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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369819

    #1

    Monday 1/12/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369819

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Mahoning Valley - Race #6
    #5 See Ya Alligator Speed stopped hard in the debut run, but he might be able to sustain his pace a bit better with that first start under his belt if he can find the front today with a bit less of a battle.
    #8 Wild Domain He's pretty honest, and he brings competitive form, but I'm a bit worried that he might be better going long right now and tends to give away a bit of ground late. Capable, but tough to trust.
    #4 Kettle Coalmine Not totally sold here, either, as the good sprint form came with cheaper, but he is another who should find a good spot right up on the splits today.
    Race Summary See Ya Alligator should be an OK price here while going second out off the fading debut run, and I'm hoping that pace will keep him up top today and give him a bit of bravery if he doesn't take a bunch of early challenges.
    Mahoning Valley - Race #8
    #3 Fracture He should be right up on the splits again after a nice graduation run from close range last time out, and I'm hoping he'll bring something a bit better in the second start back off the layoff.
    #5 Gallant Groom He looked impressive in the debut run when sweeping past that group and rolling away, but the waters get deeper today in a spot that feels decent for the level.
    #8 Globetrotting He woke up a bit in the last one, and he fits well here if you take that at face value and hope he can bring something similar in his second start over the course.
    Race Summary Fracture owns a couple of good sprint tries sandwiched around that flat route run, and there might be a touch of upside today in the second start back.
    Mahoning Valley - Race #9
    #8 Praise N Glory Her form is inconsistent, but there is some decent finishing form on the page that would potentially keep her in the frame with this open group. Some appeal.
    #10 The Devil's Dream Like that she tends to run her race and bring that typical effort, and she draws well to spy the speed from out here today. One of the ones.
    #7 Asian Matriarch You have to go back to this time last year to find some sprint form, but it's fairly compelling compared to the rest of this group. Recent form fits off the claim, so she seems like one of the ones.
    Race Summary Praise N Glory looks like a potential late price threat here, but she'll need a few things to go her way and for all the potential pace to show up. Demand a price -- we should get it.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369819

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Parx - Race #1
      #10 TURN ON TWISS (5-1) Claimed out of heavily-bet debut, made good mid-race run
      #6 ROSIE WARRIOR (7-2) Dueled with 6-1 firster to stretch for a higher tag two back, sheds blinkers.
      #8 SAMANTHA’S CAPO (3-1) Joined four-pronged battle for the lead, finished third in first start.
      Race Summary TURN ON TWISS took serious money but clearly needed her debut race. She broke poorly, gathered momentum on the turn and ran willingly in the 5-path until the final furlong. She picks up 6 pounds with a new rider but she gets Lasix and remains live at an inflated price. Bet to win and place and play 10-6 and 10-8 exactas.
      Parx - Race #3
      #1 SPOONBILL (6-1) Has speed and can make good use of it from the rail in this field.
      #4 SOMEMUNNY TO LOVE (2-1) Hit board at three distances in as many MSW starts, the latest in route.
      #6 RANTING AND RAVING (3-1) Finished 5 lengths behind ‘Love’ after 2-1/2 months away.
      Race Summary SPOONBILL ‘moved well clear’ in the stretch but got caught by the favorite in a near miss first out, but she back-pedaled in a slower MSW sprint that followed. The price goes up and the daughter of 2016 Pennsylvania Derby winner Connect could take catching from the rail with first-time Lasix. Bet to win and place and play 1-4 and 1-6 exactas.
      Parx - Race #6
      #4 GOLDEN CANDY (3-1) Pino claim tries to recapture form that led 6-13 mark and $249k in 5-1/2F earnings.
      #8 SHAKIN LOOSE (4-1) In good form, remains eligible despite win two back, projects ideal trip.
      #6 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT (7-2) Lake class-dropper has good first gear but hasn’t won since March 2024.
      Race Summary GOLDEN CANDY is a good all-or-nothing play off the claim by Pino. The 9-year-old showed nothing in his last four starts, but he was plenty sharp in the summer and is eligible for this spot by two days. Make a flat win bet and play a 4-ALL exacta.
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      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #4
        1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Monday, January 12, 2026

        by Xpressbet

        SCHEDULE NOTES
        Louisiana Downs | opening day of AQHA meet
        Will Rogers Downs | opening day

        NOTABLE CARRYOVERS
        Jackpot Pick 5 | $59,718| Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:05 pm ET
        Pick 5 | $6,796 | Mahoning Valley | begins Race 1 | 12:15 pm ET

        KEY RACES
        Will Rogers Downs | Race 5 | 4:13 pm ET | Wilma Mankiller Stakes

        LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX
        Will Rogers Downs | Race 2 | 2:42 pm ET
        Parx | Race 10 | 4:08 pm ET
        Sunland Park | Race 5 | 4:09 pm ET

        TRAINERS TO WATCH
        Jason Dacosta | Mahoning Valley | all 4 entrants 5-1 or less odds

