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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Wednesday 12/24/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20482

    #2
    Gulfstream Christmas Eve: 2 Promos, 2 Handicappers’ Picks

    by: Gulfstream Park

    A Christmas Eve gift to horseplayers is the Daily Double promotion we have Wednesday for Gulfstream Park. Not only will there be 10X 1/ST Rewards Points on the entire card, but also a $2,400 late pick 4 Hit & Split when you play with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet. What better way to attack the Daily Double promotion than Gulfstream's dynamic handicapping double of Brian Nadeau and Ron Nicoletti? Here are the picks.

    Brian Nadeau Gulfstream Wednesday Selections

    Race 1:
    4 – Tiadoro
    2 – Lion Lake
    11 – Brat Pack

    Race 2:
    3 – Distinguished Guest
    4 – Magic Red
    2 – Final Payment

    Race 3:
    7 – Accelerate Me
    2 – Sound of the Beast
    5 – Mustang Bay

    Race 4:
    1 – Well Shaken
    5 – Rosie Dozie
    6 – Lucky Berry

    Race 5:
    5 – Shades of Jade (Best Bet)
    4 – The Dove Rules
    8 – On the Payroll

    Race 6:
    3 – Final Drama
    7 – El Guty
    6 – Milo

    Race 7:
    7 – Baytown Parfait
    5 – American Speed
    4 – American Farmer

    Race 8:
    1 – American Monach
    4 – Souper Quest
    3 – Pure Class

    Race 9:
    1 – Louise Proctor (Longshot)
    4 – Alluring Angel
    6 – La Mehana


    Best Bet: R5: #5 Shades of Jade (7-5)
    * MSW win hints at big things to come
    * Catches a modest group of winners
    * Antonacci/Irad are 6-for-12 together

    Longshot: R9: #1 Louise Proctor (10-1)
    * Lightly raced with plenty of upside
    * Brown runners can outrun their figs
    * Turf ace rarely runs without a chance


    Ron Nicoletti Gulfstream Wednesday Selections

    Race 1:
    11 – Brat Pack
    9 – Forget About You (IRE)
    7 – Osmosis (FR)

    Race 2:
    1 – Expert Witness
    4 – Magic Red
    2 – Final Payment

    Race 3:
    7 – Accelerate Me
    3 – Song So Sweet
    5 – Mustang Bay

    Race 4:
    2 – Divine Blue
    1 – Well Shaken
    6 – Lucky Berry

    Race 5:
    5 – Shades of Jade
    8 – On the Payroll
    6 – Clay Soldier

    Race 6:
    6 – Milo
    7 – El Guty
    4 – Imapeppa

    Race 7:
    4 – American Farmer
    7 – Baytown Parfait
    8 – Bulldoze

    Race 8:
    1 – American Monarch (BB)
    2 – Neshume
    7 – Beach Colt (CHI)

    Race 9: The Via Borghese
    5 – No Show Sammy Jo (GB) (LS)
    4 – Alluring Angel (GB)
    6 – La Mehana (FR)

    Best Bet: R8: 1 American Monarch

    3 for 6 at the distance on the dirt, moves to the main track after the recent inconsistent campaign sprinting on turf vs a notch tougher.

    Longshot: R9: 5 No Show Sammy Jo

    Was beat 1 1/4 lengths by Morning Line fave Alluring Angel last out, despite the fact she

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer’s Daily Picks
      BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKS

      Mahoning Valley - Race #4
      #2 Dremscomtrubcseofu She had some trouble at the start and never get involved after that in the debut at Mountaineer, but she has some pedigree to her and might have enough upside around two turns to make some noise here.
      #3 Nachthexen Forward player should get a good run of things in a race without a ton of early pace, and she already stayed OK going long in her debut. The one to beat.
      #6 Gamay She didn't show a whole lot on the turf earlier this year to open her career, but she finds a pretty modest spot for the dirt debut while trying the local company for the first time. Could wake up a bit.
      Race Summary Dremscomtrubcseofu didn't show a whole lot at first asking, but there are a couple reasons to think we could see better here, and I'm guessing the price will remain appealing enough.
      Mahoning Valley - Race #6
      #1 Counting on Clyde He gave way after prompting early in the debut, but I think he could stick around better with that run under his belt, especially if a cleaner break puts him up top early.
      #4 Mr. Riffle He has shown a little bit of versatility, but he should find an OK spot right up near the top in this one and might get an OK first-run attack at the top choice.
      #3 Wisley He's another who has shown the ability to run through a couple different styles already, but it's easy to see him finding a perfect spying trip while watching the top two settle any early scores.
      Race Summary Counting on Clyde showed a little speed and faded when making his first start, but I'm hoping a bit better break will lead to a committed trip on the engine.
      Mahoning Valley - Race #10
      #9 Fatih He has some proving to do on class today, but his last two have been pretty sharp, and he could be in the right spot off the turn to see if he can outkick them from there. Riser at the right time?
      #8 Bohemian Style He's dangerous here -- his baseline run keeps him in the mix, and he has had some success through multiple running styles. Thinking his ability to relax and finish will be key. Could roll these.
      #4 Reckless L J He tends to be pretty one-paced late in his races, but he also doesn't quit, so he makes some sense to plug along and stay for another share today after racing in range throughout.
      Race Summary Fatih has some midrange price appeal with some tracking ability, and it appears there are enough forward/chasing types lined up to make his potential spying trip the winning one.
      Last edited by ConleyPicks; 12-24-2025, 06:13 AM.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        Frank Carulli’s Daily Picks
        FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKS


        Gulfstream Park - Race #1
        #10 PAN PAN Starts fresh for Joseph barn, met follow-up winners when third in pair of turf routes.
        #2 LION LAKE Troubled start hurt chances in 5-1/2F turf sprint, debut winner placed in stakes next out.
        #11 BRAT PACK Saved ground after fractious gate behavior, ran second to pace-setting favorite.
        Race Summary PAN PAN tracked the pace under similar conditions at Aqueduct but was out-kicked by the stakes-placed winning favorite and the runner-up who came back and ‘inched clear’ to victory on the turf. She makes her first start for Joseph off a three-month rest and gets the nod for a win and place bet. Also play 10-2, 10-7 and 10-11 exactas.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #2
        #1 EXPERT WITNESS Ran second twice at this level off 17-month layoff, the latest chasing a slow pace.
        #2 FINAL PAYMENT Took shorter route, finished a length behind ‘Expert’ in his last start, lures Irad.
        #4 MAGIC RED Has speed, has done the least wrong, has fastest-of-71 work since last start.
        Race Summary EXPERT WITNESS, plagued by slow starts, gained inside on the turn, bumped with a rival twice in the stretch and couldn’t reach the pace-setting favorite. He could sit a perfect stalking trip from the rail with a clean break and will have every chance for a breakthrough win in a field that is a combined 65/0-3-2. Bet to win and place and play 1-2 and 1-4 exactas.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #6
        #1 DOGWOOD CROSSING Hitting best stride to cap 3-year-old season, projects ideal stalking trip.
        #4 IMAPEPPA ‘Out-kicked’ as the favorite in pair of longer sprints, sheds 11 pounds.
        #2 FIGHTING WORDS Another one in good recent form with the right set-up in front of him.
        Race Summary DOGWOOD CROSSING arrives for his third start of a cycle in top form and gets plenty of pace to rally into at a distance which he sprung a 30-1 upset two starts back. He should be the right price for a Christmas stocking stuffer. Bet to win and place and play a 1-2-4 exacta box.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 24


          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

          Hot List Key:

          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

          1st race – (2) Lion Lake was a troubled second last time out at Keeneland. Makes amends here. (7) Osmosis was off slowly in her debut and should benefit from that experience. (11) Brat Pack could be closing quickly at the end. (1) Curly Q Girl will appreciate a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-11.

          3rd race – (5) Mustang Bay could wake up with a winning effort here. (7) Accelerate Me beat a similar field last time and is the one to fear. (2) Sound of the Beast takes a big class drop and should be a threat. (1) Dreams of Myfather might improve off a claim. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.

