Thursday 1/1/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #1

    Thursday 1/1/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • HandyAndy
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2024
    • 441

    #2
    TURF PARADISE TIPS - THURSDAY, JANUARY 01, 2026
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 TURF PARADISE $10,600 Maiden Claiming
    350 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
    #7 JJS BOOTS
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 8-5 7 Jjs Boots B M Guevara
    PLACE 5-2 3 Mr Mo Dacious J R Ironeyes
    SHOW 6-1 2 Pip Pior Es Nada K Carbajal
    WILD CARD 8-1 4 Ps Grand Furi J Arriola-Serrano
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Mrs Arizona Braza K McGregor
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Msblue J Rodriguez
    * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
    RACE #2 TURF PARADISE $17,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
    5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
    #7 MISTY HEART
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-2 7 Misty Heart F T Alvarado
    PLACE 2-1 2 Blue Spirit G Rodriguez
    SHOW 5-1 3 Om Sassy K Lopez
    WILD CARD 6-1 4 Ferrari Money O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 6 Vegas Love A M Cruz
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Recycleyourheart J M Asencio
    * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
    RACE #3 TURF PARADISE $13,500 Claiming
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
    #5 EMBRACEABLE YOU
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 5-1 5 Embraceable You H Leahey
    PLACE 5-2 8 It Happens F T Alvarado
    SHOW 4-1 6 Bubbles Up O Mojica
    WILD CARD 10-1 7 Maxs Maxine K McGregor
    ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 Miss Sundaze M Americano
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Shes a One of One S R Amador
    * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
    RACE #4 TURF PARADISE $18,500 Allowance Optional Claiming
    6 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:42 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 6-1 6 Moneyshot F T Alvarado
    PLACE 9-2 5 John Dunbar D Berrios-Lopez
    SHOW 5-1 2 Dagger Ranch K Lopez
    WILD CARD 4-1 7 Wood Ceiling O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 4 Mississippi Man G Rodriguez
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Bobby Dazzler K McGregor
    * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
    RACE #5 TURF PARADISE $21,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:11 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 5 Pepper Mill K McGregor
    PLACE 5-2 7 Stay Sassy A M Cruz
    SHOW 6-1 1 Go Go Sadie D P Vergara
    WILD CARD 4-1 4 Dads Estrella C Ramey
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Arizona Reina H Leahey
    ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Lotsa Lace A Morales
    * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
    RACE #6 TURF PARADISE $10,000 Maiden Claiming
    5 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:40 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 8-1 10 Im Gunna B Nunnally
    PLACE 2-1 6 Big Stetson M Americano
    SHOW 5-1 1 Lord Anthem K McGregor
    WILD CARD 8-1 3 Booming Bernardo F T Alvarado
    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Run Smart D P Vergara
    ALTERNATE 2 6-1 8 Mom Says A M Cruz
    * EXACTA: 10-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/6/10 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
    RACE #7 TURF PARADISE $10,000 Claiming
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 1 Magoo G Rodriguez
    PLACE 4-1 10 Our Bloke F T Alvarado
    SHOW 20-1 12 Beer Begone S R Amador
    WILD CARD 10-1 5 Gianola A Morales
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Roll Dem Bones K Lopez
    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Ridin Solo J R Ironeyes
    * EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/10/12 BOX, 5/10/12 BOX
    RACE #8 TURF PARADISE $8,500 Maiden Claiming
    6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 7 Street Gun M Americano
    PLACE 5-1 4 Doradus A Castellanos
    SHOW 8-1 1 Legal Mousse A Arboleda
    WILD CARD 15-1 2 Hartman O Mojica
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 First Eldaafirst K Lopez
    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 8 Fancy Very Fancy J M Asencio
    * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #3
      Frank Carulli: Gulfstream Park Pick 3 Analysis | Thursday, January 1, 2026

      by Frank Carulli

      Gulfstream Park will ring in the New Year with a 10-race card this Thursday, Jan. 1. It starts early, with the first post at 12:20 p.m. EST, but if you wake up a bit late, don’t worry. You will have plenty of time to watch nd wager on the Pick 3 that encompasses a pair of stakes races for newly turned 3-year-olds. Here’s a look at the action with a suggested $2 Pick 3 ticket that costs $36:

