Tuesday 12/30/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Tuesday 12/30/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • HandyAndy
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2024
    • 441

    #2
    TURF PARADISE TIPS - TUESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2025
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 TURF PARADISE $15,600 Allowance
    350 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 9-2 7 Cm Panama Playboy J Arriola-Serrano
    PLACE 5-2 4 Cant Tell You Why M Americano
    SHOW 8-1 5 Cuz Im Pepe R Birdrattler
    WILD CARD 7-2 3 Dancin With Royalty J Rodriguez
    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1 Corazon Stoli M Murrufo
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Mr Icon Six J J Olivo
    * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
    RACE #2 TURF PARADISE $14,300 Maiden
    350 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:44 PM ET
    #6 OHH GOODIE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 6 Ohh Goodie E G Escobedo
    PLACE 9-2 3 Fancy Seis C Figueroa
    SHOW 7-2 5 Dr Corona Cocktail B M Guevara
    WILD CARD 5-1 7 Touch Base R Arvizu
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 10 London Rose J J Olivo
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Emmie Rose J Arriola-Serrano
    * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
    RACE #3 TURF PARADISE $9,000 Claiming
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
    #8 TOUGH AS AN OX
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 4-1 8 Tough as an Ox K McGregor
    PLACE 7-2 6 Sawtooth Bow M Americano
    SHOW 10-1 1 Tomorrownevercomes S R Amador
    WILD CARD 3-1 4 Rusty Gadget K Lopez
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 El Gallito J M Baez
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Dyin a Thirst B Nunnally
    * EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
    RACE #4 TURF PARADISE $16,000 Starter Optional Claiming
    1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 2 Fifty Cinco A Castellanos
    PLACE 7-2 4 Sir Maximus A M Cruz
    SHOW 4-1 8 Logical Myth O Mojica
    WILD CARD 5-1 1 Afjan M Americano
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Seas of Normandy F T Alvarado
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Im Noble K Lopez
    * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
    RACE #5 TURF PARADISE $24,000 Allowance
    1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET
    #1 SAYUCAN
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Sayucan G W Corbett
    PLACE 5-1 3 Buzzworthy G Rodriguez
    SHOW 3-1 2 Dontgiveupthefight O Mojica
    WILD CARD 4-1 6 Fugitive Star K Lopez
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Ready to Dare L A Valenzuela
    ALTERNATE 2 7-2 5 Ima Margarita Girl M Americano
    * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
    RACE #6 TURF PARADISE $12,000 Starter Allowance
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 8 Yes He Can K Lopez
    PLACE 6-1 10 Star Entry M Americano
    SHOW 20-1 4 Staysober J R Ironeyes
    WILD CARD 5-1 5 Always On Cay A Castellanos
    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Immelmann O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Winning Big F Garcia
    * EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/8/10 BOX, 4/5/10 BOX
    RACE #7 TURF PARADISE $11,000 Starter Optional Claiming
    1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-1 6 Little Trouble M Americano
    PLACE 3-1 4 Great King A Castellanos
    SHOW 6-1 7 Mount Pelliar B Nunnally
    WILD CARD 4-1 9 J. B. Books F T Alvarado
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 5 Pacific Theater O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Keep It Coming J M Asencio
    * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX
    RACE #8 TURF PARADISE $30,000 Stakes
    6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:16 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 8-1 10 Briggs Armypower D P Vergara
    PLACE 3-1 7 Go Sparky K Lopez
    SHOW 4-1 2 Forty Seven L A Valenzuela
    WILD CARD 10-1 11 Outmatch F T Alvarado
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Golden Agenda O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Vandor C Montalvo
    * EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/7/10 BOX, 2/7/11 BOX

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      Jeremy Plonk: Parx Hit & Split Late Pick 4 Analysis | Tuesday, December 30, 2025

      Tuesday’s Parx racing card includes a trio of stakes races and a 1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split promotion when you play with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet. First post is set for 12:05 pm ET, while the late pick 4 begins with Race 7 at 2:47 pm ET and includes 2 of the stakes. Let’s get to work.