          5th race – (5) Shades of Jade exits a solid maiden win for a hot barn. (6) Clay Soldier should be right there at the finish. (8) On the Payroll has speed and could be tough to catch. (2) Zazzy cannot be ignored in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-8.

          7th race – (8) Bulldoze could ramble to second straight win over this surface. (7) Baytown Parfait seems primed for a strong effort here. (5) American Speed may quicken in a claimer. (1) Maktub could be a contender on his best try. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-5-7-8.

          9th race – (6) La Mehana debuts for Cox’s barn and gets the nod here. (5) No Show Sammy Jo was hurt by a slow pace. Will get a better trip here. (4) Alluring Angel will be well-suited by the distance. (1) Louise Procter should relish the added ground. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.​


          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6
            Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - December 24

            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 $56,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
            6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 5 Its Goodtobe Jose A A Gallardo
            PLACE 3-2 6 Factorbella S Leon
            SHOW 3-1 2 Summers Comin S Marin
            WILD CARD 6-1 3 Immortallove S Spieth
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Lightnin Runner C Landeros
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Costa Amalfitana W Ho
            * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
            RACE #2 $21,500 Claiming
            1 Mile 40 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 1 Anchises A Santos
            PLACE 9-2 5 Secret Treasure S Camacho
            SHOW 6-1 4 Speedy Hans A Gonzalez
            WILD CARD 6-1 8 Action Seeker S Marin
            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Conspiracy Fact R Feliciano
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 St. Louie Louie A Quinonez
            * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
            RACE #3 $23,500 Maiden Claiming
            7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 1 Awesome Elissa S Camacho
            PLACE 5-2 2 Kuku R Montanez
            SHOW 4-1 5 Growth Rate C Gil
            WILD CARD 9-2 8 Con Cautela J J Urdaneta
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Higher Self R Mitchell
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Cajun Empress U Casique
            * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
            RACE #4 $21,500 Maiden Claiming
            1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
            BEST BET: #4 CAPARBIA
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 4 Caparbia R Montanez
            PLACE 3-1 8 Missus Seki G A Martinez
            SHOW 6-1 5 Ripple M Meneses
            WILD CARD 7-2 6 Shes the Rage A Santos
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Mistrial Wind S Marin
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 11 La Esperanza R Mitchell
            * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
            RACE #5 $21,500 Claiming
            6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
            BEST BET: #1 ELUSIVE DORO
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-5 1 Elusive dOro S Camacho
            PLACE 7-2 9 Happy Instead G Maldonado
            SHOW 4-1 6 Limit Up A S Worrie
            WILD CARD 8-1 4 Al Ameeq A Gonzalez
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 7 We Called Sol M Fernandez
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 3 Mr. Squeaky Wheels S Marin
            * EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX
            RACE #6 $55,000 Maiden Special Weight
            7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
            BEST BET: #6 START TO WIN
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 8-5 6 Start to Win S Camacho
            PLACE 3-1 5 Pacific Standard J A Batista
            SHOW 4-1 2 Creeds Vision C Marquez
            WILD CARD 6-1 1 Little Thunder C Gil
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Rickies Kin J C Ferrer
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Positive Energy M Meneses
            * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
            RACE #7 $56,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
            1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-1 5 Britains Kitten I O Rodriguez
            PLACE 9-2 7 Fantasioso Pass D Centeno
            SHOW 30-1 2 Equuleus M Meneses
            WILD CARD 20-1 3 Adios Buccaneer M Allen
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 8 Sam Stormy S Marin
            ALTERNATE 2 7-2 1 Mo Trump J L Castanon
            * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
            RACE #8 $19,500 Claiming
            7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-2 7 Inbound A Santos
            PLACE 5-2 3 Coalminers Kitten S Camacho
            SHOW 10-1 9 Damir A A Gallardo
            WILD CARD 3-1 4 Litigant S Marin
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Kaz Sweet Heist W Ho
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 8 Off to the Races S Leon
            * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/7/9 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
            RACE #9 $22,500 Claiming
            1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 4 Real Savvy S Marin
            PLACE 9-2 2 Reteko R Montanez
            SHOW 3-1 11 Steam Powered M Meneses
            WILD CARD 8-1 13 Sky Masterson C Landeros
            ALTERNATE 1 5-2 3 Persisten S Camacho
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Just Comply J C Ferrer
            * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-13 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/11 BOX, 2/11/13 BOX

