Tuesday 1/20/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

Jeremy Plonk: Louisiana Downs Bet $100, Get $10 Tuesday Picks

by Jeremy Plonk

The Frosty Funds promotion continues Tuesdays and Thursdays throughout January. Take advantage of the Bet $100, Get $10 promotion this week on Tuesday's card from Louisiana Downs when you bet with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet. Here are a couple of key plays on the all-AQHA racing card.


Louisiana Downs: Race 4

#3 Headed North (8-1 morning line odds) comes out of a fast race for the level at Evangeline Downs and is consistently a clean breaker, giving her a chance in most situations. Breaking next to the morning line favorite could be good news in terms of trip, and note the Rodriguez-Clark jockey-trainer tandem wins 25% at Louisiana Downs with a solid flat-bet profit. Win #3. Exacta key-box 3 with 2,4. Daily Doubles 3-5 largest; 2,4 with 5 smaller.


Louisiana Downs: Race 5

#5 Mr Chato Perez (10-1 morning line odds) brings classier Lone Star Park AQHA form and should fit extremely well with this allowance class. Has run some of his fastest races around 300 yards, so the 400-yarder at Evangline last out simply may been beyond his best reach. Cut-back to 250 yards seems live. Win-place #5.

[ConleyPicks]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mahoning Valley - Race #2

#1 Colonel Poppy	Hoping a little break in the forecast will get racing back on track, and this one feels like a solid lean here while in reliable form. Wouldn't be a surprise to see him turn the tables from the last one.
#5 Hemp Heaven	He's not all that consistent, but his better stuff has been competitive with similar groups, and the price might be appealing enough again.
#6 Puff'smagicdragon	Wouldn't argue that hard with anyone landing here and feeling good about it -- he has proven to be a reliable finisher and has been in the mix with some of these in recent starts. Still think he's going to be overbet comparatively.
Race Summary	Colonel Poppy should get a good finishing run in here, and I like that he has a touch of tactical pace at times if needed. He and Hemp Heaven look like the right kind of two-deep play.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8

#2 Carnival Rock	The only loss in his three starts came in stakes company, and he should find himself in a really good spot while tracking the slightly quicker players early. Lots to like.
#3 Pupil	His dangerous pace makes sense, but I feel like he could take just a tiny bit too much heat from a couple of early shots here. In the mix.
#5 El Muchacho Alegre	He should be in the picture early and in a good spot to try to get first jump at Pupil on the turn, and the local form is compelling enough when you forgive the stakes try.
Race Summary	Carnival Rock may still have some upside here while making the first start of his 3-year-old season and getting Lasix for the first time. Think the race shape helps, too.

Mahoning Valley - Race #9

#9 Lil Sharpie	She's a bit short on excuses overall, but she honestly didn't have the easiest go of things last time out, and I think she might be able to land this one if she can move forward just a touch off that one.
#3 First Kiss Ever	She has a couple of forward works on her page ahead of this, so take a look at her on the tote and track. Wouldn't be a shock to see a fresh face land this one.
#6 Roses N Lace	She was no threat to the winner, but she moved forward last out when second at 85/1 and could presumably build on that one in her first local start. I dunno.
Race Summary	Lil Sharpie seems to be slowly heading in the right direction and might get a slightly better trip today -- that small bit may be enough to get her home.

[ConleyPicks]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #2

#2 LOOKIN FOR CURLY (4-1)	Wide trip took its toll in first start locally, wouldn’t expect 4-1 odds.
#6 WEST IS WEST (5-2)	Beat ‘Curly’ by ? of a length and should get the jump on him again.
#5 KING OF THE DISCO (7-2)	Useful return off five-month layoff, lack of pace in race the concern.
Race Summary	LOOKIN FOR CURLY finished between three of the same rivals he faces today in his second start off a two-month freshening for a new barn. He was compromised by an overland trip that found him 5-wide much of the way. He should have no such problems in a shorter field with a better post. Bet to win and place and play 2-5 and 2-6 exactas.

Turf Paradise - Race #3

#4 KING ELVIS (5-1)	Tactical speed could make the difference for $70k turf earner at this distance.
#2 DEL RAYO (7-2)	Chased 1:09.4 split for 6F and ‘kept on’ to finish second in the same spot.
#7 SPENARD (4-1)	Proven main-track miler transitions to lawn off blazing :45.2 workout on dirt.
Race Summary	Something has to give in this one-mile turf test and it’s probably going to be the pace. KING ELVIS has at least shown he can rate and can parlay those tactics into a win off a 7-1/2F grass race for a cheaper claiming tag, when he loomed boldly for the stretch drive but flattened out. Bet to win and place and play 2-5 and 4-5 daily doubles.