      Race 7: optional claiming

      #1 I Feelucky Tonite has fit beautifully at this starter allowance condition with a 6: 2-3-1 mark in such races since May and seems to fire regardless of price – beyond a trip to the Claiming Crown. #8 Guaponess likely goes favored off a claim-and-score by high-percentage trainer Jamie Ness. The distance and post pose some risk, but this barn hard to dismiss and a bullet workout is in tow. #5 Kissthemoon fits the conditions perfectly and has transferred his Penn National form to Laurel in the past, which should translate here if he takes to the Parx surface. The post does him no favors, but veteran #10 Dreaming of Gerry should be finishing among the best here and the 5-pound weight break to hot-riding apprentice Yedsit Hazlewood could help the cause.


      Race 8: $75,000 Parx Future Stars Stakes

      Trainer Butch Reid holds the cards and wildcards in this 2-year-old sprint. He’s entered #1 Mailata, #2 Tough Guy Tony and #3 Connor’s Crew (the latter scratched, along with #s 4,5,6). Mailata has won on fast and wet tracks and clearly the horse to beat if he runs here and not in Saturday’s Jerome, where he’s cross-entered at Aqueduct. Solidly in this one’s camp for a 33% local jockey-trainer combo and past form.


      Race 9: $75,000 Parx Future Stars Fillies Stakes

      #1 Divine Intentions provides rail speed and a wire threat so long as she breaks cleanly for Tyler Servis and regular rider Frankie Pennington. #7 Tap Into Grace will attract a lot of money for Maryland dominator Brittany Russell, but this filly has been her worst enemy at the start of several races. Top local pilot Mychel Sanchez has the one to beat if he rights the ship.


      Race 10: claiming

      The morning line favorites look vulnerable as #2 Romantic Gamble and #5 Lord Winsalots have holes in their resumes. The former hasn’t been able to translate his form past his Penn National homebase with regular success, while the latter has been eased and a well-beaten fourth in 2 starts since being claimed. Both go for high-percentage trainers capable of getting the results the betting public is drawn to, but at this cheap class level, invite some chaos to your ticket. Toss them and part-wheel the other 9.

      The Ticket:

      1,8,5,10 with 1 with 1,7 with 1,3,4,6,8,9,10,11 = $36 for 50 cents.​

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Tuesday, December 30, 2025

        EXTRA INCENTIVES
        Pegasus World Cup VIP Sweepstakes | now through Jan. 4
        1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Parx late pick 4

        SCHEDULE NOTE
        Mahoning Valley | cancelled due to weather
        Today’s Thoroughbred Tracks: Parx, Turf Paradise, Delta Downs

        NOTABLE CARRYOVERS
        Jackpot Pick 5 | $19,222 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:05 pm ET

        KEY RACES
        Parx | Race 6 | 2:20 pm ET | Miss Behaviour Stakes
        Parx | Race 8 | 3:14 pm ET | Parx Future Stars Stakes
        Parx | Race 9 | 3:41 pm ET | Parx Future Stars Fillies Stakes
        Turf Paradise | Race 8 | 7:16 pm ET | Lost in the Fog Juvenile

        LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX
        Parx | Race 7 | 2:47 pm ET
        Delta Downs | Race 9 | 4:44 pm ET
        Turf Paradise | Race 6 | 5:44 pm ET

        TRAINERS TO WATCH
        Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez | Delta Downs | all 4 entrants 5-1 or less odds

        DID YOU SEE?
        Yesterday | Parx | jockey Yedsit Hazlewood | 2 wins, 2 seconds from 6 mounts​