      GP 8th race (3:48 p.m. EST) -- Seven sophomore fillies bring a combined 29/7-11-4 record with average earnings of $64,900 into the $175,000 Cash Run, but all are seeking their first stakes victory. Woodbine invader DUNBAR BEACH gets Hall of Famer John Velazquez to ride and gets the call in her first start on conventional dirt. She was disqualified from second in her debut race won by eventual two-time stakes winner Piper’s Gift, swung 5-wide and ran third after a troubled start as a follow-up favorite, then launched a strong run between rivals to win going away in her first long distance test. SECANE was most impressive in her 7F debut win at Gulfstream, sprinting to a clear lead, finding another gear when challenged on the turn and running away from the wandering favorite in the stretch. She returned in the one-mile Tempted Stakes at Aqueduct three months later, chased Shilling – who set the pace for 6F in a Grade 2 stakes next out – and ‘kept on’ to finish third. The daughter of 2018 Florida Derby winner Audible is a deserving favorite and the one to catch.

      GP 9th race (4:18 p.m. EST) -- CHARLIE’S WISH (pictured), nearing a half-million as the field’s top money earner, is a steady mid-80 Beyer type when she races with Lasix. She’s a stakes winner on Gulfstream’s synthetic surface and could hold a tactical advantage in a race that lacks quality speed. FOR FLYING placed in a pair of Grade 3 stakes at Woodbine in four starts on the synthetic track and she, too, can make good use of her speed. DANCING N DIXIE, pinched and in tight early, unwound at the quarter pole and had a ‘solid late charge’ to finish third in the Grade 3 Maple Leaf, ahead of FOR FLYING in the 1-1/4-mile marathon that favored closers.

      GP 10th race (4:48 p.m. EST) -- GLORIOUS BOY made an eye-catching stretch run and wouldn’t have needed a disqualification to emerge the winner from a dead heat with the rival that forced him inward and exchanged bumps in the closing yards. He broke his maiden sprinting on the Aqueduct lawn, ran second in a follow-up 6F stakes race and should have no trouble transitioning back to the grass after a :46 bullet workout at Gulfstream last Friday. He could be a solo play, but with maiden breakers from nine different tracks uniting in the $175,000 Dania Beach, use a couple longshots on the Bet 3 ticket. ZEPPELIN awaited room on the final turn and found it in time to catch the two favorites in a 25-1 debut upset on the Churchill Downs lawn. EASY WIND improved his speed figures at four turf venues to start his career, then changed tactics and set a fast pace in a turf-to-dirt mile won by his 1-to-2 stablemate. Morning-line favorite HONEY DUTCH will be a popular play with a high turn of early foot and Irad Ortiz Jr. summoned to ride. He widened a big lead on the turn and got caught two back, then controlled a soft pace and got caught again in his first stakes attempt at a longer distance. For value purposes, we won’t use him on the ticket.

      Suggested $2 Pick 3 Ticket
      GP 8th Race: 4, 7
      GP 9th Race: 2, 3, 6
      GP 10th Race: 4, 6, 7
      Cost: $36​

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #4
        1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Thursday, January 1, 2026

        by Xpressbet

        EXTRA INCENTIVES
        Pegasus World Cup VIP Sweepstakes | now through Jan. 4

        SCHEDULE NOTE
        Santa Anita | cancelled due to weather

        TOURNAMENT TIME
        $40 Gulfstream feeder | details

        NOTABLE CARRYOVERS
        Jackpot Pick 6 | $130,527 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race 5 | 2:18 pm ET
        Pick 6 | $20,776 | Oaklawn Park | begins Race 5 | 3:24 pm ET

        KEY RACES
        Gulfstream Park | Race 8 | 3:48 pm ET | Cash Run Stakes
        Gulfstream Park | Race 10 | 4:48 pm ET | Dania Beach Stakes
        Oaklawn Park | Race 8 | 4:52 pm ET | Oaklawn Sports Stakes
        Turfway Park | Race 8 | 9:25 pm ET | Gowell Stakes

        LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX
        Gulfstream Park | Race 1 | 12:20 pm ET
        Oaklawn Park | Race 6 | 3:53 pm ET
        Turfway Park | Race 9 | 9:55 pm ET

        TRAINERS TO WATCH
        Rick Dutrow | Gulfstream, Aqueduct | all 5 entrants 5-1 or less odds

        DID YOU SEE?
        Yesterday | Aqueduct | jockey Flavien Prat | 3 wins from 6 mounts​

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #5
          Gulfstream Park Hotlist - January 1


          Dec. 31, 2025

          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

          Hot List Key:

          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

          1st race – Let’s start off the new year with a winner! - (6) Angelic Quality went very wide from post 11 in her career debut. Deserves a second chance here from a better post with Irad. (8) Drupe is an interesting first-time starter. (10) Sister Slew may like the switch to turf. (5) Blazing Bridgette deserves some attention in this field. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-8-10.

          3rd race – (4) Guys Trip has some useful experience and this level and distance here and gets the nod. (3) What It Tiz should get a look after a maiden win. (1) He’s a Daredevil will be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4.

          5th race – (2) El Apagon returns to Tapeta and has enough speed to lead throughout. (5) Cruzin Man looks like the one to fear. (7) Sosua Summer may wake up after a disappointing try. (6) Louie the Sun King should be a threat in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-7.

          7th race – (4) Storm the Streets gets back on turf and gets top billing here. (9) Berlone will welcome a return to turf. (3) Double Neat belongs in the exotics. (6) Two Beers by Ten should improve on turf. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6-9.

          9th race – (6) For Flying has been racing on Tapeta in graded stakes at Woodbine. Has a class edge here. (7) Mama Bella should work out a good trip in this field. (2) Dancing N Dixie has a nice late kick and cannot be ignored. (1) Design will benefit from a ground-saving trip. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-7.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20482

            #6
            Aqueduct Hotlist - January 1


            Dec. 31, 2025

            By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

            Hot List Key:
            A:
            A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

            2nd race [NY, Alw 35000s, 6 ? F] – (1) Brave Buck won 3 of his last 4 starts since getting claimed by Linda Rice in June and has not faced NY-breds since his debut win in a maiden claimer. (6) E Z Bourbon returns from a June layoff when he was second then third in open-company starter allowances. (3) Liberty Rising won a NY-bred maiden special weight which is not something that the rest of these did. (5) Dormello won a $30,000 maiden claimer by more than six lengths in November.

            5th race [Clm 17500B, 1 mi] – (4) Another Cleeshay was second in a similar spot in November and got claimed. (3) Top of the Table was taken for $30,000 by Linda Rice which was her first start for a tag in more than year. (1) Ah Ca Ira drops in to a claimer for the first time since winning a $30,000 maiden claimer. He won a NY-bred allowance at Saratoga. (7) Serenading Kitten moves to winter racing at Aqueduct from Woodbine where last seen she won for $15,000.

            7th race [Clm 10000, 1 mi] – (5) Miss Lao (C) bet down from 8-1 to 6-1, pressed the pace, got the lead, lost by a nose, and got claimed. (7) Best Impression was a clear-cut front-end winner for $17,500 last month. (4) Enigmatic won a pair of starter allowances recently and was claimed for $16,000 at the Big A after a third-place finish. (8) Jackie the Joker was claimed for $16,000 two races back.

            8th race [Alw 50000s, 1 mi] – (5) Coffee Talk broke his maiden for $50,000 at Keeneland and was claimed by Linda Rice and since then was third twice in starter allowances. (1) Reynolds Channel was claimed from a second when he missed by a neck for $50,000 in December. (6) Interceptor had the lead and finished right behind Reynolds Channel in a blanket finish. (7) Did It Dialed changes to the barn of Bill Morey who does well with new horses.