Turf Paradise - Race #4

#5 MOM SAYS (4-1)	Ran a big one for sizzling barn, taken to repeat as today’s Best Bet.
#8 REACH HIGHER (6-1)	Upstaged in-the-money finishes with win at the mile.
#3 CHASING RAIN (5-2)	Diodoro acquisition showed little in Cali in limited 4yo season.
Race Summary	MOM SAYS dueled from mid-turn to mid-stretch and ‘continued on with good energy’ to hold safe the troubled 3-to-5 favorite for the win and earn the top speed figure of his career. Trainer Michael Pierce is clicking on all cylinders of late, so expect another big effort instead of a ‘bounce.’ Bet to win and place and play a 5-ALL exacta.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Starter Allowance $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $17,600 • Post: 12:43
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2025 - 2026. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GENERAL ISSUE (FR) is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GENERAL ISSUE (FR): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DR SCHUSTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	GENERAL ISSUE (FR)	9/2	5/2
3	DR SCHUSTER	8/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	GENERAL ISSUE (FR)	2	9/2	Front-runner	94	99	85.8	88.2	84.2
3	DR SCHUSTER	3	8/1	Front-runner	90	78	76.8	78.8	70.3
5	HEMP HEAVEN	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	89	93	72.8	83.4	79.4
6	PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON	6	5/2	Trailer	91	82	63.0	82.8	76.3
1	COLONEL POPPY	1	7/2	Trailer	85	82	60.6	78.8	68.8
4	ONLY GET'N BETTER	4	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	87	82	57.6	77.0	70.0
7	SIGHT UNSEEN	7	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	77	64.4	73.8	59.8

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 7	Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 4:05P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF LESS THAN $20,000).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HOCK POWER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JE FAVORITEJESSJUMPN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CAPITAL HATTERS: Horse ranks in the top t hree in TrackMaster Power Rating. A MENACE WAGON: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
9	HOCK POWER	5/2	9/2
5	JE FAVORITEJESSJUMPN	4/1	6/1
3	CAPITAL HATTERS	7/2	7/1
7	A MENACE WAGON	6/1	10/1
1	CHILITOS DOLLARS	15/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CHILITOS DOLLARS	1	15/1	Slow	66	68	6.1	0.0	0.0
2	JJS EAGLE	2	10/1	Average	69	56	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	CAPITAL HATTERS	3	7/2	Average	80	63	5.9	0.0	0.0
4	FIVE VALIANT	4	15/1	Average	79	43	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	JE FAVORITEJESSJUMPN	5	4/1	Average	70	71	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	CARPE DIEM BABY	6	10/1	Fast	65	52	1.0	0.0	0.0
7	A MENACE WAGON	7	6/1	Average	68	67	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	KINGDOM COME	8	15/1	Slow	71	66	7.5	0.0	0.0
9	HOCK POWER	9	5/2	Average	86	71	3.8	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: IMPERIAL WAGON TRAIN (20/1) [Jockey: Sanchez Eddie - Trainer: Macias Manuel H].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Will Rogers Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 52

Rating:

#2 CASHOUT CAROL (ML=7/2)


CASHOUT CAROL - This filly ran well in her last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that she was well clear of the show horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. Earnings per start is something that I think can be a most important handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked number one in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CARMALIETA (ML=5/2), #3 ZAYLA (ML=4/1), #7 AROA (ML=4/1),

CARMALIETA - This filly didn't do much for me last time out of the box. ZAYLA - Just can't bet on this vulnerable equine. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on November 13th. AROA - When scrutinizing today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a better speed rating than last out to be competitive in this dirt route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #2 CASHOUT CAROL to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 20, 2025 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 20 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 GREAT KING (FR) 4/1
# 8 OUTOFQUEMADO 20/1
# 3 DRILL'S LI'L MAN 8/1