        DID YOU SEE?
        Yesterday | Santa Anita | jockey Umberto Rispoli | 4 wins from 6 mounts

        PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM
        Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section​

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park
          PURCHASE
          Sunland Park - Race 2 .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) /$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
          Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 89 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 12:51
          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 12, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 12, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MAJOR CONTENDER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BODIE GOT GOLD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MAJOR CONTENDER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COASTAL FOG: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. EPIC BATTLE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          7 TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG) 5/2 6/1
          1 BODIE GOT GOLD 6/1 6/1
          4 MAJOR CONTENDER 15/1 7/1
          6 COASTAL FOG 12/1 8/1
          3 EPIC BATTLE 9/5 9/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          4 MAJOR CONTENDER 4 15/1 Front-runner 85 87 60.8 56.8 47.3
          6 COASTAL FOG 6 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 85 80 80.0 71.6 64.6
          3 EPIC BATTLE 3 9/5 Alternator/Stalker 88 80 65.4 72.6 65.6
          1 BODIE GOT GOLD 1 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 92 88 57.7 78.8 69.3
          8 UPWARD MOBILITY 8 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 92 78 50.8 66.4 57.9
          7 TOUCH OF GLAM (ARG) 7 5/2 Trailer 89 87 39.6 80.5 77.5
          2 OHHH DADDY 2 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 92 79 45.0 70.6 59.1
          5 SMOKE STACK 5 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 72 73 20.4 56.3 41.3

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
            PURCHASE
            Will Rogers Downs - Race 8 $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta
            Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 60 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 4:39P
            FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BAILEY SIOUX is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BAILEY SIOUX: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
            12 BAILEY SIOUX 3/1 7/5

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            12 BAILEY SIOUX 12 3/1 Front-runner 66 63 53.1 59.7 57.7
            3 CODE AURIE 3 5/1 Stalker 61 53 43.1 49.0 43.5
            11 BECKY IS SEXY 11 12/1 Stalker 50 50 42.9 39.0 29.5
            9 I MIGHT BE TROUBLE 9 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 39.6 33.4 25.9
            8 SPACED OUT 8 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 27.5 32.2 23.2
            2 BRIELLE 2 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 56 41 40.2 36.3 28.3
            1 BELLA'S ATREIDES 1 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 59 42 33.6 28.8 15.8
            Unknown Running Style: MYSTIC GRACE (8/1) [Jockey: Triana Jr Alfredo - Trainer: Young Scott E], TALK ABOUT TAYLOR (8/1) [Jockey: Wiseman Isaiah - Trainer: Craddock Kari], GRAY GIRL GONE (6/1) [Jockey: Wethey Jr Floyd - Trainer: Young Scott E], FORBID

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #7

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 65

              QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 6 XDW SHEEZA DARLIN 2/1
              # 2 TWOBIT SASSY FIREFLY 15/1
              # 9 MDA MS BEAUTY QUEEN 8/1
              I have to support XDW SHEEZA DARLIN here. Ought to go to the lead and may never look back. Must be considered based on the strong Equibase speed fig garnered in the last competition. Appears to have a solid class edge based on the most recent company kept. TWOBIT SASSY FIREFLY - Alvarez has a win percentage of 18 over the last month. Put up a respectable speed rating last time out. MDA MS BEAUTY QUEEN - She has earned competitive figs under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this group. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at a big price.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #8

                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE





                Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 5:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 68

                Rating:

                #3 RUN SMART (ML=12/1)
                #7 SMILE DONT WINK (ML=2/1)


                RUN SMART - That last effort must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly. I predict a perfect trip. Stalk the early speed, and rally on the turn. I like this horse. Should be familiar with this class level since he ran against the same type last out at Turf Paradise. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. SMILE DONT WINK - Rider jumped on this gelding's back for the first time on Jan 1st. Should be in touch with the animal even better this time. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. That 67 fig this gelding recorded in his last affair tells me he's a key player today. 27-51-67 are last 3 Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BARKLEY'S IMAGE (ML=3/1), #1 HUGH GLASS (ML=4/1), #5 TRYDENT (ML=5/1),

                BARKLEY'S IMAGE - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. I find it hard to bet on him in this event. Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. HUGH GLASS - Doubtful for this one to do much running with no success lately in a short distance event. Doubtful that the speed figure he notched on December 22nd will be enough in this race.
                STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 RUN SMART to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,7]
                TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 88

                  FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO PA-RESTRICTED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 6 DANCING ON MY OWN 3/1
                  # 2 YOU'RE THE ONE 2/1
                  # 1 MARY Q 5/2
                  DANCING ON MY OWN looks to be a formidable contender. Has been running strongly lately and ought to be up near the front end early on. Has a sharp shot in this race if you like back class. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figs (82 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. YOU'RE THE ONE - Has very strong Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in here. Always seems to be close up at the finishing post. MARY Q - Win percentage one of the best in this group. Could beat this group of animals given the 88 speed figure recorded in her last outing.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE





                    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:07pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,400 Class Rating: 57

                    Rating:

                    #4 VESPER MARTINI (ML=9/2)
                    #8 MON MINOU (ML=15/1)
                    #12 TOTAL SMOKESHOW (ML=15/1)


                    VESPER MARTINI - I think this filly is very sharp right now. I like the fact that Fadlovich brings her back to a race so quickly. This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first try on January 2nd. Should be acquainted with the equine even better today. Forgive the outside the top 3 finish on the off track in the last race. On a non-sloppy track, has a fair chance in this event. MON MINOU - Salazarbecerra comes to ride after getting to know the filly in the last affair. Always watch out for the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. TOTAL SMOKESHOW - Last time out, finished eighth on an off track at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. I'd expect a better race in this race.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DEVOUTLY (ML=5/2), #2 DENIABLE (ML=3/1), #9 DIANNA'S LADY (ML=8/1),

                    DEVOUTLY - This favorite ran on December 20th and hasn't had a workout since then. Acquired her best speed figure in the last race, but the track conditions may have played a major role in the outcome. DENIABLE - In the last event this steed finished seventh. Doesn't look good for her chances this time around. No accomplishments for this less than sharp equine in a short distance event over the last two months tells me that this mare is in a formidable situation Recent deteriorating speed ratings of 66/57/21 give a clue that this animal may be going off form. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure in the last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's event. DIANNA'S LADY - This animal hasn't had even a morning drill after running so well on December 20th. When examining today's class rating, she will have to record a better fig than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint.
                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 VESPER MARTINI to win if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,8]
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 5 - Post: 5:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$9500 - WINNERS OF 2 RACES THAT ARE NON-WINNERS OF 9
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 2 SIR JOHN B 7/2
                      # 4 STAY COOL HANOVER 10/1
                      # 5 DENIAL 9/2
                      Really keen on the chance of SIR JOHN B taking down the winner's share for this race. Feel the need for speed, this horse has been turning in some excellent TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 85. This nice horse looks tough considering the high class numbers. Don't toss out of any exotics. Is a huge win contender given the 85 speed fig from his most recent race. STAY COOL HANOVER - The group noted a sharp affair out of this standardbred last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to score. Drawing the 4 post at this track has lead to a much better than average win statistic. DENIAL - Chances are greatly improved for entrants coming from the 5 post at Dover Downs.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.


                        Race 6 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$7500 - OPEN FILLIES AND MARES $14000 P/C L/S
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 3 VEL STRAIGHT OUT 5/1
                        # 4 WISH I HAD THYME 7/2
                        # 5 DON'T CHIP ME 3/1
                        Really keen on the likelihood of VEL STRAIGHT OUT taking down the winner's share in this one. That 75 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the most recent race puts this interesting entrant in the mix in here. Looks like a strong contender in this field of starters and her above average winning percentage says she has the determination to win this time. Sowers has been able to get this entrant to perform when in the sulky. Definite exotic possibilities. WISH I HAD THYME - Feel the need for speed, this entrant has been turning in some top notch TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 82. Should be given a look based on the great TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the last race. DON'T CHIP ME - This horse and Aldrich have an excellent working relationship. In the money figure for this combination is high.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #13
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Miami Valley
                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 11
                          3 3 SUPER JAMES 5/1 Smith, Trevor - 9 451.90
                          4 4 OH MICKEY 2/1 Miller, Brett - 12 442.63
                          9 9 UNCLE RAT 15/1 Sutton, Josh - 3 427.78
                          6 6 MEMORY VAULT 5/2 Page, Chris - 15 426.67
                          5 5 WHISPERING BREEZE 7/2 Smith, Tyler - 10 422.11
                          2 2 JOHN LEMON 20/1 Smith, Jeremy - 18 415.54
                          7 7 NINETY PROOF 20/1 Melloy, Pat Jr - 4 379.40
                          8 8 DEETZ LIGHTING 20/1 Hanners, Austin - 8 376.87
                          1 1 NOTHINGBUTAPRINCE 20/1 Ebersole, Luke - 7 373.05

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #14
                            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
                            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                            RACE 9
                            5 5 RADCLIFFE 2/1 Renaud, Jean Bernard - 14 531.12
                            6 6 GUCCI GUCCI GOO 4/1 Spence, Dale Pr - 7 479.85
                            4 4 STOVID 7/2 Mcnair, Douglas R - 20 473.19
                            7 7 JAYPORT CASH 9/2 Thiessen, Daryl - 7 462.11
                            1 1 OCEANVIEW NIKKI 10/1 Ratchford, Todd - 7 453.14
                            3 3 DEVASTATE 3/1 Henry, Travis J - 9 453.10
                            2 2 SUPERSONIC HANOVER 8/1 Plante, Jean Rene - 8 451.95
                            8 8 EYE OF AN EAGLE 6/1 Hensley, Ed F - 9 431.92
                            9 9 FLORIDA GUY 15/1 Henry, Trevor S - 11 431.71

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #15
                              Free play from Mike Wynn
                              Free Pick: CBB Coppin St -1.5 over South Carolina St

                              Comment

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