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7
              Gulfstream Park Tip Sheet - December 24

              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
              RACE #1 $70,000 Maiden Special Weight
              1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 11 Brat Pack J Ruiz
              PLACE 3-1 2 Lion Lake T Gaffalione
              SHOW 12-1 5 Birch Run R Maragh
              WILD CARD 10-1 10 Pan Pan M Gutierrez
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 Treasured Times M J Husbands
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 7 Osmosis I Ortiz Jr.
              * EXACTA: 11-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/5/11 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX
              RACE #2 $26,500 Maiden Claiming
              7 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 1 Expert Witness M J Husbands
              PLACE 9-5 4 Magic Red T Gaffalione
              SHOW 20-1 5 Secret Power C Martinez
              WILD CARD 2-1 2 Final Payment I Ortiz Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Distinguished Gent J E Morelos
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 6 Dominican Thunder E Gonzalez
              * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
              RACE #3 $24,500 Claiming
              1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
              BEST BET: #7 ACCELERATE ME
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 7 Accelerate Me J E Morelos
              PLACE 8-5 2 Sound of the Beast A Thomas
              SHOW 10-1 3 Song So Sweet R Rojas
              WILD CARD 7-2 5 Mustang Bay E J Zayas
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Dreams of Myfather C Martinez
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Triumphant Road Y Torres
              * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
              RACE #4 $29,000 Maiden Claiming
              1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 6 Lucky Berry E J Zayas
              PLACE 6-5 1 Well Shaken I Ortiz Jr.
              SHOW 6-1 2 Divine Blue J Zerpa
              WILD CARD 8-1 7 Sweet Ruby E Gonzalez
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Goldie Glory J Alvarado
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 She Grins Y Torres
              * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
              RACE #5 $57,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
              5 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-5 5 Shades of Jade I Ortiz Jr.
              PLACE 8-1 8 On the Payroll C Martinez
              SHOW 5-2 6 Clay Soldier E J Zayas
              WILD CARD 6-1 2 Zazzy M J Husbands
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 The Dove Rules T Gaffalione
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Mollys a Bullet R Maragh
              * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
              RACE #6 $24,500 Claiming
              5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET
              BEST BET: #4 IMAPEPPA
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-1 4 Imapeppa C Martinez
              PLACE 5-2 7 El Guty J E Morelos
              SHOW 3-1 6 Milo Y Torres
              WILD CARD 6-1 5 Feeling Macho E Perez
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Dogwood Crossing R Rojas
              ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Fighting Words E J Zayas
              * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
              RACE #7 $31,000 Claiming
              1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET
              BEST BET: #4 AMERICAN FARMER
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 4 American Farmer E Perez
              PLACE 2-1 7 Baytown Parfait R Maragh
              SHOW 5-2 8 Bulldoze E J Zayas
              WILD CARD 9-2 5 American Speed J E Morelos
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 3 Roscoe Pine Y Torres
              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Maktub T Gaffalione
              * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
              RACE #8 $58,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 3 Pure Class T Gaffalione
              PLACE 10-1 6 Jacks Promise R Maragh
              SHOW 5-2 1 American Monarch J Alvarado
              WILD CARD 2-1 4 Souper Quest I Ortiz Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 Beach Colt M Gutierrez
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Neshume E J Zayas
              * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
              RACE #9 $125,000 Stakes
              1 3/8 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:20 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 6 La Mehana I Ortiz Jr.
              PLACE 2-1 4 Alluring Angel J Alvarado
              SHOW 3-1 8 Venencia T Gaffalione
              WILD CARD 10-1 7 Gallant Greta M J Husbands
              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 No Show Sammy Jo J Ruiz
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Louise Procter E J Zayas
              * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
                Parx Racing - Race 11 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
                Starter Allowance $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 82 • Purse: $40,000 • Post:3:15P
                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2025 AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2025. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. **SEE PREFERENCE RULE IN CONDITION BOOK**.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * STRAWBERRY TREAT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today i s a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CASSATION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. THREE CAPTAINS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BOURBON AFICIONADO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                18 STRAWBERRY TREAT 15/1 5/1
                11 CASSATION 6/1 6/1
                5 THREE CAPTAINS 7/2 7/1
                8 BOURBON AFICIONADO 6/1 8/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                9 HAP'S VICTORY 9 20/1 Front-runner 0 0 69.6 35.8 2.8
                11 CASSATION 11 6/1 Alternator/Front-runner 88 81 60.6 71.0 62.5
                12 CARBONITE 12 6/1 Alternator/Front-runner 75 74 55.4 71.8 50.8
                18 STRAWBERRY TREAT 18 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 96 80 70.1 74.0 66.5
                5 THREE CAPTAINS 5 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 86 73 64.0 73.0 64.5
                7 FIGHT FIERCELY 7 5/1 Trailer 83 81 45.2 75.8 65.8
                8 BOURBON AFICIONADO 8 6/1 Trailer 90 83 13.3 71.4 65.4
                6 GEEBERT 6 9/2 Trailer 77 71 0.0 70.0 55.0
                10 CATCH MY VIBE 10 20/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 44.8 60.6 34.1
                15 COMPETITIVE SAINT 15 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 79 73 42.2 73.6 57.1
                16 GUN MAESTRO 16 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 85 84 52.4 40.6 19.1
                13 ROXTON 13 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 78 62 47.8 47.8 21.3
                3 ROCKIN FREEBEE 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 81 76 42.8 53.2 30.7
                14 CAPITAL CONQUEST 14 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 97 93 40.4 60.0 45.5
                2 BALI AMOUR 2 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 32.6 59.4 35.9
                17 ZIHUATANEJO 17 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 84 77 29.1 36.3 3.3
                4 CRACK THE CODE 4 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 77 66 20.6 48.4 14.9
                1 UNINVITED GUEST 1 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 88 86 0.0 0.0 0.0

