1	8	Shellac	V Cheminaud
SHOW	7-2	4	Policy Change	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	5-1	3	War Legend	L Machado
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	In the Dark	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	14	Dismiss	D Machado
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
RACE #6 $39,600 Claiming 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	12-1	3	Holy Alimony	V Lebron
PLACE	3-1	12	Gold Search	A Beschizza
SHOW	5-2	13	Slider	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	7-2	11	Big Salt Lick	G Saez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Homie	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Vodka N Gingerale	C Keiser
* EXACTA: 3-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/12/13 BOX, 11/12/13 BOX
RACE #7 $125,000 Stakes 1 1/4 Miles ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	9	Common Defense	J R Leparoux
PLACE	7-2	6	Safe Trip Home	E Esquivel
SHOW	5-1	1	Funtastic Again	G Corrales
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Zverev	L Machado
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	10	Swift Delivery	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Strong Quality	I Moncada
* EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $104,000 Allowance Optional Claiming 6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	8	Big Vince	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	6-1	6	Its Bourbon Thirty	L Machado
SHOW	7-2	4	Princetown	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Cairo Caper	V R Carrasco
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	9	Surf City	D Machado
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	13	Global Sensation	G Saez
* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #9 $21,700 Claiming 5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 ZOOMBIE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	Zoombie	W A Rodriguez
PLACE	7-2	10	Pretty Fast	C Barbosa
SHOW	5-1	7	Zappinit	J D Ramos
WILD CARD	12-1	5	McVicker	G Corrales
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	9	Face Down	I Moncada
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Wauhatchie	V Lebron
* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/10 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX
RACE #10 $37,200 Maiden Claiming 1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 10:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	8	Rogue Justice	A Beschizza
PLACE	3-1	1	Scribble	L Machado
SHOW	7-2	11	Chere Amia	J Elliott
WILD CARD	10-1	13	Country Club	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Smokin Hot Wife	G Saez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Ton a Laughs	G Corrales
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX, 11-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 1/11/13 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 6


