Saturday 12/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Saturday 12/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20482

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream Exacta-Thon Plays | Saturday, December 20, 2025

    by Scott Shapiro

    Saturday’s card at Gulfstream Park is a good one. The 11-race slate in Hallandale Beach gets started at 12:20 pm ET and is headlined by four stakes races, including a pair of graded events towards the back end of the card. It's all part of Pegasus World Cup Preview Day. At 1/ST BET and Xpressbet, we thought it was the perfect time to wheel back our Exacta-Thon promotion. The goal this time will be to connect on five or more $2 exactas over the course of the afternoon at Gulfstream. Those who hit five will earn an equal split of $2500 in bonus cash. The customer(s) who hit the most, will split an additional $2500. Just remember to register on the promotional landing page! Here are a few exactas I like in south Florida on Saturday afternoon.

    Race 6: Sugar Swirl

    The first of the four stakes races is this 6-furlong dash for fillies and mares over the main track. Bill Mott sends out Florida-bred #5 Nic’s Style, while to no one’s surprise Saffie Joseph Jr. holds a strong 1-2-punch with #6 Mystic Lake and #1 R Morning Brew. Nic’s Style was 7 for 8 in her career, including a neck win last spring in the Hurricane Bertie (G3) over this racetrack, but was flat in her return race at Aqueduct. She encountered a solid group that day in the Pumkin Pie and was down on the rail much of the race, but I expected more. She is likely to take public support with Mystic Lake the likely favorite. I have little desire in trying to beat Mystic Lake in this spot, who has been freshened up after four consecutive victories, so I will opt to fade Nic’s Style underneath in hopes she is not the same mare she once was. Instead, I will use #3 Ms. Bucchero for second. The 5YO mare has struggled to put races together of late, but is consistent when she runs. If she can avoid regression off of her win in late October against lesser, she should be good enough to grind away a minor share.

    Play: Exacta 6-3


    Race 9: Suwanee River

    There looks to be a lot of early speed signed on in this year’s Suwanee River, which should set things up for someone who can settle, save ground early, and come with a big run late. I am hopeful most handicappers go to #2 Movin’ On Up on top, but I prefer the chances of #4 Crevalle d’Oro. The daughter of Constitution makes her first start since a solid fourth at big odds in one of the Breeders’ Cup undercard races at Del Mar in early November. She has a win in four starts over this course and should get a great trip under jockey Jorge Ruiz. Hopefully, it is good enough to get the job done with one of the other likely off the pace logicals good enough to pick up the pieces.

    Play: Exacta 4 with 2+8


    Race 11: Ft Lauderdale (G3)

    This year’s Ft Lauderdale came up strong. The 9-furlong test over the sod drew 10, including the veteran #2 Wolfie’s Dynaghost. The 7YO gelding was on the sidelines for a while, but came back to have a solid 2025 campaign topped off by one of the best efforts in his career in the River City (G3). Luis Saez went to the lead with the son of Ghostzapper last month at Churchill Downs and he speed burnt a solid field in Louisville at this same distance. He needs to avoid regression, but should be forward under Irad Ortiz Jr. and a factor late. He is a must use, but I prefer the likely value #5 Beach Gold offers. The son of Omaha Beach has been given ten weeks by trainer Patrick Biancone after chasing some of the best turf horses in the country in the Turf Mile (G1). He has tactical speed, has shown an affinity for this course, and gets a big rider upgrade to Junior Alvarado. I will build my wagers around him in the finale.

    Play: Exacta Key Box 5 with 2+6​

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      Scott Shapiro: Fair Grounds Spot Plays | Saturday, December 20, 2025

      by Scott Shapiro

      Saturday marks “Road to the Derby Kickoff Day” at Fair Grounds Race Course where they have a 12-race card on tap headlined by the $100,000 Gun Runner Stakes. The Gun Runner offers up 10 points to the winner on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard and is the first of four qualifiers run in New Orleans this winter. I do not love a horse in the Derby prep, but spoke about it at length on “Horse Cents” with Bailey Armour and the 1/ST Call Podcast with Jeremy Plonk. Here are a few horses I do like quite a bit though on the slate in the Big Easy on Saturday afternoon.

      Race 3:

      Trainer Brad Cox has debuted a lot of talented colts in New Orleans in the winter and perhaps he has another one making his first start here in #4 Coronado. The $550,000 Keeneland September 2024 purchase’s only older sibling won on debut and this colt should be fit coming in from Florida off a number of solid drills at Payson Park. It does not appear to be the deepest 2YO MSW field we will see on these big days at Fair Grounds during the winter and this son of Nyquist not only appears to have some early speed, but attracts the aggressive Luis Saez. With a clean break, he should be a very tough customer in his first lifetime start for Wathnan Racing.

      Play: #4 Coronado (3-1 ML)


      Race 6:

      I will take a bigger swing in this MSW for 2YOs at 6-furlongs over the main track where some big-name barns are debuting potentially talented young colts. However, I will hope experience matters with second-time starter #5 Sockdolager. The son of Gun Runner took some public support on debut at Churchill Downs in mid-November going off at 10-1 in a full field 2YO event, but was out of the gate just ok. From there, he settled towards the back of the pack before making a bit of a middle move up the inside on the turn. Unfortunately, when he angled out at the top of the lane, he was empty, but hopefully he got a lot out of the race. Since arriving in New Orleans, he has put in three local drills and trainer Joe Sharp is off to a hot start to the meet after just an okay fall in Kentucky. Sharp legs up veteran Paco Lopez, who can hopefully get him out of the gate a bit better this time. If so, I expect a much-improved effort at a solid price.

      Play: #5 Sockdolager (10-1 ML)


      Race 7:

      My top play of the day comes in this MSW event for 2YOs at one-mile over the Fair Grounds sod where I like the chances quite a bit of #3 Prepped. The More Than Ready colt was hammered down to 2-1-favoritism on debut at Churchill Downs back in late October for trainer Cherie DeVaux. Unfortunately, things did not go his way since he was out of the gate slow in a race dominated by those who were prominent in the early stages. I like the way the Keeneland September 2024 purchase finished that day despite not making up significant ground on the leaders. It should set him up for a much-improved effort with Brian Hernandez Jr. taking over riding duties for the first time. Expect Hernandez to relax him along the inside early and come with a strong late run hopefully good enough to earn the money!

