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Kind of love this number. We have a Cincinnati team that is dealing with just about every defensive opt out that you could think of going to be extremely thin at a a lot of positions. The good news about this is that besides from not having Sorsby this Cincinnati offense is almost fully intact which will be huge.
Game is gonna be a little wet but nothing crazy.
Navy ranks 15th in yards per play and is very explosive and are number 1 in the country in rushing yards. Facing a Cincy defense that before all the OPT outs were bottom 50 in explosive plays allowed and bottom 30 in rushing yards allowed. NEVER a lack of motivation for these Armed Forces teams in bowl games, and will want to send seniors out with a bang.
Cincinnati you may be thinking are without Sorsby so how will the team move the ball? Asides from Sorsby this 30 PPG offense is fully intact including NFL prospect TEJoe Royer. QB Brady Lichtenburg has had time to prep knowing we would be the starter along with Freshman Samaj Jones who may get some snaps in this one. Regardless of who is at QB this Navy defense just is not good. Bottom 30 in the nation in yards per play allowed and passing yards. During the Regular season this Oline was elite for Cincy ranking 2nd in the nation in sacks allowed, which will allow plenty of time to push the ball.
Cincy plays fast and Navy is explosive. Cincy with almost the entire defense not playing. Both defenses bad and give up a ton of explosives. Cincy QB just has to get ball to playmakers.
Navy (-7?, 54?) vs. Cincinnati, Liberty Bowl: Navy has covered seven straight bowls, but is on a 2-7 spread slide overall and an 0-5 ATS losing streak as a favorite. Cincinnati has lost and failed to cover its past four games following a seven-game winning streak. Edge: Slight to Navy.
Arizona (-2, 51?) vs. SMU, Holiday Bowl: Arizona coach Brent Brennan lost and failed to cover all three bowls with San Jose State, though the Wildcats went 9-3 straight up this season and 8-4 ATS, including covers in their past three. Arizona is on under runs of 4-0 and 8-4. SMU has lost and failed to cover its past five bowl/playoff games, though they covered five of their last seven games this season. The Mustangs are on a 7-3 under run. Edge: Arizona and under.
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State (-3, 53?), Duke’s Mayo Bowl: Wake Forest is on a 7-2 spread run and went 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season. It is also on a 7-3 over run. The Bulldogs lost and failed to cover their past three following ATS runs of 8-1 and 14-3. Mississippi State is on a 4-1 over surge. Edge: Slight to Wake Forest and over.
The Line: The current line is -7 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 8:00 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
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