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Atlanta/ Jacksonville Over 42.5: The Jacksonville offense has been playing better of late and it starts with Jones-Drew, who now has five straight games of 100-plus total yards, combining for 745 yards (149 YPG) over this stretch, Plus Blaine Gabbart has also been playing well with 412 passing yards, 4 TD and 3 INT in the past two games. The Atlanta defense comes in 5th vs the run and if theyu are able to stop Drew then that will force Gabbart to throw and Atlanta is not great vs the pass. The Falcons come in ranked 22nd vs the pass this year, allowing 241.2 ypg and what could make matters worse is that their top cornerbacks, Kelvin Hayden (toe) and Brent Grimes (knee) may not able to return to the field this week. The Jags are very good vs the pass this year as they rank 4th in that category, but Matt Ryan has bee on a tear as he has thrown for 299 ypg with 14 TD's and just 4 IINT's in his last 6 games, and he will be taking on a depleted Jags secondary. Both offenses are playing very well right now, while both defenses have injury problems in their secondaries. The Jags have nothing to play for any more so i really look for them to continue to open up the playbook down the stretch, while Atlanta's offense will continue to roll down the stretch as they fight for a playoff spot. KEY TREND--- Since 1992 the OU is 22-10 during the 2nd half of the season when the Jags take on a team that averages 350+ ypg.
ATLANTA –12 over Jacksonville PINNACLE
Don’t be fooled by Jacksonville’s 41-point outburst against the Buccaneers as Tampa’s seven turnovers aided that win which included 28 second quarter points off of miscues. Now the offensively challenged Jaguars, a team that had not scored more than 20 points all year before last weekend, must travel on a short week to play one of the league’s strongest home sides. The 4-9 Jaguars bring their 1-5 road mark to Atlanta where the 8-5 Falcons have realistically already lost the NFC South (official this weekend) but currently are in the driver's seat for a wild card bid. Atlanta has not been impressive but they can’t lose sight of its goal. The Falcons have clinched nothing and with their passing game clicking and Jacksonville’s injured secondary to take advantage of, this one can easily get out of hand. Play: Atlanta –12 (no bets).
WINNIPEG +106 over Washington Pinnacle
In Washington’s second biggest game since Dale Hunter took over, they went out and got whacked by the Flyers 5-1. Philly was missing its leading scorer among other key personnel. The Caps have three wins in seven games since changing coaches and two of those wins were against Ottawa. The other win was against the Maple Leafs in a game they were clearly outplayed in. Nothing has really changed for Washington since the firing of BB. They’re still getting weak goaltending, which doesn’t bode well when allowing an inordinate amount of scoring chances. Alexander Semin’s head remains elsewhere and Alex Ovechkin is still trying to do everything on his own. The Jets are a cohesive unit that has been getting progressively better as the season wears on. They’ve won five straight at home, they stopped Boston’s incredible run and they also slowed down the red-hot Wild. On November 17, the Caps came in here and were beaten badly in a 4-1 loss. There’s nothing in their play that suggests this one will be any different. Washington favored here is incorrect. Play: Winnipeg +106 (Risking 2 units).
Los Angeles -½ +139 over COLUMBUS Pinnacle
In their first game under their new coach and the first game of a four game trip, the Kings went into Boston and lost 3-0. That result is probably this year’s most misleading final. Los Angeles played its best game of the year. They were all over every loose puck and played the entire three periods in the Bruins end. They outshot Boston 41-22 and only the incredible goaltending of Tuukaa Rask allowed the Bruins to earn that victory. If there is such a thing as a good loss, that was it. The Kings have dropped five in a row now and with the Red Wings on deck at the Joe, this one becomes crucial for a Kings team looking to get back on track. The Jackets are coming off a rare win against a good team. They beat the Canucks 2-1 in OT but they’ve still gone eight straight games without a regulation win. What’s really interesting is that something in the Jackets’ brings out the best in the Kings offense. L.A. has scored four goals or more against Columbus in six of the last seven games and they scored six goals in three of those. Kings have to dig down even deeper here and if their last game is any indication of what is to come, LA shakes that funk in a big way. Play: Los Angeles -½ +139 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Rangers +115 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
The Blues have been one of the league’s hottest teams over the past six weeks but the run that they’re on is not sustainable. Here’s a team that is rarely scoring more than two goals in any game, yet they keep winning 2-1 and 1-0. The Blue Notes have tallied 71 goals this season. That’s the lowest output in the NHL and again, they simply can’t maintain its winning percentage with production like that. Enter a New York team that has a history of playing a similar style to the Blues but has more quality players. All of a sudden, the Rangers are scoring goals. They’ve scored four or more in six of their last 10 and they’re getting balanced production, which is another good sign. The Rangers have the fewest losses in the league (7) and they’re 9-4 on the road. Lastly, the Blues have been playing at home since Dec 3. That’s five straight games and almost two weeks of hosting. St. Louis’ charmed life is in its final stages. Play: N. Y. Rangers +115. Play: N. Y. Rangers +115 (Risking 2 units).
Jaguars +11½ at Falcons: I’m sticking with my first reaction to double digits whenever I see them. Take the points and stay away from the chalk unless there’s extenuating circumstances. Falcons don’t play good enough defense consistently to lay this big number. Jags can muster up some extraordinary efforts when they commit. For example, the 20-13 loss to Houston and the 12-7 win over the Ravens. JAGS.
Falcons as the home favorite against the Jaguars. As this play is relelased at 6am Pacific, Atlanta is currently laying 12 points here in Vegas and offshore.
30 DIME PLAY
1st Half selection on the Falcons as the home favorite against the Jaguars. Atlanta is currently laying 7 points in the 1st Half of this contest here in Vegas and offshore.
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