      Play: #3 Prepped (9-2 ML)

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        Jeremy Plonk: Remington Park Stakes Analysis | Saturday, December 20, 2025

        by Jeremy Plonk

        Remington Park’s season hits the end of the trail Saturday and the final race will be the $300,000 Springboard Mile with Kentucky Derby qualifying points on the line. Horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take part in the Bet $100, Get $10 promotion throughout the 12-race card.

        Here are my keys to the 6 stakes races that close the night.

        Race 7: Usseit Stakes

        #8 Eirann is a 2-turn stakes winner over this track and comes off a useful allowance win at the same mile trip. #1 Floras Ora fights inconsistency and is unknown routing, but her best sprints put her in the talent mix against the rest of this cast. #7 Runaway Okie could split that pair in the exacta, but this race runs through #8 Eirann.


        Race 8: Jim Thorpe Handicap

        #2 Mister Omaha is the best 3-year-old on the grounds, including open company. To get him back against state-bred sophomores figures to be a tap-in putt to end the season. Short-priced and most likely winner on the card should control it throughout. Give me stretch-out sprinter #5 Code Nate to complete an all-Joe Offolter exacta.


        Race 9: Toby Keith Stakes

        Six juvenile fillies match up in the sister race to the Springboard Mile. Steve Asmussen has $775K Into Mischief filly #4 Not a Lady and $500K Into Mischief filly Mojo Promise. The pace here appears quick, which would give the edge late to #5 Miss Call for trainer Kenny McPeek. Her Churchill Downs class gets her over the top.


        Race 10: She’s All In Handicap

        Four high-quality options in this race, a pair of locals and a pair of invaders. #1 Take Charge Milady and #2 Perfect Shot bring class from afar, both graded stakes-placed. Take Charge Milady has kept impeccable company lines, but may be running short of her best distance while coming off a layoff. Perfect Shot should attack from midflight and have every chance with a good draw. The local stars #7 Miss Code West and #3 Take Me Serious offer the value against the power raiders. Miss Code West has been solid this year, but not quite up to the 2-time Horse of the Meet dominance she’s shown in past campaigns. #3 Take Me Serious never misfires and could be the stronger of the two right now – the play. Use the entire quartet in multi-race bets.


        Race 11: Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial Stakes

        If #1 Heroic Move runs his A-race, they’re all running for second. But he’s failed to pair up victories consistently and could take a step back after a series of New Mexico road trips. #5 Track Phantom also wins with his A-race, but his inconsistency has been a tragic flaw. The highly reliable #6 CW Prize and #3 Victory for Vets ran 1-2 in this race last year at 9-2 and 12-1 odds and provide the value upon the reappearance. I’ll lean on them in multi-race bets as well.


        Race 12: Springboard Mile Stakes

        #1 Arctic Beast has a chance to control the tempo from the rail and his BRIS late pace figures are as good as anyone in the field. What you can’t pass, you can’t beat, and if he handles the mile trip, is the most likely winner. I’ll respect #10 Big Apple Patrick for the trip with the best distance pedigree in the field. But the outside post means he could lose considerable ground. #2 Time for Music and #4 Royalamerican are capable with good draws and neither would surprise.​

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          Frank Carulli: Laurel Park Stakes Picks | Saturday, December 20, 2025

          by Frank Carulli

          Laurel Park presents a quartet of Saturday stakes races in succession. The $100,000 Robert Manfuso caps the quartet with a rematch between local stars Post Time and Barbadian Runner. I’ll focus on the trio of lead-ins.

          Race 5: Bender Memorial Stakes

          Quality outweighs quantity in the $100,000 Howard Bender Memorial. #1 QUINT'S BREW will need his A-game off the layoff, but the recent works indicate readiness. Won off long layoff to start $260k season and ran second in a G-2 stakes at 7F. He just missed in the G-3 Carter at 1M after a stretch-long duel with four-time graded winner Bishop’s Bay. Bet to win and play a Pick 3 with numbers 1, 2 with 1, 2, 9, 11 with 3,5. Alternates here include #2 BOLD DIVERSION, #5 BLUE KINGDOM.


          Race 6: Carousel Stakes

          #1 SULTRY LASS gets a slight nod as the likely value play in the $100,000 Carousel. Not knowing if #9 LUTE WARM will carry over her turf form, or if INTREPID MO can overcome post 11, points a win and place bet on #1 SULTRY LASS and a 1-2-9-11 exacta box. #2 THE SKY IS FALLING rallied powerfully in WV-bred stakes at Charles Town to become lone winner at 1-1/8 miles. Her class will be tested like never before, but the price is right to use her in exotic wagers. #9 LUTE WARM won off year layoff after blockbuster 4-year-old season (4-8, $245k) on turf. Top barn excels with turf-to-dirt, second-off-the-layoff and repeat winner types.


          Race 7: Politely Stakes

          #3 TAKETHEMONEYHONEY has wins at three tracks and four distances in a near-perfect start to her career. She just missed after a stretch-long battle with Grammy Girl (5-18, $286k) on a muddy track last out. She shortens up to 6F in the $100,000 Politely in her second start after a six-month absence. Bet to win and place and play 3-2 and 3-5 exactas. #2 ONYX TEN is a model of consistency rallied to win 6F and 7F stakes early in year, but her recent three-peat bid failed at odds-on. Trainer Gary Capuano is on a 16-for-40 second-off-the-(45 day) layoff run. #5 GRAYSON’S GIRL pounced on dueling leaders to earn top speed figure of her career in winning the Safely Kept Stakes over the track. Will get speed to rally into on the cutback from a long to short sprint.​

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6
            1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, December 20, 2025

            by Xpressbet

            EXTRA INCENTIVES
            Pegasus World Cup VIP Sweepstakes | now through Jan. 4
            $5,000 Exacta-Thon | Gulfstream Park | Saturday’s races
            Bet $100, Get $10 | Remington Park | Saturday’s races