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Mahoning Valley - Race #7
          #1 Bootsy's Merlot Price probably isn't going to be much here, but she has some dangerous pace from the inside in a race without a ton of serious early burn, and the recent form is far too sharp. Holding form makes her the one.
          #6 Haut Les Coeurs Her form is darkened a bit by a few flat sprint tries on her page, and getting back around two turns should work in her favor today. Seems like a logical alternative.
          #3 Little Miss Munny She's probably capable of something better here while getting back around two turns, but I'm not sold on the local form just yet.
          Race Summary Bootsy's Merlot has made short work of a couple local groups in those last few starts, and she should be in line for another great trip while right up top throughout.
          Mahoning Valley - Race #8
          #6 Star Ella She has been relatively consistent throughout her career minus the flat two-back run, but she rebounded from that with the graduation score last out and might find an OK trip from out here at a decent price.
          #3 Tiz China She can be tough here for a dangerous team, but she has been just a touch one-paced late in most of her lifetime starts and could be vulnerable to getting picked up in the lane. Capable from close range.
          #8 Unchained Spirit She posted a sharp debut score here last month and would be dangerous with any move forward off that. Think she's interesting to watch, but the price will be more fun up top.
          Race Summary Star Ella took some time and burned some money while finding the right group to graduate with, and she might get a really nice spying trip today at an OK price.
          Mahoning Valley - Race #9
          #3 Little Shance He's back fresh today, and the only local try was pretty sharp, so I wonder if he might be ready to fire a sharp one off the break while racing near the top in a race without a ton of committed pace.
          #1 Deterrent He's probably supposed to drill these on class while coming out of those tougher Laurel spots, but I don't love the recent form overall and will hope one of these can get the best of him.
          #7 He's My Boy The level has been a bit tough for him in the past, but he's worth another look for maybe a share while rising again in pretty good form.
          Race Summary Little Shance goes off the break with a little bit of speed, and that should keep him in a perfect spot up top to try to turn away the Laurel invader.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Delta Downs - Race #1
            #7 MISS EMILY (9-2) Lures Paco, tries to upgrade in-the-money finishes, rivals are 6-for-74 combined.
            #2 ELLIE MOORE (3-5) Controlling speed, tired on class plunge last out, dirt form the question.
            #3 SLIM CAUSEWAY (6-1) – #3 SLIM CAUSEWAY (6-1) – Maiden romp here Dec. 3, pressed pace to stretch in Fair Grounds follow-up.
            Race Summary MISS EMILY averaged a 40 Beyer in her last three starts on the main track, the latest while trying to rally in a slow-paced long sprint against two rivals. She got beat 1-3/4 lengths by the same horse who defeated morning-line favorite ELLIE MOORE at this level. Bet to win and place and play 7-2 and 7-3 exactas.
            Delta Downs - Race #2
            #7 MISS ROSIE (3-1) Broke out, rallied wide into slow pace, couldn’t reach $100k earner.
            #3 EAST SHORE (8-5) Towers over field on paper, idle six months, recent works encouraging.
            #6 ROSY EDGE (4-1) Once-a-month schedule has worked okay, save for latest start.
            Race Summary MISS ROSIE is a model of consistency, but she burned money in her last six starts. She rallied into a slow pace and adds blinkers in her second start off the claim. She is a viable and better-priced option If possible odds-on favorite EAST SHORE doesn’t win. Bet to win and place and play a 7/3, 6/ALL trifecta
            Delta Downs - Race #4
            #1 MY UNCLE LEON (9-2) Proven middle distance runner looks to atone for pair of odds-on setbacks.
            #5 POLTERER (10-1) Held good form but check on the first turn and lacked room in 2-length defeat.
            #2 ABSOLUTE CHAOS (2-1) Beat ‘Leon’ in improved second try for new barn, repeated next out.
            Race Summary MY UNCLE LEON finished first or second in 12 of 20 starts during back-to-back $47k seasons, but he failed as the odds-on choice in his last two starts. He draws the rail and figures to post another mid-70 Beyer at a suitable distance. Bet to win and place and play a 1-ALL exacta.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
              PURCHASE
              Turf Paradise - Race 4 $1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 4-5) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)
              SO $16,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 98 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 2:40P
              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025 OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Lone Trailer. I'M NOBLE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIFTY CINCO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. I'M NOBLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SEAS OF NORMANDY: Horse has a TrackM aster "+" designation or an "L" designation. AFJAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SIR MAXIMUS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
              2 FIFTY CINCO 3/1 5/1
              3 I'M NOBLE 6/1 6/1
              7 SEAS OF NORMANDY 5/1 7/1
              1 AFJAN 5/1 9/1
              4 SIR MAXIMUS 7/2 10/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              7 SEAS OF NORMANDY 7 5/1 Front-runner 95 89 85.6 83.4 75.9
              6 SILENT RUNNER 6 8/1 Front-runner 91 78 80.2 86.0 72.0
              1 AFJAN 1 5/1 Stalker 101 97 70.8 87.6 83.1
              4 SIR MAXIMUS 4 7/2 Stalker 95 96 70.4 86.8 75.3
              2 FIFTY CINCO 2 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 99 92 80.6 97.6 94.1
              3 I'M NOBLE 3 6/1 Trailer 101 94 58.8 90.8 83.8
              5 YOU'RE THE CAUSE 5 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 96 86 94.2 79.4 67.9
              8 LOGICAL MYTH 8 4/1 Alternator/Non-contender 95 86 80.4 76.2 64.2