            Best bets: Brave Buck (2nd); Another Cleeshay (5th). Best value: Miss Lao (7th); Coffee Talk (8th).
            No. Name Letter
            last race
            Today's Race Comments
            (5) Miss Lao C on 12/4 7 Had the lead, lost by a nose, got claimed.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #7
              Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - January 1


              Dec. 31, 2025
              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
              RACE #1 $30,500 Maiden Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
              BEST BET: #1 CANTDEALWITHIT
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 1 Cantdealwithit C A Torres
              PLACE 9-5 5 Ante Up Tony R A Vazquez
              SHOW 15-1 11 Sammy Sam Sam W De La Cruz
              WILD CARD 12-1 10 Queen Wilhelmina A Triana Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Carmalieta A Mendoza
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Devils Den E Esquivel
              * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/5/11 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
              RACE #2 $31,000 Claiming
              1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:58 PM ET
              BEST BET: #1A PURSE THIEF
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 1A Purse Thief T W Bacon
              PLACE 5-2 3 Youramystyle R A Vazquez
              SHOW 6-1 4 Tis Charming J Rosario
              WILD CARD 7-2 8 Promissione C A Torres
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Heats Hero A Triana Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 3-1 1 One Mor Story J Rosado
              * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
              RACE #3 $31,000 Claiming
              1 1/8 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:25 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 4 The Thunderer A Cedillo
              PLACE 9-2 10 Huge Bigly E Esquivel
              SHOW 6-1 7 Eldons Prince R Huckaby
              WILD CARD 3-1 13 Khozy My Boy T W Bacon
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Magic Grant F Arrieta
              ALTERNATE 2 5-2 9 Sivako C A Torres
              * EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-13 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 4/7/10 BOX, 7/10/13 BOX
              RACE #4 $32,000 Claiming
              1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET
              BEST BET: #6 LEND IT TEWMEY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 6 Lend It Tewmey T W Bacon
              PLACE 12-1 9 K P Kwest F Arrieta
              SHOW 7-2 12 Gasoline J Rosado
              WILD CARD 9-2 11 Hoodlum R Santana Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Stellar Vino R A Vazquez
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 8 J Ts Imagination W De La Cruz
              * EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 6/9/12 BOX, 9/11/12 BOX
              RACE #5 $30,000 Maiden Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 14 Miracle On Central J Elliott
              PLACE 2-1 1 Joewilly C A Torres
              SHOW 9-2 7 Tip Toe Joe W De La Cruz
              WILD CARD 2-1 13 Pencil Bluff F Arrieta
              ALTERNATE 1 3-1 3 Amentum A Triana Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Conway A Mendoza
              * EXACTA: 14-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-13 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/7/14 BOX, 1/7/13 BOX
              RACE #6 $31,000 Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 6 Whats Her Number R Santana Jr.
              PLACE 7-2 12 Sister Carlie F Arrieta
              SHOW 4-1 14 Silent Strike E Flores
              WILD CARD 6-1 7 Ragtime Sizzle A Mendoza
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Texas Sequoia C A Torres
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Jet Pack R A Vazquez
              * EXACTA: 6-12 BOX, 12-14 BOX, 14-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 6/12/14 BOX, 7/12/14 BOX
              RACE #7 $42,000 Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 3 Demi R A Vazquez
              PLACE 3-1 2 Filly Crystal F Arrieta
              SHOW 9-2 1 Tell Me When C A Torres
              WILD CARD 5-1 6 Progeny L Saez
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Flat Out Rose W De La Cruz
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Summer of Mischief T W Bacon
              * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
              RACE #8 $135,000 Stakes
              1 1/16 Miles ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET
              ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $135,000 OAKLAWN SPORTS
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-5 6 Lemon Zest F Prat
              PLACE 2-1 5 Take Charge Omaha L Saez
              SHOW 10-1 3 Kerrys Kiss R A Vazquez
              WILD CARD 4-1 2 Nerazurri C A Torres
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Allihies A Cedillo
              ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Seraphia J Rosario
              * EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
              COMMENTS: LEMON ZEST will benefit with the outside post having the speed inside. TAKE CHARGE OMAHA would love a fast pace here. KERRYS KISS is another with speed and might be the fastest. NERAZURRI is a must use in all exotics.
              RACE #9 $40,000 Claiming
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 9-2 2 Bold Boss R A Vazquez
              PLACE 3-1 8 Misty Muppet A Espinoza
              SHOW 6-1 3 Flat Stormin F Arrieta
              WILD CARD 8-1 6 Army Nurse I Hernandez
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Red Volta K Harr
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 9 She Called R Santana Jr.
              * EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
              RACE #10 $100,000 Maiden Special Weight
              6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 6 J Js True Bet R Bejarano
              PLACE 5-2 7 Moneta F Arrieta
              SHOW 12-1 8 Like a Diamond T W Bacon
              WILD CARD 6-1 3 Royal B T Wales
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 10 Kava A Mendoza
              ALTERNATE 2 9-2 13 Bossa Dama J Rosario
              * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #8
                Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - January 1