            TOURNAMENT TIME
            $1,000 Gulfstream PWCBC Qualifier | details
            $100 Gulfstream feeder | details

            NOTABLE CARRYOVERS
            Pick 5 | $7,983 | Laurel | begins Race 5 | 2:05 pm ET
            Jackpot Pick 6 | $257,722 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race 6 | 2:48 pm ET
            Pick 6 | $110,127 | Oaklawn | begins Race 5 | 3:24 pm ET
            Jackpot Pick 6 | $158,382 | Turfway Park | begins Race 5 | 7:55 pm ET
            --Gulfstream mandatory payout Sunday

            KEY RACES
            Laurel | Race 5 | 2:05 pm ET | Bender Memorial Stakes
            Gulfstream Park | Race 5 | 2:18 pm ET | Janus Stakes
            Laurel | Race 6 | 2:34 pm ET | Carousel Stakes
            Gulfstream Park | Race 6 | 2:48 pm ET | Sugar Swirl Stakes
            Laurel | Race 7 | 3:04 pm ET | Politely Stakes
            Laurel | Race 8 | 3:34 pm ET | Manfuso Stakes
            Gulfstream Park | Race 9 | 4:18 pm ET | Suwanee River Stakes
            Gulfstream Park | Race 10 | 4:48 pm ET | Harlan’s Holiday Stakes
            Oaklawn | Race 8 | 4:52 pm ET | Tinsel Stakes
            Fair Grounds | Race 8 | 5:15 pm ET | Tenacious Stakes
            Gulfstream Park | Race 11 | 5:18 pm ET | Fort Lauderdale Stakes
            Fair Grounds | Race 9 | 5:45 pm ET | Diliberto Memorial Stakes
            Fair Grounds | Race 10 | 6:15 pm ET | Untapable Stakes
            Fair Grounds | Race 11 | 6:45 pm ET | Gun Runner Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 7 | 8:54 pm ET | Useeit Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 8 | 9:23 pm ET | Jim Thorpe Handicap
            Turfway | Race 8 | 9:25 pm ET | Florence Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 9 | 9:52 pm ET | Toby Keith Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 10 | 10:23 pm ET | She’s All In Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 11 | 10:54 pm ET | Hawk Memorial Stakes
            Remington Park | Race 12 | 11:26 pm ET | Springboard Mile

            LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX
            Tampa Bay Downs | Race 5 | 2:39 pm ET
            Fair Grounds | Race 7 | 4:45 pm ET
            Turfway | Race 9 | 9:55 pm ET

            TRAINERS TO WATCH
            Brittany Russell | Laurel | 6 of 7 entrants 5-1 or less odds

            DID YOU SEE?
            Yesterday | Remington Park | favorites won 6 of 9 races on the card​

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7
              Race of the Week: Fort Lauderdale at Gulfstream Park | Saturday, December 20, 2025

              by Jeremy Plonk

              The Lead:
              After catching a winner over the Gulfstream turf in this space last week in the Tropical Park Derby, let's go back to the South Florida green for Saturday's Grade 3 $200,000 Fort Lauderdale Stakes. This prep for next month's Pegasus World Cup Turf is 1 of 5 stakes races on an 11-race card. The Fort Lauderdale will be Race 11 with a schedule post time of 5:18 pm ET.

              ​​Field Depth:
              Defending Fort Lauderdale champion MAJOR DUDE is a multiple Grade 2 winner. CUGINO, STEAL SUNSHINE and WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST also are Grade 2 winners above this race's grade. CHASING THE CROWN is Grade 1-placed. MAJOR DUDE and DIVIN PROPOS have kept the most consistently strong schedules in the field.

              Pace:
              WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST and QUATROCENTO are most likely to set the tone. BEACH GOLD and MAJOR DUDE figure to be in closest pursuit of what looks to be a fair, but not overlay fast, pace for 1-1/8 miles on turf.

              Our Eyes:
              Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

              #1-STEAL SUNSHINE: Primary dirt runner seeks his first turf win with only 4 starts prior on grass. Curious spot given this one was third in the Harlan’s Holiday last year on this same card. Jockey Edgard Zayas was aboard for recent dirt victory around 2 turns and returns to the saddle for Bobby Dibona. Devoid of any speed, saves ground early in hopes of late launch.

              #2-WOLFIE’S DYNAGHOST: Former synthetic star has been all turf in 2025, winning 3 of 5 while splitting between Jonathan Thomas and Brian Lynch barns. Lynch won the Fort Lauderale in 2016 with Heart to Heart. Grade 3 River City winner aims for third straight win, though jockey Luis Saez is off to Oaklawn and is capably replaced by Irad Ortiz Jr. Inside speed to catch, but could be an underlay price for red-hot barn.

              #3-CHASING THE CROWN: Rallied last to third in the Pegasus World Cup Turf in January and hopes to get back to that spot with a good effort Saturday. Millionaire cashed big check at Kentucky Downs in August in a very light campaign that has him fresh for winter. Mike Maker won this race in 2018 with Shining Copper.

              #4-SIEGE OF BOSTON: Jimmy Toner trainee snapped a 15-race losing skid last time with a November 15 victory at Laurel. Deep closer ran fifth in this race last year when beaten 1-1/2 lengths. Just 1-for-8 lifetime over the Fort Lauderdale’s 9-furlong turf trip, but has run well over this course.

              #5-BEACH GOLD: Took 9 tries to break his maiden but then proceeded to win 4 of 5 starts, notching 3 of those scores on the Gulfstream lawn. Patrick Biancone charge wasn’t up to the Grade 1 test at Keeneland as expected at 43-1 that day but comes back to a winnable level and course he likes. Junior Alvarado rides.

              #6-CUGINO: Solid, though light, 4-year-old season with 3 wins in 4 starts for Shug McGaughey. Exits back-to-back wins in the Red Bank and Red Smith at Monmouth and Aqueduc, respectively, but won the Tropical Park Derby over this course last year. Highly consistent around this class level and gets ace pilot Flavien Prat back.