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
                PURCHASE
                Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
                Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 CR: 66 • Purse: $24,300 • Post: 12:43
                FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Lone Trailer. PREDECESSOR is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SUZIE Q'S SISTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days . Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JUST CALL RIP: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GALLANT GROOM: A first time starter with a tra iner that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Horse is a first time starter and its mare's win percentage with first timers is at least 50. LOOKIN LIKE LUCKY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last star t was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
                8 SUZIE Q'S SISTER 9/5 9/2
                6 JUST CALL RIP 5/2 7/1
                5 GALLANT GROOM 6/1 7/1
                4 LOOKIN LIKE LUCKY 12/1 7/1

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                8 SUZIE Q'S SISTER 8 9/5 Front-runner 59 66 61.6 62.6 57.6
                4 LOOKIN LIKE LUCKY 4 12/1 Front-runner 58 59 59.2 52.0 45.0
                3 LORDBETWENTOTHORNS 3 10/1 Stalker 44 50 51.4 35.6 27.1
                6 JUST CALL RIP 6 5/2 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 46.5 67.3 64.3
                1 PREDECESSOR 1 15/1 Alternator/Trailer 67 35 34.5 45.4 37.4
                2 SUPER SMOOTH 2 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                Unknown Running Style: GALLANT GROOM (6/1) [Jockey: Salazar Becerra F - Trainer: DaCosta Jason], MITOCHONDRIA (7/2) [Jockey: Gonzalez Santiago - Trainer: Stephen Anthony].

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 78

                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 8 THE SHOE LADY 9/5
                  # 1 MALICED 3/1
                  # 5 BIG SIS NIC 10/1
                  THE SHOE LADY seems to be the bet in here. The extreme drop in class can only help this one today. Earning some nice money in dirt route events. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Batista will probably have this filly in excellent position to win the race. MALICED - Reason to like this mare as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 65 - of her last race. BIG SIS NIC - Should definitely be given a shot in this competition if only for the very good Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last race. She has been running solidly lately while recording very solid Equibase Speed Figures.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 8 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 91

                    FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 30. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 3 THE BOSS SOSS 10/1
                    # 6 CAJUN AMI 2/1
                    # 2 RANCH WATER 5/1
                    THE BOSS SOSS looks very good to best this field and the potential return justifies the hazardous nature of the long odds. Overall the speed figs of this equine look strong in this contest. Don't overlook this gelding in your propositions - very dangerous with Perez aboard. This gelding has to be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. CAJUN AMI - Have to suppose this horse will do well again today. The speed figure of 85 from his latest race looks respectable in here. RANCH WATER - Since this animal changes blinkers - on - there is a solid chance for a speed improvement in today's contest. Has to be given a chance based on the formidable Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last race.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 88

                      Rating:

                      #4 YOUBETTERBEJOKING (ML=6/1)
                      #3 GAMETIME GLADIATOR (ML=7/2)
                      #2 AHSAD (ML=6/1)
                      #8 UNCLE IRISH (ML=9/2)
                      #7 HE'S GOT SWAGGER (ML=15/1)


                      YOUBETTERBEJOKING - This gelding is in superb form right now. Ended up second last out and comes back rapidly. You have to like that most recent race speed fig, 91, which is the top most recent race speed fig of this bunch. GAMETIME GLADIATOR - Gonzalez was aboard this gelding last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. The jock and conditioner combination have a lucrative return on investment when they partner up. AHSAD - When this rider and handler are put together you have to take a look. Pennington and Kirby have been fabulous together. UNCLE IRISH - This fine animal should be thundering down the lane. HE'S GOT SWAGGER - He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. I like to play this handicapping angle, a pony coming back off a solid contest within the last 30 days.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ADMIRAL'S WAVE (ML=5/2), #1 MAJESTIC CREED (ML=6/1),

                      ADMIRAL'S WAVE - No value on this one at the likely odds of 5/2. MAJESTIC CREED - If she hasn't found the winning disposition by now, it will be tough for her to get it today. Awfully tough to play this vulnerable equine when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately.

                      GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HE'S GOT SWAGGER - Playing the top earnings per start thoroughbred is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 YOUBETTERBEJOKING to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,7]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,4] with [2,3,4,7,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] Total Cost: $36
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,4] with [2,3,4] with [2,3,4,7,8] with [2,3,4,7,8] Total Cost: $24

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 5:16pm - Stakes - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 79 Lost in the Fog Juvenile S.