                Dec. 31, 2025
                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
                RACE #1 $14,000 Claiming
                1 Mile 70 Yards ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
                BEST BET: #4 DAN DORO
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 4 Dan dOro M Pedroza Jr.
                PLACE 9-5 2 Oliverio P Lopez
                SHOW 7-2 1 No Rematch J Loveberry
                WILD CARD 5-1 3 Dixie Doctor H Rea
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Peytons Day C Andros
                ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Tsuperman D H Magnon
                * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
                RACE #2 $19,000 Maiden Claiming
                6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 2 Geaux Geaux Tiger H Rea
                PLACE 8-5 3 Princess Celine M Pedroza Jr.
                SHOW 6-1 4 Mya Papaya B Curtis
                WILD CARD 5-1 1 Pams Friend D Cannon
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Veronicaforthewin P Lopez
                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Honor and Obay M Murrill
                * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                RACE #3 $15,000 Claiming
                6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 9-2 8 Dixie Morning B Curtis
                PLACE 3-1 7 Gold Plus P Lopez
                SHOW 6-1 6 Zoom Erin J Riquelme
                WILD CARD 5-1 3 Huntleigh E Nieves
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Simonas Choice C McMahon
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Shorty Mac A Concepcion
                * EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
                RACE #4 $19,000 Starter Optional Claiming
                1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
                BEST BET: #7 BOITANO
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 9-5 7 Boitano A Concepcion
                PLACE 6-1 2 Brits Wit J L Ortiz
                SHOW 8-1 3 Big Scully P Lopez
                WILD CARD 9-2 6 Fortuity C J Hernandez
                ALTERNATE 1 12-1 11 Sendero M Pedroza Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Red Road B Curtis
                * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                RACE #5 $54,000 Maiden Special Weight
                1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 1 Top Notch Protocol J Loveberry
                PLACE 2-1 6 Vineaux J L Ortiz
                SHOW 5-1 3 Cajun Moviestar O Chavez
                WILD CARD 6-1 7 Lightning Twirl A Concepcion
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Such a Pickle F Geroux
                ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Who Is Chief C McMahon
                * EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
                RACE #6 $30,000 Maiden Optional Claiming
                1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 9 Ogilvy D Cannon
                PLACE 9-2 5 Shakin My Head A Concepcion
                SHOW 9-2 1 High Go B Curtis
                WILD CARD 8-1 3 Fast Connection I Castillo
                ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Strong C J Hernandez
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Mountain Grandeur M Murrill
                * EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
                RACE #7 $55,000 Allowance
                6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
                BEST BET: #5 HAY EVABODY
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 5 Hay Evabody B Curtis
                PLACE 5-2 2 Sweet Darlin I Castillo
                SHOW 3-1 4 Trust Fund Philly J L Ortiz
                WILD CARD 4-1 6 Terra Bella J Loveberry
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Shans Quest C McMahon
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Miss Maximus P Lopez
                * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
                RACE #8 $55,000 Allowance
                5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 4-1 4 Vesture A Concepcion
                PLACE 10-1 11 Unbeatable M Pedroza Jr.
                SHOW 7-2 8 Im Wide Awake J L Ortiz
                WILD CARD 6-1 9 Pharoahs Dynasty P Lopez
                ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 This Time J Loveberry
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Hit That Review B Curtis
                * EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 4/8/11 BOX, 8/9/11 BOX
                RACE #9 $14,000 Claiming
                6 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-1 8 Josan J Edison
                PLACE 3-1 3 Colts Brim J Riquelme
                SHOW 8-1 5 Babys Last Dance J Ramirez Jr.
                WILD CARD 8-1 7 Tap the Tequila I Castillo
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Crigler M Pedroza Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Gordito Hermoso J Loveberry
                * EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #9
                  Turfway Park Tip Sheet - January 1