              #7-NAPTOWN: $40,000 claim in June by Jose Magana has won 2 of 7 for the new connections, while fourth in the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile and second in the Knickerbocker. Maryland-based gelding is cross-entered in Sunday’s Prairie Bayou at Turfway Park.

              #8-MAJOR DUDE: Neck winner of this race a year ago at 2-1 odds, this 5-year-old looks to give trainer Todd Pletcher a fifth Fort Lauderdale victory (2012, 2015, 20202, 2024). John Velazquez guided him to the Artie Schiller Stakes win at Aqueduct in October and returns. Should be in contention throughout and is 2-for-3 over the race’s 9 furlongs.

              #9-QUATROCENTO: Fausto Gutierrez trainee arrived in South Florida last week and returns to the scene of his 2024 maiden-breaking victory. Pace player wired a Kentucky Downs mile in September before leading most of the way in the Grade 1 Keeneland Turf Mile. Regular rider Julien Leparoux will try to nurse this miler farther than his most-successful efforts to date.

              #10-DIVIN PROPOS: French export went 2-for-3 upon arriving in California but has lost 8 straight races since. Moved from Phil D’Amato to Saffie Joseph’s barn over the summer, dropping 2 decisions for the current regime while falling far off the early pace. Could drop far back again from this outside post as Tyler Gaffalione tries to save any grown that he can.

              Most Likely Exotics Contender:
              CUGINO is 10-13 in the exacta lifetime (3-3 at Gulfstream) and has missed only 2 superfectas in his career.

              Best Longshot Contender:
              CHASING THE CROWN was 64-1 when third in the Pegasus Wold Cup Turf over this course and a poor effort last time in the River City at Churchill Downs likely inflates his price here. At 8-1 morning line, he's a fair chase.

              Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
              $90 win CUGINO. $5 exacta box CUGINO with CHASING THE CROWN ($10).​

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8
                Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 20


                Dec. 19, 2025

                By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

                Hot List Key:

                A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
                *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                1st race – (7) Mermaid was second in her career debut and should get the job done here. (9) Elenique may be well-suited by turf. (11) Chatelot could pose a late threat. (4) Horsing Around might be a serious threat with Prat aboard in her debut. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-7-9-11.

                3rd race – (9) Torch Is Passed has sharp speed and may lead throughout. (2) Retained is worth a look off the Fawkes claim. (3) If Not for Luck should pose a late threat. (4) Fast Fixer cannot be ignored at this level. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-9.

                5th race – (5) Coppola has a class edge here and may lead throughout. (8) Reef Runner looks like the one to fear. (7) Litigation should be a threat in the final furlong. (4) Boat’s a Rockin could be a factor on his best try. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-7-8.

                7th race – (8) Relevance was a bit rank in his turf debut and could get a smooth trip here. (13) No Pressure was a good second in his debut and will be a main contender if he scratches in. (11) Boss Henry will be helped by a fast pace. (3) Lemon’s Law fits in nicely here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-8-11-13.

                10th race – (2) Skippylongstocking has been freshened since August and is working sharply for his return. (5) Poster keeps getting better and should appreciate the return to dirt. (7) Con Compania cannot be ignored in this field. (1) Hold My Bourbon will be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9
                  Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 20, 2025


                  Dec. 19, 2025

                  Race 10 at Fair Grounds | Saturday, December 20 | Post Time 6:15 PM Eastern

                  Untapable Stakes | Purse $100,000 | One Mile and Seventy Yards | Fillies, Two Years Old

                  Actis (8) won the My Trusty Cat Stakes at Delta Downs on November 25, as the only previous stakes winner in the field. That win was at a seven-and-a-half-furlong distance in a two-turn race. She is also one of two horses to win twice in two-turn races, with the other being Hit Parade, who starts at 5 to 2 morning odds, compared to 6 to 1 for Actis. Actis improved from her first win and a 66 Equibase Speed Figure to a 75. Top trainer Amoss has won five of eight races in five years when returning with back-to-back winners from the Delta to Fair Grounds. Amoss partners with jockey Jose Ortiz, who has won about a third of their races (22 wins out of 66 starts) over the past two years. Actis has a chance for her third victory.

                  Luv Your Neighbor (1) won her debut in September, then finished a half-length back on December 4. Her last race earned an Equibase Speed Figure of 83. She is comfortable either taking the lead or sitting behind the early pacesetters. She showed a strong kick in her two best races. She has put in two excellent workouts, the best of 55 and the best of 69, which shows she’s fit. She continues a pattern of improvement and is a contender. Luv Your Neighbor starts at 6 to 1.

                  Pashmina (7) started her career on October 18 on a turf route and finished sixth. However, she was a completely different horse when she moved to a dirt route on November 28, winning by 11 lengths. That earned a 76 speed figure, and in her third career race and second route, she could improve.

                  Hit Parade (3) also began her career on a turf route and finished third. She won her second route race in only her third start, earning an 82 figure, which is similar to the other top contenders in this race. Hit Parade is listed at 5 to 2 odds, compared to 5 to 1 for Pashmina and 6 to 1 for Actis and Luv Your Neighbor, but that doesn’t necessarily mean she has a better chance. I prefer betting on others to win, but I would include Hit Parade in exactas.

                  Bets:

                  Win: Actis (8) and Luv Your Neighbor (1) should be considered at fair odds of 2 to 1 or higher.

                  Pashmina and (7) Hit Parade (3) should be considered at odds of 7 to 2 or higher.

                  Exactas box: Actis (8), Luv Your Neighbor (1), Pashmina, and (7) Hit Parade (3).



