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Thurs recap - no plays Let's see if the 2-0 Wed can be a nice springboard towards a Santa Claus Rally.
2** UNC- Greensboro/E. Carolina over 141(7pm) Rotation # 845-846 - This # is rising and I will wait to play it to see if I can get 142 or 142.5 At the beginning of the year, I went against UNC-Green noting how bad their defense is. Well nothing has changed, but their pace has slowed down overall as the coach has reduced the # of possessions. Early in the year, their pace ranked in the top 30 for speed of play and now they are down to top 80. This is a ploy to cover up for a bad defense. People only see the near 50% FG allowed and think over automatically. ECU doesn't have the offense to really take advantage of this. ECU doesn't shoot the ball that well themselves. We might have to sweat out some end of game free throw parade, but I believe we end up in the 130's here. 70-64 type of game.
2** Canisius +7 over Missouri-KC(8pm) - rotation # 861 - I wish I had the balls on this but Canisius is 1-7 for a reason. They have played a tough schedule and their record reflects it. UMKC is a paper tiger 6-5. They have won squeakers for most of their wins and while there is something to be said for a team that knows how to win the close ones, the fact is that most of their wins seem to be close games We have the better free throw shooting team . Getting 3+ possessions. I will take it. Here's to building some momentum heading into the weekend. Matt D
Central Michigan as the home favorite against Illinois-Chicago. As this play is released at 9am Pacific, the Chippewas are currently laying between 9 to 9 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.
20 DIME BONUS COLLEGE SIDE
UC Santa Barbara as the road underdog against Washington. The Gauchos are currently getting 7 1/2 points here in Vegas and offshore.
The Stars have won three in a row on the road and will conclude their road trip here tonight. It will be the tail end of back to-backs and third road game in four days after last night’s 3-2 win over the Islanders. Dallas defeated the Rangers 1-0 on Tuesday and in their last three wins they’ve managed just six goals. The reason for the wins was some hot goaltending from newcomer Richard Bachman and they may be pushing him a bit, as he makes another start here. Also note that Dallas had won just four of 13 games prior to this road trip and after three intense games in a row, this assignment becomes a daunting one. New Jersey is coming on. The Devils could be so dangerous if they had reliable goaltending. They work hard and they have an outstanding mix of youth and veterans. They’re creating a ton of chances that are resulting in goals. Ilya Kovalchuk has five goals and five assists in the last nine games. Zach Parise has four goals and eight assists in the last nine games and Calder candidate C Adam Henrique has 11 in the last 10 games. N.J. has won four of its last five games and they’ve scored 17 times over that span. Also note that Travis Zajac returns to the line-up and although he is likely to be eased back slowly, his presence is a big boost. Play: New Jersey -½ +116 (Risking 2 units).
Toronto +120 over BUFFALO
The Sabres continue to struggle and until we see a major improvement in both their play and desire to win, we’ll continue to fade them. Buffalo has three wins in its last 11 games. One of those wins came in OT and another came against Nashville in a game they were dominated in. On Wednesday, the Sabres allowed 44 shots on net by Ottawa and lost 3-2 in OT. That score was flattering to them. This is a team in dissarray. Mentally, they’re just not the same Sabres team we’ve been accustomed to seeing over the years. Buffalo has played with heart and a chip on its shoulder for years and years under Lindy Ruff. That chip is gone and when a team shows a lack of mental toughness, the collapse is not far behind. The Leafs are coming off a 2-1 OT win against Carolina. That score is misleading, as the Leafs had a 29-9 shot advantage at one point and ran into a red-hot Cam Ward. Despite going just 2-2 over its last four, Toronto has played well in all of them. The Leafs are in much better form than Buffalo and offer up all the value in this winnable game. Play: Toronto +120 (Risking 2 units).
Northcoast - Friday comp line
Note: If you did not see the correction for Thursday's Line 3, it is updated here:
Line 3 > Comp NFL Total - over 44 NY Jets/Philadelphia Eagles
Line 9 > (Master Sports) 4* California -16 over Weber State (college hoops)
Line 4 > (Rocketman Sports) 4* Buffalo Sabres -129 over Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL)
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