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College football betting trends: Edges for bowl games
Saturday
Pitt (-10?, 53?) vs. East Carolina, Military Bowl: The Panthers are on a 2-5 spread slide in bowls. Pitt is on a 10-4 over run overall. The Pirates have won and covered their past two bowls and are on a 4-1 ATS run as underdogs. East Carolina is on a 5-1 over run. Edge: East Carolina and over.
Penn State vs. Clemson (-3, 48?), Pinstripe Bowl: Penn State is on a 4-4 ATS run in bowls and playoff games and on an 8-2 over run overall. Clemson is on an 0-3 spread skid in bowls and playoff games. The Tigers are on a 3-1 spread surge and 4-0 under run. Edge: Slight to Clemson and over.
UConn vs. Army (-9?, 44), Fenway Bowl: Interim Gordon Sammis will coach the Huskies in Boston after Jim Mora left for Colorado State. The Huskies are on a 6-2 ATS run overall and 4-1-1 ATS run as underdogs. Army is on a 4-2 ATS run in bowls and 7-2 under run overall. Edge: Under and slight to Army.
Georgia Tech vs. BYU (-4, 56), Pop-Tarts Bowl: BYU is on a 4-1 ATS run in bowls, including three straight. Georgia Tech is on a 4-5 spread skid overall and 4-1 over run. The Yellow Jackets are on ATS runs of 5-0 and 17-6 as underdogs. The Cougars are 9-4 ATS this season. Edge: Georgia Tech and slight to over.
Miami-Ohio vs. Fresno State (-5?, 41?), Arizona Bowl: The RedHawks roughed up another Mountain West foe (Colorado State) 43-17 in last year’s Arizona Bowl to run their spread record to 6-0 in bowls. The Bulldogs had a five-bowl win streak end last year and are on a 6-2 under run overall. Edge: Slight to Miami-Ohio and under.
North Texas (-5?, 53?) vs. San Diego State, New Mexico Bowl: The Mean Green have lost seven straight bowls, though they’ve won and covered six of their past seven games overall and are on a 9-3 over run. The Aztecs have won and covered eight of 10 overall, and they’re on under runs of 6-0 and 8-2. Edge: Slight to San Diego State. Virginia vs. Missouri (-3?, 45), Gator Bowl: The Cavaliers are on a 3-4 spread skid and an 8-0 under streak. The Tigers are on a 3-1 ATS run in bowls and 6-2 under run overall. Edge: Under and Missouri.
LSU vs. Houston (-2?, 41?), Texas Bowl: Frank Wilson is the interim coach for the Tigers. Brian Kelly had won and covered bowls the past three seasons for LSU. The Tigers are on a 2-6 spread slide overall and 4-0 under run, and they’re 4-0 ATS as underdogs. Houston went 8-4 ATS this season and is on a 7-4 over run. Edge: Houston and slight to under.
“Both of these teams have been ‘bet on’ teams, but the Chargers are a bit thinner with the injury situation. They also don’t have the same home-field advantage as other teams,” said pro bettor Cris Zeniuk (@lasvegascris). “Houston had a bit of a hiccup in last week’s 23-21 win over the Raiders. But it gets players back this week and it’s a rough defense for the banged-up Los Angeles offense to face.
“It should be a tight game and the metrics lean to the Texans coming away with this win.”
“The underrated MAC is now 3-0 straight up and ATS in the bowl games. I expect that to continue against Fresno State,” said pro bettor Chuck Edel (@chuckedel), 11-6 ATS on his RJ best bets. “The Mountain West is now 0-3 in bowl games this season.”
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