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

                  Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 (Races 5-10)-60% Carryover
                  Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 76 • Purse: $10,900 • Post: 2:07P
                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 24. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FIREWATER JAKE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIREWATER JAKE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOOD ON YA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PITTSBURGH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                  6 FIREWATER JAKE 3/1 4/1
                  1 GOOD ON YA 8/1 5/1
                  8 PITTSBURGH 8/5 6/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  6 FIREWATER JAKE 6 3/1 Alternator/Front-runner 86 73 62.6 65.2 61.7
                  4 MR LAOBAN 4 6/1 Stalker 80 66 66.8 70.4 61.9
                  7 AGNELLO'S DREAM 7 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 73 67 75.3 71.1 62.6
                  8 PITTSBURGH 8 8/5 Alternator/Stalker 81 80 67.0 75.6 69.1
                  1 GOOD ON YA 1 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 91 86 65.4 73.9 65.9
                  2 WILL E SUTTON 2 9/2 Alternator/Trailer 76 75 46.2 63.4 53.9
                  5 NOT YET CHARLIE 5 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 73 62 63.6 56.8 43.8
                  3 CREDIT RIVER 3 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 83 67 62.4 56.6 43.6

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:11pm - Claiming -5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,800 Class Rating: 64

                    Rating:

                    #3 DANZA MAGIC (ML=5/1)


                    DANZA MAGIC - You probably want to toss out that last event at Mahoning Valley Race Cour in the mud where she finished off the board. Should do well right here in this race with the benefit of a fast track.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BOX STEP (ML=9/5), #5 SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL (ML=5/2), #6 EXTRA CRAFTY (ML=7/2),

                    BOX STEP - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this animal as a vulnerable contender. SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL - This less than sharp equine has been a disappointment to the horseplayers as the favorite time and time again. I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the task fulfilled infrequently. EXTRA CRAFTY - Difficult to play any pony in a short distance race if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months. I'd like to see more preferred recent efforts with M/L odds of 7/2.
                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #3 DANZA MAGIC on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Skip
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23500 Class Rating: 62

                      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 6 HOLA HERMOSA 8/1
                      # 1 AWESOME ELISSA 3/1
                      # 2 KUKU 5/2
                      I've got to go with HOLA HERMOSA especially at such a decent 8/1. This equine has some longshot handicapping angles going for her. She should have a strong outing versus this easier lot. Could beat this group given the 52 speed figure posted in her last outing. AWESOME ELISSA - She must be given a shot given the very good speed figures. Camacho should be able to get this filly to break out quickly in this contest. KUKU - Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                        Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:20pm - Stakes - 11.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $125,000 Class Rating: 105 Via Borghese S.