                  Race 11 at Fair Grounds | Saturday, December 20 | Post Time 6:145 PM Eastern

                  Gun Runner Stakes | Purse $100,000 | One Mile and One Sixteenth | Two Years Old

                  Mister Punch (8) started his career in September with a turf sprint and finished eighth. His second start, a dirt route on November 5, was much better. He stalked in third early, then took the lead three paths wide at the five-sixteenth pole, battled head-to-head for the lead, put that horse away, and drove on to win by five lengths. He earned an 88, the second-fastest Equibase Speed Figure of the field. His dam was Harlan Punch, who earned $780K by winning 10 races, including four stakes. Trainer Brad Cox also trained Quality Mischief and Arabia Wild, who earned figures of only 73 and 76. Saez rides for the first time and wins for Cox at 37% (19 wins out of 51) in similar stakes over the last five years. I believe Saez and his agent had a choice of the Cox trio to choose from.

                  Liberty National (3) also began his career in October, finishing a sprint in sixth place. Similarly to Mister Punch, who won his second race, a dirt route by four lengths. Liberty National earned a 92, the best figure in the field. He should continue to improve in his third start and be a contender.

                  Chip Honcho (2) also started, similar to Mister Punch and Liberty National, with a dirt sprint before winning on November 20 in a route, leading from start to finish at Churchill Downs, and earning an 83 figure. He gets blinkers, and with the inside post, the rest will be left to catch him. His trainer, Steve Asmussen, won the Gun Runner 2023 Track Phantom after a win at Churchill Downs, where Chip Honcho won last month.

                  Bets:

                  Win: Mister Punch (8), Liberty National (3), and Chip Honcho (2) are considered at fair odds of 3 to 1 or higher. If two of the three are at four to one or higher, I would place bets on those two.

                  Exactas box: Mister Punch (8), Liberty National (3), and Chip Honcho (2)

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10
                    Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 20


                    Dec. 19, 2025
                    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
                    RACE #1 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 8-1 4 Spare Me L Saez
                    PLACE 9-2 6 Rani P Lopez
                    SHOW 8-1 2 Sonare B Curtis
                    WILD CARD 7-2 11 Acquazurra J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 14 Sharp Mindset P Lopez
                    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Hidden Map C McMahon
                    * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/6/11 BOX
                    RACE #2 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #1 MISSIN MISSY
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 1 Missin Missy M Pedroza Jr.
                    PLACE 4-1 8 Braken Poppa P Lopez
                    SHOW 6-1 5 La Maxima J L Ortiz
                    WILD CARD 6-1 9 Tied the Knot J Loveberry
                    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 6 Miss Super Mo A Concepcion
                    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Restless Mind I Castillo
                    * EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX
                    RACE #3 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 5-1 7 Obelus A Concepcion
                    PLACE 4-1 3 Golden Tempo J L Ortiz
                    SHOW 8-1 1 Fancy Fairlane D Cannon
                    WILD CARD 3-1 4 Coronado L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Tapcon J Graham
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Opt In S Vives
                    * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                    RACE #4 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #7 QUICK KISS
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 7 Quick Kiss J Loveberry
                    PLACE 12-1 9 Gerber Daisy D Cannon
                    SHOW 6-1 6 White Smoke E Nieves
                    WILD CARD 12-1 5 Irish Punch A Concepcion
                    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 1 M Ks Rockette L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Niche I Castillo
                    * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX
                    RACE #5 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-1 9 Dont Come Looking D Cannon
                    PLACE 7-2 10 Aurora Sky J L Ortiz
                    SHOW 8-1 7 Awesomesauce P Lopez
                    WILD CARD 20-1 13 Cloud Number Nine J Loveberry
                    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 12 Galatina L Saez
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Faded Jeans M Pedroza Jr.
                    * EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-13 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 7/10/13 BOX
                    RACE #6 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #9 GETHSEMANE
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 9 Gethsemane L Saez
                    PLACE 20-1 8 Mischief Ride C McMahon
                    SHOW 5-1 7 Cowboy Roy M Pedroza Jr.
                    WILD CARD 4-1 6 Trouble Calling D Cannon
                    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Tapits Gunner B J Hernandez Jr.
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Reagans Honor B Curtis
                    * EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
                    RACE #7 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-1 10 Cruisin Chuck S Vives
                    PLACE 9-2 3 Prepped B J Hernandez Jr.
                    SHOW 15-1 1 Look No Mo H Rea
                    WILD CARD 8-1 13 Shuggy A Concepcion
                    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Karate Island B Curtis
                    ALTERNATE 2 7-2 11 Prince of Light J L Ortiz
                    * EXACTA: 10-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-13 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/3/13 BOX
                    RACE #8 $100,000 Stakes
                    1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 TENACIOUS STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 7-5 2 Just a Touch L Saez
                    PLACE 2-1 7 Not This Boy J L Ortiz
                    SHOW 6-1 6 Sir Greylind B J Hernandez Jr.
                    WILD CARD 4-1 1 Komorebino Omoide P Lopez
                    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Stowaway J Loveberry
                    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Will Take It A Concepcion
                    * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
                    COMMENTS: JUST A TOUCH is always good and has been good at this track. NOT THIS BOY could have the speed to upset. SIR GREYLIND could be a player with the right trip. KOMOREBINO OMOIDE has faced tough fields and is always competitive.
                    RACE #9 $100,000 Stakes
                    1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 BUDDY DILIBERTO MEMORIAL
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-1 7 Theismann L Saez
                    PLACE 7-2 2 Kupuna B Curtis
                    SHOW 3-1 9 Gigante J L Ortiz
                    WILD CARD 8-1 6 Legalize B J Hernandez Jr.
                    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Emmanuel J Loveberry
                    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Point Proven T Thornton
                    * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 2/6/9 BOX
                    COMMENTS: THEISMANN is an all or nothing we like the all here. KUPUNA will be dangerous if the race sets up for him. GIGANTE is another that will be closing late. LEGALIZE has dangerous speed.
                    RACE #10 $100,000 Stakes
                    1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 UNTAPABLE STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 9-2 2 Have Faith P Lopez
                    PLACE 5-2 3 Hit Parade L Saez
                    SHOW 3-1 6 Miss Call B J Hernandez Jr.
                    WILD CARD 5-1 7 Pashmina B Curtis
                    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Actis J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Luv Your Neighbor A Concepcion
                    * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
                    COMMENTS: HAVE FAITH has shown the talent early. HIT PARADE is a major player. MISS CALL will be tough with the right set up. PASHMINA was impressive last time out and would win with that performance here.
                    RACE #11 $100,000 Stakes
                    1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:45 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 GUN RUNNER STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 5-1 5 Crown the Buckeye J Loveberry
                    PLACE 9-2 2 Chip Honcho P Lopez
                    SHOW 7-2 3 Liberty National B J Hernandez Jr.
                    WILD CARD 9-2 1 Mesquite J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Very Connected C J Hernandez
                    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Arabia Wild A Concepcion
                    * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
                    COMMENTS: CROWN THE BUCKEYE has speed and is outside the other speed. CHIP HONCHO could be the speed of the speed. LIBERTY NATIONAL is a must use in all exotics. MESQUITE will be around at the end.
                    RACE #12 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                    1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:15 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 8-1 6 Ocelli B Curtis
                    PLACE 8-1 5 Market Runner D Cannon
                    SHOW 8-1 3 Thunder Buck L Saez
                    WILD CARD 4-1 11 Liberty Valance A Concepcion
                    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Maximum Effort I Castillo
                    ALTERNATE 2 5-1 12 Roguishness J L Ortiz
                    * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/11 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11
                      Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - December 20