                        Rating:

                        #10 BRIGGS ARMYPOWER (ML=8/1)
                        #7 GO SPARKY (ML=3/1)
                        #12 MISCHIEF MAKER (ML=12/1)


                        BRIGGS ARMYPOWER - Looking at the information on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this horse. GO SPARKY - This colt is rounding his way back into shape. Should run well today. Have to give this colt a chance. Ran a nice outing last out within the last month or so. This thoroughbred wins a lot of money per race around the track. I believe he will boost the lifetime total right here. MISCHIEF MAKER - Was in the Zia Park Juvenile at Zia Park last time out. That race had a class rating of 85 and he is moving down right here in this race. A certain strong challenger. Rodriguez is up for another event today after racing atop this animal for the first time on November 25th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This colt is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figs of 46, 72, 75 last 3 out.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FORTY SEVEN (ML=4/1), #4 VANDOR (ML=6/1), #8 SAINT BENJI (ML=6/1),

                        FORTY SEVEN - The move down the homestretch on November 18th indicated to me that this horse will have a tough go of it versus this group of stiffer competition. Mediocre fig last time out at Zia Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this runner will improve too much in today's event. VANDOR - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests recently. Not probable to see him doing it this time around either. SAINT BENJI - A runner should have more speed at 1 mile 70 yards to get me going about his chances at 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't been in a race since September 7th, probably too long ago to expect much this time. When looking at today's class figure, he will have to notch a much better speed rating than last out to vie in this dirt sprint.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #10 BRIGGS ARMYPOWER is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,10,12]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [7,10,12] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [7,10,12] with [7,10,12] with [5,7,9,10,12] with [5,7,9,10,12] Total Cost: $36

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.


                          Race 4 - Post: 5:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$5000 - STARTER ALLOWANCE FOR HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED IN A CLAIMING RACE FOR $5000 OR LESS AT DTN ONCE IN THEIR LAST 2 STARTS OPTIONAL CLAIMING $5000 DAYTON RACEWAY TR. SMITH - LISTED 2/3/4
                          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                          # 2 FEARTHELUE 3/1
                          # 4 WILLYDOITAGAIN 5/2
                          # 1 EVERGREEN ELITE 4/1
                          After thorough analysis by the knowledge group, FEARTHELUE comes out as the top pick. He has been going to post solidly and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the most solid in the race. High winning stat makes this fine animal an excellent pick to take home the dough. 50 percent of the time this driver and horse combo end up in the top three. Big players today. WILLYDOITAGAIN - When the starter calls, race horses starting out of the 4 hole have more wins than the expected average. The wagering panel knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This contender will unlock our way to a nice score. EVERGREEN ELITE - Rucker fits this standardbred's style perfectly. They've enjoyed some strong results when teaming up.

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14
                            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway
                            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                            RACE 12
                            2 2 JOHNNY CHIP 5/2 Merton, Gregory - 30 511.59
                            3 3 MOONLIGHT SHADOW 4/1 Merton, Michael - 20 489.41
                            4 4 VEL LETSROLL SOUTH 9/2 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 14 481.21
                            8 8 WELL THAT'S MARKY 3/1 Devaux, Jim - 23 478.82
                            1 1 PLAYING THROUGH 6/1 Warren, Ridge - 11 465.33
                            6 6 IM A POWERPLAY A 7/2 Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 15 450.63
                            7 7 MINOTAUR 12/1 Stratton, Cory - 22 416.60
                            5 5 STARLITSIMPLE RIG 10/1 Cushing, Ron - 14 401.93

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.


                              Race 5 - Post: 1:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$7500 - OPEN ONE $14000 P/C L/S K DIBENEDETTO 4 OVER 2 G MERTON 7 OVER 5
                              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                              # 4 VEL TRUST IN TIME 4/1
                              # 2 IDEALSOMEMAGIC A 9/2
                              # 5 THE MIKI TAKER A 6/1
                              If you want a really strong play in this event, feast your eyes on VEL TRUST IN TIME. May provide us a win based on great recent speed figs - earning an average of 84. Achieved a 83 speed rating last out. A duplicate effort here should get the win in this contest. Formidable driver-trainer ratings make this horse a sharp choice. Definitely will be putting some green stuff down for this race. IDEALSOMEMAGIC A - He looks respectable in this race and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace rankings. THE MIKI TAKER A - Devaux is racking up the wins lately. Fantastic win pct makes this nice horse our pick. The 85 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct edge in the group of animals.

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