                  Dec. 31, 2025
                  Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 60% of the time at this track.
                  RACE #1 $34,500 Claiming
                  1 1/16 Miles ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #3 AGENT KELLY
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-2 3 Agent Kelly V R Carrasco
                  PLACE 3-1 4 Knicks Gate D Machado
                  SHOW 4-1 7 Finn McSorley L Machado
                  WILD CARD 10-1 5 Shortstop J D Ramos
                  ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Patronage S E Bermudez
                  ALTERNATE 2 9-2 1 Vino Caldo F De La Cruz
                  * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
                  RACE #2 $26,800 Claiming
                  6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #12 ASK AMANDA
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-2 12 Ask Amanda W A Rodriguez
                  PLACE 7-2 4 Rye Smile O Villarreal
                  SHOW 8-1 7 Adelie G Saez
                  WILD CARD 15-1 10 Princess Elany J N Hernandez
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 6 Elliott Moon L Machado
                  ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Pounds in Town C Barbosa
                  * EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 4/7/12 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX
                  RACE #3 $28,100 Starter Allowance
                  6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-2 7 Sassy and Bold J D Ramos
                  PLACE 2-1 5 Beach Kitten S E Bermudez
                  SHOW 7-2 2 Campaign Promises C Barbosa
                  WILD CARD 12-1 10 Retail Therapy A Gomez
                  ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Yaree D Tat O Villarreal
                  ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 Eastern Star J McKee
                  * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX
                  RACE #4 $30,800 Claiming
                  6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #2 WELL DO IT LIVE
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-2 2 Well Do It Live W A Rodriguez
                  PLACE 12-1 4 Fondre P W Ouzts
                  SHOW 20-1 10 Long Black Veil L Contreras
                  WILD CARD 8-1 1 Silent Sky F De La Cruz
                  ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Firstlady Rosalynn P Moran
                  ALTERNATE 2 20-1 11 Takethesilver M Garcia
                  * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
                  RACE #5 $100,000 Maiden Special Weight
                  1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 15-1 1 Kentucky Mule I Moncada
                  PLACE 5-2 11 Miss Milky Way E Morales
                  SHOW 3-1 8 Cynical Humor W A Rodriguez
                  WILD CARD 15-1 4 Cairosa A Beschizza
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 13 Royal Reign A Burgos
                  ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Flash of Freedom D Machado
                  * EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 4/8/11 BOX
                  RACE #6 $38,400 Claiming
                  6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 6-1 14 Highly Flammable D Machado
                  PLACE 8-1 8 Charbonnay A Beschizza
                  SHOW 3-1 3 All Jokes Aside G Saez
                  WILD CARD 7-2 7 Tiverton L Machado
                  ALTERNATE 1 20-1 11 Huntertown O Villarreal
                  ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Neon Leon A Burgos
                  * EXACTA: 14-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 3/8/14 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
                  RACE #7 $102,000 Allowance Optional Claiming
                  1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 8:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 10-1 13 Atlal L Machado
                  PLACE 8-1 2 Blast Furnace P Moran
                  SHOW 3-1 10 Ocean Atlantique E Morales
                  WILD CARD 7-2 5 Universal Sound W A Rodriguez
                  ALTERNATE 1 8-1 12 Mo Quality J D Ramos
                  ALTERNATE 2 10-1 8 Thrilla V Cheminaud
                  * EXACTA: 13-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/10/13 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX
                  RACE #8 $125,000 Stakes
                  6 Furlongs ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 GOWELL STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 8-1 4 Pure Eloquence M Garcia
                  PLACE 2-1 8 Map of the Moon A Concepcion
                  SHOW 10-1 1 Folk Song G Saez
                  WILD CARD 3-1 5 Sassy C W W A Rodriguez
                  ALTERNATE 1 7-2 3 Woodstock P Moran
                  ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Mias Go A Chavez
                  * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
                  COMMENTS: PURE ELOQUENCE surprised in the debut and is a decent price again. MAP OF THE MOON has not done anything wrong in her first two career starts. FOLK SONG could add value to the exotics. SASSY C W will be tough if ready to go after the layoff.
                  RACE #9 $37,200 Maiden Claiming
                  1 Mile ON THE All Weather Track - POST TIME: 9:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-1 12 Shez Twisted L Machado
                  PLACE 9-2 8 Berlinwin G Saez
                  SHOW 8-1 10 Shidoni A Calleja
                  WILD CARD 4-1 5 Beara Peninsula W A Rodriguez
                  ALTERNATE 1 7-2 6 Lexico D Machado
                  ALTERNATE 2 4-1 13 Firebird Suite L Machado
                  * EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 8/10/12 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #10
                    Special Wager - Race 6 Leg F of the Sunset Six
                    Optional Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 102 • Purse: $70,000 • Post: 7:00P
                    SA - R9 - (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $21,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED)(HORSES ENTERED FOR THE ALLOWANCE ARE PREFERRED).
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Dominant Stalker. GRAZED is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRAZED: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SPECIAL CLUB: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourt h start after a layoff. CLEVER CLOVER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. JETOVATOR: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. CHECK'S ON THE WAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating.
                    11 GRAZED 4/1 7/2
                    10 SPECIAL CLUB 8/1 8/1
                    7 CLEVER CLOVER 20/1 9/1
                    2 JETOVATOR 9/5 9/1
                    4 CHECK'S ON THE WAY 6/1 10/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    2 JETOVATOR 2 9/5 Front-runner 102 95 101.8 95.8 85.8
                    3 THREE GEORGES 3 30/1 Front-runner 83 85 95.5 74.7 50.7
                    14 BRO BRO 14 9/2 Front-runner 90 90 87.9 84.6 68.6
                    13 DINOS DIXIE 13 15/1 Front-runner 87 90 85.8 72.2 49.7
                    11 GRAZED 11 4/1 Stalker 101 101 104.2 98.1 90.6
                    7 CLEVER CLOVER 7 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 100 96 84.1 89.9 76.4
                    10 SPECIAL CLUB 10 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 95 95 81.8 89.6 77.1
                    4 CHECK'S ON THE WAY 4 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 100 97 78.6 85.4 74.9
                    9 JAGUAR JON 9 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 98 94 78.3 84.6 72.1
                    1 GOLD COUNCIL 1 20/1 Trailer 98 93 82.2 91.8 86.3
                    12 GALLAND DE BESOS 12 20/1 Trailer 96 96 79.2 96.1 78.6
                    8 CHICK'S DIG IT 8 30/1 Trailer 99 99 57.2 87.0 71.5
                    6 ONE SMOKIN DUDE 6 15/1 Trailer 94 96 42.7 64.5 45.0
                    5 CODY BOY 5 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 99 91 73.1 85.0 67.5