                      Dec. 19, 2025
                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
                      RACE #1 $30,000 Maiden Claiming
                      1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 6 Bolts Treasure A Espinoza
                      PLACE 5-2 5 Heats Hero A Triana Jr.
                      SHOW 5-1 2 Awol W De La Cruz
                      WILD CARD 8-1 1 More Money Mo A Cedillo
                      ALTERNATE 1 2-1 4 Wartank R Bejarano
                      ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Bo Bo Dough J C Bealmear
                      * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                      RACE #2 $60,000 Starter Allowance
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:58 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #5 NERAZURRI
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 5 Nerazurri C A Torres
                      PLACE 9-2 2 Pink Ruby F Jara
                      SHOW 6-1 6 Feasible J Rosario
                      WILD CARD 3-1 3 Lady Aberdeen F Arrieta
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Sultry Kitten E Esquivel
                      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 9 Ma Raes Girl R Santana Jr.
                      * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                      RACE #3 $38,000 Maiden Claiming
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:25 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 12 Crevalla de Vil C A Torres
                      PLACE 8-1 11 Jawdropper E Garcia
                      SHOW 15-1 5 Cowboy Killer K Harr
                      WILD CARD 20-1 4 Bellas Atreides I Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Avery County J A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Big Red Machine A Cedillo
                      * EXACTA: 12-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 5/11/12 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX
                      RACE #4 $117,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #1 NAVY SEAL
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 1 Navy Seal F Arrieta
                      PLACE 5-1 6 Chromes Echo C A Torres
                      SHOW 9-2 2 One Ten Stadium J Rosario
                      WILD CARD 5-2 7 Bohemian Bo W De La Cruz
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Als Romeo A Triana Jr.
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Bettys Cash A Cedillo
                      * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
                      RACE #5 $115,000 Allowance
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 6-1 1 Untamed Moment R Santana Jr.
                      PLACE 2-1 6 Moonlight Dash J A Torres
                      SHOW 5-1 2 Key to Success A Triana Jr.
                      WILD CARD 9-2 5 Electrifying Lady J Rosado
                      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Filly Crystal F Jara
                      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Queens Martini J Rosario
                      * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #6 $65,000 Claiming
                      1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 6-1 8 Kissin Cash C A Torres
                      PLACE 9-2 1 Promisemeanempire F Arrieta
                      SHOW 3-1 2 Stylish Lady J Rosado
                      WILD CARD 7-2 7 Lookster J A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Lady of Silence J Rosario
                      ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Onmywaytosavthday E Esquivel
                      * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
                      RACE #7 $45,000 Claiming
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 5-2 6 Crew Dragon S Carmona
                      PLACE 12-1 9 Bavaria Road E Esquivel
                      SHOW 12-1 2 Tresillian A Cedillo
                      WILD CARD 8-1 5 Glass of Jameson J A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1 King Peanut C A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 10 Hey Big Un W De La Cruz
                      * EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX
                      RACE #8 $150,000 Stakes
                      1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET
                      ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 TINSEL STAKES
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-5 7 Rattle N Roll J Rosario
                      PLACE 9-5 4 Willy Ds F Arrieta
                      SHOW 6-1 5 Runaway Again R Bejarano
                      WILD CARD 8-1 6 Money Supply C A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Woodcourt E Esquivel
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Mackman A Cedillo
                      * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                      COMMENTS: RATTLE N ROLL has all the creditenials just needs the right trip. WILLY DS is the other who could take down the top choice. RUNAWAY AGAIN has a lot of potential winning three of five races. MONEY SUPPLY is a must use in all exotics.
                      RACE #9 $117,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #4 DIVE BOMBER
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-1 4 Dive Bomber F Arrieta
                      PLACE 12-1 1 Big City T W Bacon
                      SHOW 4-1 8 Classify S Carmona
                      WILD CARD 3-1 7 Eglise R Bejarano
                      ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Schwarzmeier J A Torres
                      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 10 Gold Sweep F Jara
                      * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
                      RACE #10 $115,000 Allowance
                      6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 4-1 1 Raise the Bar J Rosado
                      PLACE 5-1 4 Turn Up the Trees J Rosario
                      SHOW 5-2 10 Invictus R Bejarano
                      WILD CARD 6-1 5 Run Jalen Run T W Bacon
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Sinners Sin E A Roman
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Cybertown A Mendoza
                      * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 4/5/10 BOX

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12
                        Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - December 20