Dec. 05, 2025

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $28,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET
BEST BET: #5 BRAVE BUCK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Brave Buck	K Carmouche
PLACE	7-2	2	Cathedral Beach	J A Hernandez
SHOW	9-2	6	Divine Leader	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	5-2	1	Princip	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Scaramanga	J Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	For Some Reason	O Hernandez Moren
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #2 $85,000 Maiden Special Weight 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 11:48 AM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	1	Double Act	J Alvarado
PLACE	3-1	2	Schoolyardsuperman	M Franco
SHOW	6-1	6	Buntus Foclora	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	5-2	7	Mr. Miracle	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Jet Off	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Exhibition Only	R Silvera
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
RACE #3 $250,000 Stakes 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:17 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $250,000 DEMOISELLE STAKE GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	3	Zany	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	6-1	1	Jumping the Gun	J A Hernandez
SHOW	4-1	2	Shilling	C Elliott
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Believable	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	4	Concurrently	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Ivy Girl	M Franco
* EXACTA: 1,3/1,2,3,6
* TRIFECTA: 3/1,2/1,2,4,6
COMMENTS: ZANY tied for the highest speed figure in her debut and has two solid works since. JUMPING THE GUN has been the betting favorite in each of her four races winning three with a second. SHILLING ran similar fractions despite stretching out from seven furlongs to a mile. BELIEVABLE has not had a clean trip in either of her two races and could upset if she gets clear sailing today.
RACE #4 $88,000 Allowance 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 ARMY GAL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Army Gal	J Lezcano
PLACE	12-1	8	Sandys Garden	S Civaci
SHOW	7-2	1	Despos Dream	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	3-1	6	Layered	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Megs Foxy Grey	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Practical Lov	J R Velazquez
* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #5 $250,000 Stakes 6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:13 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $250,000 ELITE POWER STAKES GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Just Beat the Odds	M Franco
PLACE	7-2	3	Acoustic Ave	J Lezcano
SHOW	9-5	1	El Grande O	F Prat
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Full Moon Madness	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	St. Jude	J Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Subrogate	I Ortiz Jr.
* EXACTA: 1,3,4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,4 BOX
COMMENTS: JUST BEAT THE ODDS has the best combination of early and late pace. ACOUSTIC AVE is a big fan of the distance finishing in the money twelve of fourteen tries. EL GRANDE O usually comes off the sidelines ready to run and should be fit with six workouts since his last race. FULL MOON MADNESS has the most back and Aqueduct class in the field and could find some of it in the third up.
RACE #6 $38,000 Maiden Claiming 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:42 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	10	Alyvia Mavis	J Rodriguez
PLACE	3-1	4	Tahila	M Franco
SHOW	12-1	11	Purest Performance	J Panaijo
WILD CARD	8-1	5	Froghollowsummer	D A Rivera
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Argentiera	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	9	Fire Agate	F Prat
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX
RACE #7 $88,000 Allowance 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:11 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 LIFE AND TIMES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	6	Life and Times	J Lezcano
PLACE	12-1	4	Buttah	J Rosario
SHOW	9-2	10	Dreamlike	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	10-1	11	My Mitole	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Waitlist	R Silvera
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Land dOro	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/10 BOX, 4/10/11 BOX
RACE #8 $500,000 Stakes 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:39 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $500,000 NY STALLION SERIES STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	8	Braverthanubelieve	J Rosario
PLACE	4-1	1	Oh	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	5-1	11	Shes Country	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	10	Hot Currency	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	7	Unmiztaken	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Fancy Lights	J R Velazquez
* EXACTA: 8/1,10,11 EXACTA KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,8,10,11 BOX
COMMENTS: BRAVERTHANUBELIEVE could prove to be too much for these with any second race improvement. OH rides the hot rail and has proven she can win on a fast or wet track. SHES COUNTRY makes two starts in a row for the first time and should continue to improve. HOT CURRENCY put in an even effort from start to finish in her last but is capable of making a top tier mid to late move.
RACE #9 $250,000 Stakes 1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $250,000 REMSEN STAKES GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Paladin	F Prat
PLACE	5-1	11	Talkin	K Carmouche
SHOW	9-2	6	Courting	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	5-1	9	Renegade	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	10	Balboa	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	7	Igniter	M Franco
* EXACTA: 2,6,9,11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,6,9,11 BOX
COMMENTS: PALADIN has some of the best breeding in the field and his connections win at a solid thirty seven percent. TALKIN had an absurdly wide trip in his last and should get a better run at it today. COURTING should be coming as fast as any at the end and might benefit the most from turning twice. RENEGADE put on the afterburners in the stretch in his last and really should not be all that far off the pace here.
RACE #10 $500,000 Stakes 1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:37 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $500,000 CIGAR MILE GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	7	Bishops Bay	F Prat
PLACE	9-5	6	Phileas Fogg	J Rosario
SHOW	5-1	1	Doc Sullivan	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Crazy Mason	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Mika	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Pentathlon	J Alvarado
* EXACTA: 6,7/1,2,4,6,7
* TRIFECTA: 1,4,6,7/6,7/1,2,4,6,7
COMMENTS: BISHOPS BAY has eight wins and a trio of seconds in a dozen starts. He should be involved from go to photo. PHILEAS FOGG has three wins and two very close seconds in five Aqueduct races. DOC SULLIVAN has mostly wide trips in his recent runs and might really benefit from a rail trip. CRAZY MASON in has the biggest in race edge of more than a length of late speed and will be next to impossible to hold off if he is anywhere near the leaders in the stretch.
RACE #11 $500,000 Stakes 7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET
BEST COMMENTARY ** $500,000 NY STALLION SERIES STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Parker Boone	M J Sanchez
PLACE	7-2	7	Spirit of New York	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	12-1	1	Chummers	F Prat
WILD CARD	20-1	8	Muscle Shoals	J Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 1	50-1	16	Take a Stance	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	True Legend	M Franco
* EXACTA: 1,2,5,7,8,16/2,7
* TRIFECTA: 2,7/1,2,7,8/1,2,5,7,8,16
COMMENTS: PARKER BOONE just needs to rerun his debut with highest last race speed figure and it is a wrap. SPIRIT OF NEW YORK is one of two horses that have a par race on their resumes for this level with the top choice. CHUMMERS could get the best trip according to Smart Sheets C ZONE where he has the highest score. MUSCLE SHOALS has won from the front and middle in his two starts and that versatility can be handy in deep fields.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: CBB Hawaii -15.5 over CS Fullerton

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Free play from Totals4U


Saturday's Free Selection: Colorado/Colorado State over 152 1/2

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Free play from #1 Sports


Saturday's Free Play: Fresno State Bulldogs + 18 1/2

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Free play from Big Mike's Sports Network


SATURDAY, December 6, 2025

FREE PLAY

CBK
698. Cal Poly SLO -5.5 (4 PT / 7 ET)

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Free play from Hawkeye Sports


Saturday's Free Pick: Kansas State Wildcats - 3

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Free play from The Last Call


Saturday's Free Play: (622) Nothwestern Wildcats - 2 1/2

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Free play from Hollywood Anthony


Your Free Play From Hollywood


CBB Maryland +13.5

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Free play from Jim Feist


Jim Feist's FREE Pick
SATURDAY, December 6, 2025

NBA
535. Pelicans +2 (2:10 PT / 5:10 ET)