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
                      PURCHASE
                      Aqueduct - Race 2 Exacta ($1), Quinella ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 2 &3 Pick 3 ($1) (2-4), Pick 4 (.50) (2-5)
                      Starter Allowance $35,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $57,000 • Post: 1:09P
                      FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. WEIGHT, 123 LBS.
                      Contenders Race Analysis
                      P# Horse Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds
                      Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BRAVE BUCK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CAMM' DUKE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class R ating at the distance/surface. LIBERTY RISING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                      1 BRAVE BUCK 8/5 3/1
                      2 CAMM' DUKE 8/1 5/1
                      3 LIBERTY RISING 8/1 8/1

                      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                      Figure
                      2 CAMM' DUKE 2 8/1 Front-runner 85 76 78.8 60.6 54.6
                      3 LIBERTY RISING 3 8/1 Alternator/Front-runner 73 67 73.8 65.6 57.6
                      6 E Z BOURBON 6 3/1 Alternator/Front-runner 82 79 56.2 53.9 47.9
                      1 BRAVE BUCK 1 8/5 Stalker 86 81 57.4 72.6 70.1
                      5 DORMELLO 5 2/1 Alternator/Stalker 69 63 69.2 59.7 51.2
                      4 OATH OF OMERTA 4 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 72 60 63.5 36.0 25.5

