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This one is pretty simple and its the fact that the Rams goal is to get healthy and the Falcons are still adamant about competing and winning football games. They get to be at Home in this one which will be huge.
Rams will once again be without Adams, and will have no Dotson on the line. They also have Alaric Jackson and Braden Fiske listed as Questionable as they prioritize their playoff health.
Sharp money has drove this line down from 8.5.
Expecting a good game from Cousins attacking a banged up defense and one that has been bottom 10 in passing yards allowed on the season. Kirk Cousins with O expectations is when you want to back him.
Will attach some systems backing this in a little bit.
Some crazy RLM on this on this one with the whole world backing the Nuggets to not lose 2 times in a row. The heat were cold for a good 8 game stretch but when this offense gets goin they are very tough to stop and they get another favorable matchup facing what we already know to be a very bad Denver defense.
We also get the revenge angle for losing by 10 in Denver earlier in the season but now get to play on the home turf. This Heat defense ranks 4th in DRTG on the season and limit 3s at a top 5 rate where the Nuggets thrive being 1st in the NBA in %.
Something interesting | found are the Nuggets are just 4-8 ATS on the season when facing teams that rank inside the top 10 in pace. Heat run the fastest pace in the league and will move the ball around on this banged up Nuggets team.
In the previous matchup Bam went down just 8 min into the game, which led to the Nuggets out rebounding the Heat by 30... yes 30 and that was also with Gordan and Braun in the lineup. They now are missing Braun, Gordan and Johnson and will struggle to guard this heat team.
Have a ton of sharp signals on this one, and with all the money on the Nuggets this line continues to fall.
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