                        Dec. 19, 2025
                        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
                        RACE #1 $19,000 Claiming
                        1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 2-1 7 Shabam S Marin
                        PLACE 3-1 2 Star of Saturn S Camacho
                        SHOW 9-5 3 Chez Soleil C Marquez
                        WILD CARD 6-1 4 Strand of Gold J A Leon
                        ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Jassai J Trejos
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 8 Sing Scat G Maldonado
                        * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                        RACE #2 $55,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #7 LADY VALOR
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-5 7 Lady Valor S Marin
                        PLACE 7-2 5 Strike D Oro A A Gallardo
                        SHOW 6-1 6 Ridgie C Gonzalez
                        WILD CARD 15-1 1 Magic Moon R Feliciano
                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Fly Life S Camacho
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Mobelladream C Gil
                        * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                        RACE #3 $22,300 Claiming
                        7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:39 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-5 5 Madam Mitole D Centeno
                        PLACE 20-1 8 Super Engreida J R Herrera
                        SHOW 2-1 1 Mi Bella Genio S Camacho
                        WILD CARD 6-1 2 C C Girl C Marquez
                        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 7 Park Avenue Betty C E Rojas
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Country Economics M Meneses
                        * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
                        RACE #4 $28,000 Starter Optional Claiming
                        1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:09 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 5-1 7 Divine Romance I O Rodriguez
                        PLACE 7-2 1 Gullfaxi S Camacho
                        SHOW 3-1 2 Calisue S Marin
                        WILD CARD 8-1 6 Tortuga Island A Quinonez
                        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Crossati S Hess
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Omikami G A Martinez
                        * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
                        RACE #5 $22,800 Claiming
                        1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:39 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #3 MAGIC HEART
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 5-2 3 Magic Heart A A Gallardo
                        PLACE 4-1 4 Post Command S Leon
                        SHOW 20-1 10 Zhu Daddy C Gil
                        WILD CARD 10-1 9 Ferals Joy G A Martinez
                        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 That Sun of a Gun S Marin
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Zapata S Spieth
                        * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 4/9/10 BOX
                        RACE #6 $19,000 Claiming
                        7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:09 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #10 ISSANO
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 7-2 10 Issano A A Gallardo
                        PLACE 12-1 11 Devilish Desire S Spanabel
                        SHOW 4-1 4 Artwell W Ho
                        WILD CARD 6-1 5 Diamond Messa C Gonzalez
                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Swen S Hess
                        ALTERNATE 2 20-1 9 Davids Songs A Morales
                        * EXACTA: 10-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 4/10/11 BOX, 4/5/11 BOX
                        RACE #7 $56,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:39 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 2-1 2 Spirited Boss S Marin
                        PLACE 7-2 7 Yankee Dollar A A Gallardo
                        SHOW 4-1 4 Flowers for Me D Centeno
                        WILD CARD 10-1 9 Tour Queen J C Ferrer
                        ALTERNATE 1 9-2 5 Make the Boys Wink S Camacho
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Atmidnight A Quinonez
                        * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX
                        RACE #8 $19,000 Claiming
                        1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-1 2 Dracula A S Worrie
                        PLACE 10-1 12 Super Tiz R Mitchell
                        SHOW 5-2 10 Develop Product S Marin
                        WILD CARD 10-1 6 King Reigert G A Martinez
                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 8 Theos Thunder S Camacho
                        ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Zee Fire A Quinonez
                        * EXACTA: 2-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 6/10/12 BOX
                        RACE #9 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
                        1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:39 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 4 Take Dat S Camacho
                        PLACE 7-2 5 Loveontheleftbank C Gil
                        SHOW 5-2 10 Trading Strategy S Marin
                        WILD CARD 6-1 6 Mona L M Rojas
                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Money Trail G Maldonado
                        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Sonja Henie P Morales
                        * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 4/5/10 BOX, 5/6/10 BOX

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13
                          Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 20


                          Dec. 19, 2025
                          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 60% of the time at this track.
                          RACE #1 $21,700 Claiming
                          6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-1 9 Karma Director P W Ouzts
                          PLACE 3-1 7 Taillights W A Rodriguez
                          SHOW 8-1 4 Toms Spirit O Villarreal
                          WILD CARD 7-2 8 Mahoney Road G Saez
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Heat Lightning A Beschizza
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Zaddy S Pauly
                          * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 4/7/9 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX
                          RACE #2 $34,500 Claiming
                          6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 9 Bucyk F De La Cruz
                          PLACE 20-1 3 Balam O Villarreal
                          SHOW 4-1 2 Odorico L Machado
                          WILD CARD 5-1 10 Cannon A Murgia
                          ALTERNATE 1 20-1 8 Uneven Kiel J R Gutierrez
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Andys Candy B Bays
                          * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/3/10 BOX
                          RACE #3 $103,000 Allowance
                          6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #1 SMOKEY SMOKEY
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 8-5 1 Smokey Smokey L Machado
                          PLACE 5-2 5 Demolition Duke J D Ramos
                          SHOW 2-1 2 Cant Hush This A Beschizza
                          WILD CARD 8-1 6 Classy War E Morales
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Heavy Pour W A Rodriguez
                          ALTERNATE 2 30-1 3 Spinning Pride S Gonzalez
                          * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #4 $34,500 Claiming
                          1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #6 AGENT KELLY
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 6-1 6 Agent Kelly V R Carrasco
                          PLACE 3-1 8 Ask Arthur D Machado
                          SHOW 4-1 5 Finn McSorley L Machado
                          WILD CARD 7-2 9 Jus Too Fly F De La Cruz
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Romantic Lead E Morales
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Vino Caldo A Achard
                          * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX
                          RACE #5 $100,000 Maiden Special Weight
                          1 1/16 Miles ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 14 Plaza Cue W A Rodriguez
                          PLACE 7-2 6 Sonhador D Sheehy
                          SHOW 4-1 12 Chelseys Choice E Morales
                          WILD CARD 5-1 8 Worry Be Gone L Machado
                          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Miss Pharaoh F De La Cruz
                          ALTERNATE 2 3-1 5 Glamorama A Beschizza
                          * EXACTA: 14-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 6/12/14 BOX, 6/8/12 BOX
                          RACE #6 $43,500 Claiming
                          6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 7-2 2 Hi Barbie J D Ramos
                          PLACE 12-1 5 Cachinnation G Saez
                          SHOW 6-1 1 Miss Bourbon E Morales
                          WILD CARD 6-1 11 Moon Law L Machado
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Wisconsin Gal O Bocachica
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Sweet Bebsi P Moran
                          * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/5/11 BOX
                          RACE #7 $106,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #7 SAMS TREASURE
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 7 Sams Treasure L Machado
                          PLACE 2-1 1 Dala W A Rodriguez
                          SHOW 9-2 5 Fancy Caber Neigh V Cheminaud
                          WILD CARD 4-1 6 Girl of My Dreams D Sheehy
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 8 Sickle Dance A Beschizza
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Tanya Showers J R Leparoux
                          * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #8 $125,000 Stakes
                          1 1/4 Miles ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
                          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 FLORENCE STAKES
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 4-1 12 Speed Shopper D Sheehy
                          PLACE 7-2 10 Ayra Stark V R Carrasco
                          SHOW 20-1 7 Settling Storm D Machado
                          WILD CARD 3-1 3 Duvet Day P Moran
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Sabalenka G Saez
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Adrasteia E Morales
                          * EXACTA: 12-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 7/10/12 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX
                          COMMENTS: SPEED SHOPPER has been very consistent and will be tough if ready to go after layoff. AYRA STARK is consistent and will be around at the end. SETTLING STORM could surprise at a huge price. DUVET DAY is a major player who will have low odds.
                          RACE #9 $101,000 Allowance
                          1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 4 Tre Italiani W A Rodriguez
                          PLACE 5-2 8 Mount Horeb V Cheminaud
                          SHOW 4-1 5 Aristotle I Moncada
                          WILD CARD 4-1 14 Coalmoon L Machado
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Lucius Verus F De La Cruz
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Atlal E Morales
                          * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-14 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 5/8/14 BOX
                          RACE #10 $37,200 Maiden Claiming
                          6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 10:25 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-1 7 Blessed Warrior S Gonzalez
                          PLACE 12-1 9 Put Me in Coach J N Hernandez
                          SHOW 8-1 13 Rosies Words L Machado
                          WILD CARD 15-1 6 A Lotta Dough S E Bermudez
                          ALTERNATE 1 3-1 4 Versed J D Ramos
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Gotta Jet R A Prescott
                          * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-13 BOX, 13-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 7/9/13 BOX, 6/9/13 BOX