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Turfway Park - Race #9 - Post: 9:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $37,200 Class Rating: 73

                        Rating:

                        #12 SHEZ TWISTED (ML=5/1)
                        #8 BERLINWIN (ML=9/2)


                        SHEZ TWISTED - Nice return on investment for this rider and trainer duet. This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. Gets help from Williams with the addition of Lasix. BERLINWIN - The ROI when Saez and Sharp partner up is tremendous. The addition of Lasix might make this horse wake up and run very well right here in this race. You have to consider this horse in today's race. She has been claimed out of her last two races.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LEXICO (ML=7/2), #13 FIREBIRD SUITE (ML=4/1), #5 BEARA PENINSULA (ML=4/1),

                        LEXICO - 7/2 odds isn't enough for this one when scrutinizing the most recent efforts. Notched a most unsatisfactory fig last time out in a Maiden Special race on Nov 28th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. FIREBIRD SUITE - Registered a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last race out in a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race on Dec 12th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. BEARA PENINSULA - Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SHEZ TWISTED - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top horse in earnings per start. This thoroughbred looks good to me so I'm making a bet on her.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #12 SHEZ TWISTED to win if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [8,12]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: 12 with 8 with [5,10,14] Total Cost: $3
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS: [8,12] with [8,12] with [1,5,10,14] with [1,5,10,14] with [1,5,10,14] Total Cost: $48

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

                          PURCHASE
                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.



                          Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 80

                          OP - R9 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2025 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000.
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 8 MISTY MUPPET 3/1
                          # 2 BOLD BOSS 9/2
                          # 9 SHE CALLED 12/1
                          I have to consider MISTY MUPPET here. She ought to be given a chance given the competitive speed numbers. BOLD BOSS - Has very good early lick and ought to fare well against this group. Could beat this field given the 75 speed figure posted in her last outing. SHE CALLED - Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. This racer is ranked high in this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

                            PURCHASE
                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.



                            Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18500 Class Rating: 96

                            FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 NON-WINNER OF FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $35,000.
                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 1 I AM FREAKY FAST 10/1
                            # 2 DAGGER RANCH 5/1
                            # 8 BROWNSTONE 3/1
                            I think I AM FREAKY FAST is a formidable pick and could score at a price in here. He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Had one of the top speed figures of this group in his last contest. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most respectable class figs of this group. DAGGER RANCH - He has been running admirably and the Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 87 avg Equibase Speed Fig. BROWNSTONE - Solid gamble today with second time Lasix. With a strong jockey who has won at a decent 15 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #15

                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                              PURCHASE





                              Oaklawn Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:24pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 68

                              Rating:

                              #14 MIRACLE ON CENTRAL (ML=5/2)
                              #7 TIP TOE JOE (ML=9/2)


                              MIRACLE ON CENTRAL - This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +299. A repeat of that most recent effort on Nov 19th where he registered a speed figure of 67 looks high enough to prove victorious in this affair. TIP TOE JOE - Trainer Martin moves this animal to a lower class level to face a lower class field. Look for a good race in this race. Another way to determine class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #13 PENCIL BLUFF (ML=2/1), #1 JOEWILLY (ML=2/1), #3 AMENTUM (ML=3/1),

                              PENCIL BLUFF - Much too far back in the first part of the last route contest will probably make it tough to make an impression today in this sprint race. This animal hasn't been hitting the board in either of his last couple of outings. JOEWILLY - I think this favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. AMENTUM - No value in betting on this mount. Probably won't improve off that Dec 14th race. Didn't end up on the board on March 12th at Fair Grounds. Followed it up with another less than stellar try.

                              GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MIRACLE ON CENTRAL - Class figure today of 68. Taking a significant descent in the level of competition and should respond to an easier group. Worth a bet.


                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #14 MIRACLE ON CENTRAL to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [7,14]
                              TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                              Comment

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