GREAT KING (FR) appears to be the bet in here. Could provide positive returns based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 91. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently. Is a definite contender - given the 94 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. OUTOFQUEMADO - When a conditioner brings any equine back this soon it is a positive sign. With a nice class fig average of 92, has one of the top class advantages in this group of horses. DRILL'S LI'L MAN - Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a decent shot. One of the best win percentages between this jock and trainer make this gelding dangerous.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:26pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#3 CRAIGH NA DUN (ML=5/1)


CRAIGH NA DUN - Generally accepted handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. A live one today. Forgive the off the board finish on the off track in the last race. Without the off-track conditions, has a shot right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WEEK'S STRONG (ML=9/5), #7 PASTERO (ML=5/2), #6 IT'SSPRINGBOIII (ML=6/1),

WEEK'S STRONG - Tough to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this participant does. Improbable that the speed figure he notched on Nov 28th will be enough in this race. PASTERO - This animal doesn't have a champion's state of mind. Always finishes in the place and show spots. IT'SSPRINGBOIII - This equine hasn't been in the mix in either of his last couple of races. Don't believe this entrant will do much running in today's event. That last fig was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 CRAIGH NA DUN to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SUPRISING CODE 3/1
# 2 BUSINESS AS USUAL 7/5
# 4 WILD GOLD RUSH 20/1

My choice for this event is SUPRISING CODE. BUSINESS AS USUAL - Looks quite good to be on the lead at the first call. Earning some nice paychecks in dirt sprint events.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
4	4	SECTIONLINERONNIE	9/2	Devaux, Jim - 21	450.67
2	2	GOOD INVESTMENT	3/1	Merton, Michael - 20	449.81
1	1	HARD WORKIN' MAN	9/2	Merton, Thomas - 7	447.55
5	5	VEL LARRY	7/2	Merton, Gregory - 30	435.51
3	3	BLACKJACK DRAGON	4/1	Dibenedetto, Kyle - 15	429.70
7	7	YELLOWJERSEYRICHIE	5/2	Sowers, Mcgwire - 14	406.80
8	8	P L QUESADILLA	12/1	Carter, William - 11	401.18
6	6	CR DUDLEY	10/1	Harp, Rick - 1	384.91

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Post: 6:44 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$9000 - NON WINNERS 1 PARI-MUTUEL RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/W 2 PM RACES OR $20,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 6 DONY DIEGO 8/5
# 1 SUMMER GETAWAY 5/1
# 5 TROTEN AWAY 6/1

DONY DIEGO clearly looks like the contender to beat in this one. Hard to put finger on it, but back him here. This race could be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Achieved a 70 TrackMaster SR last out. A duplicate performance here should get the victory in this event. SUMMER GETAWAY - It's somewhat dicey to consider solely based on class, but this mare has among the most solid class figures of the field of horses. When the starter calls, contenders coming out of the 1 position have more wins than you would expect. TROTEN AWAY - Achieved a 63 speed figure last out. A duplicate event here should get the victory in this event.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 5:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$15000 - N/W 2

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 BROOKVIEW FREDDY 3/1
# 1 BOURBONONTHEROCKS 5/1
# 3 ROSE RUN ZION 9/2

BROOKVIEW FREDDY surely figures to be the race horse to beat this time. This nice horse may have some hidden form, a triumph would be a pleasant surprise. May provide us a score based on really good recent speed ratings - earning an avg of 78. With Hanners in the sulky, watch out for this entrant to get the trip to the winner's circle. BOURBONONTHEROCKS - The trainer/horse combo statistics point out that this duet are solid in the money finishers when working as a team. This race could very well be controlled by this gelding. A single look at the avgerage TrackMaster speed fig will confirm that. ROSE RUN ZION - Getting a good feel about this gelding. Could surprise here.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 2
7	7	ANNELIESE HANOVER	20/1	Dube, Daniel - 10	422.86
1	1	STONECOLD GIRL	3/2	Bartlett, Jason - 35	409.36
6	6	DISARONNO HILL	5/2	Kelly, Colin - 12	407.51
5	5	DW'S DARLENE	5/1	Stratton, Jordan - 14	406.69
4	4	PRINCESS ARONA	20/1	Siegelman, Austin - 7	395.77
8	8	MIGHTHAVTIME N	20/1	Kakaley, Matt - 11	376.15
3	3	MC ANGEL	9/2	Holland, Brent - 14	372.60
2	2	SHESINQREDIBLE DEO	20/1	Gingras, Yannick - 18	349.10

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: CBB SMU Pk over Wake Forest