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14
                            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
                            Evangeline Downs - Race 1 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
                            Stakes • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 4:00P
                            QUARTER HORSE 870Y, EVD 870 S. - FOR QUARTER HORSES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION OR START FEE. $250 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS OF $500 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY WHICH WILL INCLUDE ALL FEES. $30,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO FIRST, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS 126 LBS. OLDER 128 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST EARNINGS IN 2024-2025. THE SECOND PART OF SAME OWNERS ENTRIES WILL HAVE NO CONSIDERATION OVER A SINGLE INTEREST. FAILURE TO DRAW INTO RACE WILL CANCEL ALL FEES. TROPHY TO WINNING OWNER.(*A NEGATIVE HAIR TEST IS REQUIRED BEFORE ENTERING).
                            Contenders Race Analysis
                            P# Horse Morn
                            Line
                            Accept
                            Odds
                            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EXPLOSIVE LEGEND: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a pos t position next to it gets out of the gate fast. ONE FAST CAJUN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. POWER OF THE SMILE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EASY JUMPN JET: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination r eturn on investment is at least +20.
                            8 EXPLOSIVE LEGEND 7/2 9/2
                            6 ONE FAST CAJUN 2/1 6/1
                            4 POWER OF THE SMILE 5/1 8/1
                            1 EASY JUMPN JET 3/1 8/1

                            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                            Line
                            Running Style Good
                            Class
                            Good
                            Speed
                            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                            Figure
                            1 EASY JUMPN JET 1 3/1 Average 88 85 4.2 0.0 0.0
                            2 BUCKLE UP BLUE 2 8/1 Slow 89 75 7.2 0.0 0.0
                            3 PATRIOT MOUNTAIN 3 12/1 Fast 83 70 3.2 0.0 0.0
                            4 POWER OF THE SMILE 4 5/1 Average 90 82 5.2 0.0 0.0
                            5 BLUE CASTLE 5 20/1 Average 84 74 4.3 0.0 0.0
                            6 ONE FAST CAJUN 6 2/1 Average 89 83 5.9 0.0 0.0
                            7 FREAKIN PATRIOT DASH 7 15/1 Slow 82 81 7.7 0.0 0.0
                            8 EXPLOSIVE LEGEND 8 7/2 Fast 91 90 3.2 0.0 0.0

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
                              Delta Downs - Race 1 Exacta/Trifecta (.50 min.)/Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 1-2)($1 min.)/Pick 3 (Races 1-3)/Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
                              Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 63 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 4:45P
                              FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                              Contenders Race Analysis
                              P# Horse Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds
                              Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * THAT'S THE DEAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AIN'T GOT A CLUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KOKOMO STARLET: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ALYSE PARKER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                              2 THAT'S THE DEAL 8/1 5/1
                              6 AIN'T GOT A CLUE 5/1 6/1
                              4 KOKOMO STARLET 6/1 6/1
                              7 ALYSE PARKER 3/1 8/1

                              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                              Figure
                              7 ALYSE PARKER 7 3/1 Front-runner 63 57 79.4 43.0 37.5
                              3 MAKING MISCHIEF 3 12/1 Front-runner 53 33 64.8 25.4 9.9
                              4 KOKOMO STARLET 4 6/1 Front-runner 67 54 62.8 54.0 47.0
                              5 SURPRISE SUNRISE 5 12/1 Front-runner 53 53 58.4 41.4 30.4
                              2 THAT'S THE DEAL 2 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 63 61 50.0 54.3 49.3
                              6 AIN'T GOT A CLUE 6 5/1 Alternator/Stalker 63 62 33.6 53.8 49.3
                              9 BOOTS AN DIAMONDS 9 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 58 51 22.1 40.4 26.9
                              1 A REAL EMBRACE 1 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 46 24 39.8 18.0 0.0
                              10 AUBREE'S HALO 10 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 21.4 26.4 12.9
                              8 TAYLORS ENTICED 8 4/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

                              Comment

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