                        Rating:

                        #8 VENENCIA (FR) (ML=3/1)
                        #4 ALLURING ANGEL (GB) (ML=2/1)
                        #6 LA MEHANA (FR) (ML=5/2)


                        VENENCIA (FR) - I know she'll be way back, but she's got a great kick turning for home. Running 1 3/8 miles on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This one has the tops in the bunch. ALLURING ANGEL (GB) - I expect a lot from this beautiful animal. Her speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this group. LA MEHANA (FR) - Although I sometimes have doubts about a thoroughbred who was a beaten favorite in her last race, this mare got a solid rating and fits well here. There's only one animal who has won on this turf course, and this is the one. This horse has shown the class ability to win on different ovals. Making the move from Belmont at the Big A for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run. I like the fact that this mare's last speed rating, 107, is tops in this group. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This fine animal has the highest average class in the entire field.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) (ML=5/1),

                        NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) - Registered a disappointing speed figure last time around the track in the Long Island on Nov 8th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #8 VENENCIA (FR) to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Pass
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [4,6,8] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] with [1,4,6,7,8] with [1,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $36
                        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS: [4,6,8] with [4,6,8] with [1,4,6,8] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $72

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 83

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 3 MALIBU WARRIOR 3/1
                          # 2 NOTTURNO 7/2
                          # 5 NOBLE GENTLEMAN 5/1
                          My pick in this race is MALIBU WARRIOR. He has been running solidly and the Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group. Has been running admirably in races of this distance, going 3 out of 10 under similar conditions. With a quite good 90 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. NOTTURNO - Could best this group based on the speed rating - 81 - of his last outing. NOBLE GENTLEMAN- Has the appearance of a profitable play. With a nice class fig average of 90, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of animals.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14
                            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway
                            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                            RACE 11
                            1 1 VELOCITY KOMODO 9/2 Merton, Michael - 20 440.71
                            3 3 BARRYWHITE HANOVER 5/2 Taggart, Jim Jr - 11 430.32
                            4 4 GINAZMIDNIGHTDREAM 3/1 Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 15 398.91
                            2 2 JIMMY BILLIE B 4/1 Decker, Gregory Jr - 2 381.66
                            8 8 GOT HOT MOM 5/1 Merton, Thomas - 8 372.30
                            7 7 WICKED STORM 6/1 Devaux, Jim - 22 328.64
                            6 6 MITTNAGE A TROIS 10/1 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 14 314.51
                            5 5 BET ON BUTCH 12/1 Harp, Rick - 1 272.68

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.


                              Race 2 - Post: 12:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$6000 - NW $600 PS L5 OR PS IN 2025 $8500 PC LS AE: NW 9 PM LT AE:$10000 CLM W/A
                              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                              # 1 LG 'S JAXON 5/2
                              # 4 WOW LOVE 7/2
                              # 2 WESLYNN CROWN 4/1
                              LG 'S JAXON has a very nice shot to take this affair. Could very well provide us a win based on good recent speed figures - earning an average of 79. Squaring off admirably, earned a substantial TrackMaster speed fig in his most recent competition (78). Win percent for this driver/handler is a sparkling 21 percent - magnificent chance. WOW LOVE - This horse looks tough. Check out the 80 avg TrackMaster Speed Rating. This entrant looks dangerous considering the high class figures. Don't toss out of any exotics. WESLYNN CROWN - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the cart one of the top drivers in win percentage over the last 30 days. Performing competitively, earned a huge TrackMaster speed fig in his most recent race (81).

                              Comment

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